INTERVIEWEE PROFILE Interviewee Profile Gender Socioeconomic Status Male Female 43% 43% 14% 51% 49% ABC D E Age 14% 14% 14% 13% 14% 12% 11% 8% 18-23 24-29 30-35 36-41 42-47 48-53 54-59 60+
POLITICAL SELF-IDENTIFICATION How do you identify yourself within Venezuelan politics 27 % Pro-government 35 % 35 % No answer 3% National Study 2017 Pro-Government No answer 19% 40% 38% 3% 2017
EVALUATING NICOLÁS MADURO S ADMINISTRATION How would you rate Nicolás Maduro s job in managing the country 4% Doesn t know / No answer 65% 31 % 38% 16% 11% 13% 14% 4% Very bad bad Regular to bad Regular to good Good Very good Pro-government 21% 76% 92% 6% 73% 19%
PERCEPTION: COUNTRY S SITUATION Considering the last 12 months, how would you rate your quality of life 2% Doesn t know / No answer 76% 22% 42% 28% 15% 6% 6% 1% Gotten much worse Gotten worse Equally bad Equally good Gotten better Gotten much better 45% Pro-government 53% 92% 7% 86% 12%
MAIN PROBLEMS What do you consider is the main problem the country is currently facing Food shortages High cost of living / inflation The economic crisis / recession 11.8% 13.4% 28.6% Personal insecurity / delinquency National government Economic warfare Poor quality of public health services Corruption/impunity President Nicolás Maduro Long lines to shop Lack of drinkable water The governor of the state Lack of private investment Political violence / political instability International economic sanctions Street blockades None Doesn t know / No answer Other 7.6% 5 % 4.3% 3.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.5 % 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 1.1% 1.7% 17.3% Food shortage High cost of living Economic crisis 28.6% 13.4% 11.8% Pro government 38.2% 11.9% 13.5% 26% 16.6% 6.3% 23.2% 12.6% 15.9%
CULPRITS Who do you think is to blame for the main problems the country is currently facing Government Nicolás Maduro The people 37 % 28% 26 % 24 % 15% 15% 6% 5% 5% Food shortages High cost of living Economic crisis
TRUST IN INSTITUTIONS How much confidence do you have in each of the following institutions 21 % 21 % 4% 15% 18% 6% 5% 6% 3% 18% 43% 45% 24 % 36 % The Church 25 % National Constituent Assembly (ANC) 31 % National Assembly 3% 12% 11% 14% 36 % 3% 3% 40% 17% 17% 15% 40% International Community 32% 29% Organization of American States (OAS) 28% International Monetary Fund (IMF) 14% 3% 3% 2% 1% 12% 48% 45% 8% 2% 14% 53% 33% 39% 23% The Military The Police U.S. Government No confidence Low confidence High confidence Doesn t know / No answer Confidence
FOOD SUPPLY How would you evaluate the country s food supply situation 1% Doesn t know / No answer 84 % 44% 28% 15% 12% 11% 3% 1% Very bad Bad Regular to bad Regular to good Good Very good Pro-government 57% 42% 98% 2% 92% 6%
MEDICINE SUPPLY How would you evaluate the country s medicine supply situation 1% Doesn t know / No answer 86 % 49% 29% 13% 9% 10% 3% 1% Very bad Bad Regular to bad Regular to good Good Very good 62.1% Pro-government 37.5% 98.4% 1.6% 93% 5.6%
INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE Do you believe that Venezuela requires international assistance to improve its economic situation Don t know 3% Yes 60% No 34% Pro-government 35% 4% 61% 85% 5% 10% 55% 5% 37%
DIALOGUE / NEGOTIATIONS Do you believe that dialogue between the National Government and the Venezuelan opposition is positive or negative for finding a solution to the country s problems Neither positive or negative 7% Does not know 4% Positive 49 % Negative 40% Pro-government 76% 18% 36% 56% 43% 40%
NEGOTIATIONS (AMNESTY FOR TRANSITION) If a political transition were to take place in Venezuela, would you be in agreement with hypothetical protections and amnesty for departing Maduro government officials Does not know no answer 14% Yes I would agree 39 % No I would not agree 48% Pro-government 54% 36% 33% 63% 33% 53%
SANCTIONS Do you agree or disagree with the sanctions imposed by the government of the United States of America to Venezuelan public officials 4% Doesn t know / No answer 44% 47% 32% 25% 21% 12% 4% Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither agree nor disagree Agree Strongly Agree Pro-government 85% 9% 15% 81% 41% 44%
SANCTIONS Do you believe that imposed sanctions have personally affected you Does not know no answer 4% Yes They have 36% No They have not 60% Pro-government 51% 44% 23% 76% 37% 60%
OIL EMBARGO How much would you agree or disagree with a potential oil embargo 4% Doesn t know / No answer 81 % 55% 26% 12% 3% 9% 3% Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither agree nor disagree Agree Strongly Agree Pro-government 92% 6% 71% 21% 83% 8%
WILLINGNESS TO VOTE : PRESENT CONDITIONS Generally, how willing are you to vote in upcoming presidential elections under current conditions - that is, with the same CNE and no changes in the present electoral conditions 3% Doesn t know / No answer 69% 28% 44% 25% 17% 11% Completely unwilling Somewhat unwilling Willing Somewhat willing 6% Pro-government 94% 41% 58% 34% 61%
CALL FOR ABSTENTION If the (Mesa de la Unidad) were to call for abstention in the next presidential elections, what would you do Pro-government 67% 5% 82% 56% 66% 4% 8% 4% Align with the call for abstention made by MUD and would not vote Would not align with the MID, and would vote 23% 5% 10% 32% 24 % Would not vote, but not because MUD made the call for abstention Does not know / No answer
ELECTIONS If elections were to be held next Sunday, who would you vote for Pro-government 25% 22% 72% 56% 1% 13% 2% 3% A candidate of the opposition A candidate of the government 34% 10% Does not know 53% 5% No answer 32% 15% 4% Would not vote An independent candidate
WILLINGNESS TO PROTEST In general, and considering the current situation in the country, how likely are you to go out and protest against the government to demand change 2% Doesn t know / No answer 60% 44% 38% 23% 16% 15% Completely unwilling Unwilling Willing Very Willing 89% Pro-government 9% 31% 69% 64% 34%
TECHNICAL DETAILS Technical Details Scope of Study: Natural citizens, of legal age, registered to vote at a national level, of all socioeconomic strata Size of Sample: 800 people Margin of error: ± 3,39% Confidence Interval: 95% Field Dates: January 17-19, 2018 Survey Type: Telephone survey in homes Type of Sampling: Stratified Random Polling Firm: Datanálisis