The Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development with the College of Behavioral and Social Sciences and The Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland with the School of Public Policy welcome you to Islamophobia and the American Elections How Does It Look in America and The Middle East? To Tweet about this event, please use #Islamophobia
Survey Methodology (May 2016) The survey was conducted May 20-31, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probabilitybased representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided by Survey Sampling International. A total of 1580 panelists completed the survey including a national sample of 855 adults, plus an oversample of 735 millennials (18-34), making for a total sample of millennials of 863. Responses were weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the US Census. The survey was also weighted by partisan identification and millennials were down-weighted consistent with these groups incidence rate in the U.S. Census. The margins of error for the national sample and for each subgroup is: National 855 respondents, MoE: 3.4% Millennials 863, MoE: 3.3%
Survey Methodology (June 2016) The survey was conducted June 24-30, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probabilitybased representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided by Survey Sampling International. A national sample of 1312 panelists completed the survey. Responses were weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the US Census. The survey was also weighted by partisan identification. The margin of error is 2.7%
What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People
What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People 53 Favorable 58 62 46 Unfavorable 41 38 Nov. 2015 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)
IND DEM REP What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People Favorable 41 43 42 Unfavorable 58 55 57 Favorable 67 72 79 Unfavorable 20 31 27 Favorable 43 53 60 Unfavorable 39 47 53 Nov. 2015 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)
Clinton Supporters Trump Supporters What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People Favorable 74 82 Unfavorable 17 26 Favorable 36 34 Unfavorable 63 66 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)
What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People [Crossed with In your life, how familiar are you with people who are Muslim? ] 51 Favorable 61 78 48 Unfavorable 38 22 I don't know any I know some but not very well I know some very well June 2016
What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim Religion
What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim Religion 37 Favorable 42 44 61 Unfavorable 57 55 Nov. 2015 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)
REP DEM IND What is your attitude about each of the following? Favorable The Muslim Religion 26 24 24 Unfavorable 73 75 76 Favorable 51 59 64 Unfavorable 38 35 47 Favorable 28 34 38 Unfavorable 61 68 66 Nov. 2015 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)
Trump Supporters Clinton Supporters What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim Religion Favorable 59 66 Unfavorable 37 33 Favorable 19 16 Unfavorable 81 84 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)
What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim Religion [Crossed with In your life, how familiar are you with people who are Muslim? ] 37 Favorable 44 55 62 Unfavorable 55 45 I don't know any I know some but not very well I know some very well June 2016
Which position is closer to yours?
Which position is closer to yours? Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other 34 39 37 Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground 57 61 64 Nov. 2015 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)
IND DEM REP Which position is closer to yours? Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other 56 55 55 Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground 41 44 42 Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other 26 21 17 Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground 71 77 82 Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other 32 40 27 Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground 62 56 71 Nov. 2015 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)
Trump Supporters Clinton Supporters Which position is closer to yours? Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other 13 21 Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground 78 85 Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other 62 64 Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground 33 37 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)
American Responses to the Orlando Shooting
June 2016 Now, in your opinion, which one of these is the most important factor that may have contributed to the Orlando shooter s behavior?
Now, in your opinion, which one of these is the most important factor that may have contributed to the Orlando shooter s behavior? Hate for LGBT Community 16 Self-hate 19 Feeling rejected as a Muslim in America 2 Militant Islamist ideology 33 Mental illness 21 June 2016
June 2016 How would you rate the effectiveness of the following actions in reducing the chance of an Orlando-like shooting? Please rate on a scale of 0-10 where 0 is not effective and 10 is most effective.
[On a 0-10 scale, where 0 is not effective and 10 is most effective] How would you rate the effectiveness of the following actions in reducing the chance of an Orlando-like shooting (mean)? Banning the sale of any weapons to people on terrorist and criminal watch lists 7.84 Better security at public venues 7.32 Fighting ISIS and similar groups abroad more effectively 7.24 Banning the sale of assault rifles, that is a rifle that fires rapid bursts of bullets 5.75 Closely monitoring Mosques and Muslim American groups 5.46 June 2016
June 2016 Now, of these actions, which would be the most likely to reduce the chance of an Orlando-like shooting?
Now, of these actions, which would be the most likely to reduce the chance of an Orlando-like shooting? Banning the sale of any weapons to people on terrorist and criminal watch lists Banning the sale of assault rifles, that is a rifle that fires rapid bursts of bullets 23 25 Better security at public venues 17 Other 12 Fighting ISIS and similar groups abroad more 12 Closely monitoring Mosques and Muslim American groups 10 June 2016
American attitudes on refugees from the Middle East
Survey Methodology The survey was conducted May 20-31, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probability-based representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided by Survey Sampling International. A total of 1580 panelists completed the survey including a national sample of 845 adults, plus an oversample of 735 millennials (18-34), making for a total sample of millennials of 863. Responses were weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the US Census. The survey was also weighted by partisan identification and millennials were down-weighted consistent with these groups incidence rate in the U.S. Census. The margins of error for the national sample and for each subgroup is: National 845 respondents, MoE: 3.4% Millennials 863, MoE: 3.3%
As you may know, since 2001 the United States has admitted about 800,000 persons with refugee status from around the world, or about 50,000 people a year on average. In U.S. law, a refugee is a person who is already living outside their own country because of a well-founded fear of persecution. This definition can include those fleeing civil war in their home country. It excludes those who participated in the persecution of any person on account of race, religion, nationality, membership in a particular social group, or political opinion. Those applying as refugees for asylum in the U.S. are investigated by various arms of the U.S. government. This process takes about two years. In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern countries after screening them for security risks?
In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern countries after screening them for security risks? Republican Democrat Independent Total Support 38 55 59 77 Oppose 23 42 41 62 May 2016
[Among those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you most about absorbing refugees?
[Among those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you most about absorbing refugees? I'm concerned about terrorism 46 I'm concerned about having more Muslims in the U.S., even if they are peaceful 9 I'm concerned about the economic burden of absorbing refugees of any kind 41 Other 4 May 2016
[Among those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you most about absorbing refugees? Republican Democrat Independent I'm concerned about terrorism 35 41 50 I'm concerned about having more Muslims in the U.S., even if they are peaceful 4 8 11 I'm concerned about the economic burden of absorbing refugees of any kind 38 41 52 Other 3 5 8 May 2016
In your estimation, how many refugees have been arrested since 9/11 over terrorism charges?
In your estimation, how many refugees have been arrested in the United States since 9/11 over terrorism charges? Fewer than 5 14 Fewer than 25 26 Fewer than 100 30 100 or more 28 May 2016
Conclusion
Thinking about the Muslim religion for a moment, would you say you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of Islam? ABC News Poll October (2001)* 47 39 Sadat Chair Poll August (2011) 33 61 Latest Sadat Chair Poll June (2016) 44 55 Favorable Unfavorable
March 2016 Assuming that you agree with the general positions of the presidential candidates on issues that are important to you, would you vote for that candidate if he/she were (Evangelical Christian, Jewish American, Muslim American):
Assuming that you agree with the general positions of the presidential candidates on issues that are important to you, would you vote for that candidate if he/she were: Evangelical Christian 17 28 55 Jewish American 8 26 65 Muslim American 34 34 31 Yes No Don't know/notsure May 2016
The Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development with the College of Behavioral and Social Sciences and The Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland with the School of Public Policy welcome you to Islamophobia and the American Elections How Does It Look in America and The Middle East? To Tweet about this event, please use #Islamophobia