Coalition Explorer Results of the 28 Survey on coalition building in the European Union an initiative of Results for ECFR May 2017 Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Findings Coalition Potential Ranks 1 to 14 Ranks 15 to 28 Country Findings AT BE BG HR CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE EL HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal Preferences ranks overall #23 at Preferences #22 #21 #24 Partners #21 #18 #16 #12 Q1 Most Contacted Q2 Shared Interests Q3 Most Responsive ranks overall #16 at Partners Q10 Foreign and Development Policy Q11 Security and Defense Policy Q12 Economic and Social Policy Q13 Fiscal Policy 3 for EL 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. 3 for EL 1. BG HR 2. 3. PT RO 1. 2. BG LU 3. IT PT 1. HR FR 2. BE IT SI 3. BG NL PT 1. 2. HR RO SI 3. IT PT ranks #17 at More Europe #17 Q14 Deeper Integration 3 for EL 1. 2. 3. FR DE ES Q16 Expert View Level of Decision-Making Q17 Public View 35 17 31 10 EL Networks Voting for 8 for EL Portugal 52 19 15 8 All member states Legally bound core Coalition of states Only national level France EL 50 14 14 22 49 7 16 28 EL Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Most contacted Votes for Q1 In your view or experience, which other governments would your own government generally contact first and/or most on matters? (select up to five) Of 1352 394 respondents, received 10 (0.7) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 2 Southern 7 1 Big 6 Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal 50 9 3 1 France 1 1 Portugal Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Shared Interests Votes for Q2 In your view or experience, which other member states generally share many of your own s interests and preferences on policies? (select up to five) Of 1594 406 respondents, received 32 (2) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 6 Southern 7 3 Big 6 2 Founding 6 Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal 33 12 11 8 Portugal 5 4 2 Finland 1 France Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Most Responsive Votes for Q3 In your view or experience, which other governments or member states have shown to be most responsive or are easiest to work with? (select up to five) Of 1201 342 respondents, received 10 (0.8) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 2 Southern 7 1 Big 6 1 Founding 6 Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal 20 6 4 3 2 Portugal 1 France 1 Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Most Disappointing Votes for Q4 In your view or experience, which other governments or member states have disappointed your own government? (select up to five) Of 1123 326 respondents, received 89 (7.9) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Southern Seven Visegrád Four Portugal 11 Affluent 7 9 Visegrád 4 7 Founding 6 6 Big 6 2 Southern 7 33 23 21 20 16 Finland 15 Czech Rep. 14 14 13 12 Germany 11 9 9 9 7 6 5 Hungary 5 Portugal 4 3 France 2 Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Big Six Overall Policy Ranking by Q5 Based on your view or experience, please rank the six large member states according to their overall influence on policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Southern Seven Visegrád Four Portugal First Rank Second Rank Third Rank Germany France Fourth Rank Fifth Rank Sixth Rank France Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Number of respondents: 4. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Big Six Fiscal Policy Ranking by Q6 Please rank the six large member states according to their influence on fiscal policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four First Rank Second Rank Third Rank Germany France France France Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal Fourth Rank Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Germany Number of respondents: 4. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Ranking by Q7 Please rank the six large member states according to their influence on foreign, security and defence policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four First Rank Second Rank Third Rank Germany France France Germany Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal Fourth Rank Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Germany Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Number of respondents: 4. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Ranking by First Rank Q8 Based on your view or experience, please rank the list of affluent seven member states according to their overall influence on policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Southern Seven Visegrád Four Portugal Second Rank Third Rank Fourth Rank Finland Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Seventh Rank Finland Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Number of respondents: 4. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Foreign and Development Policy Votes for Q10 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Foreign and Development Policy? Of 1756 285 respondents, received 30 (1.7) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 3 Southern 7 2 Big 6 2 Founding 6 1 Affluent 7 Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal 7 7 5 4 Portugal 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 France 1 Hungary Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Security and Defense Policy Votes for Q11 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Security and Defense Policy? Of 1662 285 respondents, received 31 (1.9) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 3 Southern 7 2 Affluent 7 2 Big 6 2 Founding 6 1 Visegrád 4 Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal 7 6 6 4 4 Portugal 3 2 2 Finland 2 France 2 Hungary 2 2 1 1 Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Economic and Social Policy Votes for Q12 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Economic and Social Policy? Of 1567 279 respondents, received 39 (2.5) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 4 Founding 6 4 Southern 7 3 Big 6 2 Affluent 7 Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal 6 6 France 5 5 5 4 4 4 Portugal 3 3 2 Czech Rep. 2 1 Germany Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Fiscal Policy Votes for Q13 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Fiscal Policy? Of 1203 279 respondents, received 37 (3.1) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 4 Founding 6 4 Southern 7 3 Big 6 2 Affluent 7 1 Visegrád 4 Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal 11 6 6 6 5 5 Portugal 4 4 4 France 4 3 2 Germany 2 Hungary 2 2 1 Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Commitment to Deeper Integration Votes for Q14 In your opinion, which member states are committed to deeper integration or more Europe? Of 2046 348 respondents, received 37 (1.8) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 3 Founding 6 3 Southern 7 2 Affluent 7 2 Big 6 Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal 6 4 3 France 3 Germany 3 2 2 2 2 Finland 2 2 Portugal 2 2 1 1 Hungary Overview Commitment to Deeper Integration Importance of Coalitions Preferred Actor Level Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Preferred Actor Level Votes by Q16 What actor level would your prefer for the following list of policy projects? All member states: 35 of votes Legally bound core of member states: 17 of votes Coalition of member states: 31 of votes Only national level: 10 of votes Countries Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four Integrated foreign and security policy Common defense structures Common border police and coast guard Common policy in justice & home affairs Common immigration and asylum policy Common development assistance p. Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal Common Russia policy Better governance for the eurozone Common Ukraine policy Fully completed single market Common Syria policy Common social policy Common MENA policy Common energy policy Common China policy Single climate policy Overview Commitment to Deeper Integration Importance of Coalitions Preferred Actor Level Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Number of respondents: 3. Share of Don t know votes shown by open circles Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Votes by Q17 What actor level would your prefer for the following list of policy projects? All member states: 49 of votes Legally bound core of member states: 7 of votes Coalition of member states: 16 of votes Only national level: 28 of votes Countries Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four Integrated foreign and security policy Common defense structures Common border police and coast guard Common policy in justice & home affairs Common immigration and asylum policy Common development assistance p. Czech Rep. Finland France Germany Hungary Portugal Common Russia policy Better governance for the eurozone Common Ukraine policy Fully completed single market Common Syria policy Common social policy Common MENA policy Common energy policy Common China policy Single climate policy Overview Commitment to Deeper Integration Importance of Coalitions Preferred Actor Level Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Number of respondents: 221 Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners