SCIENCE IN THE DIGITAL AGE: MAPPING OPPORTUNITIES, PERILS AND UNCERTAINTIES

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Hinge parties in Mexico and the Use of Social Networks and Media Technologies: A comparison between Partido Verde Ecologista, Partido Nueva Alianza and Partido Movimiento Ciudadano José Manuel Luque, Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa Jesús Tovar. Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México IPSA INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE, 4-6 December 2017, Hannover, Germany POLITICA SCIENCE IN THE DIGITAL AGE: MAPPING OPPORTUNITIES, PERILS AND UNCERTAINTIES

Two kinds of accompanying political parties in Mexico: satellites and hinges Satellites Parties: Without the possibility of competing, they really have the function of participating in the electoral game with the purpose of legitimating the hegemonic political party. PARM and PPS. XX Century Hinge Parties: They are part of the political system in a democratic and competitive democracy, but they don t present themselves as an alternative to the traditional parties, instead they use to participate with principal parties in alliances. MC, PVEM, PANAL and PT. XXI Century

Electoral Participation of Satellites and Hinge Political Parties in México Gráfico 1:Tendencia de los partidos satelite y bisagra: permanencia y extinción 1988-2015 PPS PARM PDM PRT PFCRN PT PVEM MC PANAL 10 9 9.34 9.21 8 7 7.01 6.83 6 6.09 6.43 6.41 5 4 4.12 3.82 5.01 4.13 5.01 4.68 4.01 3.87 3.62 4.83 4.21 4.3 3.9 3 2 1 0 3.01 3.04 2.67 2.59 2.49 2.34 2.6 2.03 1.71 1.37 1.41 1.07 1.13 1.12 0.85 0.69 0.75 0.34 0 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015

The logic and dynamics of hinge political parties (one) Alliances: Allows a certain large party (PAN, PRI, PRD) to win executive positions, mainly governorships and the presidency of the republic, in exchange these parties hinge receive quotas of votes that in normal conditions would not have in the electoral processes: 2000 Presidential Election: PAN with PVEM 2006 Presidential Election: PAN with PANAL 2012 Presidential Election: PRI with PVEM 2018 Leading Presidential Polls: MORENA with PT

The logic and dynamics of hinge political parties (two) Survival: These four parties (PVEM, MC, PANAL and PT) have managed to remain in the system since the early nineties (1994 until nowadays), unlike the other "small parties" that intermittently appear and disappear in each intermediate election in the last 25 years and finally had disappeared.

Social networks and the internet in the strategies of the hinge political parties A recent electoral reform try to prevents the distribution of percentages in electoral coalitions, the hinge political small parties have complemented their alliance strategy, through strengthening their ties with groups of voters mainly postmodern (Millán, 2013 ) through the intensive use of messages on television and the use of social networks such as Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube The PVEM and MC have innovated their electoral marketing campaigns in recent years and their percentages of electoral support reflect this

Tabla 2: Posicionamiento en redes sociales de los partidos mexicanos 2015-2017 PARTIDO FACEBOOK TWITTER INSTAGRAM YOUTUBE 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017 PRI PAN PRD MORENA AMLO PVEM PANAL MC PT PES PH 280.503 427.026 542.272 185.235 284.514 460.194 8.324 14.722 22.042 4.562 13.071 13.186 170.474 269.982 333.530 139.287 154.485 240.706 3.882 5.298 7.949 6.597 8.777 69.569 77.764 85.645 78.711 86.470 111.923 - - 11.426 1.009 1.074 - - 30.704 1.730 8.767 16.846 - - - - - 1.216.14 5 1.648.38 2 2.174.19 4 1.773.38 2 2.235.19 1 3.281.77 6 13.107 32.760 59.762 S/D S/D 39.716 87.996 106.667 2.351 27.800 55.734 93 520 3.702 3.193 4.175 34.895 43.935 46.992 12.834 14.453 31.450 376 412 195 792 1.296 869.893 922.922 927.928 123.572 123.837 133.764 - - 413 6.302 7.375 4.308 4.490 9.048 561 588 825 - - 131 1.086 1.079 62.603 76.739 81.305 27.480 27.315 28.004 162 182 182 1.321 1.426 18.225 18.146 17.784 2.910 2.857 2.953 - - 56 406 408 7.063 1.191 49.575 S/I 1.417 8.384 1.066 1.580 398

Movimiento Ciudadano (MC) MC is the political party with the greatest presence in social networks, for example, in Facebook it exceeds in 3.10 times the PRI that ranks second according to 2015 data, in 2.16 times in 2016 and 1.7 times this 2017. Traditional Parties (PRI and PAN), In the social network Twitter leads the PRI, followed by PAN and MC very close to it, with an excellent position considering the relative size of this with respect to the PRI and the PAN. In Instagram it leads the PRI followed by the PAN, in this network both MC, PANAL and PVEM have a marginal presence.

Partido Verde Ecologista de México (PVEM) The PVEM is much less active and effective in social networks in relation to the MC and the PRI and PAN. However, its positioning in many ways surpasses the PRD and MORENA the other two "big parties" of the system, for example, the PVEM has surpassed the PRD and MORENA in 2016 and 2017 in the social network Facebook, and in the three periods in Youtube; and to MORENA in all cases and periods. PVEM has focused its strategy, more than on social networks and the web, in traditional media, radio, television and in cinemas. The PVEM has been efficiently instrumented by large television broadcasters and owners of powerful business groups in the field of communications (such as Televisa and TV Azteca) that have allowed it to illegally "hire" radio and television spots. Due to this illegal use, the National Electoral Institute (INE) and the Electoral Tribunal of the Judicial Power of the Federation (TEPJF) have applied repeated sanctions to this party, 10 until 2015, for an amount of 185.1 million pesos

Partido Nueva Alianza (PANAL) PANAL is a union party, with territorial support bases throughout the country, in the teaching sector of Mexico, its electoral positioning strategy as a hinge political party has developed in its alliances with the PRI preferentially in legislative and local elections. In social networks, the PANAL has an acceptable performance compared to other parties of its kind, for example it surpasses MORENA in the 4 social networks.

CONCLUSIONS Since Mexico has a democratic regime, we have three "big parties" with greater electoral presence: PRI, PRD, PAN, and four minor parties: PVEM, MC, PANAL and PT, these political parties fulfill a strategic role that we have called "hinge", and have the ability to unbalance the game for or against the major competitive games of the system. Of these four hinge parties, the relative importance of the PVEM and MC has increased exponentially due among other things to the type of anchoring developed in the type of political communication they use, and the instruments used.