WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG RESULTS FROM THE AFROBAROMETER ROUND 5 SURVEY IN SWAZILAND Swaziland Round 5 Release Event 2
What is the Afrobarometer The Afrobarometer is an independent, nonpartisan research project that measures the social, political, and economic atmosphere in Africa. It is a comparative series of public attitude surveys that covers up to 35 African countries in Round 5 (2011-2013). Based on representative national samples, the surveys assess citizen attitudes to democracy and governance, markets, and civil society, among other topics. Purpose: To measure popular perspectives on the social, political, and economic environments in each country where it is implemented and across Africa. Goal: To give the public a voice in policy making processes by providing high-quality public opinion data to policy-makers, policy advocates and civil society organizations, academics, media, donors and investors, and ordinary Africans. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Who is the Afrobarometer An African-led Network of survey researchers and analysts: In each country there is a National Partner responsible for survey implementation. In Swaziland, the National Partner is activquest (Pty) Ltd. Four Core Partners provide technical assistance and Network management: Center for Democratic Development (CDD), Ghana Institute for Justice and Reconciliation (IJR), based in Cape Town Institute for Development Studies (IDS), University of Nairobi, Kenya Institute for Empirical Research in Political Economy (IREEP), Benin Two Support Units for capacity building and quality assurance Michigan State University University of Cape Town Round 5 Core Funders include DFID, SIDA, USAID and the Mo Ibrahim Foundation WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Survey Methodology Sample design was nationally representative, random, clustered, stratified, multi-stage area probability sample The survey targets all adult citizens of Swaziland (Swazi s 18 years and older). A standard questionnaire with a section for country specific questions is used in all 35 countries. Household survey utilizing face to face interviews in the language of the respondent s choice. The survey interviewed 1200 adult Swazi s with a +/- 3% margin of error at 95% confidence interval Afrobarometer s work in Swaziland is coordinated by the research team at activquest (Pty) Ltd. a research consultancy based at the Gables in Ezulwini WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Survey Demographics Gender Location Region Education Unweighted Weighted Male 50% 50% Female 50% 50% Urban 22% 22% Rural 78% 78% Hhohho 27% 28% Manzini 31% 31% Shiselweni 21% 20% Lubombo 21% 20% No formal schooling 11% 11% Primary school completed 23% 24% Secondary school completed/high school 50% 51% Post-secondary/high school qualifications 16% 15% WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG Preferred Society, Democracy, Governance SWAZILAND ROUND 5 SURVEY RESULTS
WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG Swazis` Perception on Democracy TOPIC 1: DEMOCRACY
The Extent of Democracy in Swaziland In your opinion how much of a democracy is Swaziland today? A democracy, with major problems / Not a democracy 52 A full democracy / A democracy with minor problems 36 Do not understand question/democracy / Don't know 12 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Percentage
The Extent of Democracy Cross Country Comparison In your opinion how much of a democracy is your country today 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 3 16 79 50 28 10 76 73 66 56 57 35 30 23 23 20 5 5 3 3 2 3234 31 76 19 2 28 24 37 Not a democracy A democracy, with major problems A democracy, but with minor problems / Full democracy
Satisfaction with Democracy Overall, how satisfied are you with the way democracy works in Swaziland? Are You: Not very satisfied / Not at all satisfied 44 Not a democracy 12 Very satisfied / Fairly satisfied 36 Don't Know 9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Percentage
Satisfaction of Democracy by Demographics Swaziland is not a democracy Not at all satisfied / Not very satisfied Fairly satisfied / Very Satisfied Don't Know Age Province or region Urban or Rural Gender 18-30 12 53 30 5 31-50 13 42 37 8 Over 50 11 30 44 15 Hhohho 14 37 44 5 Manzini 11 46 33 10 Shiselweni 10 48 32 10 Lubombo 11 46 32 11 Urban 15 47 31 8 Rural 11 43 37 9 Male 13 48 34 5 Female 11 40 37 13
Essential Characteristics of Democracy Many things may be desirable, but not all of them are essential characteristics of democracy. If you have to choose only one of the things that I am going to read, which one would you choose as the most essential characteristic of democracy? Government ensures job opportunities for all 58 Government does not waste any public money People are free to express their political views openly 31 30 Government narrows the gap between the rich and the poor 21 Government ensures law and order 17 Multiple parties compete fairly in elections People choose government leaders in free and fair elections 12 14 Media is free to criticize the things government does Don't know 5 5 None of these 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Percentage Swaziland`s level of Democracy over Time 80 70 On a scale between 0 and 10, where 0 means completely undemocratic and 10 means completely democratic, where would you place each of the following, or haven t you heard enough to say 67 60 50 40 30 41 30 45 32 38 51 20 10 12 17 15 7 4 6 7 9 17 0 Our Country Today Our country ten years ago, in 2003 Our country under colonial rule Where I Would Like our country to be in the future Low Levels Of Democracy (0-4) Average Levels Of Democracy (5-7) High Levels Of Democracy (8-10) Don t know / haven t heard enough to say
Percentage Extent of Democracy for Selected Countries 80 70 On a scale between 0 and 10, where 0 means completely undemocratic and 10 means completely democratic, where would you place each of the following, or haven t you heard enough to say 67 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 6 19 9 9 4 Peoples Republic of China 34 54 United States of America 7 20 39 33 48 6 4 South Africa Zimbabwe Britain, you know, The United Kingdom 42 5 8 29 57 Low Levels Of Democracy (0-4) Average Levels Of Democracy (5-7) High Levels Of Democracy (8-10) Don t know / haven t heard enough to say
Percentage Government Accountability to Citizens 80 70 Statement 1: It is more important to have a government that can get things done, even if we have no influence over what it does. Statement 2: It is more important for citizens to be able to hold government accountable, even if that means it makes decisions 71 60 50 40 30 27 20 10 0 Agree / Agree very strongly with 1 Agree / Agree very strongly with 2 2 Agree with neither 0 Don't know
Percentage Elections and Democracy 80 Statement 1: We should choose our leaders in this country through regular, open and honest elections. Statement 2: Since elections sometimes produce bad results, we should adopt other methods for choosing this country s leaders. 75 70 60 50 40 30 20 21 10 0 Agree / Agree very strongly with 1 Agree / Agree very strongly with 2 3 Agree with neither 1 Don't know
Percentage Political Parties and Democracy 70 60 Statement 1: Political parties create division and confusion; it is therefore unnecessary to have many political parties in Swaziland. Statement 2: Many political parties are needed to make sure that Swazis have real choices in who governs them. 58 50 40 35 30 20 10 5 3 0 Agree / Agree very strongly with 1 Agree / Agree very strongly with 2 Agree with neither Don't know
Topic 1: Key Findings Majorities of Swazis report that Swaziland is not a democracy or is a democracy with major problems Sixty four percent of those least satisfied with how democracy works in Swaziland are aged 35 years and below Fifty eight percent of Swazis single out job creation as the most essential characteristics of democracy. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG Trust, Governance, Term Limits, Accountability TOPIC 2: GOVERNANCE
Trust in Public Institutions and Authorities How much do you trust each of the following, or haven t you heard enough about them to say: The King 21 77 2 The Queen Mother 22 72 5 The Prime Minister 54 44 3 Parliament 44 54 2 The Elections & Boundaries Commission 41 47 11 Swaziland Revenue Authority 44 45 12 Your Local Government Council 39 42 19 The Police 40 60 1 The Army 44 56 3 Courts of Law 25 70 5 Chiefs 30 66 4 Inkhundla Council 32 63 5 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Percentage Not at all / Just a little Somewhat / A lot Don't know
Percentage Respect of National Laws by Authorities Statement 1: Since the Prime Minister was elected to lead the country, he should not be bound by laws or court decisions that he thinks are wrong. Statement 2: The Prime Minister must always obey the laws and the courts, even if he thinks they are wrong. 90 80 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 12 10 3 5 0 Agree / Agree very strongly with 1 Agree / Agree very strongly with 2 Agree with neither Don't know
Percentage Views on Term Limits for the Prime Minister Statement 1: The Constitution should limit the Prime Minister to serving a maximum of two terms in office. Statement 2: There should be no constitutional limit on how long the Prime Minister can serve. 80 70 70 60 50 40 30 24 20 10 3 3 0 Agree / Agree very strongly with 1 Agree / Agree very strongly with 2 Agree with neither Don't know
Percentage Accountability of Public Funds 90 80 Statement 1: Parliament should ensure that the Prime Minister explains to it on a regular basis how his government spends taxpayers money. Statement 2: The Prime Minister should be able to devote his full attention to developing the country rather than wa 84 70 60 50 40 30 20 14 10 0 Agree / Agree very strongly with 1 Agree / Agree very strongly with 2 2 1 Agree with neither Don't know
Percentage Responsibilities for Making National Laws Statement 1: Members of Parliament represent the people; therefore they should make laws for this country, even if the King does not agree. Statement 2: Since the King represents all of us, he should pass laws without worrying about what Parliament thinks. 50 45 46 40 35 32 30 25 20 19 15 10 5 3 0 Agree / Agree very strongly with 1 Agree / Agree very strongly with 2 Agree with neither Don't know
Types of Governance 90 There are many ways to govern a country. Would you disapprove or approve of the following alternatives: 80 70 70 77 60 56 50 40 30 20 10 5 21 31 9 4 16 0 Only one political party is allowed to stand for election and hold office The army comes in to govern the country Elections and Parliament are abolished so that the King can decide everything Strongly Disapprove / Disapprove Neither Approve Nor Disapprove Strongly Approve / Approve
Percentage Governance For each of the following statements, please tell me whether you disagree or agree: 90 80 81 85 81 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 8 9 8 6 5 6 4 1 The courts have the right to make decisions that people always have to abide by. The police always have the right to The tax authorities always have the make people obey the law. right to make people pay taxes. 4 Strongly Disagree / Disagree Neither Agree Nor Disagree Agree / Strongly Agree Don't know
Topic 2: Key Findings The Prime Minister attracts low level of trust (44%) as opposed to the King (77%) and the Queen Mother (72%). Seventy percent of Swazis endorse term limits for the Prime Minister. Majority of Swazis (70%) disapprove a one party state. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG Role Of Government, Media Freedoms & Women's Rights TOPIC 3: PREFERRED SOCIETY
The Role of Government and Citizens Statement 1: The government is like a parent. It should decide which is good for us. Statement 2: The government is like our employee. We are the bosses and should tell government what to do. Strongly Agree / Agree with 1 25% Strongly Agree / Agree with 2 72% Agree with neither 3%
Preferred Society Statement 1: Government should be able to ban any organization that goes against its policies. Statement 2: We should be able to join any organization, whether or not the government approves of it. Strongly Agree / Agree with 1 52% Don't Know 3% Agree with neither 3% Strongly Agree / Agree with 2 42%
Responsibilities of Elected Leaders Statement 1: Once in office, elected leaders are obliged to help their home community or group first. Statement 2: Since elected leaders should represent everyone, they should not do anything that favors their own group over others. Strongly Agree / Agree with 1 41% Strongly Agree / Agree with 2 58% Agree with neither 1%
Media Freedom Statement 1: The media should have the right to publish any views and ideas without government control. Statement 2: The government should have the right to prevent the media from publishing things that it consider harmful to society. Strongly Agree / Agree with 1 51% Don't Know /Agree with neither 2% Strongly Agree / Agree with 2 47%
Media Freedom by Citizens Demographics Statement 1: The media should have the right to publish any views and ideas without government control. Statement 2: The government should have the right to prevent the media from publishing things that it considers harmful to society Agree very strongly with 1 / Agree with 1 Agree very strongly with 2 / Agree with 2 Agree with neither Don't know Age Province or region Urban or Rural Gender 18-30 57 41 2 1 31-50 54 44 3 1 Over 50 36 59 5 2 Hhohho 50 47 2 1 Manzini 51 47 3 Shiselweni 50 46 3 2 Lubombo 51 46 3 1 Urban 59 40 2 Rural 49 48 3 1 Male 58 40 3 1 Female 43 53 3 1
Perception about Gender equality Statement 1: In our country, women should have equal rights and receive the same treatment as men do. Statement 2: Women have always been subject to traditional laws and customs, and should remain so. Strongly Agree / Agree with 1 72% Agree with neither 2% Strongly Agree / Agree with 2 26%
Topic 3: Key Findings Majority of Swazis opposed to a unilateral government. Younger generation (<45) prefers complete media freedom whilst those (>45) prefer censure on ideas and views considered harmful by government. Sixty-four percent of men interviewed felt that women should have equal rights and be treated the same way as men. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
For more information and publications, please contact Edward Okoth (info@activquest.com) and visit the Afrobarometer website at: www.afrobarometer.org WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG