Notes on the Pendulum Swing in American Presidential Elections,

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Notes on the Pendulum Swing in American Presidential Elections, 1789-1865 I Trends and Fluctuations Political Competition and Franchise Extension Parties compete against one another: Franchise extended for white males (not women, not free African-Americans in some cases): state by state process International political environment impacts American elections Great Britain outlaws slavery domestically, then in Empire Wars of French Revolution and Napoleon impact American trade/shipping policy leading to War of 1812 Latin America and Mexico become independent, outlawing slavery (except in Cuba and Brazil) Revolutions of 1848 and Growing Nationalism in Europe Booms and Busts in American Economy Are banks to blame? Hard money versus soft money Evolving Morality and Market Logic Second Great Awakening: morality becomes increasingly important (temperance, slavery, church going) Purists versus the politicians Manchester Doctrine: Free trade and crucial importance of free use of labor (labor theory of value): positive incentives impact e(h) and h Is market logic independent from morality? Virtue. Acquisition of Western Lands Louisiana Purchase and Florida Texas and Wars with Mexico Settling border disputes with Great Britain 1

II Phase I: Federalists versus Jeffersonians (Democrat-Republican) 1789-1829 Federalist Democrat-Republican George Washington and John Adams (1789-1801) First Bank of the United States Pro-Great Britain during Wars of French Revolution and Napoleon (Jay Treaty) Alien and Sedition Laws Thomas Jefferson, James Madison, James Monroe, John Quincy Adams (1801-1829) Louisiana Purchase Embargo Act (1807) mainly aimed at Great Britain War of 1812 (Andrew Jackson emerges as hero after Battle of New Orleans) Northern states abolish slavery Great Britain abolishes slavery as do most new states in Americas, Canada in 1833 Panic of 1819 Missouri Compromise: emergence of four regional leaders: John C. Calhoun (South); Martin Van Buren (New York); Henry Clay (Kentucky) Clay promotes American System: protection and development of infrastructure aimed at Western development Second Great Awakening Anti-Masonic movement (anti-elitist) Extension of franchise 2

III Phase II: Whigs Versus Democrats (1829-1861) Whig Democrat Andrew Jackson, Martin Van Buren (1829-1841) Extension of franchise Attack on the Second Bank of the United States Hard money for land sales in West The Tariff of Abominations and 40 bales per 100 bales campaign in South Attack on South Carolina s Nullification Ordinance Trail of Tears: Indian Removal Rise of radical abolitionism (William Lloyd Garrison s Liberator) purists Nat Turner Rebellion (1831) American Colonization Society versus American Anti-Slavery Society Postal law: censoring mail in the South Veto of Second Bank of the United States Texas becomes a Republic independent from Mexico, slavery expands in Texas John Quincy Adams becomes anti-slavery advocate, Van Buren defends slavery William Henry Harrison-John Tyler (1841-1845) Log Cabin campaign Pro-Clay s American System Annexation of Texas to the United States a campaign issue James Polk (1845-1849) Texas annexation War with Mexico Wilmot Proviso 3

Phase II: Continued Whig Democrat James Polk (1845-1849) Liberty Party emerges in North (anti-slavery) merging with Whigs Free Soil Party emerges in North as a third party, opposes expansion of Slave Power to the Western Federal territories Gold rush in California Zachary Taylor/Millard Fillmore (1849-1853) Compromise of 1850: Clay s last stand (1) California free; (2) New Mexico carved out of Texas; (3) New Mexico and Utah open as to slavery; (4) Slave trade abolished in Washington, D.C,: (5) Stronger Fugitive Slave Law Underground Railroad (Harriet Tubman) Harriet Beecher Stowe publishes Uncle Tom s Cabin; Melville publishes Moby Dick John Brown organizes League of Gileadites recruiting African-American soldiers Civil disobedience: Henry David Thoreau and Ralph Waldo Emerson (Transcendentalists) Frederick Douglas active as abolitionist speaker Franklin Pierce (1853-1857) Kansas-Nebraska Act overturns Missouri Compromise Civil War in Kansas Bleeding Kansas John Brown s terrorist campaign Transcontinental railroad planning Should the United States takeover Cuba from the Spanish? James Buchanan (1857-1861) Dred Scott decision of Taney Supreme Court * 4

Phase III: Breakdown in the Two Party Pendulum Swing System. The Election of Abraham Lincoln and the Civil War Election of 1860 Candidate % of Popular Vote Electoral College Votes Abraham Lincoln (Republican) 39.9% 180 Commander in Chief during Civil War Emancipation Proclamation Homestead Act National Banks Transcontinental Railroad construction John Bell (Conservative Union) 18.2 39 Stephen Douglas (Northern Democrat) John Breckinridge (Southern Democrat) 29.4 12 12.6 72 100.0 303 * From Sean Wilentz, The Rise of American Democracy, page 712: Contending that Negros had not been among the sovereign people who framed and ratified the Constitution that they had, in fact, been held so far inferior that they had no rights which the white man was bound to respect [Chief Justice Taney summing up the Dred Scott decision] rejected the proposition that blacks, slaves or free, were American citizens. 5