Draft Syllabus. The Middle East: Security Challenges and U.S. Responses. Mondays and Wednesdays, 4:30 p.m. to 7:10 p.m.

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Draft Syllabus The Middle East: Security Challenges and U.S. Responses Mondays and Wednesdays, 4:30 p.m. to 7:10 p.m., summer session B June 4 through July 25, 2018 Instructor: Professor Gregory Aftandilian GMU Arlington Campus, Founders Hall ARLFH 318 email: gaftandilian@verizon.net cell phone: 703-402-9134 Office Hours: Wednesday evenings immediately after class or by appointment in room ARLFH 656 Course Description: This class is an elective in the Master s program in International Security. Drawing on current and historical cases, the course provides a deep understanding of major developments in the Middle East from the immediate post-world War II period to the present day, and how the United States responded to these events. Students will come to understand the political, ideological and social contexts of these regional events and crises, why and how they posed a challenge to U.S. security interests, and how U.S. policymakers responded to them. The last class will deal with an unfolding crisis the conflict in Syria and examine the Trump administration s response to it as well as the dilemmas of keeping a limited U.S. military force in the country. Course Goals: Effective participation in international security analysis and policy action requires a range of skills. Individuals must be able to assess and evaluate the threat environment in the Middle East region since 1945 and the drivers of security challenges and crises. They must understand why these developments and crises came about, and what were the constraints on decision makers from domestic and international sources. They also need to address how strategies are developed, and what mechanisms monitor and evaluate the effectiveness of various strategies. The course is intended to provide a solid foundation for further study of specific security challenges in the Middle East, why regional actors pursued certain policies, and why and how U.S. policymakers responded to those challenges.

Learning Objectives: Upon completion of this course, students should have acquired: fundamental knowledge about major crises that have affected the Middle East region since 1945, why that region has been so important to U.S. security interests, and why and how U.S. policymakers have responded to these crises. improved understanding of the evolution of the Middle East threat environment that sets the international security policy agenda improved critical reasoning skills regarding the decision making process and the motivations and behavior of participants in domestic and international security forums expanded skills in communicating in written and oral formats about major international security issues Course Materials The course will draw on academic literature, think tank studies, and pertinent press reports involving major events in the modern Middle East. Required Books: Peter L. Hahn, Crisis and Crossfire. The United States and the Middle East Since 1945 (Washington, D.C.: Potomac Book, 2005). In paperback. This book also contains reprints of declassified U.S. documents of the period. Referred to in the readings section as the Hahn book. David W. Lesch and Mark L. Haas, eds., The Middle East and the United States. History, Politics, and Ideologies, 5 th edition (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 2014). In paperback. Referred to in the readings section as the Lesch and Haas book. Other readings, such as journal articles or chapters in books, are available on the Internet or will be placed on reserve in the library. Students are also expected to keep up with current Middle Eastern developments by reading one major newspaper (in print or online) every day. Student Requirements: Students are required to complete all assigned readings prior to class. They are expected to engage constructively in class discussions, and to complete their research paper on time. Failure to do the readings and hand in their research paper on time will result in a lower grade. Students are expected to attend all classes and will only be excused because of illness or a genuine family or work emergency.

Grading for the class will break down as follows: Participation in class discussions: 25 percent Mid-term exam: 25 percent Research paper: 25 percent Final exam: 25 percent Course grading is not on a curve; class members are not competing with each other for marks. Academic Accommodations for a Disability: If you are a student with a disability and you need academic accommodations, please see me and contact the Office of Disability Services (ODS) at 703-993-2474. All academic accommodations must be arranged through the ODS. Schar School Policy on Plagiarism: The following is Schar School policy on plagiarism: The faculty of the Schar School takes plagiarism seriously and has adopted a zero tolerance policy. Any plagiarized assignment will receive an automatic grade of F. This may lead to failure for the course, resulting in dismissal from the University. This dismissal will be noted on the student s transcript. For foreign students who are on a university-sponsored visa (e.g., F-1, J-1, J-2), dismissal also results in the revocation of their visa. To help enforce the Schar School policy on plagiarism, all written work submitted in partial fulfillment of course or degree requirements must be available in electronic form so that it can be compared with electronic databases, as well as submitted to commercial services to which the School subscribes. Faculty may at any time submit student s work without prior permission from the student. Individual instructors may require that written work be submitted in electronic as well as printed form. The Schar School policy on plagiarism is supplementary to the George Mason University Honor Codes; it is not intended to replace it or substitute for it. (http://www.gmu.edu/facstaff/handbook) Preliminary Class Schedule (subject to change; more readings to be added for some topics): June 4: Introduction. Wartime rivalries and the importance of Middle East oil for the United States. Overview of the course and student responsibilities. Lecture on the importance of the Middle East and the strategic asset of oil during World War

II. The discovery of oil in Saudi Arabia by American oil companies, the building of the Dhahran air base near the oil fields, and the forging of the U.S.-Saudi alliance during the war. U.S. participation in the occupation of Iran during the war to send war supplies to the Soviet Union, suspicions of Soviet and British interests in Iran, and the wartime pledge to withdraw all troops and restore full Iranian sovereignty after the war. June 6: Early Cold War period in the Middle East. The Iranian Azerbaijani and Kurdish crisis of 1946 and the U.S. security response. Readings: Richard Phau, Containment in Iran, 1946: The Shift to an Active Policy, 1946, Diplomatic History, Fall 197, pp. 359-372. Hahn book, chapter 1, National Security. The Genesis of U.S. Involvement in the Middle East, pp. 1-18. Hahn book documents: U.S. Officials Clarify the Strategic Importance of Iran, 1946, pp. 137-138. Archie Roosevelt, Jr., The Kurdish Republic of Mahabad, The Middle East Journal, July 1947, pp. 247-269. Rashid Khalidi, The Superpowers and the Cold War in the Middle East, in the Lesch and Haas book, pp. 157-174. June 11: The emergence of nationalist movements and leaders in the Middle East. The ideological appeal of anti-colonialism and anti-imperialism among the peoples of the Middle East, and the initial, favorable views towards the U.S. Readings: Muhammad A. Wahab Sayed-Ahmed, Nasser and American Foreign Policy, 1952-1956 (London: LAAM Ltd, 1989), pp. 33-70. Peter Hahn, National Security Concerns in US Policy Towards Egypt, 1949-1956, in the Lesch and Haas book, pp. 79-89. Richard W. Cottom, Nationalism in Iran (Pittsburg: University of Pittsburg Press, 1979), pp. 206-221. June 13: U.S. covert interventions in Iran and Syria in the 1950s and the differences between the Truman and Eisenhower administrations Readings: Mark Gasiorowski, US Foreign Policy Toward Iran During The Mussadiq Era, in the Lesch and Haas book, pp. 55-69. David Lesch, The 1957 American-Syrian Crisis in the Lesch and Haas book, pp. 111-127.

Daniel Yergin, Old Mossy and the Struggle for Iran, in his book, The Prize. The Epic Quest for Oil, Money & Power (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1992), pp. 450-478. Douglas Little, Cold War and Covert Action: The United States and Syria, 1945-1958, Middle East Journal, Winter 1990, pp. 69-75. Hahn book documents, pp. 143-144. June 18: The Suez War of 1956, the U.S. Response, and the aftermath Viewing in class of the BBC documentary, The Other Side of Suez Readings: Malik Mufti, The United States and Nasserist Pan-Arabism, in Lesch and Haas book, pp. 128-147. Mohammed H. Heikal, Cutting the Lion s Tail. Suez Through Egyptian Eyes (London: Andre Deutsch Ltd., 1986), pp. 177-217 Malcom Kerr, The Arab Cold War, 1958-1967 (London: Oxford University Press, 1970), pp. 1-34. Hahn book, pp. 35-46. June 20: Attempts by the Kennedy Administration to reach a rapprochement with Nasser and why it failed, and efforts to press reforms on the Shah of Iran Readings: April R. Summit, For a White Revolution: John F. Kennedy and the Shah of Iran, Middle East Journal, Autumn 2004, pp. 560-575. Douglas Little, The New Frontier on the Nile: JFK, Nasser, and Arab Nationalism, Journal of American History, September 1988, pp. 501-527. June 25: Mid-term exam in the first half of class. The Johnson Administration, the 1967 Arab-Israeli war, and viewing the region through U.S.-Soviet rivalry Readings: Douglas Little, Nasser Delenda Est : Lyndon Johnson, the Arabs and the 1967 Six-Day War, in The Foreign Policies of Lyndon Johnson: Beyond Vietnam, ed. by H.R. Brands, College Station, TX: Texas A&M University Press, 1999). Hahn book, pp. 47-57; 147-154 June 27: The British military withdrawal from the Persian Gulf, U.S. Twin Pillar Strategy, and the indulgence of the Shah of Iran

Readings: F. Gregory Gause, The Emergence of the Gulf Regional System, in his book, The International Relations of the Persian Gulf (Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 2015), pp. 16-44. Hahn book, pp. 69-71; 155-157 July 2: The Iranian revolution, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan and the Carter Doctrine. Readings: Ervand Abrahamian, Iran Between Two Revolutions (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1982), pp. 450-529. Gary Sick, The United States and the Persian Gulf: From Twin Pillars to Dual Containment, in the Lesch and Haas book, pp. 309-325. F. Gregory Gause, The Iranian Revolution and the Iran-Iraq War, in his book, The International Relations of the Persian Gulf (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2015), pp. 45-87. Hahn book, pp. 72-78; 144-146. July 4: no class because of holiday July 9: The Reagan administration and the pursuit of Strategic Consensus with Israel and some Arab states, the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and the George H.W. Bush decision to protect Saudi Arabia and push back Iraqi forces out of Kuwait (but not go to Baghdad), and dual containment of Iraq and Iran. Readings: Bernard Reich and Shannon Powers, The United States and Israel, in the Lesch and Haas book, pp. 220-227. Hahn book, pp. 78-91; pp. 158-159 F. Gregory Gause, From Over the Horizon to Into the Backyard in Lesch and Haas book, pp. 326-340. Hahn book documents, pp. 170-175. July 11: The Iraq war of 2003 and its ramifications for U.S. security policy Readings: James Fallows, Blind Into Baghdad, The Atlantic, January-February 2004. Steve Yetiv, The Iraq war of 2003, in Lesch and Haas book, pp. 341-360. Ali Abootalebi, What Went Wrong in Iraq, in Lesch and Haas book, pp. 361-375.

Hahn book documents, pp. 175-181. July 16: The Iran nuclear program, the nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1, and the Obama administration s attempt to mollify Gulf Arab states Readings: Mark Haas, Ideology and Iran s American Policies, 1997-2008, in Lesch and Haas book, pp. 416-437. Nahal Toosi, Camp David: No breakthroughs. Obama and the six Gulf allies succeeded, at least, in not letting their relationship get worse, Politico, May 14, 2015. Remarks by the President on the Iran Nuclear Deal, delivered at American University, Washington, D.C., August 5, 2015. Jeffrey Goldberg: The Obama Doctrine, The Atlantic, April 2016. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2015/08/05/remarkspresident-iran-nuclear-deal https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obamadoctrine/471525/ July 18: Research papers due. The GCC crisis and the future of Gulf security Readings: Peter Kenyon, Qatar s Crisis with Saudi Arabia and Gulf Neighbors Has Decades-Long Roots, NPR, June 17, 2017. Sigurd Neubauer, The Rift Between Qatar and the GCC Could Threaten Trump s Foreign Policy, The National Interest, August 8, 2017. Joint Statement of the Inaugural United States-Qatar Strategic Dialogue, U.S. Department of State, Media Note, January 30, 2018 Joe Gould, Corker lifts hold on arms sales to Gulf nations in GCC row, Defense News, February 14, 2018. July 23: The Syrian crisis and policy dilemmas for the Trump Administration Readings: Secretary of State Tillerson s policy speech on Syria at the Hoover Institution, January 17, 2018 https://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2018/01/277493.htm July 25: Final Exam in class