LV W1=CD12 W2=SD6 45 Certain for Barack Obama, the Democrat Certain for Mitt Romney, the Democrat Not Certain 4 2

Similar documents
Right Direction Not Sure. Wrong Track

FAU Poll: Hispanics backing Clinton in Key Battleground States of Ohio, Colorado Nevada, North Carolina and Florida.

Survey Instrument. Florida

GEORGIA STATEWIDE BRUSHFIRE OCTOBER Are you 18 years of age or older and registered to vote here in Georgia? Yes 100%

Subject: Pinellas County Congressional Election Survey

Clinton Lead Cut to 8% in Michigan (Clinton 49% - Trump 41%- Johnson 3% - Stein 1%)

GENERAL DESCRIPTION & METHODOLOGY

Georgia Democratic Presidential Primary Poll 2/23/16. Fox 5 Atlanta

Datamar Inc. Florida Statewide Survey Presidential General Election. October 31, 2008

THE PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION CONTESTS May 18-23, 2007

Old Dominion University / Virginian Pilot Poll #3 June 2012

FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, DECEMBER 19 AT 4 PM

HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL MEMO RELEASE 9/24/2018 (UPDATE)

U.S. Catholics split between intent to vote for Kerry and Bush.

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Iowa September 20, 2012 Presidential Election Questionnaire

Clinton Lead Cut in Half from August (Clinton 47% - Trump 42% in 2-way and Clinton 45% - Trump 39% in 4-way)

Catholic voters presidential preference, issue priorities, and opinion of certain church policies

Presidential Race November 2 Polls. Arizona Colorado Georgia Missouri. Hillary Clinton 43% 44% 42% 37% Donald Trump 47% 41% 51% 52%

Subject: Florida Statewide General-Election survey conducted for FloridaPolitics.com

Overall Survey. U.S. Senate Ballot Test. Campbell 27.08% Kennedy 48.13%

POLL RESULTS. Page 1 of 6

Clinton Maintains 3% Lead in Michigan (Clinton 47% - Trump 44% - Johnson 4% - Stein 1%)

The Morning Call / Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion. Pennsylvania 2012: An Election Preview

Florida Survey 2008 Presidential General Election

Emerson College Poll: Iowa Leaning For Trump 44% to 41%. Grassley, Coasting to a Blowout, Likely to Retain Senate Seat.

Red Oak Strategic Presidential Poll

Loras College Statewide Wisconsin Survey October/November 2016

Presidential Race. Virginia Illinois Maine. Published Nov 1 Oct 13 Nov 1 Sept 22 Oct 31 Sept 7. Hillary Clinton 49% 46% 53% 45% 46% 44%

November 18, Media Contact: Jim Hellegaard Phone number:

Louisiana Poll Results Romney 55%, Obama 34%, Third Party 4% (8% Undecided) Obama re-elect: 32-60% Healthcare reform support hurts 58-33%

A Post-Debate Bump in the Old North State? Likely Voters in North Carolina September th, Table of Contents

LATINOS NATIONALLY SAY THEY ARE BETTER OFF TODAY THAN FOUR YEARS AGO

Florida Atlantic University Poll: Clinton and Trump Poised to win Florida; Cruz and Rubio in Battle for Second.

GW POLITICS POLL 2018 MIDTERM ELECTION WAVE 1

North Carolina Survey Results

Survey on the Death Penalty

McClatchy-Marist Poll National Survey January 2011

Latino Decisions / America's Voice June State Latino Battleground Survey

Overall Survey. U.S. Senate Ballot Test. Campbell 30.91% Kennedy 50.31%

Current Kansas Polling

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE: MIDSUMMER July 7-14, 2008

UndecidedVotersinthe NovemberPresidential Election. anationalsurvey

2012 Weekly Political Tracking Poll August 27-November 5, 2012

Clinton Leads by 13% in Michigan before Last Debate (Clinton 51% - Trump 38%- Johnson 6% - Stein 2%)

Hillary Clinton Leading the Democratic Race in California

Women Boost Obama, Pan Republicans

THE AP-GfK POLL. Conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media

North Carolina Races Tighten as Election Day Approaches

NATIONAL: RACE RELATIONS WORSEN

Survey Overview. Survey date = September 29 October 1, Sample Size = 780 likely voters. Margin of Error = ± 3.51% Confidence level = 95%

THE FIELD POLL. UCB Contact

NUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD. FOR RELEASE September 12, 2014 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS REPORT:

RECOMMENDED CITATION: Pew Research Center, February, 2017, In Trump Era, What Partisans Want From Their Congressional Leaders

College Voting in the 2018 Midterms: A Survey of US College Students. (Medium)

Alabama Statewide Republican Primary Runoff Election August 24 26, 2017

PENNSYLVANIA: SMALL GOP LEAD IN CD01

Democracy Corps Frequency Questionnaire

Georgia s 7 th Congressional District Poll Results

IOWA: TRUMP HAS SLIGHT EDGE OVER CLINTON

OHIO: CLINTON HOLDS SMALL EDGE; PORTMAN LEADS FOR SENATE

CALIFORNIA: INDICTED INCUMBENT LEADS IN CD50

January 19, Media Contact: James Hellegaard Phone number:

Interview dates: September 6 8, 2013 Number of interviews: 1,007

Democracy Corps Frequency Questionnaire

New Louisiana Run-Off Poll Shows Lead for Kennedy, Higgins, & Johnson

Asian American Survey

These are the highlights of the latest Field Poll completed among a random sample of 997 California registered voters.

For Voters It s Still the Economy

Clinton s lead in Virginia edges up after debate, 42-35, gaining support among Independents and Millennials

Tony Licciardi Department of Political Science

Vote Preference in Jefferson Parish Sheriff Election by Gender

VIRGINIA: TIGHT RACE IN CD07

Trump Trails Clinton by Only 3 Points In New Mexico. Making up 2 Points Over The Last Week. Johnson s Polling Numbers Continue to Decline.

Nunn in close. August 6, 2013 FOR INTERVIEWS: with or. Republican. Phil primary field. In the. about half a. 19%, ahead of Kingston s 15% in the

Californians Not High on Pelosi

PENNSYLVANIA: DEMOCRATS LEAD FOR BOTH PRESIDENT AND SENATE

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

Public Opinion on Health Care Issues October 2012

REGISTERED VOTERS October 30, 2016 October 13, 2016 Approve Disapprove Unsure 7 6 Total

Subject: Vitter Badly Damaged; Highly Vulnerable in Runoff Election

PENNSYLVANIA: CD01 INCUMBENT POPULAR, BUT RACE IS CLOSE

Emerson Poll: With No Joe, Clinton Leads Sanders By Wide Margin. Trump Solidifies Support in GOP Field. Carson and Rubio Pull Away From Pack.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

NEW JERSEY: DEM TILT IN CD07

The AAPI Electorate in 2016: A Deeper Look at California

Tester leads MT Senate race, Flake up in AZ, Romney by 7

MERKLEY REELECTION BID LAGGING EXPECTIONS

HYPOTHETICAL 2016 MATCH-UPS: CHRISTIE BEATS OTHER REPUBLICANS AGAINST CLINTON STABILITY REMAINS FOR CHRISTIE A YEAR AFTER LANE CLOSURES

Heading into the Conventions: A Tied Race July 8-12, 2016

Before the Storm: The Presidential Race October 25-28, 2012

Growing share of public says there is too little focus on race issues

Ritter at risk in 2010

SouthCarolinaElection IssuesSurvey

Democracy Corps/Center for American Progress Frequency Questionnaire

NPR/Democracy Corps/Resurgent Republic Frequency Questionnaire

Gillespie gains, but Warner holds solid lead; voters favor Warner over Gillespie on issues

THE 2008 ELECTION: 1 DAY TO GO October 31 November 2, 2008

GA GOP Presidential Primary 12/17/15. Fox 5 Atlanta. 538 (weighted) ±4.2% (95% confidence)

Transcription:

1,316 Likely Voters (2.7% Margin of Error) = Q1 Generic State Ballot 45 Democratic Candidate 51 Republican Candidate 5 Not Certain 45 Democratic Total/Includes Leaners 52 Republican Total/Includes Leaners -7 Democratic - Republican margin Q2 Vote For President W1=CD12 W2=SD6 45 Certain for Barack Obama, the Democrat 42 46 52 Certain for Mitt Romney, the Democrat 54 52 3 Not Certain 4 2 46 Total for Barack Obama, including Leaners 43 46 52 Total for Mitt Romney, including Leaners 54 53 1 Total for Some Other Candidate 1 0 0 Probably Won't Vote In This Race 0 0 1 Completely Undecided 1 1-6 Democratic - Republican margin -11-6 Page 1 of 8

1,316 Likely Voters (2.7% Margin of Error) = Q3 Vote for Public Service Commissioner 39 Certain for Steve Oppenheimer, the Democrat 44 Certain for Chuck Eaton, the Republican 6 Certain for Brad Ploeger, the Libertarian 11 Not Certain 41 Total for Oppenheimer, including Leaners 47 Total for Eaton, including Leaners 7 Total for Ploeger, including Leaners 5 Completely Undecided -6 Democratic - Republican margin Q4 [SPLIT SAMPLE ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE: ACTUAL BALLOT LANGUAGE] Your ballot will include a vote on a state constitutional amendment. The description says: "Provides for improving student achievement and parental involvement through more public charter school options. Shall the Constitution of Georgia be amended to allow state and local approval of public charter schools upon the request of local communities?" Will you vote "yes" to pass the amendment, or "no," against passing the amendment. (659 /3.8%) 52 Certain to vote Yes 40 Certain to vote No 8 Not Certain at this time 54 Yes Total 41 No Total 5 Undecided Page 2 of 8

1,316 Likely Voters (2.7% Margin of Error) = Q5 [SPLIT SAMPLE ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE: DESCRIPTION OF AMENDMENT] This fall, your ballot will have a question about whether to pass an amendment to the state constitution allowing the state government to create charter schools, even if the locally elected school boards are opposed. Will you vote "yes" to pass the amendment, or "no," against passing the amendment? (657 /3.8%) 45 Certain to vote Yes 44 Certain to vote No 11 Not Certain at this time 48 Yes Total 46 No Total 6 Undecided Q6 CD 12 Only: Vote for Congress W1 48 Certain for John Barrow, the Democrat 42 Certain for Lee Anderson, the Republican 10 Not Certain 50 Total for Barrow, including Leaners 44 Total for Anderson, including Leaners 6 Completely undecided at this time 6 Barrow - Anderson Margin Page 3 of 8

1,316 Likely Voters (2.7% Margin of Error) = Q7 SD 6 Only: Vote for State Senate W2 44 Certain for Doug Stoner, the Democrat 49 Certain for Hunter Hill, the Republican 7 Not Certain 46 Total for Stoner, including leaners 49 Total for Hill, including leaners 5 Completely undecided at this time -4 Stoner - Hill Margin Q8 Now I am going to read you the names of a few people and things. For each one, I will ask you to rate them on a scale of 1 to 5, just like how restaurants are reviewed in the newspaper, with 1 being the worst rating and 5 being the best. If you have heard of the person or thing, but have no opinion, that's fine, and if you haven't heard of them that is fine too. 1 (Worst) 2 3 4 5 (Best) Can't Rate Not Heard Temperature Total Rate A Barack Obama 44 6 3 5 35 6 1 45 93 99 Total Heard B Mitt Romney 32 6 7 12 35 3 5 53 92 95 C Nathan Deal 20 12 22 14 12 6 13 46 81 87 D Local Public Schools 9 9 23 17 18 10 13 59 77 87 E Charter Schools 14 7 17 16 25 12 9 60 79 91 F School Vouchers 18 9 12 9 20 13 19 52 68 81 Page 4 of 8

1,316 Likely Voters (2.7% Margin of Error) = Q9 You may have heard recent debate about whether abortion should be permitted, and in what circumstances. Which of the following comes closest to your view on when abortion should be permitted? 52 Abortion is a choice that usually should be left to the pregnant woman to decide 30 Abortion should only be permitted in cases of rape, incest and when the life of the pregnant woman is in danger 8 Abortion should only be permitted when the life of the pregnant woman is in danger 6 Abortion should never be permitted, even when the life of the pregnant woman is in danger 4 Not Sure/Refused And now we have a few final questions to make sure a representative sample of all voters has been called. Q10 Age 13 18-29 19 30-44 42 45-64 23 65 & Older 3 Refused To Say Q11 Gender 52 Female 45 Male 3 Rather Not Say Page 5 of 8

1,316 Likely Voters (2.7% Margin of Error) = Q12 And do you come from a Hispanic or Spanish speaking background, or not? 3 Yes 93 No 0 Not Sure 4 Rather Not Say And can you tell me what you consider to be your main race 62 White 29 Black/African American 1 American Indian/Alaska Native 1 Asian 0 Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander 2 Some Other Race 2 More Than One Race 0 Not Sure 3 Rather Not Say Q13 Thinking about the political parties, can you tell me what party you consider yourself to be a member of? 38 Democrat 37 Republican 20 Independent 1 Third Party 4 Not Sure [D/R combined with followup about what party they usually choose in two way race] 44 Total Democratic Base Vote 47 Total Republican Base Vote Page 6 of 8

1,316 Likely Voters (2.7% Margin of Error) = Q14 Have you 46 Already Voted Early 23 Planning to Vote Early 29 Will Wait Until Election Day To Vote 3 Not Sure And what is the first description that applies to you? 48 Voted in either TSPLOST or Presidential Primary this year 19 Voted Last in 2010 Race Between Nathan Deal and Roy Barnes 25 Voted Last in 2008 Race Between Barack Obama and John McCain 2 Newly Registered and Too Young for Prior Elections 1 Registered, but Haven't Gotten Around to Voting in Last Five Years 5 Not Sure Thank you for your time today. That concludes our survey. Q15 DMA: CODED NOT ASKED 4 Albany 67 Atlanta 6 Augusta 3 Columbus 6 Macon 6 Savannah 3 Tallahassee/Thomasville 5 Fringe/Out of State Page 7 of 8

1,316 Likely Voters (2.7% Margin of Error) = Statement of Methodology: 20/20 Insight, LLC surveyed 1,316 Georgia Likely Voters from Oct 29-31, 2012. These interviews were then weighted to representative Georgia Likely voters. The survey s margin of error is +/-2.7% at a confidence level of 95%. 20/20 Insight, LLC conducts surveys using automated interactive voice response (IVR) technology. This is what is often referred to in the media as a robo poll. Oversamples were conducted in CD 12 and SD 6, those interviews were separated from the full poll and reported on separately. No live human operators spoke to respondents, who used their touch-tone phones to answer questions. Every respondent heard the exact same prompt for each question, except where noted a computer randomized the order in which they heard questions, ballot choices or names. To keep the average call length to a reasonable amount of time, some questions were read only to a sub-sample or split-sample of respondents. Respondents had up to 5 seconds to answer each question after the full prompt was read, and could answer early at any time once they heard their choice. On average for this survey, respondents spent more than 7 minutes on the phone, and slightly more than 30% of those called who initially agreed to take the survey did not complete it due to dropoff or some other factor. The frequencies reported in this survey include the weighted results from ONLY the 1,316 modeled respondents who answered every question including the demographic profile. Additional demographic weighting was applied to the survey using statistical information available from the Georgia Secretary of State and the 2008 Exit Poll for the Georgia General Election available on www.cnn.com. More than 93% of poll respondents had a final weight applied of less than 1.5. A weighting of 1 would mean no weighting was applied. This weighting, and other factors such as refusal to be interviewed may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify. 20/20 Insight, LLC employed multiple callbacks over successive days and at different hours during the day and also attempted to convert those who initially decline to participate in order to reduce any respondent bias introduced by only interviewing the subset of the general population that answers a call on any random night. A "raking" weighting methodology was used - first the survey was raked to match Georgia's racial and ethnic population, then the survey was adjusted for age and finally the survey was adjusted for gender. Page 8 of 8