ATTITUDES TOWARDS EU MEMBERSHIP IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC, HUNGARY, POLAND AND SLOVAKIA: SUFFICIENT SUPPORT; QUESTIONABLE PARTICIPATION Brussels, 7 th April 23 According to the latest poll on the accession to the EU, conducted by the Central European Opinion Research Group Foundation (CEORG) in March 23, the support for the accession of their country to the EU among the Polish, and Hungarian citizens should be sufficient for the upcoming referenda on EU membership to be successful. In all countries the overall support for EU accession is over 5%, namely 58.1% in Poland, 58.9% in the, and 59.9% in Hungary. In Slovakia only those that plan to come to referendum were asked about their support. Among those who are definitely planning to participate or are rather inclined to participate in the referendum, the support to EU accession is even stronger; between 68.8% in Poland to 82.2% in Slovakia. It is interesting to note the narrowing of differences in EU support among the potential referenda participants between the, Hungary and Poland since the CEORG research in November 22. At that time, the had 2 percent points less EU supporters than Hungary and Poland, namely 51.1%, Poland 73.5% and Hungary 75.1%. Four months later, the difference between the three countries is as low as 1.8 percent point. The biggest question is the real participation at the referendum. 66.1% of Hungarian and 62.4% of Polish respondents claim to be ready to definitely participate in the referendum. In the, only.2% and in Slovakia.1% of respondents have this level of certainty. If those that will certainly participate and those that will rather participate are put together, in all four countries the participation would reach over 7%. Note: The referendum on EU accession will take place on 12 April 23 in Hungary, 16-17 May in Slovakia, 8 June in Poland and 15-16 June in the.
IF A REFERENDUM ABOUT THE ACCESSION OF YOUR COUNTRY TO THE EU WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU PARTICIPATE? Definitely yes.2 66.1 62.4.1 Rather yes 39.7 11.1 11.8 32.6 I don t know yet 7.7 11.5 11.4 6.3 Rather not 7.3 3. 5.1 11.2 Definitely not 5.2 8.2 9.3 9.8 8 7 6 5 2 Definitely yes Rather yes Rather not Definitely not I don't know yet 1
WOULD YOU VOTE? (FOR THE WHOLE POPULATION) Hungary Poland For accession to the EU 58.9 59.9 58.1 Against accession to the EU 22.2 17.9 24.3 Don t know / Would not participate in referendum 18.9 22.1 17.6 6 5 2 For the accession to the EU Against the accession to the EU Don't know / Would not participate in referendum 1 Hungary Poland
WOULD YOU VOTE? (FOR THOSE THAT WOULD DEFINITELY PARTICIPATE OR RATHER PARTICIPATE IN THE REFERENDUM): For accession to the EU 69.8 69.4 68.8 82.2 Against accession to the EU 2.1 17.1 21.1 1.6 Don t know 1.1 13.5 1.1 7.1 9 8 7 6 5 2 1 For the accession to the EU Against the accession to the EU Don't know
Methodology Country Institute Fieldwork Sample CVVM-Sociological Institute 3-1.3.23 111 Hungary TARKI 1-12.3.23 121 Poland CBOS 1-4.3.23 975 Slovakia FOCUS 5-11.3.23 16 23 Central European Opinion Research Group Foundation (CEORG) When referring to the results, please quote CEORG as the source The CEORG Foundation, based in Brussels, combines the long-term economic, social and political research experience of the institute CVVM (former IVVM), the Hungarian institute TARKI and the Polish institute CBOS. The aim of CEORG is to act as a clearing house for comparative surveys conducted by its member organisations and to unify public opinion research methodology and reporting standards in the three countries so that it can provide systematic, credible and comparative data concerning public opinion on important local as well as European social and political issues. Thanks to its broad network of interviewers (all three institutes are among the largest in their countries), several years of regularly repeated questions, and its members' past experience, CEORG offers the capacity to generate a truly consistent, regular and reliable fundament for the analysis of changing political views, attitudes and consumer patterns in some of the most prominent Candidate Member States. On the basis of its regular monthly omnibuses as well as special surveys, panels, elite polls and in cooperation with ranking researchers, analysts and opinion leaders in Central European countries, CEORG aspires to become a 'home grown' barometer on Central European public opinion. Its Omnibuses will be a key instrument to help guide institutional, industrial and marketing strategies in the three countries covered by CEORG. The CEORG Foundation has partners in Slovakia, Bulgaria, Romania, Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia, Ukraine and Russia and works with them on a regular basis. For more information please contact: Mrs Radka Ciscatová Deputy Secretary General Central European Opinion Research Group Foundation CEORG tel.: +32-2-735.85.15 - fax: +32-2-735.84.66 email: info@ceorg-europe.org - www.ceorg-europe.org We would be grateful if you could inform us in the case you use our results.