Appendix Demographic Data on Newfoundland and Labrador Natural increase in Newfoundland and Labrador, 23 to 211 3/ 4 4/ 5 5/ 6 6/ 7 7/ 8 8/ 9 9/ 1 1/ 11 11/ 12 Births 4598 4543 4526 4495 4664 4925 4945 4875 4823 Deaths 4254 4434 4392 4677 4519 436 445 4561 4675 Natural increase 344 19 134-182 145 565 495 314 148 Total Fertility Rate in Canada, 2 to 211 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 11 Canada 1.49 1.51 1.5 1.53 1.53 1.54 1.59 1.66 1.68 1.67 1.63 1.61 Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island 1.25 1.24 1.3 1.32 1.3 1.34 1.38 1.46 1.58 1.59 1.58 1.45 1.52 1.47 1.47 1.58 1.53 1.48 1.56 1.63 1.73 1.69 1.62 1.62 Nova Scotia 1.37 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.48 1.54 1.5 1.47 1.47 New Brunswick 1.39 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.4 1.41 1.46 1.52 1.59 1.59 1.58 1.54 Quebec 1.43 1.47 1.46 1.48 1.48 1.52 1.62 1.69 1.74 1.74 1.71 1.69 Ontario 1.48 1.51 1.47 1.49 1.5 1.51 1.52 1.57 1.58 1.56 1.53 1.52 Manitoba 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.77 1.82 1.87 1.96 1.95 1.98 1.92 1.86 Saskatchewan 1.76 1.8 1.82 1.86 1.86 1.87 1.92 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.3 1.99 Alberta 1.64 1.65 1.69 1.74 1.74 1.75 1.82 1.9 1.92 1.89 1.83 1.81 British Columbia 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.4 1.39 1.39 1.41 1.52 1.51 1.5 1.43 1.42 Yukon 1.6 1.56 1.56 1.52 1.67 1.48 1.69 1.58 1.64 1.66 1.6 1.73 Northwest Territories 2. 1.82 1.88 2.4 2.3 2.11 2.7 2.11 2.8 2.6 1.98 1.97 Nunavut 3.16 3.3 3.4 3.1 3. 2.74 2.84 2.97 2.98 3.24 3. 2.97 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 12-455 Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 32 33
migration and In-migration in Newfoundland and Labrador by age, 28 to 211 Age 28/29 29/21 21/211 211/212-1 31 3 3 46 In 88 7 62 74 to 14 965 976 954 1332 In 225 1618 1449 1729 15 to 24 2339 1914 241 2927 In 1486 128 112 1359 25 to 34 197 1736 1832 2566 In 2524 2172 1878 225 35 to 44 1293 1154 12 167 In 159 133 1129 1365 45 to 54 141 933 96 1329 In 145 1341 111 1297 55 to 64 46 396 425 589 In 96 858 72 84 65+ 286 31 313 37 In 319 356 326 359 Total in-migration 1262 8998 7785 9273 Total out-migration 8354 741 7725 1783 Net migration 198 1588 6-151
Immigration in Atlantic Canada, 24-211 3 25 2 178 2351 2258 Persons 15 1379 1 5 865 541 312 24/2 5 25/2 6 26/2 7 27/2 8 28/2 9 29/2 1 21/2 11 211/2 12 Newfoundland and Labrador 541 452 516 635 571 68 699 741 Prince Edward Island 312 352 738 1282 1723 1792 269 1379 Nova Scotia 178 2197 2715 2668 2446 2413 2287 2351 New Brunswick 865 1386 1616 1797 1918 1928 1986 2258 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-4, Components of Population Growth (immigration) 741 Provincial Nominee Program Retention Rates by Percentage, 2 to 28 12 1 82.6 86 95.3 96.4 8 68.4 68.1 6 45 4 36.6 22.9 2 Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada, Evaluation of the Provincial Nominee Program, September 211. Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 34 35
Inter-provincial -migrants (persons who have settled in another province) by Age, Newfoundland and Labrador: 1991, 21, and 211 45 4 35 3 Persons 25 2 15 1 5-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 1991/1992 21/22 211/212 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-12, Inter-provincial migrants, by age group In-migrants (persons who have settled in Newfoundland and Labrador) by Age: 1991, 21, and 211 3 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-12, Interprovincial migrants, by age 25 2 Persons 15 1 5-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 1991/1992 21/22 211/212 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-12, Interprovincial migrants, by age
Total Census Families by the Presence of Children in Newfoundland and Labrador, 26 and 211 9378 8889 749 61955 Without children With children 26 211 Source: Statistics Canada - 211 Census. Catalogue Number 98-312-XCB21119. Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 36 37
Total Census families by the Number of Children in Newfoundland and Labrador 26 211 6% 23% 4% 31% Without children 1 child 2 children 3 or more children Source: Statistics Canada - 211 Census. Catalogue Number 98-312-XCB21119. Children and Teenage Youth in Newfoundland and Labrador, 1971 to 211
Children and Teenage Youth in Newfoundland and Labrador, 1971 to 211 8 7 6 Persons 5 4 3 2 1 1971 1981 1991 21 211 to 4 years 62136 49448 37635 252 24754 5 to 9 years 68192 56938 43241 29149 2432 1 to 14 years 65658 6174 47685 34952 2694 15 to 19 years 6591 63831 54633 3977 29628 Source: Statistics Canada - 211 Census. Catalogue Number 98-312-XCB21119. Youth in Newfoundland and Labrador, 22 to 212 Persons 39 37 35 33 31 29 27 38259 36298 3527 3423 31379 31752 29735 29274 2884 2651 25 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 1 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 2 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 3 to 34 years Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-1, Estimates of Population by Age Group Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 38 39
Total Fertility Rate, Atlantic Provinces, 27 to 211 1.8 1.75 1.7 Total Fertility Rate 1.65 1.6 1.55 1.5 1.45 1.62 1.54 1.47 1.45 1.4 1.35 1.3 27 28 29 21 211 Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 12-455, Total Fertility Rates
Fertility Rates in Canada, 211 Source: Statistics Canada, Table 12-455, Total Fertility Rates Age-specific Fertility Rate in Newfoundland and Labrador, 2-211 12 1 8 Fertility rate 6 4 2 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 15 to 19 19.6 17.9 16.4 16.9 16.8 15.3 16.7 17 19.4 19.2 21.8 17.7 2 to 24 56.8 52.4 55.5 53.9 5.4 48.9 54.3 57.8 65.2 58.9 58.2 51.8 25 to 29 86.8 84.4 91.3 9.2 86.3 89.5 87.9 95.7 99.6 11.5 1.2 89.4 3 to 34 66.6 69.2 71.3 75.3 78.9 8.7 82.3 85.8 93.2 98 94.9 89.1 35 to 39 19 21.3 23.7 24.8 23.4 28.8 3.6 29.5 33.2 34.9 35.7 37 4 to 44 1.5 2.6 3 2.5 3.9 3.2 3 3.3 4 4.1 5.1 4.7 Source: Statistics Canada. Table 12-455, Total Fertility Rates Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 4 41
Definitions Birth rate The number of children born per 1, inhabitants. Ex-patriate A person who has moved away from their province. Family-friendly policies Public policies that improve the lives of residents and their families. These policies may include: assistance to families through employment supports; efforts to foster welcoming, vibrant, and innovative communities; actions to promote child development; measures to encourage gender equity and diversity in the workplace; supports to the family unit throughout the life course. Fertility rate The average number of children a woman is expected to have during the childbearing years, generally accepted as the 15-49 years. A fertility rate of 2.1 ensures that the number of children born will be higher than the number of deaths. Immigrant A person who resides in Canada, but was born outside of Canada; excludes temporary foreign workers, Canadian citizens born outside Canada and those with student or working visas. Labour productivity The amount of goods produced by a single worker in a given amount of time. Mean age The sum of ages of all persons, divided by the total number of persons. Also known as average age Median age The age at which the two halves of the population are either older or younger. Natural increase The balance between the number of births and deaths. If there are more births than deaths, there is positive natural increase, whereas if a population has more deaths than births, then there is negative natural increase. Temporary Foreign Worker A foreign worker who is contracted to work for a given employer, in a given position, for a temporary, set period of time. Acronyms PPGS Provincial Population Growth Strategy SLID Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics TFWs Temporary Foreign Workers LMO Labour Market Opinion NLPNP/PNP Newfoundland and Labrador Provincial Nominee Program MCP Medical Care Plan CMA Census Metropolitan Area
1. These findings are based on a Provincial Nominee Program retention rate evaluation conducted by Citizenship and Immigration Canada for 2-28. 2. Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency. Rural Youth Study, Phase II: Rural Youth Migration Exploring the Reality Behind the Myths, Malatest, R & Associates, 22. Retrieved at: www.publications.gc.ca/collections/collection/a22-272-22e.pdf? 3. Statistics Canada. Rural Youth: Stayers, Leavers, and Return Migrants. Richard Dupuy, Francine Mayer, and Rene Morissette. 2. Retrieved at: www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/11f19m/152/4193592-eng.pdf 4. Ibid. 5. Conference Board of Canada. Provincial look 213 Long-term Economic Forecast: Economic Performance and Trends, 213. 6. The Statistics Canada definition of immigrant is as follows: Persons residing in Canada who were born outside of Canada, excluding temporary foreign workers, Canadian citizens born outside Canada and those with student or working visas. 7. Statistics Canada. Education Indicators in Canada: An International Perspective, p. 68, 212. 8. Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade. Economic Impact of International Education in Canada: Final Report, Roslyn Kunin and Associates, July 29. 9. Prior to this change, TFWs could receive up to 15 per cent less in wages than the local workers. 1. Chamie, Joseph. The Choice: More Immigrants or Fewer Citizens, Yale Global Online, 4 March, 213. Retrieved at: www.yaleglobal.yale.edu/ content/choice-more-immigrants-or-fewer-citizens 11. Family-friendly policies represent those public policies that improve the lives of residents and their families. These policies may include: assistance to families through employment supports; efforts to foster welcoming, vibrant, and innovative communities; actions to promote child development; measures to encourage gender equity and diversity in the workplace; and, supports to the family unit throughout the life course. 12. United Nations Population Division. World Population Prospects, 21. Retrieved at: www.esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/analytical-figures/htm/fig_8. htm 13. Der Spiegel. Study Shows Germany Wasting Billions on Failed Family Policy, March 213. Retrieved at www.spiegel.de/international/germany/study-shows-germany-wasting-billions-on-failed-family-policy-a-881637.html 14. Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung. (Keine) Lust auf Kinder? Geburtenentwicklung in Deutschland, December, 212. Retrieved at www.bib-demografie.de/shareddocs/publikationen/de/download/broschueren/ keine_ l ust_auf_kinder_212.pdf;jsessionid=72f51897dc- 26DC551C9564C1836CA.2_cid284? blob=publicationfile&v=15 15. Iceland and Ireland lead with marginally higher rates. 16. Lutz, Wolfgang and Vegard Skirbekk. Policies Affecting the Tempo Effect in Low-Fertility Countries. Population and Development Review 31.4 (Dec. 25), pp. 73 723. 17. Mcdonald P. Sustaining Fertility through Public Policy: The Range of Options. Population, 57.3 (22), pp. 417-446. Retrieved at www.persee. fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/pop_1634-2941_22_num_57_3_1842 18. Lutz and Skirbekk, 25. 19. Drolet, 22. 2. Beaujot Roderic and Don Kerr. Emerging Youth Transition Patterns in Canada, Investing in Youth: Evidence from Policy, Practice and Research. Policy Research Initiative, Ottawa. 21. Statistics Canada. Population 15 years and over by hours spent looking after children, without pay, by sex, by province and territory (26 Census). 22. McDonald, P. Sustaining Fertility through Public Policy: The Range of Options, pp. 424-425. 23. Ibid. 25. Locke, Wade and Scott Lynch. A Survey of the Attitudes of Employers in Newfoundland and Labrador toward the Recruitment and Employment of New Canadians and International Workers, Harris Centre, Memorial University, 25. Retrieved at: www.mun.ca/harriscentre/ reports/research/26/immigartion_final_report.pdf 25. Office of Immigration and Multiculturalism. 26. Includes Newfoundlanders and Labradorians who have returned to the province.