International Institutions and Civil War Prevention Online Appendix Johannes Karreth Department of Political Science University of Colorado Boulder johannes.karreth@colorado.edu Jaroslav Tir Department of Political Science University of Colorado Boulder jtir@colorado.edu This online appendix contains additional information and analyses for the article: Karreth, Johannes and Jaroslav Tir. 2013. International Institutions and Civil War Prevention. Journal of Politics 75: forthcoming. Replication data and commands will be made available upon publication at http://dvn.iq.harvard. edu/dvn/dv/jkarreth. 1
IGOs and Civil War Online Appendix 2 Table A1: List of HSIGOs. Abbr. Name of the highly structured IGO AMCO African Malagasy Coffee Organization AP Andean Parliament CATC Commonwealth Air Transport Council CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research* ComAB Commonwealth Agricultural Bureau/Imperial Agricultural Bureau EADB East African Development Bank* EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development* ECO Economic Cooperation Organization* ELDO European Space Vehicle Launcher Development Organization ESA European Space Agency* ESRO European Space Research Organization EU European Union* EURATOM European Atomic Energy Commission* G15 Group of Fifteen* GRBDO Gambia River Basin Development Organization* IADB Inter American Development Bank* IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency* IAIC Inter American Investment Corporation* IBEC International Bank for Economic Cooperation* IBPMP International Bureau for the Protection of the Moselle against Pollution IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (World Bank)* ICAO International Civil Aviation Organization ICCROM International Center for the Study of the Preservation and the Restoration of Cultural Property ICES International Council for the Exploration of the Sea ICfO International Coffee Organization ICPRP International Bureau for the Protection of the Rhine against Pollution IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development* IFC International Finance Corporation* ILO International Labour Organization IMF International Monetary Fund* IOLM International Organization for Legal Metrology IOOC International Olive Oil Council ISDB Islamic Development Bank* LATIN Latin Union NDF Nordic Development Fund* SACU Southern African Customs Union* SCHENGEN Group of Schengen* UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization* UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organization* UPU Universal Postal Union WEU Western European Union* WHO World Health Organization WIPO World Intellectual Property Organization WMO World Meteorological Organization WPact Warsaw Treaty Organization* WTO World Trade Organization* Cost benefit HSIGO.
IGOs and Civil War Online Appendix 3 Average HSIGO memberships 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Max + 1 SD Mean 1 SD 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year Figure A2: HSIGO memberships over time. The black line indicates states average HSIGO memberships in the global system, with the grey (blue) areas showing one standard deviation above and below the mean (maximum and minimum HSIGO membership values) in each given year.
IGOs and Civil War Online Appendix 1950 4 30 25 1975 20 15 10 2000 5 0 Figure A3: Spatial distribution of HSIGO memberships in 1950, 1975, and 2000. Darker colors (blue-black) indicate more HSIGO memberships. Values for countries in white (mostly colonies) were not recorded in that year.
IGOs and Civil War Online Appendix 5 Table A4: Controlling for temporal and spatial trends. DV Escalation HSIGOs 0.139* (0.070) MSIGOs 0.103 (0.076) LSIGOs 0.031 (0.040) Polity 0.012 (0.035) Polity (sq.) 0.013* (0.005) GDP p.c. (logged) 0.352 (0.247) Population (logged) 0.203 (0.157) Mountains (logged) 0.221 (0.162) Excluded pop. (logged) 0.272* (0.092) Settlements (past 10 yrs.) 1.038 (0.670) Year 0.009 (0.014) Americas 0.419 (0.576) Asia 0.625 (0.621) Europe 0.197 (0.849) Middle East 0.799 (0.546) Constant 20.628 Log likelihood 127.9 Observations 218 Clustered standard errors in parentheses. p < 0.05. Omitted region: Africa.
IGOs and Civil War Online Appendix 6 Table A5: Controlling for rebel financing: natural resources. DV Escalation Escalation HSIGOs 0.15* 0.147* (0.071) (0.082) HSIGO Gemst. & Hydroc. 0.271* (0.121) MSIGOs 0.021 0.043 (0.08) (0.081) LSIGOs 0.076* 0.069 (0.04) (0.043) Polity 0.019 0.001 (0.038) (0.036) Polity (sq.) 0.014* 0.012* (0.006) (0.006) GDP p.c. (logged) 0.49* 0.318* (0.228) (0.192) Population (logged) 0.427* 0.263 (0.179) (0.163) Mountains (logged) 0.472* 0.402* (0.148) (0.158) Excluded pop. (logged) 0.06 0.162 (0.108) (0.102) Settlements (past 10 yrs.) 0.338 0.781 (0.823) (0.705) Gemstones 1.127* (0.501) Hydrocarbon 1.205* (0.521) Gemst. & Hydroc. 4.382* (1.859) Constant 6.306 3.922* Log likelihood 104.8 110.8 Observations 192 192 Clustered standard errors in parentheses. p < 0.05.