Assistant Professor of Political Science, Yale University Assistant Professor of Political Science and Economics, University of Rochester

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ALEXANDRE DEBS Department of Political Science Rosenkranz Hall, Room 311 Yale University PO Box 208301 New Haven, CT 06520-8301 Mobile: 585-214-9993 Office: 203-432-3948 Email: alexandre.debs@yale.edu Last updated: May 18, 2016 CURRENT POSITION PREVIOUS POSITIONS EDUCATION RESEARCH INTERESTS PUBLICATIONS BOOK PEER- REVIEWED ARTICLES Associate Professor of Political Science (on term), Yale University Research Fellow, Whitney and Betty MacMillan Center for International and Area Studies Co-Director, Leitner Program in International and Comparative Political Economy Assistant Professor of Political Science, Yale University Assistant Professor of Political Science and Economics, University of Rochester Ph.D., Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology M.Phil. (Distinction), Economic and Social History, University of Oxford B.Sc., Economics and Mathematics, Université de Montréal International Relations, Causes of War, Formal Theory, Nuclear Proliferation, Political Economy, Democratization Nuclear Politics: The Strategic Causes of Proliferation (with Nuno Monteiro), forthcoming with Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Studies in International Relations CAUSES OF WAR Circumstances, Domestic Audiences, and Reputational Incentives in International Crisis Bargaining (with Jessica Weiss). Journal of Conflict Resolution. Vol. 60, No. 3 (2016), pp. 403-433 (lead article). Known Unknowns: Power Shifts, Uncertainty, and War (with Nuno Monteiro) International Organization. Vol. 68, No. 1 (), pp. 1-31 (lead article). Regime Type, the Fate of Leaders, and War (with H.E. Goemans) American Political Science Review. Vol. 104, No. 3 (2010), pp. 430-445. NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION The Strategic Logic of Nuclear Proliferation (with Nuno Monteiro). International Security. Vol. 39, No. 2 (), pp. 7-51 (lead article). 2015-present 2009-present 2013-present 2009-15 2007-09 2007 2002 2000

PEER- REVIEWED ARTICLES CHAPTERS IN EDITED VOLUMES OTHER ARTICLES ACADEMIC AND PUBLIC-AFFAIRS COMMENTARY DEMOCRATIZATION AND OTHER TOPICS IN POLITICAL ECONOMY Living by the Sword and Dying by the Sword? Leadership Transitions In and Out of Dictatorships. International Studies Quarterly [forthcoming] Inequality under Democracy: Explaining the Left Decade in Latin America (with Gretchen Helmke). Quarterly Journal of Political Science. Vol. 5, No. 3 (2010), pp. 209-241 (lead article). *2009 MPSA Kellogg/Notre Dame Award for Best Paper in Comparative Politics. Economic Theories of Dictatorship The Economics of Peace and Security Journal. Vol. 5, No. 1 (2010), pp. 11-17. Legislative Bargaining under Weighted Voting: Corrigendum Internet Corrigendum (with James M. Snyder Jr. and Michael M. Ting), September 2009 To be or Ought to be, the Questions of Empirical Content and Normative Bias in Léon Walras s Methodology, Journal of the History of Economic Thought. Vol. 26, No. 4 (2004), pp. 479-492. *2002 Winner of the Feinstein Award for Best Master s Thesis in Economic and Social History, University of Oxford NATO and Nuclear Proliferation, 1949-1968 (with Nuno Monteiro), in Charter of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization; Together with Scholarly Commentaries and Essential Historical Documents, Ian Shapiro and Adam Tooze, eds. (Yale University Press, forthcoming). The Effect of Alliances on Nuclear Proliferation (with Nuno Monteiro), Program on Strategic Stability Evaluation (POSSE) white paper (December 2013) Testing for a Structural Break in the Volatility of Real GDP Growth in Canada. Bank of Canada Working Paper. 2001-9. (2001). Response to Nicholas Miller s Review of Gene Gerzhoy s article, Alliance Coercion and Nuclear Restraint, (International Security, Vol. 39, No. 4, pp. 91-129). (with Nuno Monteiro). H-Diplo. (April 21, 2016). Political Economy and the Causes of War. (with Nuno Monteiro). The Political Economist. Vol. XII, Issue 1 (Spring 2016), pp. 3-4. Review of Vipin Narang s Nuclear Strategy in the Modern Era: Regional Powers and International Conflict (Princeton University Press, ), H-Diplo Roundtable Volume VII, No. 17 (2015). The Curious Case of Nuclear Studies. Monkey Cage online. (July 10, ). What Caused the Iraq War? An Exchange with David Lake. (with Nuno Monteiro). Duck of Minerva online. (Jul. 30 th -Aug. 6 th, 2013)

ACADEMIC AND PUBLIC-AFFAIRS COMMENTARY WORK IN PROGRESS The Flawed Logic of Striking Iran (with Nuno Monteiro). Foreign Affairs online. (Jan. 17, 2012). An Economic Theory of War (with Nuno Monteiro) The Empirical Promise of Game Theory, commissioned by Oxford University Press for the Oxford Encyclopedia of Empirical International Relations Theories Conflict and Cooperation on Nuclear Non-Proliferation, commissioned by the Annual Review of Political Science (with Nuno Monteiro) Towards a Theory of Nonproliferation Strategies, commissioned by World Politics Income, the Middle Class, and Democracy (with Kevin Morrison) The Political Effects of Nuclear Proliferation (with Nicholas Anderson and Nuno Monteiro) Diversionary Gambles and Nationalist Protests in International Crisis Bargaining (with Jessica Weiss) Political Strength and Economic Efficiency in a Multi-Agent State The Wheel of Fortune: Agency Problems in Dictatorships Media and Divide-and-Rule On The Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy: China, Russia PRESENTATIONS INVITED TALKS CONFERENCES ANNUAL MEETINGS U. of Iowa; U. of Wisconsin-Madison; Stanford; scheduled: NYU-Abu Dhabi U. de Montréal; Texas A&M Rice; U. of Maryland; U. of Pennsylvania; MIT; Yale (International Studies Colloquium) McGill; U. of Virginia; Dartmouth; Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse; NYU-Abu Dhabi U. of California San Diego; U. of California-Berkeley; Stanford; Princeton; Harvard/MIT Stanford, U. of California- Berkeley Notre Dame; U. of Colorado Boulder; Caltech; IMT-Lucca; Cornell; U. of Wisconsin-Madison; MIT; Chicago; Duke; U. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign U. of Chicago Yale; Columbia; Princeton; U. of Toronto Caltech; Ohio State; Rochester; U. of California-Berkeley U. de Montréal U. of Oxford P=Presenter, O=Panel Organizer, O =Conference organizer, D=Discussant, C=Chair, A=Audience Member American Political Science Association: 2008 (P,D); 2009 (P,O); 2010 (D); 2011 (P,D); 2013 (P); (P,O); 2015 (P) International Studies Association: 2011 (P); 2013 (P); (P,O); 2015 (P, D) 2016 2015 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2006 2005 2003

ANNUAL MEETINGS SMALLER CONFERENCES MANUSCRIPT REVIEWER Midwest Political Science Association: 2008 (P,D); 2009 (P,D); 2010 (P,D); 2011 (P,O,D). Peace Science Society Meetings: 2008 (P); 2009 (P); 2010 (P) American Economic Association: 2009 (D) North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society: 2006 (P) Conflict and Cooperation in the Nuclear Age (with Nuno Monteiro), Yale University: scheduled 2016 (O ) Formal Theory and Comparative Politcs Conference, Harvard University: scheduled 2016 (D) Economics and Security Reconsidered, Sponsored by International Organization, U. of Pennsylvania: scheduled 2016 (D) Deterrence and Arms Control Charting a Way Forward: Historical and Policy Perspectives, Yale University: scheduled 2016 (A) Formal Models of International Relations, University of Southern California: 2016 (P) Empirical Implications of Bargaining Theory (EIBT), Princeton University: 2015 (P, D) Nuclear Disarmament, Non-proliferation, and Energy: Fresh Ideas for the Future, Symposium on the Non-Proliferation Treaty, United Nations, New York City: 2015 (P) Rethinking Regime Type in International Relations, Yale University: 2015 (P, D) Nuclear Politics: The Strategic Logic of Proliferation, (with Nuno Monteiro), Yale University: (O) Nuclear Studies Research Initiative Workshop, Woodrow Wilson Center and Robert S. Strauss Center for International Security and Law at the University of Texas: 2013 (P) Society for Historians of American Foreign Relations Summer Institute, Woodrow Wilson Center: 2013 (A) Theoretical and Quantitative International Relations, Princeton University: 2013 (P) Elections and Political Order, Emory University: 2012 (P) Causes and Consequences of Radical Political Transition, Stanford University: 2012 (P) Stanton Nuclear Security Fellows Seminar, Washington, D.C.: 2011 (P) Wallis Conference, Rochester: 2007 (A); 2008 (A); 2009 (A); 2011 (D) Endogenous Institutions & Political Conflict, UC-Berkeley: 2009 (P); 2010 (A) NBER Summer Meetings, Cambridge, MA: 2009 (A); 2010 (P) Non-Democratic Regimes, Yale University: 2010 (O, P) Fighting & Voting, Yale University: 2009 (D) VIIIth International Scientific Conference of the Higher School of Economics, Moscow: 2007 (P) African Journal of Political Science and International Relations; American Journal of Political Science; American Political Science Review; British Journal of Political Science; Comparative Political Studies; Conflict Management and Peace Science;

MANUSCRIPT REVIEWER PROFESSIONAL MEMBERSHIP VISITING POSITIONS SELECTED AWARDS SERVICE Yale U. Econometrica; Economic Inquiry; Economics and Politics; Foreign Policy Analysis; Games and Economic Behavior; International Economic Review; International Game Theory Review; International Interactions; International Organization; International Relations; International Security; International Studies Quarterly; International Studies Review; International Theory; Journal of Comparative Economics; Journal of Conflict Resolution; Journal of Development Economics; Journal of Economic Growth; Journal of Economic Theory; Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization; Journal of Peace Research; Journal of Political Economy; Journal of Politics; Journal of Theoretical Politics; Latin American Research Review; Macroeconomic Dynamics; National Science Foundation; Oxford Economic Papers; Quarterly Journal of Economics; Quarterly Journal of Political Science; Review of Economics and Statistics; Scandinavian Journal of Economics; Studies in Comparative International Development; World Politics. American Political Science Association, International Studies Association Stanton Nuclear Security Junior Faculty Fellow, Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC), Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI), Stanford University Visiting Scholar, Berkeley Center for Political Economy (BCEP), University of California-Berkeley Edward J. and Dorothy Clarke Kempf Memorial Fund grant for Conflict and Cooperation in the Nuclear Age (with Nuno Monteiro), MacMillan Center, Yale University Edward J. and Dorothy Clarke Kempf Memorial Fund grant for A Strategic Theory of Nuclear Proliferation (with Nuno Monteiro), MacMillan Center, Yale University Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada Edward L. Horton Fellowship Award for Fostering Fellowship in the Graduate Student Body at MIT MIT Department of Economics Fellowship Quebec Government Doctoral Fellowship (ranked 1 st in Economics) Rhodes Scholarship Quebec Government Master s Level Fellowship University of Oxford, Jesus College Graduate Scholarship Governor General s Medal for Graduating Senior with Highest G.P.A., Université de Montréal André-Raynauld Prize for Graduating Senior with Highest G.P.A., Department of Economics, Université de Montréal Dean s Scholarship in the Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Université de Montréal Entrance Scholarship, Université de Montréal (ranked 1 st overall) and Department of Economics, Université de Montréal Graduate admissions committee (Political Science dept.) Selection committee for the James Gordon Bennett Prize for best senior essay in International Relations (Political Science dept.) Formal Theory field exam committee (Political Science dept.) 2011-12 2011-12 2016-17 2013-14 2002-06 2004 2002-04 2002-04 2000-02 2000-02 2001 2000 2000 1999 1997, 13 2015, 13, 10

SERVICE Yale U. U. of Rochester APSA TEACHING GRADUATE DISSERTATION ADVISING Political Economy field exam committee (Political Science dept.) Comparative Politics search committee (Political Science dept.) Political Economy field oral exam committee (Econ department) Joint committee for Marshall, Mitchell and Rhodes scholarships Silliman College freshman advisor Leitner Political Economy seminar series, co-organizer Leitner Post-doctoral fellowship selection committee Wallis Political Economy seminar series, co-organizer International fellowship selection committee Selection committee for best paper on comparative democratization Fundamentals of Modeling II (Graduate) Yale, scheduled Fall 2016, Spring 2015 Nuclear Politics (Undergraduate) Yale, scheduled Spring 2017, Fall, Fall 2013, Spring 2013 Game Theory and International Relations (Undergraduate) Yale, scheduled Spring 2017, Fall, Fall 2013 (previously taught as Fundamentals of Game Theory, Fall 2012, Fall 2010) International Relations II (Graduate) Yale, Spring Introduction to Political Economy (Undergraduate) Yale, Spring 2011, Fall 2009. Rochester, Fall 2008, Spring 2008. Domestic Politics and International Conflict (Undergraduate and Graduate) Yale, Spring 2010 Political Economy of Institutions and Development (Graduate) Yale, Spring 2013, Spring 2011, Spring 2010. Rochester, Spring 2009, Spring 2008. Name of student (graduation year); placement (placement year) University of Rochester: Subhasish Ray (2010): U. of Rochester post-doc (2010-2012), National University of Singapore Assist. Prof. (2012). Patrick Kuhn (2013): Princeton U. pre-doc (2012) and post-doc (2013), Durham University Lectureship () Yale University: Bonny Lin (2012): RAND Corporation (2012) Jonah Schulhofer-Wohl (2012): Princeton U. pre-doc (2011-2012), U. of Virginia Assist. Prof. (2012) Cameron Ballard-Rosa (): UNC-Chapel Hill Assist. Prof. () Dawn Teele (2015): L.S.E. Research Fellowship (2013-2015), U. of Pennsylvania: Assist. Prof. (2015) Qiuqing Tai (2015): Boston Consulting Group (2015) Jiyoung Ko (2017, expected) William Nomikos (2018, expected) 2012 2013, 11 2012-14, 10 2012-15, 2010-11 2012-15, 2010-11 2011, 10 2007-09 2007-08 2011

OTHER ADVISING LANGUAGES (Undergraduate) Advisor for the senior essays of James Craft, Radina Koleva, Brian Lee, Erin McMullan Nigel Tann (Graduate) Advisor for the Research and Writing projects of Gautam Nair Jiyoung Ko, Daniel Masterson (Graduate) Advisor for the research projects satisfying the Political Economy field requirement of: William Nomikos, Daniel Masterson English (fluent), French (native), Spanish (intermediate knowledge), German (basic knowledge) 2011 2012 2013