National Likely General Election Voter Survey December 8 th, 16 On the web www.mclaughlinonline.com
Methodology This survey of 1, likely general election voters nationwide was conducted on December 3 rd to 7 th, 16. All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were distributed randomly within predetermined geographic units. These units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a nationwide general election. This poll of 1, likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations. December 16
Job Approval: Barack Obama - Time Series- Approve Disapprove 5 52 54 55 53 55 56 56 52 52 52 53 5 51 54 5 5251 553 46 44 47 44 44 4742 45 41 42 45 48 47 45 4746 48 515 525354 52 5 4748 47 4545 4748 4945 1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 8/14 9/14 /14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 /15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 December 16
Job Approval: Barack Obama App. Disapp. East 62 37 Midwest 47 51 South 54 44 West 5 47 Cont. Obama Pols. 96 3 5 53 45 Change Direction 18 81 Approve Obama. Disapprove Obama Approve Trump 27 72 Disapprove Trump 86 14 Favorable Trump 24 75 Unfavorable Trump 81 18 Vote 16 - Trump 16 84 Vote 16 - Clinton 92 8 26 27 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 24 76 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 9 9 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 33 57 Republican 21 78 15 Democrat 91 8 Independent 44 53 Liberal 89 11 Moderate 59 39 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. December 16 2 Conservative 78 White 44 54 African- American 85 14 Hispanic 71 27 Under 55 39 Over 55 42 57 Men 51 48 Women 55 43
Job Approval: Donald Trump App. Disapp. East 43 47 Midwest 51 39 South 48 West 49 Cont. Obama Pols. 21 71 Change Direction 74 16 Approve Obama. 25 66 Disapprove Obama 77 12 5 48 41 Approve Trump Disapprove Trump Favorable Trump 93 3 Unfavorable Trump 9 79 Vote 16 - Trump 91 3 Vote 16 - Clinton 14 77 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 82 11 25 23 28 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 15 77 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 38 28 Republican 83 11 Democrat 21 69 13 11 Independent 42 39 Liberal 31 64 Moderate 38 49 Conservative 73 15 White 54 36 African- American 24 58 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. December 16 Hispanic 44 48 Under 55 46 44 Over 55 53 36 Men 56 35 Women 41 46
Opinion: Donald Trump - Time Series- Favorable Unfavorable 7 5 62 65 35 33 55 37 43 49 45 2/16 3/16 5/16 11/16 12/16 December 16
Fav. Unfav. Opinion: Donald Trump East 44 52 Midwest 47 49 South 46 46 West 44 49 Cont. Obama Pols. 17 8 Change Direction 72 23 Approve Obama. 21 74 5 45 49 Disapprove Obama 76 19 Approve Trump 88 9 Disapprove Trump 3 95 Favorable Trump 33 Unfavorable Trump Vote 16 - Trump 9 6 Vote 16 - Clinton 86 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 81 16 21 24 16 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 11 84 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 35 43 Republican 83 14 Democrat 16 78 Independent 39 52 Liberal 29 68 6 Moderate 35 58 Conservative 69 23 White 51 44 African- American 65 FAV. Very S mwt UNFAV. S mwt Very NO OPIN. December 16 Hispanic 39 58 Under 55 43 51 Over 55 5 45 Men 52 43 Women 39 53
Generic Ballot for Congress - Time Series- Democratic Republican Undecided 5 51 4241 43 48 43 434442 43 42 44 42 4444 44 434341 43 41 42 41 41 42 424646 42 4141 41 4342 41 41 424243 41 42 43 4445 44 45 46 45 16 19 17 17 16 15 18 16 17 17 18 17 14 14 14 15 13 13 14 14 13 12 13 13 13 1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 8/14 9/14 /14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 /15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 11/16 12/16 December 16
Generic Ballot: U.S. Congress GOP DEM. UND. East 38 48 14 Midwest 48 38 14 South 46 44 11 West 45 15 Cont. Obama Pols. 15 81 4 Change Direction 72 13 15 Approve Obama. 72 8 Disapprove Obama 76 8 16 Approve Trump 77 13 5 45 42 Disapprove Trump 12 79 9 Favorable Trump 8 Unfavorable Trump 15 73 11 Vote 16 - Trump 86 4 Vote 16 - Clinton 9 84 7 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 24 26 Vote Cong. 18 - UND Republican 91 5 4 Democrat 9 87 4 12 6 13 Independent 38 33 Liberal 24 71 5 Moderate 29 5 21 Conservative 78 12 White 52 35 13 African- American 17 72 11 GOP Def. Prob. Lean DEM Def. Prob. Lean UND. December 16 Hispanic 32 58 111 Under 55 43 45 12 Over 55 49 37 14 Men 51 39 Women 45 16
Top Priority of President Trump and the new Congress Tot Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons Under 55 Over 55 Men Women ECONOMIC 47 26 61 54 53 32 5 42 44 5 Creating Jobs 35 19 45 41 46 37 25 38 32 37 Reducing Taxes 12 8 16 13 14 16 7 13 12 12 13 SECURITY 34 49 27 27 28 28 45 33 37 38 31 Nat l Sec./Terror 28 17 17 13 18 28 18 24 23 18 Stop/Mideast Refugees 7 12 4 5 5 6 7 8 6 8 Building the Wall 4 6 2 4 5 2 5 5 2 5 2 Tear up Iran Nuke Deal. 3 3 4 2 5 2 3 3 3 3 3 REPEAL/REPLACE OBAMACARE 13 23 5 11 4 13 13 14 13 13 D.K./REFUSED 6 2 7 8 8 6 3 4 8 5 6 December 16
Approve/Disapprove: Repealing/ Replacing Obamacare 7 5 App. Disapp. East 56 35 Midwest 63 South 61 33 West 57 36 Cont. Obama Pols. 34 Change Direction 83 13 Approve Obama. 39 53 Disapprove Obama 85 11 Approve Trump 84 13 Disapprove Trump 33 59 Favorable Trump 86 11 Unfavorable Trump 38 55 Vote 16 - Trump 87 Vote 16 - Clinton 33 35 33 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 86 12 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 33 61 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 57 17 24 13 7 Republican 87 11 Democrat 36 57 Independent 58 29 Liberal 43 51 Moderate 54 37 Conservative 77 16 White 66 27 African- American 31 59 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. December 16 Hispanic 52 41 Under 55 59 34 Over 55 61 32 Men 65 29 Women 55 37
Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services, or a larger government with many services?- Time Series- Smaller Larger 5 5 52 52 55 55 56 54 54 49 53 51 52 53 55 53 55 53 32 31 31 32 31 32 29 34 32 32 31 29 32 31 31 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 /15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 11/16 12/16 December 16
Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services, or a larger government with many services? 8 7 Smaller Larger East 46 36 Midwest 59 25 South 5 31 West 57 31 Cont. Obama Pols. 34 5 Change Direction 71 17 Approve Obama. 36 46 Disapprove Obama 74 13 Approve Trump 67 22 Disapprove Trump 38 43 5 53 Favorable Trump 67 22 Unfavorable Trump 41 41 Vote 16 - Trump 7 19 Vote 16 - Clinton 35 47 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 71 19 31 17 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 34 47 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 5 15 Republican 67 23 Democrat 35 46 Independent 59 Liberal 34 53 Moderate 49 28 Conservative 72 17 Smaller Gov't Larger Gov't DK/Ref. December 16 White 58 26 African- American 31 44 Hispanic 43 42 Under 55 48 35 Over 55 62 23 Men 29 Women 47 32
Direction: United States - Time Series- Right Direction Wrong Track 8 7 64 62 63 61 64 64 64 62 65 64 66 69 66 66 66 67 63 62 5 27 29 31 29 28 29 32 28 28 28 26 29 27 26 26 31 28 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 /15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 16-Nov 12/16 December 16
RD WT Direction: United States East 32 61 Midwest 26 66 South 27 61 West 28 62 Cont. Obama Pols. 32 61 8 7 5 62 Change Direction 27 64 Approve Obama. 31 61 Disapprove Obama 25 66 Approve Trump 53 Disapprove Trump 17 75 Favorable Trump 41 51 Unfavorable Trump 16 75 Vote 16 - Trump 35 56 Vote 16 - Clinton 24 66 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 34 59 28 Right Direction Wrong Track DK/Ref. December 16 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 24 67 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 22 57 Republican 34 59 Democrat 27 63 Independent 23 65 Liberal 32 61 Moderate 28 62 Conservative 26 63 White 28 63 African- American 23 61 Hispanic 34 55 Under 55 59 Over 55 24 68 Men 35 57 Women 22 66
Generally Speaking, would you like the next President and Congress to? Continue the policies of President Obama, OR Change direction and move away from the polices of President Obama - Time Series- Continue Obama Policies Change Direction 7 5 57 58 58 58 57 56 52 34 31 33 31 33 34 39 9/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 December 16
Generally Speaking, would you like the next President and Congress to? Continue the policies of President Obama, OR Change direction and move away from the policies of President Obama 8 Cont. Change East 47 41 Midwest 31 63 South 42 49 West 36 54 Cont. Obama Pols. Change Direction Approve Obama. 71 18 7 Disapprove Obama 3 93 Approve Trump 17 8 Disapprove Trump 69 5 39 52 Favorable Trump 14 83 Unfavorable Trump 65 24 Vote 16 - Trump 8 9 Vote 16 - Clinton 74 16 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 13 84 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 75 16 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 12 Republican 12 84 Democrat 75 17 Independent 26 59 9 Liberal 74 21 Moderate 46 Conservative 12 82 White 31 61 African- American 67 19 Continue Obama Policies December 16 Change Direction DK/Ref. Hispanic 61 33 Under 55 45 46 Over 55 29 62 Men 38 57 Women 48
Yes No Do you believe the 16 election was fairly conducted? 8 East 57 27 Midwest 62 26 South 27 West 67 22 Cont. Obama Pols. 42 44 Change Direction 8 12 Approve Obama. 44 41 7 5 61 Disapprove Obama 83 9 Approve Trump 86 9 Disapprove Trump 34 48 Favorable Trump 88 7 Unfavorable Trump 38 45 Vote 16 - Trump 89 6 Vote 16 - Clinton 39 45 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 84 26 13 Yes No Unsure December 16 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 39 45 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 53 18 Republican 85 7 Democrat 46 Independent 91 21 Liberal 47 42 Moderate 57 27 Conservative 77 12 White 68 African- American 35 48 Hispanic 52 36 Under 55 56 Over 55 71 19 Men 71 18 Women 53 33
Yes No Do you believe millions of illegal voters cast ballots for Hillary Clinton? 8 7 East 29 48 Midwest 27 49 South 47 West 29 47 Cont. Obama Pols. 17 73 Change Direction 42 28 Approve Obama. 16 72 Disapprove Obama 45 21 Approve Trump 5 24 Disapprove Trump 77 5 48 Favorable Trump 51 22 Unfavorable Trump 11 74 Vote 16 - Trump 51 18 Vote 16 - Clinton 12 79 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 48 24 29 23 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 11 77 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 24 35 Republican 49 24 Democrat 14 74 Independent 26 43 Liberal 25 68 Moderate 21 55 Conservative 42 25 Yes No Unsure December 16 White 31 43 African- American 67 Hispanic 55 Under 55 31 48 Over 55 26 48 Men 38 44 Women 22 51
Yes No Do you believe the media is biased against President-Elect Donald Trump? 8 7 East 47 38 Midwest 55 34 South 53 36 West 56 29 Cont. Obama Pols. 25 63 Change Direction 78 14 Approve Obama. 28 58 Disapprove Obama 83 8 Approve Trump 82 Disapprove Trump 21 66 5 53 Favorable Trump 84 8 Unfavorable Trump 26 61 Vote 16 - Trump 88 4 Vote 16 - Clinton 67 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 83 9 34 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 21 66 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 53 18 Republican 82 11 13 Yes No Unsure December 16 Democrat 27 59 Independent 52 31 Liberal 35 57 Moderate 42 41 Conservative 79 White 59 29 African- American 31 5 Hispanic 42 48 Under 55 52 35 Over 55 56 33 Men 32 Women 47 37
How aware are you of the political protests following the results of the 16 election? 1 Aware Unaware East 94 2 Midwest 98 1 South 96 2 West 96 1 Cont. Obama Pols. 97 2 Change Direction 98 1 Approve Obama. 96 2 96 Disapprove Obama 98 1 Approve Trump 98 2 Disapprove Trump 97 1 Favorable Trump 98 2 8 63 Unfavorable Trump 97 1 Vote 16 - Trump 99 1 Vote 16 - Clinton 96 2 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 99 1 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 97 2 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 85 4 Republican 99 1 33 Democrat 97 2 Independent 92 2 Liberal 98 1 Moderate 96 3 2 2 AWARE Very Smwt Not Aware Unsure December 16 Conservative 95 1 White 98 1 African- American 88 7 Hispanic 95 2 Under 55 96 2 Over 55 97 2 Men 97 2 Women 96 2
Yes No Have you, yourself participated in any of the aforementioned protests? 8 7 5 7 Yes No Unsure December 16 2 East 9 88 Midwest 2 96 South 9 89 West 8 89 Cont. Obama Pols. 15 83 Change Direction 3 96 Approve Obama. 12 85 Disapprove Obama 2 97 Approve Trump 9 9 Disapprove Trump 8 9 Favorable Trump 9 Unfavorable Trump 6 92 Vote 16 - Trump 7 93 Vote 16 - Clinton 88 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 7 92 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 9 89 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 2 88 Republican 8 92 Democrat 11 88 Independent 3 93 Liberal 19 79 Moderate 5 94 Conservative 1 95 White 6 92 African- American 87 Hispanic 15 8 Under 55 11 86 Over 55 2 98 Men 88 Women 5 93
Which of the following best describes your own personal opinion? I believe the people protesting came together naturally to voice their anger about the election results, OR, I believe the 16 election protests are paid for by political interests. 8 7 Natural Paid East 64 23 Midwest 52 34 South 54 34 West 49 35 Cont. Obama Pols. 85 Change Direction 33 51 Approve Obama. 81 12 Disapprove Obama 25 57 Approve Trump 34 54 Disapprove Trump 81 11 5 54 Favorable Trump 31 56 Unfavorable Trump 79 12 Vote 16 - Trump 28 58 Vote 16 - Clinton 83 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 33 55 32 14 Natural Paid Unsure December 16 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 82 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 36 28 Republican 32 56 Democrat 81 11 Independent 46 32 Liberal 81 13 Moderate 61 24 Conservative 27 57 White 5 35 African- American 69 Hispanic 64 27 Under 55 59 28 Over 55 46 Men 51 38 Women 57 27
Do you believe college students should be allowed to miss class without penalty in order to participate in protests? 8 Yes No East 27 63 Midwest 19 67 South 27 65 West 21 68 Cont. Obama Pols. 45 44 Change Direction 83 Approve Obama. 39 5 7 5 66 Disapprove Obama 7 86 Approve Trump 16 77 Disapprove Trump 36 81 Favorable Trump 15 78 Unfavorable Trump 33 55 Vote 16 - Trump 11 82 Vote 16 - Clinton 39 49 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 13 81 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 48 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 11 73 Republican 13 81 24 Yes No Unsure December 16 Democrat 49 Independent 17 69 Liberal 49 39 Moderate 69 Conservative 9 82 White 18 72 African- American 39 48 Hispanic 43 48 Under 55 29 Over 55 16 76 Men 24 66 Women 24 66
Do you believe colleges and universities who receive federal public funding, including tuition monies paid through financial aid and publicly-funded student loans, should have those funds pulled if it is proven that they have acted in an effort to further a partisan political agenda? 8 7 Yes No East 45 36 Midwest 52 26 South 48 32 West 52 Cont. Obama Pols. 34 48 Change Direction 65 17 Approve Obama. 34 46 Disapprove Obama 69 14 Approve Trump 68 18 Disapprove Trump 29 49 5 49 Favorable Trump 7 16 Unfavorable Trump 32 46 Vote 16 - Trump 71 13 Vote 16 - Clinton 29 5 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 67 16 31 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 32 48 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 43 26 Republican 69 14 Democrat 32 49 Independent 48 28 Liberal 41 42 Moderate 41 36 Conservative 64 16 Yes No Unsure December 16 White 54 25 African- American 25 55 Hispanic 44 38 Under 55 46 33 Over 55 54 28 Men 55 Women 44 32
If you knew that protestors were being paid and that some protests are being led by the same leaders as the Black Lives Matter movement, would this discredit the protests from your point of view. 8 Yes No East 59 25 Midwest 68 18 South 56 28 West 67 19 Cont. Obama Pols. 41 Change Direction 81 11 Approve Obama. 46 36 7 5 62 Disapprove Obama 82 9 Approve Trump 82 11 Disapprove Trump 41 Favorable Trump 83 Unfavorable Trump 45 37 Vote 16 - Trump 84 8 Vote 16 - Clinton 41 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 81 11 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 44 38 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 54 16 Republican 82 23 15 Democrat 43 39 Independent 63 18 Liberal 47 38 Moderate 56 24 Conservative 8 11 Yes No Unsure December 16 White 68 19 African- American 31 46 Hispanic 51 27 Under 55 57 28 Over 55 71 15 Men 67 21 Women 58 25
Do you believe President Obama and Hillary Clinton should urge protesters to accept the election result that Donald Trump won? 8 Yes No East 66 24 Midwest 68 South 67 24 West 71 16 Cont. Obama Pols. 47 38 Change Direction 87 9 Approve Obama. 52 34 7 5 68 Disapprove Obama 89 6 Approve Trump 9 7 Disapprove Trump 46 39 Favorable Trump 9 6 Unfavorable Trump 49 36 Vote 16 - Trump 93 4 Vote 16 - Clinton 47 37 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 9 8 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 46 38 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 64 11 Republican 89 7 21 11 Yes No Unsure December 16 Democrat 47 39 Independent 69 15 Liberal 48 37 Moderate 65 21 Conservative 85 9 White 73 17 African- American 45 39 Hispanic 57 29 Under 55 64 24 Over 55 74 17 Men 73 18 Women 63 24
Green Party Presidential Candidate Jill Stein who received 1% of the national vote has asked for recounts in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania to try to stop Donald Trump from being President. Hillary Clinton and the Democrats are participating in the recount. Do you think it was right or wrong for Hillary Clinton and the Democrats to support these recounts? 8 7 Right Wrong East 44 37 Midwest 33 46 South 42 West 39 45 Cont. Obama Pols. 72 13 Change Direction 15 69 Approve Obama. 63 17 Disapprove Obama 11 74 Approve Trump 18 71 Disapprove Trump 68 12 Favorable Trump 17 7 Unfavorable Trump 63 17 Vote 16 - Trump 12 74 5 39 42 Vote 16 - Clinton 69 13 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 17 7 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 7 13 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 15 44 Republican 17 7 19 Democrat 68 16 Independent 29 44 Liberal 71 17 Moderate 41 35 Conservative 13 69 Right Wrong Unsure December 16 White 34 48 African- American 56 17 Hispanic 52 32 Under 55 43 36 Over 55 31 54 Men 38 46 Women
Yes No Do you believe it would be right to have mass protests at the Inauguration? 8 East 31 58 Midwest 23 64 South 28 West 28 64 Cont. Obama Pols. 51 34 Change Direction 11 82 Approve Obama. 44 42 7 5 61 Disapprove Obama 7 85 Approve Trump 15 8 Disapprove Trump 46 Favorable Trump 14 81 Unfavorable Trump 42 43 Vote 16 - Trump 85 Vote 16 - Clinton 45 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 13 81 27 12 Yes No Unsure December 16 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 46 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 14 64 Republican 13 81 Democrat 45 41 Independent 21 64 Liberal 53 36 Moderate 25 61 Conservative 82 White 22 68 African- American 39 45 Hispanic 48 38 Under 55 31 55 Over 55 19 73 Men 27 62 Women 27 61
Do you agree or disagree with future Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer s endorsement of Rep. Keith Ellison as Chairman of the Democratic National Committee, knowing that Congressman Ellison worked for the anti-semitic Nation of Islam and Rev. Farrakhan, and compared the 9/11 attack on World Trade Center to the Reichstag fire in Nazi Germany that gave Hitler the authority to do whatever he wanted? 5 52 Agree Disagree East 22 53 Midwest 18 47 South 21 5 West 17 57 Cont. Obama Pols. 32 41 Change Direction 13 62 Approve Obama. 28 43 Disapprove Obama 63 Approve Trump 21 57 Disapprove Trump 21 48 Favorable Trump 56 Unfavorable Trump 5 35 29 Vote 16 - Trump 16 59 Vote 16 - Clinton 25 46 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 18 62 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 25 44 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 9 Republican 19 58 16 Democrat 28 44 Independent 54 Liberal 41 36 9 11 Moderate 12 51 Conservative 12 64 White 17 55 African- American 26 Agree S trongly S mwt Disagree S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. December 16 Hispanic 33 39 Under 55 25 44 Over 55 65 Men 24 53 Women 16 5
Should Congress and President Trump tear up the Iran deal because it does NOT allow independent U.S. inspections of Iran s military laboratories, no U.S. monitoring of the program, and not Americans or Canadians on the ground in Iran to inspect in any capacity? 8 7 Yes No East 49 23 Midwest 5 18 South 54 22 West 48 26 Cont. Obama Pols. 35 38 Change Direction 67 11 Approve Obama. 37 34 Disapprove Obama 69 9 Approve Trump 74 9 Disapprove Trump 28 5 51 Favorable Trump 74 8 Unfavorable Trump 32 36 Vote 16 - Trump 74 8 Vote 16 - Clinton 31 37 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 73 8 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 31 38 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 38 16 Republican 76 7 22 27 Democrat 33 36 Independent 45 21 Liberal 38 37 Moderate 44 24 Conservative 69 9 Yes No Unsure December 16 White 54 19 African- American 33 34 Hispanic 49 27 Under 55 48 23 Over 55 55 Men 24 Women 43
All things being equal, who do you agree with more? President Obama and Senate Democrats who say that we have no realistic choice to avoid war, but to accept the agreement with Iran and Iran s behavior will improve, OR, President-Elect Donald Trump and those in Congress who say it s a bad agreement that they did without input from Congress and now it should be voided to negotiate a better deal. 8 7 Obama Trump East 32 45 Midwest 23 53 South 53 West 51 Cont. Obama Pols. 59 18 Change Direction 9 8 Approve Obama. 49 26 Disapprove Obama 5 83 Approve Trump 12 81 Disapprove Trump 53 19 5 51 Favorable Trump 12 8 Unfavorable Trump 46 26 Vote 16 - Trump 6 86 Vote 16 - Clinton 56 18 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 8 29 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 54 21 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 5 Republican 9 8 Democrat 55 23 Independent 19 54 Liberal 56 26 Moderate 28 44 Conservative 9 78 Obama Trump Unsure December 16 White 23 58 African- American 49 22 Hispanic 45 41 Under 55 33 46 Over 55 21 Men 56 Women 28 47
All things being equal, who do you agree with more? President Obama who says that the agreement with Iran delays them from getting nuclear weapons for years and that s the best deal that we can get now and it buys us time to avoid war with Iran, OR, Others who say that now is the time to stand up to Iran while we still have enormous economic and military advantages over Iran. In years Iran could have nuclear weapons, ballistic missiles to carry them and a more powerful conventional military and a revived economy to pay for them all. Better to walk away from this agreement and negotiate from strength for a better deal than to put this off for years while Iran gets stronger. 8 7 Deal Strength East 31 49 Midwest 21 53 South 33 48 West 29 48 Cont. Obama Pols. 62 21 Change Direction 7 73 Approve Obama. 51 28 Disapprove Obama 4 76 Approve Trump 14 71 Disapprove Trump 52 27 Favorable Trump 13 72 Unfavorable Trump 47 5 51 Vote 16 - Trump 8 74 Vote 16 - Clinton 54 26 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 75 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 54 25 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 12 29 Republican 11 74 Democrat 55 28 Independent 18 48 Liberal 59 26 Moderate 28 45 Conservative 9 72 White 23 56 African- American 52 Hispanic 44 33 Obama/Best Deal Neg. From Strength Unsure December 16 Under 55 33 45 Over 55 22 58 Men 57 Women 28 43
Do you support or oppose putting a halt on any more Middle Eastern refugees from entering the United States without being % sure they are not a threat to community safety, national security, or a drain on our economy? 7 66 Supp. Oppose East 68 24 Midwest 67 21 South 67 24 West 62 29 Cont. Obama Pols. 49 42 Change Direction 83 11 Approve Obama. 52 38 Disapprove Obama 84 Approve Trump 86 8 Disapprove Trump 46 44 5 44 Favorable Trump 86 9 Unfavorable Trump 49 41 Vote 16 - Trump 88 7 Vote 16 - Clinton 49 42 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 85 9 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 48 42 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 59 22 24 Republican 87 7 Democrat 55 36 Independent 58 29 15 Liberal 54 Moderate 29 Conservative 82 8 White 7 23 African- American 5 34 S upport S trongly S mwt Oppose S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. December 16 Hispanic 61 24 Under 55 63 25 Over 55 72 23 Men 72 21 Women 61 27
Currently the rules of the Senate are written to allow filibusters so that it takes votes out of to get any law passed or get anything done. Would you be in favor of changing the Senate rules to match the House of Representatives so that it takes a simple majority of 51 votes in the Senate out of to pass a law or get things done? 8 7 Favor Oppose East 57 24 Midwest 42 28 South 47 27 West Cont. Obama Pols. 47 32 Change Direction 48 24 Approve Obama. 47 31 Disapprove Obama 47 23 Approve Trump 53 22 Disapprove Trump 42 35 5 46 Favorable Trump 53 22 Unfavorable Trump 43 34 Vote 16 - Trump 5 21 Vote 16 - Clinton 46 33 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 51 23 27 27 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 44 34 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 36 19 Republican 54 Democrat 47 31 Independent 37 Liberal 51 31 Moderate 44 29 Conservative 46 22 Favor Oppose Unsure December 16 White 46 26 African- American 47 27 Hispanic 45 26 Under 55 46 24 Over 55 47 33 Men 53 Women 24
Yes No East 53 35 Do you believe there is a war on cops? Midwest 61 27 South 54 35 West 52 33 Cont. Obama Pols. 38 51 8 7 5 55 Change Direction 7 19 Approve Obama. 41 47 Disapprove Obama 72 17 Approve Trump 69 19 Disapprove Trump 41 49 Favorable Trump 7 19 Unfavorable Trump 43 46 Vote 16 - Trump 72 17 Vote 16 - Clinton 49 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 72 17 33 13 Yes No Unsure December 16 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 37 52 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 54 23 Republican 72 18 Democrat 42 49 Independent 51 31 Liberal 41 52 Moderate 49 37 Conservative 72 14 White 58 29 African- American 35 56 Hispanic 55 35 Under 55 51 36 Over 55 61 27 Men 53 34 Women 56 32
Do you support or oppose cutting off federal funds to cities that break the law by refusing to turn in criminal illegal aliens? 7 62 Supp. Oppose East Midwest 66 South 61 28 West 61 31 Cont. Obama Pols. 41 48 Change Direction 82 11 Approve Obama. 44 43 Disapprove Obama 84 8 Approve Trump 84 Disapprove Trump 49 5 41 Favorable Trump 87 8 Unfavorable Trump 41 46 Vote 16 - Trump 86 6 Vote 16 - Clinton 42 47 Vote Cong. 18 - GOP 84 9 Vote Cong. 18 - DEM 48 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 58 18 21 27 14 13 11 Republican 84 8 Democrat 42 46 Independent 92 24 Liberal 46 45 Moderate 56 32 Conservative 81 8 White 67 22 African- American 39 44 S upport S trongly S mwt Oppose S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. December 16 Hispanic 55 32 Under 55 57 Over 55 71 21 Men 68 24 Women 57 29
Voter Profile Party Total Age Total Race Total Republican 33% 18-29 19% White 71% Democrat 36% - 19% African American 12% Independent 31% 41-55 27% Hispanic 11% Ideology % 56-65 % Asian 4% Liberal 26% Over 65 16% Gender % Moderate 39% Male 47% Conservative 35% Female 53%