Democracy Corps/Campaign for America s Future Frequency Questionnaire

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Transcription:

Democracy Corps/Campaign for America s Future Frequency Questionnaire November 6-7, 2012 1012 Presidential Election Voters Q.3 First of all, are you registered to vote? Yes... 100 No...- (Refused)...- (ref:screen1) Q.4 Many people weren't able to vote in the 2008 election for president between Barack Obama and John McCain. How about you? Were you able to vote, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted... 90 Not registered in 2008/Ineligible/too young... 5 Did not vote... 5 (Can't remember/don't know)... 0 (Refused)... - (ref:vote08) Q.5 As you may know, there was an election Tuesday for President, Congress and other offices. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted... 100 Did not vote... - (Can't remember/ don't know)... - (Refused)... - (Have not voted yet)... - (Will vote)... - (ref:vote10) Q.6 Did you vote prior to Election Day or did you vote on Election Day? Prior to Election Day... 34 On Election Day... 66 (DK/Ref)...- (ref: WARLYVTG)

2 [345 Respondents] Q.7 When you voted by absentee ballot or through early voting, did you vote by mail or in person? By mail... 47 In person... 53 (DK/Ref)... - (ref: ABSENT4) Q.11 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Strongly approve... 32 Somewhat approve... 19 Somewhat disapprove... 10 Strongly disapprove... 35 (Don't know/refused)... 4 approve... 50 disapprove... 45 Approve - disapprove... 5 (ref:boapp)

3 Q.12 Now, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so. Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 12 The Republican Party... 44.0 37 44 17 33 96-8 13 The Democratic Party... 49.4 42 41 24 30 97 1 14 The Republican Congress... 40.2 32 49 11 37 97-18 15 Democrats in Congress... 45.9 36 45 19 30 96-9 16 Barack Obama... 53.0 51 42 39 34 99 9 17 Mitt Romney... 47.9 44 42 25 31 98 1 18 Paul Ryan... 47.6 39 38 25 31 87 1 19 The N.R.A., or National Rifle Association... 57.8 49 29 34 22 93 20 20 Pro-life, anti-abortion groups... 47.2 36 42 28 35 96-6 21 Labor unions... 47.3 37 42 23 31 95-5 22 Gay marriage... 46.9 39 42 32 40 95-3 23 The state of the economy... 38.3 29 57 9 40 99-28 24 (SPLIT A) Global warming... 48.2 36 37 25 30 90-1 25 Medicare... 70.4 66 13 45 7 95 53 26 (SPLIT B) Wall Street... 42.5 26 39 10 28 93-12 27 The Tea Party movement... 41.6 32 43 17 36 89-11 28 The new health care reform law... 43.9 37 44 24 37 93-7 29 (SPLIT A) A plan to dramatically reduce the deficit to allow the economy to grow over the next five years... 80.5 78 6 61 5 94 72

4 Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 30 (SPLIT B) A plan to invest in new industries and rebuild the country and create jobs over the next five years... 81.9 81 9 69 7 96 72 38 (SPLIT B) Climate change... 51.7 39 29 24 24 92 10 42 (SPLIT A) The richest 1 percent... 42.4 28 40 17 34 86-13 (ref:therm04/therm204/therm205) Q.43 Thinking about the presidential election, did you vote for -- Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama... 50 Republican Mitt Romney... 48 (Other candidate)... 2 (ref:prez12a) Q.44 (SKIP IF OBAMA IN PREZ12A) Think back in time for a minute, did you, at any point in this campaign, think about voting for Barack Obama? Very seriously... 4 Somewhat seriously... 4 Only a little seriously... 4 Didn't consider Obama... 40 (Don't know/refused)... 1 Obama Supporter... 47 (ref:chncbo) Q.45 (SKIP IF ROMNEY IN PREZ12A) Think back in time for a minute, did you, at any point in this campaign, think about voting for Mitt Romney? Very seriously... 4 Somewhat seriously... 4 Only a little seriously... 6 Didn't consider Romney... 39 (Don't know/refused)... 1 Romney Supporter... 45 (ref:chncmr)

5 Q.46 Thinking about the election for Congress in your district, did you vote for -- the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? The Democratic candidate... 48 The Republican candidate... 49 (Other candidate)... 4 (ref:gencong) [479 Respondents] Q.47 (ASK ONLY IF BARACK OBAMA IN PREZ12A) Now let me read you a list reasons to support Barack Obama. Which THREE describe the most important reasons why you voted for Barack Obama? Brought America through the economic crisis and needs more time... 33 For Planned Parenthood, preventive health care and pay equity for women... 29 Passed Affordable Health Care Act for all... 29 Respect him as a leader... 27 Will protect Medicare and Social Security from cuts... 26 His jobs plan for American energy, auto efficiency, infrastructure and more teachers... 23 Stood up for minorities and equal rights, like the Dream Act... 22 Took out Osama bin Laden and ended wars in Iraq and Afghanistan... 21 Will get millionaires to pay higher taxes and pay fair share... 19 Rescued U.S. auto industry... 13 Could not vote for Romney... 8 (Other)... 2 (All)... 14 (None)... 0 (Don't know/refused)... 1 (ref:bolist1)

6 [461 Respondents] Q.48 (ASK ONLY IF MITT ROMNEY IN PREZ12A) Now let me read you a list reasons to support Mitt Romney. Which THREE describe the most important reasons why you voted for Mitt Romney? Successful businessman who knows how to manage and create jobs.... 37 Plan to cut spending and reduce national debt... 34 Will repeal Obamacare... 33 I don't want four more years of Barack Obama... 30 Will protect small businesses from taxes and regulation... 23 Plan to expand offshore oil drilling, coal, and natural gas on federal lands... 22 Ending culture of dependency by cutting food stamps and welfare... 20 Compassionate and religious man... 17 Worked with both Democrats and Republicans... 16 Plan to cut taxes across the board... 15 Will tackle reform of Medicare and Social Security... 11 (Other)... 4 (All)... 11 (None)... 0 (Don't know/refused)... 2 (ref:mrlist1)

7 [639 Respondents] Q.49 (DO NOT ASK IF BARACK OBAMA IN PREZ12A AND DIDN'T CONSIDER IN CHNCMR) Let me read you a list of doubts about Barack Obama. Regardless of how you voted, which THREE describe the most important reasons NOT to vote for Barack Obama? Increased deficit and size of government... 32 Obamacare... 31 Cut Medicare by 700 billion dollars to pay for a health reform plan no one wanted... 23 His economic plans failed... 21 Bailed out big banks while doing nothing to help homeowners... 21 Paid off union supporters in the auto bailout and failed clean-energy projects... 20 Hurt small businesses with taxes and regulations... 19 Failed to change Washington and break gridlock... 17 Support for abortion rights... 17 America would not be the same if Obama had second term... 15 America less respected under Obama... 13 (Other)... 3 (All)... 16 (None)... 5 (Don't know/refused)... 2 (ref:bodbt)

8 [628 Respondents] Q.50 (DO NOT ASK IF MITT ROMNEY IN PREZ12A AND DIDN'T CONSIDER IN CHCEBO) Let me read you a list of doubts about Mitt Romney. Regardless of how you voted, which THREE describe the most important reasons NOT to vote for Mitt Romney? Changed positions so often we don't know what he believes... 31 Being against Planned Parenthood and preventive health services for women... 29 With the rich and out of touch with average people... 24 His statement that he doesn't care about the "47 percent"... 23 Plan to change Medicare and raise costs for seniors... 22 Wants more tax cuts for the wealthy... 22 Closed companies and shipped jobs abroad when CEO of Bain Capital... 21 Would repeal Obamacare... 19 For the Bush trickle down policies that caused the economic crash... 16 Stands for Tea Party Republicans who produce gridlock in Washington... 13 Would increase military spending and let generals decide whether to keep troops in Afghanistan... 11 (Other)... 2 (All)... 15 (None)... 4 (Don't know/refused)... 3 (ref:jmdbt) Q.51 Now I am going to read you a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would do a better job with each issue. If you do not know, just tell me and we'll move on. BO BO MR MR BO Much Smwt Smwt Much Nei- DK/ - Bttr Bttr Bttr Bttr Both ther Ref BO MR MR 51 The economy... 32 14 12 37 0 2 4 45 49-3 52 (SPLIT A) Taxes... 35 10 16 28 1 4 6 46 44 2 53 Health care reform... 39 11 13 29 0 3 4 50 42 8 54 Restoring the middle class... 40 10 12 30 0 4 3 51 42 9 55 Medicare... 37 12 16 23 1 3 7 50 39 11

9 BO BO MR MR BO Much Smwt Smwt Much Nei- DK/ - Bttr Bttr Bttr Bttr Both ther Ref BO MR MR 56 The federal budget deficit... 22 15 14 38 0 4 6 37 52-16 57 Social Security... 34 15 16 23 1 5 7 48 39 9 58 (SPLIT B) National security... 33 14 14 29 3 3 5 47 42 4 59 (SPLIT A) Breaking gridlock to get things done... 22 14 20 28 1 8 8 36 47-11 61 (SPLIT B) Willing to make compromises with the other party to get things done... 34 14 13 27 2 4 4 48 41 8 62 (SPLIT B) Creating jobs... 28 16 9 40 1 3 3 44 49-5 (ref:pbetjob)

10 Q.63 Both Barack Obama and Mitt Romney said in their campaigns that this election is about the future of the middle class. That was the big choice. Now, that the election is over, which THREE of the following are the most important things for us to focus on? Creating jobs and getting the economy going... 49 Reducing the federal deficit and lowering debt for future generations... 41 Protecting middle class retirement benefits including Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security... 37 Investing more in education and training... 26 Helping small businesses with access to credit and reduced red tape... 23 Reducing the influence of special interest money in politics... 17 Implementing the new health care law to reduce health care costs... 16 Investing in alternative energy and strengthening infrastructure for extreme weather... 16 Increasing the minimum wage and empowering workers to get higher pay and benefits... 15 Breaking up the big banks and prosecuting those who caused the financial crisis... 15 Investing in rebuilding our roads, transportation, and economic infrastructure... 14 (All)... 8 (Other)... 1 (None)... 0 (Don't know/refused)... 1 (ref:mandate2)

11 Q.65 Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements. For each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right. 1st 1st 2nd 2nd 1st Stmt Not Not Stmt Nei- DK 1st 2nd - Strng Strng Strng Strng Both ther Ref Stmt Stmt 2 nd [544 Respondents] 68 (BPC) (ASK NOV 6 ONLY) If Barack Obama is elected, Republicans in Congress should work with him to achieve his plans. OR If Barack Obama is elected, he will lead the country down the wrong path and Republicans in Congress should oppose his plans.... 53 6 6 29 2 1 3 59 36 23 [488 Respondents] 69 (BPC) (ASK NOV 7 ONLY) Republicans in Congress should work with Barack Obama to achieve his plans. OR Barack Obama will lead the country down the wrong path and Republicans in Congress should oppose his plans.... 59 7 6 23 0 3 2 66 29 37 (ref:pcpairs)

12 Q.72 After the election, the president and the new leaders of the Congress are going to discuss what to do about the economy and budget. I'm going to read you some pairs of statements. For each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right. 1st 1st 2nd 2nd 1st Stmt Not Not Stmt Nei- DK 1st 2nd - Strng Strng Strng Strng Both ther Ref Stmt Stmt 2 nd 72 The biggest priority after the election is for leaders to work to grow the economy. OR The biggest priority after the election is for leaders to work on a plan to reduce our deficits.... 55 7 5 25 7 0 1 62 30 31 73 Our first priority should be putting people back to work. In a weak economy, laying off teachers, closing schools and firehouses, cutting health care for parents and grandparents makes it harder to reduce the deficit. Severe cuts will drive us back into a recession as Britain and Spain have learned. OR Our first priority should be cutting spending and deficits. The deficit weighs down our economy, undermines business confidence and to meet our obligations. If we keep running up deficits, we risk our credit rating like Greece and go deeper in debt to China.... 35 8 11 38 3 3 2 43 49-7

13 1st 1st 2nd 2nd 1st Stmt Not Not Stmt Nei- DK 1st 2nd - Strng Strng Strng Strng Both ther Ref Stmt Stmt 2 nd 74 (SPLIT A) Slashing spending now is short-sighted. It will cost millions of jobs, force cuts in schools, child nutrition and Medicare and Social Security benefits. Our children will find jobs harder to find, and will lose skills vital to compete in global economy. And more people out of work will make it harder to reduce the deficit. OR Spending and adding to the deficit is short-sighted. Eventually, our credit rating will fall, interest rates will go up, and our economy will slow. Our children will be left with a higher debt burden, deeper in debt to foreign creditors, and more difficult for future generations to compete in the global economy.... 33 12 13 32 3 4 4 44 45-1

14 1st 1st 2nd 2nd 1st Stmt Not Not Stmt Nei- DK 1st 2nd - Strng Strng Strng Strng Both ther Ref Stmt Stmt 2 nd 75 (SPLIT B) It is important to cut seriously wasteful spending and abolish special interest tax breaks and subsidies so that we can invest in infrastructure and technology and make sure we can support education, Medicare and Social Security, which are key to the middle class. OR It is important to cut spending seriously, and that will require across-the-board reductions in the size of government and the programs it supports. Our current path is unsustainable and we need broad cuts-- including education, Medicare, and Social Security.... 58 11 10 17 1 1 2 70 27 43

15 1st 1st 2nd 2nd 1st Stmt Not Not Stmt Nei- DK 1st 2nd - Strng Strng Strng Strng Both ther Ref Stmt Stmt 2 nd 76 The wealthiest have used tax breaks and loopholes to pay lower tax rates than middle class families. Any new plan to address the deficit should start by closing corporate loopholes and raising taxes for those at the top. A deficit plan should not include cuts in Medicare or Social Security. OR Everybody has to be willing to pay in order to get a long-term deficit reduction plan that will help America take off again. That means closing tax loopholes to raise more revenue, but also getting entitlement spending under control, including reducing the growth of Social Security and Medicare.... 44 7 14 27 3 2 3 51 41 10 (ref:clifpair)

16 Q.77 It is possible that President Obama and Republican leaders will reach a deal for 4 trillion dollars in deficit reduction over the next 10 years. Let me ask you about some things that might be in this deal. After you hear each one, please tell me whether it is acceptable or unacceptable to you as part of an overall package of deficit reduction. Un Un Accpt Accpt accpt accpt DK Un - able Smwt Strng Ref accpt Unacc 77 (SPLIT A) Raising the Medicare retirement age from 65 to 67 years... 50 11 35 4 46 4 78 (SPLIT B) Reducing Social Security benefits over time by having them rise more slowly than the cost of living... 31 16 45 7 62-31 79 (SPLIT A) Not raising taxes on the rich... 28 17 51 3 68-40 80 (SPLIT B) Reducing the tax exemption given to employers for providing health insurance to their workers... 49 22 24 5 46 3 81 (SPLIT A) Continuing to tax investors' income at lower rates than workers pay... 26 25 38 11 63-36 82 (SPLIT B) Cutting discretionary spending, like education, child nutrition, worker training, and disease control... 25 18 54 3 72-47 83 (SPLIT A) Maintaining defense spending at current levels... 57 15 20 7 35 22 84 (SPLIT B) Capping Medicare payments, forcing seniors to pay more... 18 17 61 4 79-61 85 (SPLIT A) Raising taxes on the richest 2 percent, while keeping taxes low for middle class and working people... 70 13 14 3 27 43

17 Un Un Accpt Accpt accpt accpt DK Un - able Smwt Strng Ref accpt Unacc 86 (SPLIT B) Creating a higher tax rate on those earning over one million dollars a year... 75 7 15 3 22 53 87 (SPLIT A) Shutting down tax havens abroad by putting a minimum tax on corporate profits reported overseas... 69 10 11 10 21 48 88 (SPLIT B) Save Medicare costs by negotiating lower drug prices from drug companies... 89 2 6 3 8 81 89 (SPLIT A) Cut military spending by ending the war in Afghanistan... 72 9 13 6 22 50 90 (SPLIT B) Cut subsidies to oil companies, agribusiness, and multinational corporations... 65 9 18 9 27 38 91 (SPLIT A) Requiring deep cuts in domestic programs without protecting programs for infants, poor children, schools and college aid... 21 20 55 5 75-54 92 (SPLIT B) Cutting tax exemptions for home mortgages... 41 20 33 5 54-13 93 (SPLIT A) Cutting tax exemption for employer provided health care programs... 42 21 28 9 49-7 94 (SPLIT B) Lowering top tax rates for the rich and corporations... 28 17 50 6 67-39 (ref:optbat)

18 Q.95 It is possible that President Obama and Republican leaders will reach a deal to reduce the deficit by 4 trillion dollars over the next 10 years that includes the items I just read. From what you know, would you support or oppose this plan? Strongly support... 34 Somewhat support... 39 Somewhat oppose;... 7 Strongly oppose... 9 (Don't know/refused)... 11 support... 73 oppose... 16 Support - Oppose... 58 (ref:defsup) Q.100 Finally, I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? 1-11th grade... 3 High School graduate... 22 Non-college post H.S.... 1 Some college... 25 College graduate... 34 Post-graduate school... 13 (Don't know/refused)... 1 (ref:educ) Q.101 Are you a member of a labor union? (IF NO) Is any member of your household a union member? Yes: Respondent belongs... 12 Household member... 6 No member belongs... 81 (Don't know/refused)... 1 Union Household... 18 (ref:union)

19 Q.102 Are you married, single, living with a partner, separated, divorced, or widowed? Married... 56 Single... 24 Separated/divorced... 9 Widowed... 6 (Don't know/refused)... 1 Living with a partner... 5 Sep/Div/Wid... 14 (ref:marital) Q.103 Do you have any children 18 years of age or younger living at home? Yes... 34 No... 65 (Don't know/refused)... 1 (ref:kids) Q.104 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican or what? Strong Democrat... 26 Weak Democrat... 12 Independent-lean Democrat... 9 Independent... 8 Independent-lean Republican... 12 Weak Republican... 11 Strong Republican... 21 (Don't know/refused)... 1 (ref:ptyid1) Q.107 Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are Conservative, Moderate, or Liberal? Liberal... 25 Moderate... 30 Conservative... 42 (Don't know/refused)... 3 (ref:ideo1)

20 Q.108 Let me ask a question about religion. Which one of these best describes yourself? Observant Catholic... 14 Non-observant Catholic... 8 Evangelical Christian... 23 Non-evangelical Protestant... 15 Jewish... 2 Muslim... 0 No religious affiliation... 20 (Other)... 16 (Don't know/refused)... 2 Catholic... 22 Christian... 61 (ref:relig4) [360 Respondents] Q.109 (ASK IN CELL SAMPLE ONLY) Now, thinking about your telephone use, is there at least one telephone INSIDE your home that is currently working and is not a cell phone? Yes... 46 No... 52 (DK/Refused)... 2 (ref:landline) [652 Respondents] Q.110 (ASK IN LANDLINE SAMPLE ONLY) Now thinking about your telephone use, do you have a working cell phone? Yes... 90 No... 9 (DK/Refused)... 1 (ref:cellline)

21 [756 Respondents] Q.111 (DO NOT ASK IF NO IN LANDLINE) (DO NOT ASK IF NO OR DK/REF IN CELLLINE) Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get All or almost all calls on a cell phone... 37 Some on a cell phone and some on a regular home phone... 36 All or almost all calls on a regular home phone... 25 (DK/Refused)... 1 (ref:dualuse) Phone Use Table Cell Only... 19 Cell Mostly... 28 Dual User... 27 Landline Mostly... 19 Landline Only... 6 Landline Unknown... 1 Q.112 As you know, there was an election for Congress and other offices in 2010. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted... 76 Did not vote... 20 (Can't remember/don't know)... 2 (Refused)... 1 (ref:vote06) [906 Respondents] Q.113 (ASK IF VOTED IN VOTE08) In the 2008 election for president, did you vote for Democrat Barack Obama or Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama... 52 Republican John McCain... 40 (Ralph Nader)... 0 (Bob Barr)... 0 (Other)... 2 (Don't Know/Refused)... 6 (ref:vote2008)

22 Q.114 What racial or ethnic group best describes you? White... 72 African-American or Black... 13 Hispanic or Latino... 10 Native American... 1 Asian... 1 (Other)... 2 (Don't know/refused)... 2 (ref:racethn) Q.2 Respondent's gender Male... 47 Female... 53 (ref:gender) Q.8 In what year were you born? 18-24... 10 25-29... 9 30-34... 6 35-39... 9 40-44... 12 45-49... 8 50-54... 9 55-59... 10 60-64... 10 65 and over... 14 (No answer)... 2 (ref:age)