THE 2013 RELIGION, VALUES, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM SURVEY! Ci?zenship, Values, and Cultural Concerns: What Americans Want from Immigra?on Reform Public Religion Research Institute Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research Juhem Navarro- Rivera, Research Associate
Survey Methodology 2013 Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey Designed and conducted by Public Religion Research Institute in partnership with The Brookings Institution One of largest surveys ever conducted on immigration (N=4,465 Americans) MOE = +/- 1.7 percentage points at the 95% confidence interval for total sample Conducted by telephone (1,774 contacted by cell phone) between January 28 and February 24, 2013 Bilingual (English and Spanish) interviews Funded by The Ford Foundation, with additional support from The Nathan Cummings Foundation and Four Freedoms Fund/Public Interest Projects PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 2
THE CULTURAL CONTEXT Concerns About a Changing America PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 3
The Declining Dominance of White ChrisCan America: AffiliaCon by Age White Evangelical White Mainline White Catholic Mormon Black Protestant Hispanic Protestant Hispanic Catholic Other Catholic Other Ethnic Chris?ans Jewish Other World Religions Unaffiliated Other/Don't Know 65+ 29 23 17 2 7 1 3 1 3 2 1 11-64 23 15 16 2 9 3 5 2 4 2 2 16-49 15 14 11 3 8 5 8 2 4 2 3 22 18-29 10 9 6 3 9 7 10 2 4 3 4 31 0 10 20 40 60 70 80 90 100 Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 4
PercepCons of Changes to American Culture Since 19s Asian* Jewish Atheist/Agnostic Black Protestant Hispanic Catholic Black Democrat Millennials Hispanic Men All Americans Women Mormon* White White Catholic White Mainline Seniors Republican White Evangelical Tea Party 23 21 20 29 41 40 39 38 35 34 34 51 51 59 58 57 56 55 65 65 26 29 34 38 37 39 39 42 43 53 54 55 54 61 62 61 66 73 75 76 0 10 20 40 60 70 80 90 100 *Results should be interpreted with caution due to small number of cases. Asian N=94. Mormon N=97. Since the 19s, American culture and way of life has Changed for the better Changed for the worse PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 5
Hidden Concerns about Becoming a Majority- Minority NaCon The idea of an American where most people are not white bothers me. Percent who Agree Direct Ques?on Indirect List Experiment Ques?on 60 40 31 20 10 23 14 13 15 0 All Americans All Whites White Born Again Chris?an* Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465); PRRI Religion News Tracking Poll, March 2013 (N=1,028). *Note: White born again Chris?an has a small number of cases (N=92 on one form) and should be interpret PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 6
How Groups are Changing American Culture and Way of Life PercepCons of How Groups are Changing American Culture and Way of Life Changing for the bejer No impact Changing for the worse Young people 43 21 Asians 40 43 9 Hispanics 39 35 20 Immigrants 38 26 28 Tea Party 24 Gay and lesbian people 24 42 29 Muslims 18 44 27 Non- religious people 16 48 31 Atheists 10 46 39 0 10 20 40 60 70 80 90 100 Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 7
Impact of Newcomers from Other Countries on American Culture Growing Number of Newcomers from Other Countries By Age Groups Strengthens American society Threatens tradi?onal American customs and values 80 70 60 68 40 20 54 40 29 56 38 47 47 44 46 10 0 All Americans 18-29 - 49-64 65+ Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 8
Concerns about Economic Impact of Illegal Immigrants Immigrants coming to this country today mostly... Illegal Immigrants mostly... Help the economy by providing low cost labor 80 Take jobs Americans don't want Take jobs away from American citizens 80 Hurt the economy by driving down wages for many Americans 70 70 60 64 60 56 40 40 36 20 27 20 10 10 0 0 Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 9
IMMIGRATION REFORM: POLITICS AND POLICY Impact on Poli?cal Par?es Values as Moral Guides to Reform Support for a Path to Ci?zenship PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 10
Highest PrioriCes for Congress and President This Year Improving the job situa?on 65 Reducing the budget deficit 56 Changing the federal income tax system to make it more fair 37 Dealing with the moral breakdown of the country 32 Enac?ng stricter gun control laws 26 Reforming the na?on's immigra?on system 24 Enac?ng legisla?on to address climate change 16 0 10 20 40 60 70 80 PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 11
PercepCons of Impact on Republican Party Did Republican Party PosiCon on ImmigraCon Help or Hurt in Recent ElecCons? By Party AffiliaCon Hurt No Difference Helped DK/Refused 100 90 7 11 12 5 5 80 70 60 42 46 44 45 34 57 40 45 39 41 44 20 10 0 All Americans Republican Tea Party Independent Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 12
Support for Path to CiCzenship By Party AffiliaCon How should the immigracon system deal with illegal immigrants? By Party AffiliaCon Allow them a way to become ci?zens provided they meet certain requirements Allow them to become permanent legal residents, but not ci?zens Iden?fy and deport them None of these/dk/refused All Americans 63 14 21 Democrat 71 13 13 Independent 64 14 21 Republican 53 13 32 Tea Party 45 16 36 0 10 20 40 60 70 80 90 100 PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 13
Support for Path to CiCzenship By Religious AffiliaCon Support for Path to Citizenship (3-Way Question) By Religious Affiliation Hispanic Catholic 74 Hispanic Protestant Black Protestant 71 70 Jewish 67 Unaffiliated Mormon White Catholic White Mainline 64 63 62 61 White Evangelical 56 0 10 20 40 60 70 80 Source: PRRI/Brookings, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 14
Binary QuesCon: Support for Earned Path to CiCzenship (2011 vs. 2013) The best way to solve the country s illegal immigra?on problem is to: 1- Secure our borders and provide an earned path to ci?zenship 2- Secure our borders and arrest and deport all those who are here illegally. 80 70 60 40 20 10 0 Binary QuesCon: Support for Securing Borders and Earned Path to CiCzenship (2011 vs. 2013) 62 68 74 75 2011 2013 62 All Americans Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465); PRRI/Brookings Pluralism, Immigra?on, and Civic Integra?on Survey, September 2011 (N=2,4). 68 56 41 PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 15
Support for Self- DeportaCon Self- DeportaCon: The best way to solve the country's illegal immigracon problem is to make condicons so difficult for illegal immigrants that they return to their home country on their own. Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Completely disagree Don't know/refused All Americans 14 20 28 36 Democrat 11 15 26 46 Independent 14 21 29 36 Republican 17 28 23 Tea Party 24 32 25 18 0 10 20 40 60 70 80 90 100 Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 16
Support for DREAM Act By Party AffiliaCon Allowing illegal immigrants brought to U.S. as children to gain legal resident status if they join the military or go to college. By Party Affilia?on Favor Oppose DK/Refused All Americans 61 34 Democrat 72 24 Independent 60 36 Republican 48 48 Tea Party 43 53 0 10 20 40 60 70 80 90 100 Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 17
Values as Moral Guides to ImmigraCon Reform Values as Moral Guides to ImmigraCon Reform Extremely important Very important Promo?ng na?onal security Keeping families together Protec?ng the dignity of every person Enuring fairness to taxpayers Enforcing the rule of law 84 84 82 77 77 Following the Golden Rule, providing immigrants the same opportuni?es I would want if my family was immigra?ng to the U.S. 69 Con?nuing America's heritage as a na?on of immigrants Following the biblical example of welcoming the stranger 52 0 10 20 40 60 70 80 90 100 Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 18
Top Predictors of Support for Path to CiCzenship 80 Top Predictors of Support for Path to CiCzenship Among those who... 70 60 73 71 70 63 40 47 45 20 10 0 Believe America has changed for the bejer since the 19s Hispanic Know deporta?ons have increased in last 5-6 years All Americans Say immigrants changing community a lot Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465). Iden?fy as part of Tea Party movement PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 19
The PRRI/Brookings 2013 Religion, Values, and ImmigraCon Reform Survey Public Religion Research Institute Join the ConversaCon about the Survey Online (Hashtag #IMMSURVEY): Ø www.facebook.com/publicreligion Ø www.twijer.com/publicreligion Ø www.publicreligion.org Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research