Similar documents
Statistics and Publications Department of Human Rights Activists in Iran 2

Human Rights Situation in Iran Annual Report 2014

Is Sustainable Growth Possible Through Financial Assistance

EFFECTS OF REMITTANCE AND FDI ON THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF BANGLADESH

Quantitative evidence of post-crisis structural macroeconomic changes

International Convention on the Elimination of all Forms of Racial Discrimination

Applied Econometrics and International Development Vol.7-2 (2007)

Applied Econometrics and International Development Vol. 7-1 (2007)

Human Rights Situation in Iran Annual Report 2016

MIGRATION AND REMITTANCES CASE STUDY ON ROMANIA

IMPLICATIONS OF IRAN S S EIGHT PARLIAMENTARY ELECTION

The Impact of Migrant Labor Force on Housing Sector s Efficiency of Iran Hamid Sepehrdoust

An Investigation of Brain Drain from Iran to OECD Countries Based on Gravity Model

IMMIGRATION ECONOMICS ECONOMICS 980u, Fall 2014 Department of Economics Harvard University

Remittances and Economic Development

Internal Migration and Urbanization in Iran: Status, Challenges and Policy Guidelines

ASSESSING EFFECT OF REMITTANCES ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF ALBANIA: AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH

Applied Econometrics and International Development. AEID. Vol. 4-3 (2004)

IMMIGRATION ECONOMICS ECONOMICS 980u, Fall 2012 Department of Economics Harvard University

European Journal of Economic Studies, 2014, Vol.(10), 4

Juveniles Charged as Adults and Held in Adult Detention Facilities: Trend Analysis and Population Projections

OPENNESS AND GROWTH: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS FOR ALBANIA

IMPACT OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE ON DEPARTED TOURISTS: A Case of the South and South-East Asian Region

Empirical Estimates of the Long-Run Labor Market Adjustments to Immigration

Corruption A Search for Causes

Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies

Joint Programme on Voluntary Repatriation of Afghan Refugeesand Displaced Persons. Free of Charge December 2010 RETURN

HUMAN CAPITAL AND DEVELOPMENT IN AFRICA: ECONOMETRIC MODELS AND EVOLUTION, GUISAN, Maria-Carmen * EXPOSITO Pilar

Applied Econometrics and International Development. AEEADE. Vol. 1-1(2001)

Understanding the Effects of Legalizing Undocumented Immigrants

Joint Programme on Voluntary Repatriation of Afghan Refugees. Free of Charge June 2011 RETURN. Information Update Mass Information Committee

Relationship between Global Peace Index and Economic Growth of SAARC Countries: An Empirical Analysis

Economic Growth and Cycles in Pl, Hu, Cz, Sk and Sn,

Applied Econometrics and International Development Vol. 9-1 (2009) de Compostela (Spain),

The Impact of Industry and Foreign Trade on Economic Growth in China. An Inter-Sector Econometric Model,

DO INTRA-ARAB LABOUR FLOWS PROMOTE REGIONAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION?

Women Entrepreneurs in the race of rural development: A macro-economical study based on emerging India

Does Immigration Reduce Wages?

Economic Interdependence and Armed Conflict: Some Qualifications of the Liberal Case

Migration, Wages and Unemployment in Thailand *

Analysis of China s Import from & Direct Investment in ASEAN Based on Gravity Models

The Relationship between Exports and Growth in Select African Nations. A Senior Honors Thesis

The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment from Austria on Skilled and Unskilled Labor in Bosnia and Herzegovina

International Journal of Business and Management November, 2008

Relationship between Albania and Turkey after Free Trade Agreement

Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies Vol.6-2 (2006)

Do (naturalized) immigrants affect employment and wages of natives? Evidence from Germany

Selection in migration and return migration: Evidence from micro data

Fiscal Decentralization and Corruption in Emerging and Developing Countries

Economic assimilation of Mexican and Chinese immigrants in the United States: is there wage convergence?

The Causes of Wage Differentials between Immigrant and Native Physicians

The Labor Market Assimilation of Immigrants in the United States:

International Trade as an Engine of Growth in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Pakistan ( )

Immigration and property prices: Evidence from England and Wales

Characteristics of the Ethnographic Sample of First- and Second-Generation Latin American Immigrants in the New York to Philadelphia Urban Corridor

Are Refugees Different from Economic Immigrants? Some Empirical Evidence on the Heterogeneity of Immigrant Groups in the U.S.

SOCIAL AND POLITICAL FACTORS EFFECTS ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN PAKISTAN ( )

Iran. Portfolio of Projects. Islamic Republic of

The immigrant-native pay gap in Germany

An Honors Thesis (ECON 424) Thesis Advisor. Ball State University Muncie, Indiana. Expected Date of Graduation May2017

F E M M Faculty of Economics and Management Magdeburg

The Impact Of Corruption On Economic Development: Case Study Romania

A VAR Analysis of FDI and Wages: The Romania s Case

WHO MIGRATES? SELECTIVITY IN MIGRATION

Employment Outcomes of Immigrants Across EU Countries

Gordon Dahl Winter 2011 READING LIST

ANNUAL REPORT ON THE DEATH PENALTY IN IRAN 2017

IMMIGRATION AND LABOR PRODUCTIVITY. Giovanni Peri UC Davis Jan 22-23, 2015

The Unexpectedly Small Wage Return for English Fluency among Recent U.S. Refugees

Political ignorance & policy preference. Eric Crampton University of Canterbury

Forecasting United States Presidential election 2016 using multiple regression models

The Labor Market Impact of Immigration. George J. Borjas Harvard University October 2006

DETERMINANTS OF IMMIGRANTS EARNINGS IN THE ITALIAN LABOUR MARKET: THE ROLE OF HUMAN CAPITAL AND COUNTRY OF ORIGIN

YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT AND THE EFFECTS OF REGIONAL INTEGRATION ON TRADE BALANCE IN ZAMBIA

The Labor Market Impact of Immigration: Recent Research. George J. Borjas Harvard University April 2010

THE CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN REMITTANCES AND POVERTY REDUCTION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRY: USING A NON-STATIONARY DYNAMIC PANEL DATA

DOES IMMIGRATION AFFECT WAGES? A LOOK AT OCCUPATION-LEVEL EVIDENCE

Do Recent Latino Immigrants Compete for Jobs with Native Hispanics and Earlier Latino Immigrants?

Globalization And Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Cointegration Approach

Global Public Opinion toward the United Nations: Insights from the Gallup World Poll

Online Publication Date: 15 March 2012 Publisher: Asian Economic and Social Society

Does the Presence of Foreign Guest Workers in Israel Harm Palestinians from the West Bank and Gaza Strip? Rachel Friedberg. Brown University.

RESOURCE MOBILIZATION FOR GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES THROUGH ISLAMIC MODES OF CONTRACT: THE CASE OF IRAN

Aspects of the Independence of Regulatory Agencies and Competition Advocacy

Reading List Version 1 Economics 515 Labour Economics. Becker, G. A Theory of the Allocation of Time Economic Journal, Sept

The Effect of Immigration on Native Workers: Evidence from the US Construction Sector

Country Programme in Iran

DETERMINANTS OF INTERNAL MIGRATION IN PAKISTAN

Transferability of Skills, Income Growth and Labor Market Outcomes of Recent Immigrants in the United States. Karla Diaz Hadzisadikovic*

Contribution Of Human Development Index On Per Capita Income Growth And Poverty Alleviation In Indonesia

Does Immigration Harm Native-Born Workers? A Citizen's Guide

The Shadow Value of Legal Status --A Hedonic Analysis of the Earnings of U.S. Farm Workers 1

FACTORS AFFECT EXPORTING OF VIETNAM'S FISHERY TO US AND EUROPE MARKET. REALITIES AND SOLUTIONS. Ngan Thi Pham Tu Thanh Nguyen Phung Phi Tran Thi

Capital Inflows and Economic Growth A Comperative Study

Curriculum Vitae (Updated February 2018)

Explaining the Deteriorating Entry Earnings of Canada s Immigrant Cohorts:

AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF GROWTH THROUGH TRADE: NIGERIA EVIDENCE

Does Immigration to Thailand Reduce the Wages of Thai Workers? By John Bryant and Pungpond Rukumnuaykit

Walls or Welcome Mats? Immigration and the Labor Market

Globalization and Economic Development: The Nigerian Experience and Prospects

Transcription:

- / / / * // : // : 2, 5,..,,....,,,,.,.,,,,.,,,,..... " ". e-mail: zakarimi@umz.ac.ir. () *

.,.,, :

/.,.(2003,UNHCR),..,(, ). -,.(2002UNHCR). /..,.....,..,,,,..,,..

,. (,Borjas),...,,,...,,....., Weinstein, (2002), Altonji and Card (1991),Green and Green (1993),. (Dunlevy and Saba (1992),,..,,.. :,,,,...,,.

/.(1998) Teitelbaum and Winter....,,,,...,,..,.,.-.,,,.,,..((Greenwood and Mcdowell, 1994, Borjas, 1994.,(),.,,. 1. Altonji and Card (1991).

.(1993,Chiswick),.,..,,.,.,,...(1990Card ) /,. (),.,, N M. (). Sm So (Wo) Wm., :. (Wa) ).(() 1. Borjas (1995).

/ ( ). - BCD ABDE BCD +ABDE DCGF,,,.,,.,... - M ( BCD ) ABDE,,.

/.-....(, ).. (),.,,,( ),,,.,...,.,,,... -...,,,,...(,)

.,,..(,),,,..,..,.(, ),( ) -.,,., -,,..(,),,,,..,,. (, )..

/ ( ),..(, UNHCR ).,.., (),UNHCR).,.(,,.,,..(, ),.. //,..(, ),,. ),.(,. ( ),.

.,,.,..,.,.,...,,,..,.,,,,),,.(.,,.,,,..- ( ).,,...

/..(, ),.....,..,..,,,..,,,.,,.,,,.(, ),,,......,.(,)..

,.....,...,.,.. - () ()..( ),,,.. (1995,Borjas) ),,.,.(......

/ (.- - ) -, -/ / / / / -/ -/ / / -/ -/ -/ -/ / / / / - - -

, :,.,. ). ( 1200 1000 800 600 Average wage in construction sector 400 200 0 1357 1359 1361 1363 1365 1367 1369 1371 1373 1375 1377

/.,,,.

( ).- 1200 1000 Rials in fixed 982 prices 800 600 400 200 0 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 wage in construction works inimum wage.-..,..,,.(, ).

/,...,.(, )...,,,,..(, ).. (,,).,...,..,, /...( ).(2000,Chiswick)..

,.., :., Y, Y1, X1, X2, X3, X4

/ (). - / / / / / / / / / / / / / / GDP / / / / / / / / / / / / / /,,, :.,.,.,..,,. ) () ),(.,(.( t ).,,

. Y = 10.51 + 0.27 X1 0.084 X2-0.46 X3 () 9.78 0.997-0.183-1.968 R 2 = 0.219,,,... () Y1 = 10.74 + 0.299X1 0.135X2-0.502X3 7.97 0.879-0.235-1.698 R 2 = 0.183 (),,..,, (),().,.,.,..

/ /, /..(, )., ().. X3 = 3.34 + 0.046 X1 +0.82 X2-0.34 Y () 1.65 0.191 2.353-1.969 R 2 = 0.64,. (). ). (,( ),.. (),,( ) ) X4,.. ( ) X1 ( X3 = 3.75 + 0.73 X4-0.16 X2 0.27 Y () 2.16 2.36-0.34-1.803 R 2 = 0.72, (),

. ( ) () () (),. ).(,.,,.,...,,,. /. /,,. /.(,),,,,.,,,,.,, ) (),.,(

/,( ).,,. ).,,,,(,..,,..,,. /,,..- () / / / /

/ / / / / /. " " : ),,. (,,,....,,.....,,,...,.,. ),..(,

/.,.,,.(, ),.(,UNHCR).,..,...(, ),,.,.,.,,,,.,.(, ),....

,,,...,...,,. ),. (..,,,.,,,..,,,,,.,..

/,,,.,,.,.,,.,,.,.,..,.,.,,,,..,,.,,

,,.,,..,,,,.,.

/ -.()...,,,.( ).,,,..().,,,,.( )..-, :.( )..-.,.-,,..()...()..-,,.()..()....().,., Altonji, Joseph G. and Card, David. (1991). The Effects of Immigration on the Labour Market Outcomes of Less Skilled Natives, in J. M. Abowd and R. B. Freeman (eds.), Immigration, Trade and the Labor Market, Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Borjas, George J. (1995). The Economic Benefits from Immigration. Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp 3-22. Borjas, George J. (1994). The Economics of Immigration. Journal of Economic Literature, No. 32, pp 1667-717. Card, David. (1990). The Impact of the Mariel Boat on the Miami Labor Market. Industrial and Labor Relations Review, No. 43, pp 245-57. Chiswick, Barry R. (2001). The Economics of Illegal Migration for the Host Economy. In M.A.B. Siddique, ed. International Migration into 21 st. Century, London: Edward Elgar. Dunlevy, James A. and R. Saba. (1992). The Role of Nationality-Specific Characteristics on the Settlement Pattern of late Nineteenth Century. Explorations in Economic History, No. 29, pp 228-49.

Green, Alan G. and David A. Green. (1993). Balanced Growth and the Geographical Distribution of European Immigrant Arrivals to Canda, 1912. Exploration in Economic History, No. 30, pp 31-59. Greenwood, Michael J. and M. McDowell, John. (1986). The National Labour market Consequences of US Immigration. In Herbert Gicrsch (ed.), Economic Aspects of International Migration, Berlin: Springer-Verlag. Makhmalbaf, M. (2001). A limb for no one: The tragedy of Afghanistan. Monthly Review, Nov., pp 41-60. Teitelbaum, Michael S. and Winter, Jay. (1998). A Question of Numbers: High Migration, Low Fertility, and the Politics of National Identity, NewYork: Hill and Wang Press. UNHCR. (2002a). Internet News, Feb. 6. UNHCR. (2002b). Internet News, Aug. 15. UNHCR. (2003a). Afghan Refugees Return to Uncertain Future. Internet news, Jan. 22. UNHCR. (2003b). Afghan Refugees in Iran Describe Horror of Heart. Internet News, Jan. 22. Weinstein, Eric. (2002). Migration for the benefit of all: Towards a new paradigm for Economic Immigration. International Labour Review, Vol. 141, No. 3.

/ Dependent Variable: Y Method: Least Squares Date: 05/01/03 Time: 13:59 Sample: 1 25 Included observations: 25 Prob. t-statistic Std. Error 0.0000 9.780533 1.074946 0.3302 0.996762 0.271760 0.8562-0.183498 0.458757 0.0623-1.968549 0.235970 9.658800 Mean dependent var 3.920841 S.D. dependent var 5.601886 Akaike info criterion 5.796906 Schwarz criterion 1.968258 F-statistic 0.149659 Prob(F-statistic) :() Coefficient 10.51355 0.270880-0.084181-0.464519 0.219469 0.107965 3.703140 287.9782-66.02358 1.426777 Variable C X1 X2 X3 R-squared Adjusted R-squared S.E. of regression Sum squared resid Log likelihood Durbin-Watson stat Estimation Command: ===================== LS Y C X1 X2 X3 Estimation Equation: ===================== Y = C(1) + C(2)*X1 + C(3)*X2 + C(4)*X3 Substituted Coefficients: ===================== Y= 10.5135458 + 0.2708799878*X1-0.08418109723*X2-0.4645190504*X3

Dependent Variable: Y1 Method: Least Squares Date: 05/01/03 Time: 14:10 Sample: 1 25 Included observations: 25 Prob. t-statistic Std. Error 0.0000 7.977478 1.346573 0.3891 0.879487 0.340431 0.8163-0.235191 0.574680 0.1043-1.698059 0.295597 9.673600 Mean dependent var 4.799737 S.D. dependent var 6.052470 Akaike info criterion 6.247490 Schwarz criterion 1.564427 F-statistic 0.227674 Prob(F-statistic) Coefficient 10.74225 0.299404-0.135159-0.501941 0.182666 0.065904 4.638881 451.9036-71.65588 1.526561 :() Variable C X1 X2 X3 R-squared Adjusted R-squared S.E. of regression Sum squared resid Log likelihood Durbin-Watson stat Estimation Command: ===================== LS Y1 C X1 X2 X3 Estimation Equation: ===================== Y1 = C(1) + C(2)*X1 + C(3)*X2 + C(4)*X3 Substituted Coefficients: ===================== Y1 = 10.74225356 + 0.2994042705*X1-0.1351594612*X2-0.5019413757*X3

/

Prob. 0.1146 0.8507 0.0284 0.0623 3.444400 4.930332 5.276115 5.471135 12.64187 0.000061 Dependent Variable: X3 Method: Least Squares Date: 05/01/03 Time: 14:19 Sample: 1 25 Included observations: 25 t-statistic Std. Error Coefficient 1.646101 2.026014 3.335024 0.190530 0.236106 0.044985 2.353595 0.347020 0.816745-1.968549 0.170363-0.335369 Mean dependent var 0.643618 S.D. dependent var 0.592707 Akaike info criterion 3.146515 Schwarz criterion 207.9117 F-statistic -61.95143 Prob(F-statistic) 1.565698 : () Variable C X1 X2 Y R-squared Adjusted R-squared S.E. of regression Sum squared resid Log likelihood Durbin-Watson stat Estimation Command: ===================== LS X3 C X1 X2 Y Estimation Equation: ===================== X3 = C(1) + C(2)*X1 + C(3)*X2 + C(4)*Y Substituted Coefficients: ===================== X3 = 3.335023558 + 0.04498535047*X1 + 0.8167447579*X2-0.3353688585*Y

/ Prob. 0.0424 0.0280 0.7361 0.0858 3.444400 4.930332 5.042362 5.237382 17.81421 0.000006 Dependent Variable: X3 Method: Least Squares Date: 05/01/03 Time: 15:04 Sample: 1 25 Included observations: 25 t-statistic Std. Error Coefficient 2.160751 1.733972 3.746682 2.361322 0.309270 0.730285-0.341520 0.460475-0.157261-1.802654 0.150086-0.270554 Mean dependent var 0.717904 S.D. dependent var 0.677604 Akaike info criterion 2.799439 Schwarz criterion 164.5740 F-statistic -59.02952 Prob(F-statistic) 1.927172 : () Variable C X7 X2 Y3 R-squared Adjusted R-squared S.E. of regression Sum squared resid Log likelihood Durbin-Watson stat Estimation Command: ===================== LS X3 C X7 X2 Y3 Estimation Equation: ===================== X3 = C(1) + C(2)*X7 + C(3)*X2 + C(4)*Y3 Substituted Coefficients: =====================

X3 = 3.746682019 + 0.7302852979*X7-0.1572613728*X2-0.270553969*Y3 Y Y1 X1 X2 X3 X4 Unemp. Unemp. Share of Share of Share of Share of Provinces Rate Rate Value added Labour Afghan value (province) (villages) (all sectors) force workers added in const. sector 1 East 6.21 5.23 4.05 6.13 0.08 2.63 Azerbaijan 2 West 9.4 7.84 2.16 4.42 0 2.71 Azerbaijan 3 Ardebil 10.55 10.58 1.03 1.89 0 0.94 4 Isfahan 7.99 6.61 6.46 7.09 14.7 10.55 5 Ilam 17.19 19.29 0.6 0.71 0 0.49 6 Boushehr 7.27 8.42 1 1.09 1.39 1.01 7 Tehran 6.02 5.34 28.28 19.26 17.6 30.07 8 Chahar 7.82 7.09 0.62 1.26 0.04 1.01 Mahal 9 Khorasan 6.92 7.24 6.28 10.43 10.9 9.9 10 Khuzestan 16.15 16.77 13.83 5.47 1.19 5.2 11 Zanjan 6.54 5.95 2.61 1.68 2.74 2.85 12 Semnan 4.72 5.27 0.73 0.86 3.03 1.3 13 Fars 10.31 10.92 4.28 6.24 10.12 5.72 14 Ghom 5.75 3.15 1.04 1.3 4.66 1.72 15 Kordestan 9 7.89 0.97 2.26 0.01 1.11 16 Kerman 8.5 9.44 3.25 3.11 7.64 2.99 17 Krmanshah 18.51 19.62 1.38 3 0.01 2.27 18 Kohkilooyeh 14.74 14.8 5.06 0.72 0.15 0.72 19 Guilan 13.36 13.84 2.53 4.6 0.27 4.52 20 Lorestan 15 18.1 1.35 2.28 0.06 0.95 21 Mazandaran 9.69 9.63 4.88 5.34 2.52 4.4 22 Markazi 7.5 5.7 2.26 6.13 2.49 2.79

/ 23 Hormozgan 8.5 10.76 1.68 4.42 3.09 0.88 24 Hamadan 8.6 8.21 1.48 1.89 0.17 1.36 25 Yazd 5.23 4.15 1.13 7.09 3.25 1.92