SYRIA CRISIS FAIR SHARE ANALYSIS 2015

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OXFAM BRIEFING 30 MARCH 2015 Abu Ali and Um Ali fled Syria in 2012. They now live with their family in a tented settlement in Bekaa, Lebanon. With no source of income, they are becoming increasingly worried about cuts to the humanitarian aid on which they rely. Photo: Yasmine Chawaf/Oxfam One day, we received an SMS message telling us that we won't get food anymore. The same thing happened with fuel vouchers. In our settlement, only three families received one this winter, while we all did in 2013. SYRIA CRISIS FAIR SHARE ANALYSIS 2015 www.oxfam.org

The numbers of people in need as a result of the conflict in Syria continues to rise, but the international humanitarian response has not kept pace. The donor conference in Kuwait on 31 March 2015 is an opportunity to reverse that trend and put Syrian civilians first. Oxfam has developed indicators to help guide the fair level of commitment that each wealthy country should make in 2015 to alleviate the suffering of those affected by the Syria crisis: The level of funding each country makes available for the humanitarian response, relative to the size of their economy (based on gross national income); The number of Syrian refugees each country has helped to find safety through offers of resettlement or other forms of humanitarian protection, again based on the size of the economy. 2

Figure 1 Funding fair share analysis for 2015 This chart looks at the funding committed to the Syria crisis in the first quarter of 2015. Based on an estimated total need of $8.7bn, the analysis shows that only 9.8 percent of the funding needed has been received. 1 Country 2015 contributions ($m) (Incl. CERF/ECHO share) Fair share ($m) % Fair share contributed Australia 2.1 116.9 2% Austria 6.7 45.9 15% Belgium 12.8 55 23% Canada 47.5 178.4 27% Czech Republic 2.6 33.5 8% Denmark 6.8 30 23% Finland 5.3 25.9 21% France 32.8 303 11% Germany 168 438 38% Greece 4.1 33.8 12% Iceland 0 1.6 1% Ireland 7.4 21.5 35% Italy 28.4 253.2 11% Japan 44 573.1 8% Korea, Republic of 2 200 1% Kuwait 0.1 49.1 0% Luxembourg 1.5 3.7 41% Netherlands 13.7 92.8 15% New Zealand 0.9 16.2 5% Norway 7.9 40.3 20% Poland 5.1 104.6 5% Portugal 4.9 32.6 15% Qatar 7.1 47.9 15% Russia 2.0 593 0% Saudi Arabia 2.8 275.5 1% Slovakia 0.9 16.8 5% Spain 18.5 181.6 10% Sweden 13.6 53.3 26% Switzerland 24.9 57 44% UAE 3.7 98.2 4% United Kingdom 320 291.3 110% United States 51.9 2023.7 3% Key >90% fair share contributed 50 90% contributed <50% contributed Note: Information is drawn from publically available sources including EDRIS and FTS and checked with government representatives where possible. Australia, Germany, Ireland, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Spain, the United Kingdom and the United States all provided additional data. 3

Figure 2 Funding fair share analysis for 2014 This chart looks at the funding received for the Syria crisis during 2014. Based on an estimated total need of $7.7bn, the analysis shows that 62.5 percent of the funding needed was received by the end of 2014. 2 Country 2014 contributions ($m) (Incl. CERF/ECHO share) Fair share ($m) % Fair share contributed Australia 31 109.6 28% Austria 17.4 41.6 42% Belgium 24 50 48% Canada 150.6 165.5 91% Czech Republic 10.4 29 36% Denmark 63 27 233% Finland 27.4 23.3 118% France 154.3 269.2 57% Germany 425.1 382.6 111% Greece 13.6 32 42% Iceland 0 1.2 0% Ireland 26.2 18.4 142% Italy 130.6 223.3 58% Japan 149.4 516.5 29% Korea, Republic of 5 172.8 3% Kuwait 300 27.1 1107% Luxembourg 8.7 3.9 222% Netherlands 93.1 81.5 114% New Zealand 5.8 14.7 39% Norway 95.3 37.5 254% Poland 17.8 91 20% Portugal 16.1 29.1 55% Qatar 104.4 29.2 358% Russia 46 613.7 7% Saudi Arabia 172 159.2 108% Slovakia 3.0 14.9 20% Spain 69.2 166.4 42% Sweden 67.0 46.9 143% Switzerland 61.9 50.2 123% UAE 275.7 70.6 391% United Kingdom 432.2 260.1 166% United States 1727.7 1772.4 97% Key >90% fair share contributed 50 90% contributed <50% contributed Note: Information is drawn from publically available sources including EDRIS and FTS and checked with government representatives where possible. Australia, Belgium, Germany, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Qatar, Russia, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and the United Kingdom all provided additional data. 4

Figure 3 Refugee resettlement and humanitarian admission fair share analysis Oxfam is calling for 5 percent of the population of refugees registered in neighbouring countries, equivalent to 196,000 people, to be resettled or offered humanitarian admission in rich countries that have signed the UN refugee convention by the end of 2015, as part of a multi-year commitment to resettle the most vulnerable of the refugee population. 3 This chart looks at pledges from these countries against a fair share calculated on the basis of the size of their economy. To date, only 37 percent of places have been pledged by the world s richest governments, and in a timeframe that remains unclear. Country Number of places pledged Fair share (no. of persons) % of fair share contributed Australia 5600 4302.8 130% Austria 1500 1634.2 92% Belgium 300 1945.3 15% Canada 11300 6501.7 174% Czech Republic 70 1139.1 6% Denmark 390 1060.3 37% Finland 850 915.7 93% France 2400 10571.9 23% Germany 30000 15027.6 200% Greece 0 1257.4 0% Iceland 0 48.2 0% Ireland 343 722.9 47% Italy 400 8771.2 5% Japan 0 20285 0% Korea, Republic of 0 6786.5 0% Luxembourg 60 153.3 39% Netherlands 500 3202.7 16% New Zealand 100 578.3 17% Norway 2500 1472.1 170% Poland 100 3575.1 3% Portugal 23 1143.5 2% Russia 0 14287.1 0% Slovakia 0 587.1 0% Spain 260 6536.8 4% Sweden 2700 1840.1 147% Switzerland 3500 1971.5 178% United Kingdom 500 10217 5% United States 10714 69608.7 15% TOTAL 74110 196143 n/a Key >90% fair share contributed 50 90% contributed <50% contributed Note: The USA has not indicated an upper limit on the numbers of Syrians it will accept through its resettlement programme, but UNHCR has submitted 10,714 cases for resettlement as of February 2015. The US is the world s largest resettlement country, with an annual ceiling of approximately 70,000 refugees in recent years. 5

NOTES Data is correct as of 26 March 2015. 1 This is higher than the 7 percent funding shown for the UN appeals because it incorporates funding commitments made outside of the UN appeals. For further details on methodology see: D. Gorevan (2014) A Fairer Deal for Syrians, Oxfam, https://www.oxfam.org/en/research/fairer-deal-syrians 2 This is higher than the 58 percent funding received by the UN appeals because it incorporates funding commitments made outside of the UN appeals. 3 Oxfam s analysis does not look at numbers who have claimed asylum in these states, nor family reunification of refugees, see D. Gorevan (2014) op. cit., p. 11. UNHCR states there are approximately 390,000 vulnerable refugees who would be eligible for resettlement. 6

Oxfam International March 2015 This paper was written by Abigael Baldoumas, Joelle Bassoul, Daniel Gorevan and Camilla Jelbart Mosse, with the assistance of colleagues across the Oxfam confederation. It is part of a series of papers written to inform public debate on development and humanitarian policy issues. For further information on the issues raised in this paper please e-mail advocacy@oxfaminternational.org This publication is copyright but the text may be used free of charge for the purposes of advocacy, campaigning, education, and research, provided that the source is acknowledged in full. The copyright holder requests that all such use be registered with them for impact assessment purposes. For copying in any other circumstances, or for re-use in other publications, or for translation or adaptation, permission must be secured and a fee may be charged. E-mail policyandpractice@oxfam.org.uk. The information in this publication is correct at the time of going to press. Published by Oxfam GB for Oxfam International under ISBN 978-1-78077-834-1 in March 2015. Oxfam GB, Oxfam House, John Smith Drive, Cowley, Oxford, OX4 2JY, UK. OXFAM Oxfam is an international confederation of 17 organizations networked together in more than 90 countries, as part of a global movement for change, to build a future free from the injustice of poverty: Oxfam America (www.oxfamamerica.org) Oxfam Australia (www.oxfam.org.au) Oxfam-in-Belgium (www.oxfamsol.be) Oxfam Canada (www.oxfam.ca) Oxfam France (www.oxfamfrance.org) Oxfam Germany (www.oxfam.de) Oxfam GB (www.oxfam.org.uk) Oxfam Hong Kong (www.oxfam.org.hk) Oxfam India (www.oxfamindia.org) Oxfam Intermón (Spain) (www.oxfamintermon.org) Oxfam Ireland (www.oxfamireland.org) Oxfam Italy (www.oxfamitalia.org) Oxfam Japan (www.oxfam.jp) Oxfam Mexico (www.oxfammexico.org) Oxfam New Zealand (www.oxfam.org.nz) Oxfam Novib (Netherlands) (www.oxfamnovib.nl) Oxfam Québec (www.oxfam.qc.ca) Please write to any of the agencies for further information, or visit www.oxfam.org. www.oxfam.org 7