Economists and the Welfare State

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Economists and the Welfare State The neoliberal Quest against Social Citizenship and the Prospect of the European Welfare State 1

Argument(s) State of art: influence of economists due to a) authority/prestige of profession, b) institutional positions, c) diffusion of economic reasoning tools (economic sociology, policy analysis) My argument: need to also consider a) epistemic struggles and authority within (and beyond) profession, b) interests related to and / or backing economists and c) infrastructures / social technologies supporting diffusion (sociology of knowledge, political economy, political sociology) Economists and the welfare state 1) Power of Economic Ideas? Efficiency Equality Trade off? How Neoliberalism became economics ) Backdrops: 1930s and the parallel rise of new liberalism and neoliberalism; convergence? 3) Social questions: mapping social liberal and neoliberal philosophy/political thought 4) Historical Evolution post WW II from social liberalism to neoliberalism 5) Differences matter: social citizenship or (more or less social) market citizenship?

Varieties of (Neo )Liberalism Classical Liberal Core New Liberalism Social Liberalism Neoliberalism Traditional Liberal Thought Liberty Individuality Progress Rationality Sociability General Interest (Utilitarianism) Representative, limited government Democracy: popular rule and elitism Equality: participation in benefits of combined labor 3

New Liberalism Reaction to severe problems of Industrialization (Green, Hobhouse etc.) Expanded social responsibility Opposite to Spencer s social Darwinism Prepares ground for expanded welfare regime vision (Beveridge, Hobson ) TH Marshall s social rights following civil and political rights social citizenship revisited Socal citizenship extends traditional liberal notions of equality (impartial application of law, equality of respect) recognition of tensions between subsets, recognition of relevant tension between social class based inequality and social citizenship based equality principles. Committment to decreasing inequality Neo liberal good society: Recognition of need of state, social minimum standards, preservation of free market Convergence of language, not necessarily of substantive meaning 4

Agency: Neoliberals vs. Social Liberals NEO LIBERALISM SOCIAL LIBERALISM Social Classes Social Citizenship Principle: Inequality Equality Neo liberal norm conflicts Struggle over meaning of equity, equality and social integration on top of liberty, individualism Social Liberal Space Macro Rationality Progress Expanded Democratic Rights Economic Rights Social Rights, material equality Neoliberal Space Anti Rationalism, anti positivism, neoliberal variety of Social Constructivism Extremely tangible, anti teleological understanding of historical progress Emphasis on Property Rights: ownership and contract, from perspective of competitive order Restricted Democratic Rights: output legitimacy Social minimum standards, human dignity 5

Left and Right Bobbio: How do you think about equality RIGHT Inequality is : Natural more than social Not alterable Mostly productive Does not have a teleological development perspective Social integration to secure stability LEFT Inequality is: Social more than natural alterable Mostly unproductive Diminishes in history over time Social integration to reduce inequality Social minimum standards not inimical to the market (MPS principles) Social rights/egalitarian societal perspectives Mont Pèlerin Founding conference: origins of norms and principled beliefs Analysis of the human nature of the crisis New definition of functions of the state / distinguish more clearly between free and unfree order Methods to reestablish the rule of the law Social minimum standards that do not undermine the market order Fight against abuse of history against freedom due to moral relativism, teleology (historism and relativism) Securing an International order for economic harmony 1 6

Colloque Walter Lippmann 1938: The Good Society (Crisis of Capitalism and Liberalism) USA GB 3 B 1 CH 1 PL 1 A 3 E 1 F 13 TK 1 Total 6 Louis Rougier invites to Institut International de Coopération Intellectuelle, Rue Montpensier in Paris (August 6 30). Program to bring liberalism up to date. Acknowledged failure of traditional liberalism, adopted term: Neoliberalism, multinational Think Tank plans: Centre International d Ètudes pour la Rénovation du Libéralisme 13 MPS founding meeting 1947 USA 17 DK 1 GB 8 B 1 F 4 CH 4 N 1 S 1 D 1 I 1 39 Hayek: Intellectuals and Socialism. Left wing control of media despite capitalist ownership due to rise of lower classes in higher education; Second Hand Dealers in Ideas; Need to develop own capacities for the long term battle of ideas (two generations) 14 7

15 16 8

MPS 1991 DK 1 IS 1 NL 4 L 1 9 8 8 B 8 9 F P 1 14 BS 1 CH 13 4 GCA 7 YV 5 I 6 CR 3 CO 1 EC 1 1 4 CZ 1 D 41 A 4 1 THA 1 10 HK 4 1 11 Source: Walpen 004 500 10 13 NZ 3 17 1964 1986 18 9

Interests and Ideas Development of neoliberal capacity: MPS think tanks (und predecessors) 30 6 5 1 0 18 15 10 7 5 8 5 1 1 1 3 0 1910 1919 190 199 1930 1939 1940 1949 1950 1959 1960 1969 1970 1979 1980 1989 1990 1999 000 N/A Source: Walpen 004 0 10

Think Tanks with prominent MPS linkages GCA CND USA 31 MEX 4 YV 1 IS 1 D 5 CZ 1 GB 7 S 1 IRL 1 PL 3 B F 5 SK 1 E 1 I 1 A 1 TR 1 CH 3 IL 1 IND RC 1 J 1 ES 1 PE 3 BR RCH 3 ROU 1 RA 1 Source: Walpen 004 >100 RSA AUS NZ 1 1 Think Tanks and MPS Intellektuals: Networkers and Safe Havens MPS Members 13 6 3 14 5 7 4 1 (Buchanan) TT-Connections 1 3 4 5 6 7 11 Institute of Economic Affairs (51) Hoover Institution (4) Cato Institute (40) Independent Institute (39) Walter-Eucken-Institut (6) Source: own research based on Walpen 004 11

Pattern of connections: MPS Members and Think Tanks Source: own research based on Walpen 004 Think Tanks (83) MPS Mitglieder (338) 3 Beyond Mont Pèlerin : Atlas-Economic Research Foundation Quelle: Teles, S./Kenney, D.A. (008): Spreading the Word. In: Kopstein, J./Steinmo, S. (eds.): Dieter Plehwe, Growing Inequality Apart? & America Social Policy and (WZB) Europe in the Twenty-First The Res Publica, Century.Cambridge: CUP, Vienna S. 146. 017 1

Beyond Mont Pèlerin : Stockholm Network From social citizenship to (social market citizenship Until 1970s Expansion of welfare state Uphill battle of neoliberals: attempts to limit expansion Goal: limiting decommodification Varieties of welfare (liberal, conservative, social democratic) Since 1980s Reduction of welfare state transformation of welfare state: pensions, unemployment, health, education reforms Goal: re commodification, Commercialization, privatization, varieties of retrenchment, austerity 13

Conclusions Economists are important parts of discourse coalitions: story lines unite narrow and broad constituencies Shifting power of interest groups explains (lack of) power of institutional position of powerful intellectuals Dedicated infrastructures expand the specific weight of neoliberal economists and help diffusing neoliberal reasoning and social technologies (economic freedom index) Post War: Social Liberal Era Worlds of welfare: establishing secondary redistribution Embedded liberalism Demand side policies & state interventionism, planning, corporatism: manipulating primary redistribution No cycle growth period Social liberals under pressure of Socialism Welfare state capitalism, momentum towards higher social standards Public Debt: fiscal crisis of the state, collapse of socialism 14

Crisis of Fordism: Rise of Neoliberal Era Collapse of Bretton Woods: flexible exchange rates to preserve capital mobility Stagflation: previous Keynesian approaches fail (not necessarily due to the reasons neoliberals claim: military and social expenditures) OECD response: McCracken Report, moderate even handed approach But introduction to rise of neoliberal hegemonic constellations: Monetarism, Public Choice, Supply Side Economics, Law and Economics Authoritarian neoliberalism Chile, Argentina New Right: Thatcher & Reagan European Single Market, NAFTA IMF conditions and Washington Consensus Postsocialist Free Market Capitalism Currency board capitalism (from HongKong to Argentina) Short end of history: return of crisis capitalism Argentina, South East Asia, Russia, Enron, transatlantic financial and economic crisis Neoliberal hegemonic constellations Varieties of Austerity capitalism Welfare state retrenchment Supply side politics (e.g. Reducing capital gains taxes; financial markets) Privatization, Liberalization, Deregulation (Planning for de planning) Privatized welfare: Asset based Welfare, housing, mortgage market private debt Neoliberal Re Regulation: Flexicurity, Nudging 15

Neoliberal hegemonic constellations Mont Pèlerin and related intellectuals core members of discourse coalitions fighting against notions of social citizenship and promoting key neoliberal concepts Increasing institutional weight due to strong reliance on think tank networks (Atlas Economic Research Foundation, International Policy Network, Stockholm Network etc. What about contemporary Austerity lobby? Conclusions The differences between social liberal and neoliberal ideas matter, maybe more since 1980s than originally, provide compass to reform the welfare state (social) market citizenship is not a simple return to classical liberalism, self responsibility and private charity Welfare regime transformations, permanent and increasing austerity: offloading to financialized welfare insurance and extended (family) liability (Melinda Cooper) Exclusive, shrinking solidarity: reversing expansive solidarity, consolidating legitimate base (neoliberalism and right wing populism, neo nationalism) 16

Preliminary Findings: The Austerity Network I We have identified 51 European Think Tanks promoting strong austerity positions The sample was selected from think tanks involved in European political party related networks (European Party Foundations) and two European partisan political networks: The European Party Foundations: (NDF, Martence Centre, ELF, FEPS, GEF, Transform) (n= 179) Partisan Political Networks : Stockholm Network (neoliberal party independent) & European Ideas Network (also related to EPP) (n=155) Austerity Network in Europe Austerity Think Tanks / Countries Germany 11 Belgium 8 United Kingdom 5 Spain 3 Italy 3 France 3 Switzerland Sweden Countries Slovakia Poland Czech Republic Think Tanks Austria Slovenia 1 Romania 1 Netherlands 1 Greece 1 Denmark 1 Croatia 1 0 4 6 8 10 1 17

Austerity Network in Germany Stiftung Marktwirtschaft Institute for Free Enterprise Hayek Gesellschaft Friedrich Naumann Stiftung Think Tanks ofthe Austerity Network in Germany Stiftung Ordnungspolitik Walter Eucken Institut Center for European Policy New Social Market Economy Foundation Hanns Seidel Stiftung Hamburg Institute for International Economics Konrad Adenauer Stiftung Center for European Policy Connections between Austerity Network, TT Networks & Foundations STOCKHOLM NETWORK 38 EIN 18 NDF 10 Austerity Network 4 6 MARTENCE CENTRE ELF FEPS TRANS FOM GEF 18

Connections between The Foundations and Partisan Political Networks 38 9 STOCKHOLM NETWORK 18 18 11 MARTENCE CENTRE NDF EIN 9 ELF FEPS TRANS FOM GEF The Austerity Network The Austerity think tank network is situated on the political right, overlaps with conservative and (rightwing) liberal actors in the group of political party foundations and partisan think tank networks. Within the austerity think tank network we found personal interlocks (n=104): possibly key networkers 75 individuals hold a membership in the Mont Pelerin Society; MPS membersdominateinterlocks (twothird) Deepen collaborative analysis to elaborate the transnational expert, consulting and lobby/advocacy networks that promote austerity capitalism, explain positions, weight, differences 19

Prospect EU social citizenship Permanent austerity? Increasing austerity, inequality, though neoliberal acceptance of minimum standards, social integration, more or less pragmatic: key question of social struggles, no return to laisser faire in neoliberalism! Be ready for surprising neoliberals! Postneoliberalism? Requires break with neoliberal social integration: transnational solidarity, strong and reliable notion of social citizenship, counter competitive federalism, interstate federalism, expand solidarity norm, decomodify the social Roadmap: identify neoliberal attacks and confront them (Cameron s partial disintegration etc.), promote fiscal federalism, redistribution, address production system: new globalized industrial citizenship Beware of liberal isolation! Thank you for your Attention! 0