Residents: n=2,521, MOE +/- 2.0% Registered Voters: n=1,987, MOE +/- 2.2% NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll New York Questionnaire Potential Republican Electorate: n=477, MOE +/- 4.5% Likely Republican Primary Voters: n=259, MOE +/- 6.1% Potential Democratic Electorate: n=989, MOE +/- 3.1% Likely Democratic Primary Voters: n=557, MOE +/- 4.2% Screener <Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older? Do you consider your permanent home address to be in New York? HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY GENDER GUESS Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? Approve 58 Disapprove 36 Unsure 5 RESIDENTS Approve 62 Disapprove 33 Unsure 6 If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in New York were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee): LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Donald Trump 54 John Kasich 21 Ted Cruz 18 Undecided 5 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE Donald Trump 48 John Kasich 23 Ted Cruz 20 Undecided 7 Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary in New York (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate): LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE John Kasich 36 Ted Cruz 32 Donald Trump 15 Undecided 16 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE John Kasich 37 Ted Cruz 30 Donald Trump 15 Undecided 17 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: New York ; Page 1
Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>,* or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE Strongly support 64 Somewhat support 27 Might vote differently 9 Unsure 1 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE Strongly support 58 Somewhat support 28 Might vote differently 12 Unsure 2 * including those who voted absentee If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary in New York were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee): LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Hillary Clinton 55 Bernie Sanders 41 Other 0 Undecided 3 POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE Hillary Clinton 51 Bernie Sanders 44 Other 0 Undecided 5 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: New York ; Page 2
Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>,* or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day? LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE Strongly support 69 Somewhat support 26 Might vote differently 5 Unsure 1 POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE Strongly support 64 Somewhat support 28 Might vote differently 7 Unsure 1 * including those who voted absentee If Donald Trump has won the most delegates going into the Republican Convention but not enough to be nominated on the convention's first ballot, do you think: LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS The Republican Party should nominate Donald Trump for president 64 The Republican Party should nominate a different person for president 28 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE The Republican Party should nominate Donald Trump for president 59 The Republican Party should nominate a different person for president 33 If the Republican Party decides to nominate someone other than Donald Trump for president: LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Should the nominee be someone who ran in the primaries this year 59 Is it acceptable to you for the nominee to be a Republican who did not run in the primaries this year 32 Unsure 10 POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE Should the nominee be someone who ran in the primaries this year 57 Is it acceptable to you for the nominee to be a Republican who did not run in the primaries this year 33 Unsure 10 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: New York ; Page 3
If Hillary Clinton becomes the Democratic nominee for president, will you support her or not support her in the general election in November? LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS WHO SUPPORT BERNIE SANDERS Support her 62 Not support her 30 POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE WHO SUPPORT BERNIE SANDERS Support her 59 Not support her 33 If Bernie Sanders becomes the Democratic nominee for president, will you support him or not support him in the general election in November? LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS WHO SUPPORT HILLARY CLINTON Support him 77 Not support him 15 Unsure 9 POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE WHO SUPPORT HILLARY CLINTON Support him 75 Not support him 16 Unsure 9 Which candidate do you think is the real New Yorker: LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Hillary Clinton 42 Bernie Sanders 39 Neither of them 11 POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE Hillary Clinton 40 Bernie Sanders 40 Neither of them 11 Unsure 9 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: New York ; Page 4
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 61 Donald Trump, the Republican 32 Undecided 7 Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 53 John Kasich, the Republican 38 Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 61 Ted Cruz, the Republican 31 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat 64 Donald Trump, the Republican 31 Undecided 6 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat 57 John Kasich, the Republican 35 Bernie Sanders, the Democrat 65 Ted Cruz, the Republican 28 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: New York ; Page 5
Which candidate do you think is the real New Yorker: Donald Trump 41 Bernie Sanders 25 Hillary Clinton 23 None of them 6 Unsure 5 Are you male or female? RESIDENTS Male 48 Female 52 Male 48 Female 52 Total LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS Male 56 Female 44 LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Male 38 Female 62 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: New York ; Page 6