Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Wednesday, 7, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769 (cell); 732-263-5858 (office) pdmurray@monmouth.edu Follow on Twitter: @PollsterPatrick National: Trump Down, s Up, Russia Bad, Kushner Out Opinion on tax reform remains stable West Long Branch, NJ Donald Trump s job approval rating has slipped over the past month, but remains higher than the historic low recorded by the Monmouth University Poll at the end of last year. At the same time, ocrats have widened their lead in the generic House ballot to 9 points as opinion on the new tax reform law has leveled off. Taking a look inside the White House, a majority express concern that the president s son-in-law Jared Kushner had access to top secret information without permanent clearance and feel that he should resign his position. On a related topic, most Americans believe that the Trump family s financial interests have an influence over how the president deals with Russia and most say he is not taking the threat of Russian election meddling seriously. Pres. Trump s job rating now stands at 3 approve and 5 disapprove. This is a net decline from his 4 approve and 50% disapprove rating at the end of January, but it is still higher than his December 2017 low of 3 approve and 5 disapprove. Opinion of the president may be tied to his main legislative accomplishment tax reform. Currently, 4 of the public approve and 4 disapprove of the new tax code reforms signed into law last December. Approval of the plan has leveled off since climbing from 2 in December to 4 in late January. More than one-third () of the public believes their federal taxes will actually go up under the plan and another 3-in-10 (3) say their taxes will remain about the same. Only 2 expect that their taxes will go down. Even among ublicans, not much more than one-third (3) expect to see a tax break under the new reforms. These results are basically unchanged from a month ago. ublican leaders were sitting pretty at the beginning of the year as it looked like public opinion on the tax reform plan was swinging in their favor. But there hasn t been any further movement after that initial bump. A key sticking point is that only 1-in-4 Americans expect to see any net gain in 1
Monmouth University Polling Institute 03/07/18 their federal tax returns, said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute. The poll finds that ocrats have improved their standing on the generic Congressional ballot test. If the election for the House of resentatives was held today, 50% of registered voters say they would vote for or lean toward voting for the ocratic candidate in their district compared to 4 who would support the ublican. The generic House ballot spread was much smaller a month ago (4 and 4 ), while ocrats held a 15 point advantage (5 to 3) at the end of last year. The ocratic Party s lead in the Congressional ballot test has been trending with the net deficit in Trump s job rating. A spate of recent news stories about family members in the president s inner circle seems to have played a role in pushing his numbers down and taking the GOP s standing down with it, said Murray. The Monmouth University Poll finds that the public is divided on the role that the Trump family business plays in administration policymaking. Overall, 4 feel that the personal financial interests of Trump family members have too much influence on policy decisions made by the president. Another say these personal interests have an acceptable amount of influence and 3 say they have no influence on presidential decision-making. Few Americans (2), though, think it is a good idea that the president s son-in-law is working in the White House as an unpaid senior adviser. Fully 6-in-10 (60%) think it is a bad idea. Kushner s security clearance was recently downgraded because he has not been approved for permanent access to top secret information. More than half of Americans (5) say it worries them that Kushner had access to top secret information during the past year, while 4 say it does not worry them. A majority (5) also believe that Kushner should resign from his position, while 3 say he should continue working in the White House. About 6-in-10 (6) of those polled had already heard about Kushner s security clearance downgrade before being interviewed, and among this group 5 say his prior access to top secret information worries them with 6 saying Kushner should resign. Many Americans are withholding judgment on possible entanglements between the Trump family business and presidential policymaking. However, individual incidents like Kushner s security clearance or new details from the Russia investigation could chip away at that opinion, said Murray. Most Americans (5) say that the Trump family s personal financial interests or other ties to Russia definitely (2) or probably (2) influence the way Trump deals with that country s government. Less than 4-in-10 say these ties do not play a role in the president s approach to Russian relations ( probably not and 1 definitely not). 2
Monmouth University Polling Institute 03/07/18 The public is divided on whether the Trump administration may be too friendly toward Russia. For the president himself, 5 are concerned that Trump is too friendly and 4 are not concerned. Similarly, 5 are concerned that other members of the administration are too friendly and 4 are not concerned about this. The public is also divided on whether Trump s attitude toward Russia presents a national security threat 50% say it does and 4 say it does not. These results have not changed significantly from polls taken last year. Specifically, concern that Trump is too friendly toward Russia has ranged from 4 to 5 since he took office. When it comes to how Trump deals with Russia, the American public seems to have locked in their views months ago. Actions taken, or not taken, by the administration and revelations about the investigation over the past year have done little to move this opinion, said Murray. The poll finds, though, that nearly two-thirds (6) say the Russian government is definitely (2) or probably (3) trying to interfere in the upcoming midterm elections. And nearly three quarters of Americans say that Russia definitely (4) or probably () interfered in the 2016 U.S. election. The 7 who now believe in the likelihood of Russian interference in 2016 is up from 6 who said the same in July 2017. This increase has come mainly from independents (7 now vs. 60% in July), while the views of ocrats (8 now vs. 8 in July) and ublicans (5 now vs. 4 in July) have been more stable. Just 2 of Americans believe that Trump is taking the threat of Russian interference in the upcoming midterm elections seriously while 6 say he is not. Similarly, just 2 of the public feel the U.S. government is doing enough to stop Russian interference in the American electoral system while 5 say it is not doing enough. Among those who already feel that Russia is trying to interfere in the upcoming American elections, just say Trump is taking the threat seriously (7 say he is not) and only 1 say that the U.S. is doing enough to stop this kind of meddling (7 say it is not). These results are generally identical for ocrats and independents, but ublicans take a more bifurcated view. Among ublicans who accept the premise that Russia is trying to interfere in our elections, just 3 feel the U.S. government is doing enough to stop it, compared with 6 who say it is not. However, this group does not feel the same way about the leader of that government. Specifically, 5 say Trump is actually taking this threat seriously while only say he is not. It s not quite clear who these ublicans think is responsible for setting government policy on stopping Russian interference in our elections. It seems to be yet another example of how partisan tribal attachments tend to override all other factors when Americans assess the political realm, said Murray. 3
Monmouth University Polling Institute 03/07/18 In the end, most Americans (60%) feel that the special counsel s investigation into Russian interference in 2016 and possible links to the Trump campaign should continue. Just say this investigation should be brought to an end. ocrats (8) and independents (6) are more supportive of continuing the investigation than are ublicans (2). In July 2017, 6 of Americans felt that the special counsel investigation should continue and in May 2017, 7 said the then-ongoing FBI-led investigation should continue. More than 4-in-10 (4) say that if Russia did interfere in the last presidential election, it did a lot of damage to American democracy, while 2 say it did a little damage and 2 say it did no damage. In July 2017, 4 said it did a lot of damage, 2 a little damage, and 2 no damage. In other Monmouth University Poll results, the job performance rating for the U.S. Congress stands at 1 approve and 7 disapprove. A majority (6) say the country is on the wrong track compared with 3 who say the country is headed in the right direction. There have not been any notable shifts in these trends. The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from 2 to 5, with 803 adults in the United States. The results in this release have a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ. QUESTIONS AND RESULTS (* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.) 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? TREND: Jan. Dec. Sept. Aug. July May 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 Approve 3 4 3 40% 4 3 3 4 Disapprove 5 50% 5 4 4 5 5 4 (VOL) opinion 1 (n) (803) (806) (806) (1,009) (805) (800) (1,002) (801) 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the U.S. Congress is doing? TREND: Jan. Dec. Sept. Aug. July May Jan. 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 Approve 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 Disapprove 7 6 6 6 6 70% 6 5 6 (VOL) opinion 1 1 1 1 (n) (803) (806) (806) (1,009) (805) (800) (1,002) (801) (801) TREND: Continued Sept. 2016* Aug. 2016* June 2016* 2016 Jan. 2016 Dec. Approve 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 Disapprove 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 6 70% 7 7 (VOL) opinion 1 1 1 (n) (802) (803) (803) (1,008) (1,003) (1,006) (1,012) (1,009) (1,203) (1,001) (1,002) (1,005) (1,003) (1,008) (1,012) * Registered voters Oct. Sept. Aug. July June April Jan. Dec. 2014 July 2013 4
Monmouth University Polling Institute 03/07/18 3. Would you say things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track? TREND: Jan. Dec. Aug. May Jan. 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 Right direction 3 2 3 3 3 2 Wrong track 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 (VOL) Depends (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) (806) (806) (805) (1,002) (801) (801) TREND: Continued Aug. 2016* Oct. July June April Dec. 2014 July 2013 Right direction 2 2 2 2 2 2 Wrong track 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 (VOL) Depends (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) (1,012) (1,001) (1,002) (1,005) (1,008) (1,012) * Registered voters 4/4A. [REPORTED FOR REGISTERED VOTERS ONLY:] If the election for U.S. Congress was held today, would you vote for the ublican or the ocratic candidate in your district? [INCLUDING LEANERS. ITEMS WERE ROTATED] Jan. Dec. Registered voters 2017 ublican 4 4 3 ocratic 50% 4 5 (VOL) Other candidate (VOL) Would not vote (VOL) Don t know (n) (708) (711) (702) 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the tax reform plan passed by Congress in December? [Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?] TREND: Jan. Dec. 2017* Strongly approve 2 1 Somewhat approve 2 1 Somewhat disapprove 1 1 1 Strongly disapprove 2 3 3 (VOL) Don t know 1 1 2 (n) (803) (806) (806) *Question wording, in December, was Have you heard that the Senate and the House have passed tax reform bills and are now working on a final version, or haven t you heard about this? If HEARD: Do you approve or disapprove of this tax reform plan? [Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?] 6. Under this new tax plan, do you think the federal taxes you pay will go up, go down, or stay about the same? TREND: Jan. Dec. 2017* Go up 3 50% Go down 2 2 1 Stay about the same 3 3 2 (VOL) Don t know 1 (n) (803) (806) (806) *Question wording, in December, was If this new plan becomes law 5
Monmouth University Polling Institute 03/07/18 7. The president's son-in-law Jared Kushner is currently an unpaid senior aide. Do you think his working in the White House is a good idea or a bad idea? Good idea 2 Bad idea 60% (VOL) Don t know 1 (n) (803) 8. Kushner recently had his security clearance downgraded because he still hasn t been approved for permanent access to top-secret information. Have you heard about this or not? Heard 6 t heard 3 (n) (803) 9. Does the fact that Kushner had access to top secret information during the past year worry you or not worry you? [If WORRY: Does that worry you a lot or a little?] Worry, a lot 3 Worry, a little 1 t worry 4 (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) 10. Should Kushner resign from his position or should he continue working in the White House? Resign 5 Continue working 3 (VOL) Don t know 1 (n) (803) 10A. Do the personal financial interests of Trump family members have too much influence on policy decisions made by President Trump, an acceptable amount of influence, or no influence? Too much influence 4 Acceptable amount of influence influence 3 (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) 11. Are you concerned or not concerned that Donald Trump may be too friendly toward Russia? [If CONCERNED: Are you concerned a lot or a little?] TREND: July 2017 May 2017 2017 Jan. 2017 Aug. 2016* Concerned, a lot 3 3 3 3 3 Concerned, a little 1 1 1 1 1 t concerned 4 4 4 4 4 4 (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) (800) (1,002) (801) (801) (803) * Registered voters 6
Monmouth University Polling Institute 03/07/18 12. Are you concerned or not concerned that other members of the Trump administration may be too friendly toward Russia? [If CONCERNED: Are you concerned a lot or a little?] TREND: July 2017 2017 Concerned, a lot 4 3 Concerned, a little 1 1 t concerned 4 4 4 (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) (800) (801) 13. Do you think Trump s attitude toward Russia does or does not present a national security threat to the U.S.? TREND: July May 2017 2017 Does 50% 4 4 Does not 4 4 4 (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) (800) (1,002) 14. Do you think members of the Trump family have financial interests or other ties to Russia that influence the way President Trump deals with the Russian government would you say definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Definitely 2 Probably 2 Probably not Definitely not 1 (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) 15. A special counsel is currently conducting an investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and possible links with the Trump campaign. Should the Russia investigation continue or should it end? TREND: July 2017 May 2017* Continue 60% 6 7 End 3 2 (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) (800) (1,002) [* May 17 question was asked about the then-ongoing FBI investigation.] 16. Do you think the Russian government tried to interfere in the 2016 presidential election would you say definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? TREND: July 2017 Definitely 4 3 Probably 2 Probably not 1 1 Definitely not (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) (800) 7
Monmouth University Polling Institute 03/07/18 17. If Russia did interfere in the election, how much damage did it cause to American democracy a lot, a little, or none at all? TREND: July 2017 A lot 4 4 A little 2 2 ne at all 2 2 (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) (800) 18. Do you think the Russian government is trying to interfere in the upcoming midterm elections would you say definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Definitely 2 Probably 3 Probably not Definitely not (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) 18A. Is President Trump taking the threat of Russian interference in the election seriously, or not? 2 6 (VOL) Don t know (n) (803) 19. Is the U.S. government doing enough or not doing enough to stop Russian interference in the American electoral system? Enough 2 t enough 5 (VOL) interference happening (VOL) Don t know 1 (n) (803) [Q20-48 held for future release.] METHODOLOGY The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from 2 to 5, with a national random sample of 803 adults age 18 and older, in English. This includes 400 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 403 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone. Telephone numbers were selected through random digit dialing and landline respondents were selected with a modified Troldahl-Carter youngest adult household screen. Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. Final sample is weighted for region, age, education, gender and race based on US Census information. Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and SSI (RDD sample). For results based on this sample, one can say with 9 confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error can be larger for subgroups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. 8
Monmouth University Polling Institute 03/07/18 DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted) Self-orted 2 ublican 4 ependent 3 ocrat 4 5 Female 18-34 3 35-54 3 55+ 6 White 1 Black 1 Hispanic Asian/Other MARGIN OF ERROR unweighted sample moe (+/-) 803 3. REGISTERED VOTER 708 3. 95 10. SELF-REPORTED ublican 191 7. ependent 347 5. ocrat 250 6. IDEOLOGY Liberal 177 7. Moderate 308 5. Conservative 293 5. 412 4. Female 391 5.0% AGE 18-34 153 7. 35-54 270 6.0% 55+ 372 5. RACE White non-hispanic 547 4. Other 221 6. UATE degree 445 4. 4 year degree 348 5. 273 5. $50 to <100K 238 6. $100K+ 209 6. 2016 VOTE BY COUNTY Trump 10+ pts 308 5. Swing <10 pts 165 7. Clinton 10+ pts 330 5. ### 9
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Approve Disapprove 3 5 40% 3 5 5 1 7 1 3 5 8 2 7 90% 6 2 50% 4 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Approve Disapprove Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 2 6 2 6 4 50% 4 4 4 5 3 6 4 2 4 7 3 5 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Approve Disapprove $50-100K $100K+ 4 4 4 5 5 2 4 5 6 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the U.S. Congress is doing? Approve Disapprove 1 7 1 7 5 2 3 5 7 1 7 1 2 8 7 5 1 1 7 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the U.S. Congress is doing? Approve Disapprove Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 1 7 6 1 7 1 7 6 1 1 8 1 70% 7 1 6 1 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the U.S. Congress is doing? Approve Disapprove $50-100K $100K+ 1 1 7 7 1 1 7 7 7 Page 1
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 3. Would you say things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track (VOL) Depends 3 6 3 2 60% 6 6 3 0% 2 6 8 5 8 7 4 5 3. Would you say things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track (VOL) Depends Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 2 7 7 3 5 3 5 3 5 2 6 0% 5 7 2 6 3. Would you say things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track (VOL) Depends $50-100K $100K+ 3 6 5 0% 40% 2 2 50% 6 6 4. [REG VOTERS ONLY:] If the election for U.S. Congress was held today, would you vote for the ublican or the ocratic candidate in your district? (with leaners) ublican ocrat [VOL]Other [VOL]t vote [VOL]Dont know 4 50% REGISTERED TO VOTE 4 50% 9 0% 0% 3 4 9 0% 0% 2 7 9 5 1 0% 5 3 4. [REG VOTERS ONLY:] If the election for U.S. Congress was held today, would you vote for the ublican or the ocratic candidate in your district? (with leaners) ublican ocrat [VOL]Other [VOL]t vote [VOL]Dont know Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 60% 2 6 0% 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 5 5 4 6 3 5 Page 2
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 4. [REG VOTERS ONLY:] If the election for U.S. Congress was held today, would you vote for the ublican or the ocratic candidate in your district? (with leaners) ublican ocrat [VOL]Other [VOL]t vote [VOL]Dont know $50-100K $100K+ 4 4 4 4 5 3 3 5 6 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the tax reform plan passed by Congress in December? [PROBE:] Do you (approve_disapprove) strongly or somewhat? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 4 1 40% 1 2 2 2 5 1 1 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the tax reform plan passed by Congress in December? [PROBE:] Do you (approve_disapprove) strongly or somewhat? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 White non-hisp 2 2 1 2 1 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the tax reform plan passed by Congress in December? [PROBE:] Do you (approve_disapprove) strongly or somewhat? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 $50-100K 2 2 3 $100K+ 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 Page 3
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 6. Under this new tax plan, do you think the federal taxes you pay will go up, go down, or stay about the same? Go up Go down Stay about the same 2 3 3 4 2 1 3 2 1 3 3 2 2 5 2 4 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 6. Under this new tax plan, do you think the federal taxes you pay will go up, go down, or stay about the same? Go up Go down Stay about the same Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 4 2 4 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 2 1 3 2 6. Under this new tax plan, do you think the federal taxes you pay will go up, go down, or stay about the same? Go up Go down Stay about the same 4 1 3 $50-100K 2 3 $100K+ 2 3 2 3 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 Lib 7. The presidents son-in-law Jared Kushner is currently an unpaid senior aide. Do you think Good idea Bad idea 2 60% 2 5 1 6 50% 2 6 8 8 1 70% 4 3 2 5 his working in the White House is a good idea or a bad idea? 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree White non-hisp Mod Con Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth 7. The presidents son-in-law Jared Kushner is currently an unpaid senior aide. Do you think Good idea Bad idea 2 6 6 2 5 2 5 2 5 1 6 5 1 7 2 6 his working in the White House is a good idea or a bad idea? 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Page 4
$50-100K Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 $100K+ Trump 10+pts Swing <10pts Clinton 10+pts 7. The presidents son-in-law Jared Kushner is currently an unpaid senior aide. Do you think Good idea Bad idea 2 60% 2 6 2 5 2 5 6 his working in the White House is a good idea or a bad idea? 1 1 1 1 8. Kushner recently had his security clearance downgraded because he still hasnt been approved for permanent access to top-secret information. Have you heard about this or not? Heard t heard 6 3 6 4 3 5 6 6 3 5 4 6 6 5 3 3 4 6 3 8. Kushner recently had his security clearance downgraded because he still hasnt been approved for permanent access to top-secret information. Have you heard about this or not? Heard t heard Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 5 4 4 5 6 3 7 2 5 4 7 2 6 5 3 4 5 4 8. Kushner recently had his security clearance downgraded because he still hasnt been approved for permanent access to top-secret information. Have you heard about this or not? Heard t heard $50-100K $100K+ 6 70% 3 60% 6 6 40% Lib 9. Does the fact that Kushner had Worry, a lot 3 3 4 40% 6 6 4 1 access to top secret information during the past year worry you or Worry, a little 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 not worry you? [IF "WORRY" ASK:] Does that worry you a lot or t worry 4 4 3 7 3 1 1 6 5 a little? Mod Con Page 5
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree White non-hisp Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth 9. Does the fact that Kushner had Worry, a lot 4 40% 3 3 4 3 4 4 access to top secret information during the past year worry you or Worry, a little 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 not worry you? [IF "WORRY" ASK:] Does that worry you a lot or t worry 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 a little? $50-100K $100K+ Trump 10+pts Swing <10pts Clinton 10+pts 9. Does the fact that Kushner had Worry, a lot 3 3 3 40% 4 access to top secret information during the past year worry you or Worry, a little 1 2 1 1 not worry you? [IF "WORRY" ASK:] Does that worry you a lot or t worry 4 4 4 3 3 a little? 10. Should Kushner resign from his position or should he continue working in the White House? Resign Continue working 5 3 1 5 5 3 2 2 6 5 2 1 80% 1 8 6 1 2 5 1 5 1 10. Should Kushner resign from his position or should he continue working in the White House? Resign Continue working Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 60% 2 1 6 2 1 5 3 5 3 1 5 3 1 6 2 1 50% 6 3 1 5 1 10. Should Kushner resign from his position or should he continue working in the White House? Resign Continue working $50-100K $100K+ 5 5 3 3 4 5 6 40% 3 2 1 1 Page 6
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 Lib 10A. Do the personal financial interests of Trump family members have too much Too much influence Acceptable amount of influence 4 4 4 2 1 3 4 6 1 6 1 5 2 2 influence on policy decisions made by President Trump, an influence 3 3 2 50% 3 1 1 5 acceptable amount of influence, or no influence? Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree Mod White non-hisp 10A. Do the personal financial interests of Trump family members have too much Too much influence Acceptable amount of influence 3 2 50% 1 5 2 3 3 3 2 5 1 40% 2 influence on policy decisions made by President Trump, an influence 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 3 acceptable amount of influence, or no influence? Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth $50-100K $100K+ Trump 10+pts Swing <10pts Clinton 10+pts 10A. Do the personal financial interests of Trump family members have too much Too much influence Acceptable amount of influence 4 2 4 2 4 4 2 3 2 4 1 4 influence on policy decisions made by President Trump, an influence 2 2 3 3 2 acceptable amount of influence, or no influence? Con 11. Are you concerned or not concerned that President Trump may be too friendly toward Russia? [IF CONCERNED:] Are you concerned a lot or a little? Concerned, a lot Concerned, a little t concerned 3 1 4 3 3 1 4 4 8 3 1 4 6 1 1 6 4 1 1 1 1 3 7 3 5 11. Are you concerned or not concerned that President Trump may be too friendly toward Russia? [IF CONCERNED:] Are you concerned a lot or a little? Concerned, a lot Concerned, a little t concerned Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 4 1 3 40% 2 3 40% 50% 3 5 3 1 4 4 4 3 5 1 1 5 40% 1 4 Page 7
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 11. Are you concerned or not concerned that President Trump may be too friendly toward Russia? [IF CONCERNED:] Are you concerned a lot or a little? Concerned, a lot Concerned, a little t concerned $50-100K $100K+ 40% 3 4 4 2 3 4 1 1 1 5 4 3 Lib 12. Are you concerned or not Concerned, a lot 3 3 6 6 4 1 2 concerned that other members of the Trump administration may be Concerned, a little 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 too friendly toward Russia? [IF CONCERNED:] Are you t concerned 4 4 4 7 4 1 1 3 70% 5 concerned a lot or a little? Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree White non-hisp Mod Con Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth 12. Are you concerned or not Concerned, a lot 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 50% 40% concerned that other members of the Trump administration may be Concerned, a little 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 too friendly toward Russia? [IF CONCERNED:] Are you t concerned 3 3 4 4 4 5 2 3 concerned a lot or a little? $50-100K $100K+ Trump 10+pts Swing <10pts Clinton 10+pts 12. Are you concerned or not Concerned, a lot 3 3 3 4 concerned that other members of the Trump administration may be Concerned, a little 1 1 1 1 1 too friendly toward Russia? [IF CONCERNED:] Are you t concerned 4 4 5 4 3 concerned a lot or a little? Lib 13. Do you think Trumps attitude Does 50% 50% 4 1 50% 8 7 6 toward Russia does or does not present a national security threat Does not 4 4 4 8 4 1 1 3 7 5 to the U.S.? Mod Con Page 8
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree White non-hisp Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth 13. Do you think Trumps attitude Does 6 60% 4 4 4 5 4 6 5 toward Russia does or does not present a national security threat Does not 3 3 4 5 4 4 5 2 40% to the U.S.? $50-100K $100K+ Trump 10+pts Swing <10pts Clinton 10+pts 13. Do you think Trumps attitude Does 4 4 4 4 5 toward Russia does or does not present a national security threat Does not 4 50% 5 4 3 to the U.S.? Lib 14. Do you think members of the Definitely 2 2 4 5 3 2 Trump family have financial interests or other ties to Russia Probably 2 2 2 1 3 3 3 3 1 2 that influence the way President Trump deals with the Russian Probably not 2 3 1 2 2 government - would you say Definitely not 1 1 1 3 1 3 2 definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree White non-hisp Mod Con Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth 14. Do you think members of the Definitely 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 Trump family have financial interests or other ties to Russia Probably 3 3 2 2 2 3 that influence the way President Trump deals with the Russian Probably not 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 government - would you say Definitely not 1 2 1 1 1 definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? $50-100K $100K+ Trump 10+pts Swing <10pts Clinton 10+pts 14. Do you think members of the Definitely 3 2 2 3 Trump family have financial interests or other ties to Russia Probably 2 2 2 2 3 that influence the way President Trump deals with the Russian Probably not 2 2 2 1 government - would you say Definitely not 1 2 2 1 1 definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Page 9
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 15. A special counsel is currently conducting an investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and possible links with the Trump campaign. Should the Russia investigation continue or should it end? Continue End 60% 5 6 3 3 2 7 6 3 8 1 8 7 3 2 6 5 4 15. A special counsel is currently conducting an investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and possible links with the Trump campaign. Should the Russia investigation continue or should it end? Continue End Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 6 3 7 2 5 4 5 4 5 40% 70% 2 5 7 4 2 6 3 15. A special counsel is currently conducting an investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and possible links with the Trump campaign. Should the Russia investigation continue or should it end? Continue End $50-100K $100K+ 5 5 3 3 5 6 6 4 2 16. Do you think the Russian government tried to interfere in the 2016 presidential election - would you say definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not 4 1 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 4 3 1 6 2 5 5 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 1 Page 10
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 16. Do you think the Russian government tried to interfere in the 2016 presidential election - would you say definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 4 3 1 3 3 1 4 2 1 1 4 2 1 3 3 1 5 2 4 4 3 1 1 40% 3 1 16. Do you think the Russian government tried to interfere in the 2016 presidential election - would you say definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not $50-100K $100K+ 4 5 2 2 1 4 4 3 1 1 1 17. If Russia did interfere in the election, how much damage did it cause to American democracy - a lot, a little, or none at all? A lot A little ne at all 4 2 2 4 4 2 2 2 1 2 6 4 2 2 70% 2 7 5 2 2 2 5 0% 3 2 17. If Russia did interfere in the election, how much damage did it cause to American democracy - a lot, a little, or none at all? A lot A little ne at all Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 5 2 2 4 4 2 3 3 2 3 4 2 4 2 2 3 6 1 3 4 2 2 17. If Russia did interfere in the election, how much damage did it cause to American democracy - a lot, a little, or none at all? A lot A little ne at all $50-100K $100K+ 40% 3 2 2 3 2 3 4 5 2 2 2 2 2 Page 11
Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 18. Do you think the Russian government is trying to interfere in the upcoming midterm elections - would you say definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not 2 3 2 1 3 1 1 1 3 2 2 40% 4 1 3 3 1 4 3 3 1 1 2 2 3 2 1 18. Do you think the Russian government is trying to interfere in the upcoming midterm elections - would you say definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 2 4 1 1 4 2 2 3 1 1 3 3 1 2 3 2 1 3 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 2 18. Do you think the Russian government is trying to interfere in the upcoming midterm elections - would you say definitely, probably, probably not, or definitely not? Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not $50-100K $100K+ 2 3 3 2 1 2 2 3 4 3 2 1 1 1 Lib 18A. Is President Trump taking 2 2 2 5 2 4 3 the threat of Russian interference in the election seriously, or 6 6 6 3 6 8 9 6 3 5 not? 1 1 Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree White non-hisp Mod Con Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth 18A. Is President Trump taking 2 1 2 2 2 3 1 2 the threat of Russian interference in the election seriously, or 6 7 60% 50% 60% 6 5 7 6 not? 1 Page 12
$50-100K Monmouth University Poll -- NATIONAL -- 3/07/18 $100K+ Trump 10+pts Swing <10pts Clinton 10+pts 18A. Is President Trump taking 2 3 3 2 2 the threat of Russian interference in the election seriously, or 6 60% 5 6 6 not? 19. Is the U.S. government doing enough or not doing enough to stop Russian interference in the American electoral system? Enough t enough (VOL) interference happening 2 5 1 2 60% 5 1 4 3 2 60% 1 1 7 1 2 4 8 6 4 0% 1 1 19. Is the U.S. government doing enough or not doing enough to stop Russian interference in the American electoral system? Enough t enough (VOL) interference happening Female 18-34 35-54 55+ degree 4 yr degree 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 5 6 6 5 5 5 6 0% 1 1 1 1 White non-hisp 2 5 1 19. Is the U.S. government doing enough or not doing enough to stop Russian interference in the American electoral system? Enough t enough (VOL) interference happening Hsp-Blk-Asn-Oth 2 6 2 5 1 $50-100K 3 5 $100K+ 60% 3 2 2 5 5 6 1 Page 13