Ethan Bueno de Mesquita Updated: January 11, 2018 Harris School of Public Policy bdm@uchicago.edu 1155 E. 60th Street, Suite 108 http://home.uchicago.edu/ bdm Chicago, IL 60637 773.834.9874 ACADEMIC APPOINTMENTS University of Chicago Sydney Stein Professor, Harris School of Public Policy and the College, 2016 present Deputy Dean, Harris School of Public Policy, 2017 present (Promotions & Recruitment), 2014 2017 (Strategic Initiatives), 2011-2014 (Faculty) Faculty Associate, Department of Political Science, 2017 present Professor, Harris School of Public Policy, 2011 2016 Associate Professor (with tenure), Harris School of Public Policy, 2007 2011 Founding Director, Center for Policy Entrepreneurship, 2013 2016 Director, Program on Politician Institutions, 2009 2011 Washington University in St. Louis Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, 2003 2007 Resident Fellow, Center in Political Economy, 2003 2007 Hebrew University of Jerusalem Lady Davis Fellow, Department of Political Science, 2005 2006 Visiting Fellow, Center for the Study of Rationality, 2005 2006 EDUCATION Harvard University, Department of Government Ph.D. in Political Science, June 2003 M.A. in Political Science, June 2000 Hebrew University of Jerusalem Raoul Wallenberg Scholar of Leadership and Democracy, 1996 1997 University of Chicago B.A. in Political Science with Honors, June 1996 PUBLICATIONS Book 2016. Political Economy for Public Policy. Princeton University Press. 1
Peer Reviewed Articles Forthcoming. Learning About Voter Competence (with Scott Ashworth and Amanda Friedenberg). American Journal of Political Science. 2017. Unified vs. Divided Political Authority (with Scott Ashworth). Journal of Politics 79(4):1372-1385. 2017. Accountability and Information in Elections (with Scott Ashworth and Amanda Friedenberg). American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 9(2): 95 138. 2015. Political Accountability with Sequential Policymaking (with Dimitri Landa). Journal of Public Economics 132:95 108. 2015. Measuring Political Violence in Pakistan: Insights from the BFRS Dataset (with C. Christine Fair, Jenna Jordan, Rasul Bakhsh Rais, and Jacob N. Shapiro). Conflict Management and Peace Science 32(5):536 558. 2014. Is Voter Competence Good for Voters?: Information, Rationality, and Democratic Performance (with Scott Ashworth). American Political Science Review 108(3): 565 587. 2013. Rebel Tactics. Journal of Political Economy 121(2):323 357. 2011. Ideologues or Pragmatists? (with Amanda Friedenberg) Journal of the European Economic Association 9(5):931 951 2011. Disentangling Accountability and Competence in Elections: Evidence from U.S. Term Limits (with James Alt and Shanna Rose). Journal of Politics 73(1):171 186 2010. Regime Change and Revolutionary Entrepreneurs. American Political Science Review 104(3):446 466 2009. Elections with Platform and Valence Competition (with Scott Ashworth). Games and Economic Behavior 67(1):191 216 2008. Terrorist Factions. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 3(4):399-418. 2008. Public Protection or Private Extortion? (with Catherine Hafer). Economics and Politics 20(1):1 32 2008. Informative Party Labels with Institutional and Electoral Variation (with Scott Ashworth). Journal of Theoretical Politics 20(3):251 273 2007. Regulatory Quality under Imperfect Oversight (with Matthew Stephenson). American Political Science Review 101(3): 605 620 2007. The Propaganda of the Deed: Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Mobilization (with Eric Dickson). American Journal of Political Science 51(2):364 381 2007. Politics and the Suboptimal Provision of Counterterror. International Organization 61(1):9 36 2006. Delivering the Goods: Legislative Particularism in Different Electoral and Institutional Settings (with Scott Ashworth). Journal of Politics 68(1):168 179 2006. Legal Institutions and Informal Networks (with Matthew Stephenson). Journal of Theo- 2
retical Politics 18(1):41 68 2006. Monotone Comparative Statics for Models of Politics (with Scott Ashworth). American Journal of Political Science 50(1):214 231 2005. The Quality of Terror. American Journal of Political Science 49(3):515 530 2005. The Terrorist Endgame: A Model with Moral Hazard and Learning. Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(2):237 258 2005. Conciliation, Counterterrorism, and Patterns of Terrorist Violence. International Organization 59(1):145 176 2002. Informative Precedent and Intra-Judicial Communication (with Matthew Stephenson). American Political Science Review 96(4):755 66. Reprinted in James R. Rogers, Jon R. Bond, and Roy B. Flemming (eds.). 2006. Institutional Games and the U.S. Supreme Court. University of Virginia Press 2002. The Binds that Tie: Creating a Virtuous Cycle of Commitment through Communal Expectations. CCAR Journal: A Reform Jewish Quarterly Winter:93 103 2000. Strategic and Non-Policy Voting: A Coalitional Analysis of Israeli Electoral Reform. Comparative Politics 33(1):63 80 Other Publications 2015. All Else Equal in Theory and Data (Big or Small) (with Scott Ashworth and Christopher Berry). PS: Political Science & Politics 48(1):89 94. 2013. Terrorism and Counterterrorism. In Handbook of International Relations, 2nd Edition, ed., Walter Carlsnaes, Thomas Risse, and Beth A. Simmons. London: Sage, 635 655 2009. The Factionalization of Terror Groups. In Guns and Butter: The Economic Causes and Consequences of Violence, ed. Gregory D. Hess. Cambridge: MIT Press, 157 180 2009. Commentary on Dipak Gupta, Understanding terrorism and political violence: the life cycle of birth, growth, transformation and demise. Critical Studies on Terrorism 2(2):327 329 2008. The Political Economy of Terrorism: A Selective Overview of Recent Work. The Political Economist 10(1):1 12 2007. Review of Alan Krueger s What Makes a Terrorist: Economics and the Roots of Terrorism in Science 318 2005. Review of Jonathan Fox s Religion, Civilization, and Civil War in Studies in Conflict and Terrorism 28(4) CURRENT PROJECTS Book Projects Theory and Credibility (with Scott Ashworth and Christopher Berry) Thinking Clearly in a Data-Driven Age (with Anthony Fowler) 3
Working Papers Territorial Conflict with Endogenous Rents Treatment Effects and Information Effects (with Scott Tyson) Incumbency and Information (with Scott Ashworth and Amanda Friedenberg) From Investiture to Worms: A Political Economy of European Development and the Rise of Secularism (with Bruce Bueno de Mesquita) Deterrence with Imperfect Attribution (with Sandeep Baliga and Alexander Wolitzky) Learning By Doing During Counterinsurgency (with Christopher Price and Andrew Shaver) Regime Change and Equilibrium Multiplicity GRANTS, FEllOWSHIPS, & HONORS CIC Academic Leadership Fellow, 2015 2016 Elected Member, Empirical Studies of Conflict Project, 2015 QJPS Referee Hall of Fame, 2005 2014 Office of Naval Research Grant, Rebellion and Counter-Rebellion: Tactics and Targeting, 2013 2016 ($464,813) National Science Foundation Grant, Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models (EITM) Summer Institutes, 2011 2015, Co-PI with Scott Ashworth, Brandice Canes-Wrone, Scott de Marchi, Sean Gailmard, Arthur Lupia, and Adam Meirowitz ($2,239,812) Office of Naval Research Grant, Factions, Internal Competition, and Asymmetric Violence, 2010 2013 ($891,672) National Science Foundation Grant, Research on the Nature of Electoral Accountability, 2008 2010 ($89,973) United States Institute of Peace, Unsolicited Grant for the Study of the Causes of Terrorism, 2005 2006 Lady Davis Fellow, Hebrew University, 2005 2006 Weidenbaum Center (Washington University) Small Research Grant, 2003 2004, 2005 2006 Center for American Political Studies (Harvard University) Seed Grant, 2002 National Science Foundation Graduate Fellowship, 1998 2001 Derek Bok Certificate of Distinction for Excellence in Teaching, 2000 Harvard Graduate School of Arts and Sciences Dean s Fellowship, 1998 2000 Center for Basic Research in the Social Sciences Math Fellowship, 2000 Raoul Wallenberg Scholarship of Leadership and Democracy, 1996 1997 Phi Beta Kappa, 1996 University of Chicago Student Marshal, 1995 1996 TEACHING Undergraduate Elections (Washington University) Terrorism, Insurgency, and Civil Wars (Washington University, Harvard, University of Chicago) Graduate Terrorism, Insurgency, and Civil War (University of Chicago, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Washington University) Economic Models of Politics (University of Chicago) Analytical Politics I: Strategic and Theoretical Foundations (University of Chicago) Political Economy for Public Policy (University of Chicago) Formal Models of Law and Politics (Washington University) Game Theory I (Washington University, University of Chicago) 4
Game Theory II (University of Chicago) Formal Models of Comparative Politics (Washington University) Short Courses Leading Evidence-Based Decisions (various military, government, and academic settings, 2014 ) The Varieties of EITM (EITM Summer Institute 2011 (Chicago), 2012 (Princeton), 2014 (Mannheim)) Political Economy of Public Policy (Executive MPP Program, University of Chile) Theoretical and Methodological Foundations: Comparative Statics (EITM Institute, Washington University) Mathematical Models: Game Theory (ICPSR) PROFESSIONAL SERVICE Selected Disciplinary Service Advisory Editor, Games and Economic Behavior, 2014 Editorial Board, American Journal of Political Science, 2012 2014, 2017 Editorial Board, Journal of Politics, 2011 2015, 2017 Editorial Board, International Studies Quarterly, 2014 Editorial Board, Journal of Theoretical Politics, 2014 External Review Committee, Harvard Government Department, 2016 Co-Director, EITM Summer Training Institute, 2011 Section Head, Formal Modeling Section, 2009 Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association Co-Founder and Co-Organizer, Political Economy in the Chicago Area Annual Conference, 2007 2015 Selected University Service Obama Presidential Center Faculty Partnership Advisory Committee (2016 ) Graduate Student Unionization Steering Committee (2016 ) SEIU Negotiation Advisory Group (2015 ) Harper Lecture (2014 Los Angeles, 2015 Denver, 2016 Paris) Board, Graham School of Continuing, Liberal, and Professional Studies, University of Chicago (2012 2015) Provost s Committee on Online Learning (2012 2013) Selected School Service Co-Chair, Dean Search Committee, Harris School, University of Chicago (2016 2017) Keller Center Steering Committee, Harris School, University of Chicago (2010 ) Aims of Public Policy Address (2013, 2015) Co-Chair, Dean Search Committee, Harris School, University of Chicago (2013 2014) Chair, Committee to Review the MPP Core, Harris School, University of Chicago (2010 2011) Chair, Committee on Research Support, Harris School, University of Chicago (2010 2011) Chair, Political Economy Curriculum Committee, Harris School, University of Chicago (2007 2008) Reviewer American Economic Review, American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science Review, B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, Conflict Management and Peace Science, Defence and Peace Economics, Econometrica, Economic Journal, Economics and Politics, Foreign Policy Analysis, Games and Economic Behavior, Global Governance, Harvard Law Review, International Economic Review, International Organization, International Studies Quarterly, Israel Science Foundation, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Journal of Development Economics, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Journal of Economic Theory, Journal of the European Economic Association, Journal of Global Security Studies, Journal of Peace Research, Journal of Politics, Journal of Political Economy, Journal of Public Economic Theory, Journal of Theoretical Politics, National Science Foundation, Nationalism and Ethnic Politics, Perspectives on Politics, Political Analysis, Politics and Gender, Political Research Quarterly, Political Science Quarterly, Political Studies, Princeton University Press, Public Choice, 5
Quarterly Journal of Economics, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Review of Economics and Statistics, Review of Economic Studies, Security Studies, Social Choice and Welfare, Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada, World Politics. INVITED TALKS AND CONFERENCE PRESENTATIONS Invited Talks 2017 2018: Princeton Institutions & Inference Conference, Emory (scheduled), UBC (scheduled), Georgetown (scheduled), Higher School of Economics (scheduled) 2016 2017: NYU, Rochester, Harvard, Berkeley EITM 2015 2016: Stanford, University of Zurich UBS Center Forum for Economic Dialogue, Emory, Vanderbilt 2014 2015: University of Michigan Ford Security Seminar, Warwick-Princeton Political Economy Conference in Venice 2013 2014: University of Pittsburgh Symposium on Political Violence, Georgetown Political Economy Conference 2012 2013: Emory, Juan March Institute, Washington University Conference in Honor of Norman Schofield, Washington University Conference on Political Economy and Public Law 2011 2012: Rochester Wallis Conference, MIT, Harvard Law School, Priorat Workshop on Theoretical Political Science, Maryland 2010 2011: Stanford GSB, Caltech, Maryland, Yale, LSE, Essex, Princeton 2009 2010: Erasmus School of Economics Rotterdam, CREED Amsterdam, European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics, Washington University in St. Louis, NYU, DePaul University 2008 2009: UCSD (Governance, Development, and Political Violence Summer Workshop), Berkeley (Workshop on Endogenous Institutions and Political Conflict), Minnesota, University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign (William W. Hay Railroad Engineering Seminar), Office of Naval Research (Workshop on Social, Cultural and Computational Science and the Department of Defense s New Mission Areas: Peace Operations, Security, Stabilization and Reconstruction) 2007 2008: University of Chile, Princeton, Columbia Wisconsin, U.S. Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation (Conference on Terrorist Organizations), Yale 2006 2007: Caltech, National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency 2005 2006: Bar Ilan University, Hebrew University of Jerusalem (Political Science), CESifo Berlin (Conference on Guns and Butter: The Economic Causes and Consequences of Conflict), Hebrew University of Jerusalem (Economic Theory) 2004 2005: College of William and Mary (Summer Workshop on Teaching Terrorism), Kellogg School of Management, Virginia Modeling, Analysis, and Simulation Center (Workshop on Human Behavioral Modeling), Berkeley, Tel Aviv University (Workshop on Rethinking Global Terrorism: New Directions and New Approaches) 2003 2004: Stanford, USC (Conference on the Political Economy of International Terrorism), Princeton, NYU, UCSD (IGCC Conference on WMD and Terrorism) 2001 2002: New York University, Washington University in St. Louis (William H. Riker Memorial Conference) Presentations at Professional Meetings American Political Science Association (2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2007, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2016) Midwest Political Science Association (2003, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014) Southern Political Science Association (2011, 2013, 2015) Association for Public Economic Theory, Beijing (2004) International Studies Association (2003, 2008) Public Choice Society (2004) World Congress of the Game Theory Society (2008) 6