Terrorism Survey Frequency Questionnaire March 8-April 21, 2006 116 Respondents, 102 Weighted 31 Conservatives, 31 Weighted 40 Moderates, 40 Weighted 45 Liberals, 31 Weighted Q.1 Thinking about the present situation, would you say that the world is becoming safer or more dangerous for the United States and the American people? Much safer...2 3 3 - Somewhat safer...8 13 5 7 Stayed the same...4 3 5 4 Somewhat more dangerous...54 48 63 49 Much more dangerous...32 32 25 40 Total Safer...10 16 8 7 Total More Dangerous...86 81 88 89 Safer - More Dangerous... -76-65 -80-82
2 Q.2 What is the ONE principal reason why you think the world is becoming safer, more dangerous or has stayed the same for the American people? Islamic/Muslim/Jihadist hostility/anger/animosity/...30 26 38 24 Iraq war...28 26 25 33 Failed/misguided/wrongheaded US policies...12 6 15 13 Nuclear/WMD proliferation...8 10 5 9 Reduction in alliances/less support for US leadership...8 6 10 7 Unilateralism/Unilateral force...7 6 10 4 Danger is spread out across the world...4 6 3 2 North Korea...4 3 5 2 Alienated/Resentment in rest of world...3 3 5 - Iran...3 3 3 2 Rise in anti-americanism...3 3-7 Israel-Palestine/Middle East (non-iraq)...3 3 3 4 Enemy is on the defensive...3 3 5 - Guantanamo/Abu Ghraib/Detainees/Torture...2 3-4 Aggressive action/better defense...2 3-4 Terrorism discredited in many countries...1 3 - - 3 Americans killed by terrorists per year...1 - - 2 Muslim world doing better internally...1-3 - No major military power as adversary...1 3 - - Not one particular reason...1 3 - - Behind the scenes/more integrated... - - - - Other...8 3 10 9
3 Q.3 In your view, what is the SINGLE GREATEST threat to U.S. national security? Nuclear materials/weapons...26 23 28 27 WMD's...21 19 20 24 Islamicism/Al Qaeda/Jihadists...17 19 20 11 Terrorism...15 6 10 29 Bush Administration/US leaders/intelligence failures/unilateralism...14 6 18 16 Continued Iraq war/middle-east conflict...9 10 13 4 Economic decline...5 6 5 2 Iran...4 13 - - Oil dependency...3-3 7 Ignorance/Fear of terrorism...2 6 - - Anti-Americanism...2-3 4 China...2 3 3 - Poverty in developed world...2 3-2 No single threat...1-3 - Collapse of dollar...1 3 - - Pandemic/Bird flu...1 - - 2 Other...2-3 2 Q.4 President Bush has stated that the United States is winning the war on terror. Please choose the option below which best describes how you feel about that statement. Strongly disagree...58 39 60 73 Somewhat disagree...26 32 30 16 Neutral...4 6 3 2 Somewhat agree...9 16 5 7 Strongly agree...4 6 3 2 Total Disagree...84 71 90 89 Total Agree...13 23 8 9 Disagree - Agree...71 48 83 80
4 Q.5 Below is a list of goals that have been cited by experts as critical elements in winning the war on terror. Please indicate which TWO you think are the most important elements. Widespread rejection of radical extremist ideologies...79 77 82 78 Establishment of stable governments in Iraq and Afghanistan...37 30 36 47 Establishment of democratic governments in the Muslim world...15 20 10 16 No major terrorist attack in the United States for five years...9 13 8 7 Capturing/killing leaders of Al Qaeda...8 13 3 9 Capturing/killing Osama Bin Laden...7 10 8 4 (Israel/Palestinian peace)...7 3 8 9 (Improve perception of US)...5 3 8 4 (Reform/development in troubled areas/middle East)...3-5 4 (Controlling WMD's/nuclear material)...3 3 3 2 (Change US policy)...3 7 3 - (Consensus/Multilateral action)...2-5 - (Containment/discrediting of Islamic radicalism)...2 3 3 - No major terrorist attack in the world for five years...1 3 - - (Comparative assessment)...1 - - 2 (Build our own networks to fight Al Qaeda)...1-3 - (Solve European Muslim issues)...1-3 - (Not overreact to terrorists)...1-3 - (End support for repressive governments)...1 3 - - (Capture/prosecute terrorists/international Criminal Court)...1 - - 2 (Resolve Iraq)...1 - - 2 No second choice...11 7 13 13
5 Q.7 Below is a list of areas related to U.S. national security. For each item, please give a rating on a scale of 0 to 10, with 10 meaning that the U.S. government is currently doing the best possible job in this particular area; 0 meaning the U.S. government is presently doing the worst possible job in that area. A rating of 5 means that the U.S. government is currently doing an average job in that particular area. % % % % % Mean 0-2 3-4 5 6-7 8-10 Homeland security...3.4 27 48 15 8 2 Conservative...3.4 24 48 21 3 3 Moderate...3.4 28 46 10 15 - Liberal...3.4 27 51 16 4 2 U.S. intelligence...4.1 17 40 22 21 - Conservative...4.1 14 41 24 21 - Moderate...4.0 18 44 18 21 - Liberal...4.2 18 36 24 22 - Nuclear nonproliferation...3.4 32 36 20 10 2 Conservative...3.5 21 48 24 7 - Moderate...3.9 26 33 23 15 3 Liberal...2.9 51 27 13 7 2 Military readiness...5.4 9 23 21 30 16 Conservative...6.1 10 14 14 28 34 Moderate...5.0 10 28 23 33 5 Liberal...5.3 7 24 27 29 13 Public diplomacy...1.8 74 18 6 2 - Conservative...2.1 69 10 14 7 - Moderate...1.6 77 21 3 - - Liberal...1.7 76 22 2 - - Combating Al Qaeda...4.6 17 30 21 21 12 Conservative...5.2 10 17 28 31 14 Moderate...4.4 21 33 18 21 8 Liberal...4.4 18 38 18 11 16 Combating global terrorist networks...4.7 14 28 20 32 6 Conservative...5.3 7 17 28 41 7 Moderate...4.5 15 41 10 28 5 Liberal...4.5 18 22 27 27 7 Relations with European allies...4.2 12 44 30 12 3 Conservative...4.7 10 38 31 10 10 Moderate...3.9 13 46 33 8 - Liberal...4.1 11 47 24 18 - The war in Iraq...2.7 51 34 5 8 2 Conservative...3.6 34 31 10 17 7 Moderate...2.6 54 36 3 8 - Liberal...2.0 62 33 4 - -
6 % % % % % Mean 0-2 3-4 5 6-7 8-10 Alleviating global poverty...3.2 46 30 14 4 6 Conservative...4.8 17 21 34 10 17 Moderate...2.4 64 28 5-3 Liberal...2.6 49 40 7 4 - Dealing with weak and failing states like Somalia...2.9 48 29 17 6 1 Conservative...3.9 24 21 38 14 3 Moderate...2.4 64 23 10 3 - Liberal...2.6 49 44 4 2 - Promoting democracy and building democratic institutions...4.2 20 38 21 12 8 Conservative...5.1 21 17 17 24 21 Moderate...3.9 23 38 31 3 5 Liberal...3.7 16 58 13 13 - Controlling biological and chemical weapons...4.1 20 33 25 22 - Conservative...4.3 14 28 34 24 - Moderate...4.1 23 31 26 21 - Liberal...3.8 22 40 16 22 - Dealing with North Korea...3.7 30 33 18 18 1 Conservative...4.4 17 28 24 31 - Moderate...3.4 36 36 18 8 3 Liberal...3.4 36 36 11 18 - Dealing with Iran...3.2 35 43 11 9 2 Conservative...3.6 28 41 14 14 3 Moderate...3.2 36 41 13 8 3 Liberal...2.8 40 47 7 7 - Rebuilding Afghanistan...4.8 14 33 17 27 9 Conservative...5.4 7 21 24 34 14 Moderate...4.7 18 36 10 23 13 Liberal...4.2 16 40 20 24 - Responding to global natural disasters...5.9 6 15 20 39 19 Conservative...6.9 3 3 10 45 38 Moderate...5.5 8 21 23 36 13 Liberal...5.4 7 20 27 38 9 Preventing and preparing for pandemics like the Avian flu...4.9 10 27 26 30 7 Conservative...5.4 10 24 14 34 17 Moderate...4.6 15 26 28 28 3 Liberal...4.9 2 31 33 29 4
7 Q.8 Below are departments and agencies involved in protecting the American people from global terrorist networks and in advancing U.S. national security goals. Thinking about the period from 9/11 to the present day and recognizing that different offices within U.S. government agencies/departments perform at different levels, please rate each agency/department overall on a scale of 0 to 10. 10 means the agency/department is currently doing the best possible job it can to protect the American people from global terrorist networks and to advance U.S. national security interests; 0 means the agency/department is presently doing the worst possible job in pursuing these goals. A rating of 5 means that the agency/department is currently doing an average job. % % % % % Mean 0-2 3-4 5 6-7 8-10 Department of Homeland Security...2.9 49 34 9 6 1 Conservative...3.3 34 41 10 10 3 Moderate...2.9 56 26 13 5 - Liberal...2.4 53 38 4 4 - Department of Defense...4.4 20 30 21 22 7 Conservative...5.2 7 24 24 31 14 Moderate...4.6 18 23 26 28 5 Liberal...3.3 33 44 11 7 4 Directorate of National Intelligence...3.9 17 45 25 12 1 Conservative...4.3 14 45 21 17 3 Moderate...3.7 15 51 26 8 - Liberal...3.8 22 38 27 13 - U.S. Agency for International Development...4.6 12 31 24 29 4 Conservative...4.8 14 21 28 28 10 Moderate...4.2 15 41 21 23 - Liberal...5.0 7 29 24 38 2 National Security Agency...5.2 10 24 22 28 14 Conservative...5.9 3 14 24 34 17 Moderate...5.1 8 31 18 33 10 Liberal...4.7 18 24 27 16 16 Central Intelligence Agency...4.4 14 34 25 24 2 Conservative...4.7 21 14 31 31 3 Moderate...4.2 15 41 26 15 3 Liberal...4.4 7 44 20 29 - National Security Council...3.5 25 47 20 7 1 Conservative...4.1 14 41 31 10 3 Moderate...3.2 28 49 18 5 - Liberal...3.4 31 49 13 7 - Department of State...4.8 13 27 21 32 7 Conservative...5.1 14 17 24 38 7 Moderate...4.5 13 38 21 21 8 Liberal...5.0 13 22 18 40 7
8 Q.9 Now we would like you to consider funding for U.S. government agencies and offices that are involved in protecting the American people from global terrorist networks and in advancing U.S. national security goals. Given the current budget, please indicate whether each agency should receive an increase or decrease in funding, or if you think the current funding level should be maintained, and if the increase or decrease should be substantial or moderate. Main Decr Subst Mod tain Mod Sub Total Total - Decr Decr Crnt Incr Incr Decr Incr Incr Department of Defense and the military...15 37 33 6 8 52 15 37 Conservative...17 17 38 10 17 34 28 7 Moderate...10 41 38 5 5 51 10 41 Liberal...20 49 22 4 4 69 9 60 Directorate of National Intelligence and other intelligence agencies...3 10 48 30 9 13 39-26 Conservative...7 7 45 28 14 14 41-28 Moderate... - 5 54 33 8 5 41-36 Liberal...4 18 42 29 7 22 36-13 Department of Homeland Security and other homeland security functions...3 16 38 25 18 19 43-23 Conservative...7 24 38 17 14 31 31 - Moderate... - 10 44 26 21 10 46-36 Liberal...4 16 31 31 18 20 49-29 Department of State, foreign operations, and foreign assistance including USAID and the Millennium Challenge Corporation...2 5 6 30 58 7 87-80 Conservative...7 10 10 38 34 17 72-55 Moderate... - 3 3 26 69 3 95-92 Liberal... - 2 7 27 64 2 91-89
9 Q.10 In the context of current U.S. government efforts to protect the American people from global terrorist networks and to advance U.S. national security goals, please indicate whether each of these actions listed below should be given a higher or lower priority, or whether the priority level should be the same, and if it should be much or somewhat higher or lower. Much Smwt Same Smwt Much Lowr Lowr Lowr Level Hghr Hghr Total Total - Prior Prior Prior Prior Prior Lowr Hghr Hghr Increase the capability and size of U.S. military forces...10 27 33 20 10 36 30 6 Conservative...7 28 31 17 17 34 34 - Moderate...5 28 38 21 8 33 28 5 Liberal...18 24 29 22 7 42 29 13 Kill or capture leaders of terrorist networks...1 14 47 22 15 16 37-21 Conservative... - 3 52 17 28 3 45-41 Moderate... - 18 41 28 13 18 41-23 Liberal...4 20 51 20 4 24 24 - Improve American intelligence capabilities... - 1 24 36 40 1 76-75 Conservative... - - 24 24 52-76 -76 Moderate... - - 21 46 33-79 -79 Liberal... - 2 27 33 38 2 71-69 Promote democracy in Muslim majority countries...13 25 33 17 11 38 29 10 Conservative...38 21 21 10 10 59 21 38 Moderate...3 33 38 21 5 36 26 10 Liberal...2 20 38 20 20 22 40-18 Strengthen the United Nations and other multilateral institutions...8 4 20 36 32 12 68-56 Conservative...24 14 28 21 14 38 34 3 Moderate...3-18 51 28 3 79-77 Liberal... - - 16 31 53-84 -84 Strengthen homeland security...2 7 26 33 31 9 65-56 Conservative...7 7 28 28 31 14 59-45 Moderate... - 5 31 36 28 5 64-59 Liberal... - 9 20 36 36 9 71-62 Increase development assistance to Muslim majority countries...7 8 24 43 18 15 61-46 Conservative...17 17 34 28 3 34 31 3 Moderate...5 5 18 49 23 10 72-62 Liberal... - 2 22 51 24 2 76-73
10 Much Smwt Same Smwt Much Lowr Lowr Lowr Level Hghr Hghr Total Total - Prior Prior Prior Prior Prior Lowr Hghr Hghr Stop nuclear proliferation in places like Iran and North Korea...2 10 21 29 39 12 68-56 Conservative...3 10 28 21 38 14 59-45 Moderate...3 8 18 33 38 10 72-62 Liberal... - 11 18 31 40 11 71-60. troops from Iraq gradually...11 6 24 32 26 17 58-41 Conservative...21 7 28 14 31 28 45-17 Moderate...8 5 26 38 23 13 62-49 Liberal...7 7 20 42 24 13 67-53. dependence on foreign oil...4 6 7 23 59 11 82-71 Conservative...7 7 7 10 69 14 79-66 Moderate...3 8 8 33 49 10 82-72 Liberal...4 4 7 22 62 9 84-76 Cut off funding for international terrorists...2 3 43 25 27 5 52-47 Conservative...3-38 14 45 3 59-55 Moderate... - 5 44 36 15 5 51-46 Liberal...2 4 47 22 24 7 47-40
11 Q.11 Below is a list of actions the United States could take to improve security at international borders. For the purposes of the question, international borders include points of entry, coastlines, and borders with Canada and Mexico. What are the two most important things the United States could do to enhance security at international borders? Improve port and cargo security...70 59 72 78 Improve agencies within the Department of Homeland Security, such as INS, Customs, and Transportation Security Administration (TSA)...43 28 46 53 Increase use of technology along U.S.- Mexico border (i.e., ground sensors and unmanned aerial vehicles)...15 17 21 4 No second choice...12 17 5 16 Increase the number of agents at entry points to the United States...11 10 13 9 Strengthen enforcement of immigration laws in the U.S. workplace...11 14 13 7 Increase and improve the Coast Guard presence along U.S. coastlines...9 10 5 13 (Expand cooperation with border countries/allies/mexico/canada)...7 10 8 2 Build a fence between the United States and Mexico...6 14 5 - Tighten visa program (i.e., eliminate waiver program)...3 3 3 4 (Require National ID/secure documents for travel)...3 3 3 2 (Tackle the threat in other countries)...2-5 - (Better search technology/detection)...2 3-2 (Not persons, importation of WMD is risk)...1-3 - (Guest worker/temporary visa programs)...1 - - 2 (Strengthen domestic intelligence/fbi)...1 - - 2 (Expedite deportation process)...1 3 - - (Reform entire immigration process)...1 3 - - (Deal with immigrant problems inside the country, not just at border)...1-3 -
12 Q.13 In the wake of the September 11 attacks and recommendations from the 9/11 Commission, the U.S. government began instituting reforms in its intelligence agencies. How would you rate intelligence reform to date? Excellent... - - - - Very Good...1 3 - - Good...15 23 8 18 Fair...46 32 58 44 Poor...35 35 33 38 Excellent/Total Good...16 26 8 18 Fair/Poor...81 68 90 82 Q.14 Below is a list of things that are believed to motivate global terrorists. Please choose the two most important things you think motivates them. Extremist religious beliefs...51 59 51 44 Governments and rulers of Middle Eastern countries...29 24 33 29 Opposition to U.S. government policies in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict...25 17 26 31 Opposition to U.S. government policies in Iraq...20 17 23 20 Opposition to U.S. cultural and economic domination...15 10 5 31 Radical religious education...15 17 15 13 Poverty and lack of economic opportunity...12 7 15 13 Impact of Globalization...7 10 8 4 (U.S. troops/policies in Saudi Arabia/Middle East)...5 7 8 - Rejection of American democratic values...4 14 - - No second choice...4 7 3 2 (Terrorist motivated by desire for power to shape the future/self-aggrandizement)...2-5 - (Leaders and troops have different motivations)...2 3-2 (Psychology - low self-esteem/chance for sense of worth)...2-5 - The legacy of Western colonialism...1 - - 4 (Is a process, not any one motivator)...1 3 - - (Lack of democracy)...1 3 - - (US Human rights abuses)...1 - - 2 (They are evil)...1-3 -
13 Q.16 Below are a number of actions or policies undertaken by the U.S. government since September 11, 2001. Please rate the impact of these actions or policies on protecting the American people from global terrorist networks and in advancing U.S. national security goals. Is it a negative or positive impact, and is the impact very or somewhat negative or positive? Very Smwt No Smwt Very Neg Neg Neg Impct Pos Pos Total Total - Impct Impct at All Impct Impct Neg Pos Pos War in Iraq...77 9 3 6 4 87 10 77 Conservative...62 7 10 14 7 69 21 48 Moderate...79 15-3 3 95 5 90 Liberal...89 4-2 4 93 7 87 War in Afghanistan... - 4 3 64 29 4 93-88 Conservative... - 3-59 38 3 97-93 Moderate... - 5 5 64 26 5 90-85 Liberal... - 4 2 69 24 4 93-89 Creation of the Department of Homeland Security...8 28 35 29-36 29 7 Conservative...7 38 28 28-45 28 17 Moderate...8 21 41 31-28 31-3 Liberal...9 29 33 29-38 29 9 Creation of the Directorate of National Intelligence...3 15 54 27-18 27-9 Conservative...3 31 48 17-34 17 17 Moderate...3 8 62 28-10 28-18 Liberal...4 9 51 36-13 36-22 Detention of terrorist suspects in Guantanamo and elsewhere...59 22 3 13 3 81 16 65 Conservative...41 21 3 24 10 62 34 28 Moderate...56 31 3 10-87 10 77 Liberal...78 13 2 7-91 7 84 U.S. public diplomacy efforts...16 42 37 5-58 5 52 Conservative...21 31 38 10-52 10 41 Moderate...13 46 38 3-59 3 56 Liberal...16 47 33 4-62 4 58 U.S. assistance to the Asian tsunami victims and other natural disasters... - 1 6 62 31 1 93-92 Conservative... - - 7 66 28-93 -93 Moderate... - 3 8 56 33 3 90-87 Liberal... - - 2 67 31-98 -98
14 Very Smwt No Smwt Very Neg Neg Neg Impct Pos Pos Total Total - Impct Impct at All Impct Impct Neg Pos Pos Policy towards Iran...20 41 27 12-60 12 48 Conservative...31 17 31 21-48 21 28 Moderate...13 46 31 10-59 10 49 Liberal...18 56 20 7-73 7 67 Policy towards North Korea...16 33 39 11-49 11 38 Conservative...14 38 31 17-52 17 34 Moderate...13 33 49 5-46 5 41 Liberal...22 29 36 13-51 13 38 Policy towards China...1 12 60 26 1 13 27-14 Conservative...3 10 69 14 3 14 17-3 Moderate... - 5 67 28-5 28-23 Liberal... - 22 44 33-22 33-11 Energy policy...29 35 34 3-64 3 61 Conservative...38 28 31 3-66 3 62 Moderate...18 44 36 3-62 3 59 Liberal...33 31 33 2-64 2 62 Promotion of democracy abroad...7 25 29 37 2 32 39-7 Conservative...17 31 10 38 3 48 41 7 Moderate...3 26 41 31-28 31-3 Liberal...2 20 31 44 2 22 47-24 2001 Patriot Act...8 27 19 40 6 35 46-12 Conservative...7 17 17 48 10 24 59-34 Moderate...5 26 21 41 8 31 49-18 Liberal...11 38 20 31-49 31 18
15 Q.17 Below is a list of countries. For each one, please indicate how effective you think cooperation has been between the United States and this particular country in the war against global terrorist networks. Has there been no cooperation at all, very ineffective cooperation, somewhat ineffective cooperation, somewhat effective cooperation, or very effective cooperation No Very Smwt Smwt Very Ineff Coop Ineff Ineff Eff Eff Total Total - At All Coop Coop Coop Coop Ineff Eff Eff Pakistan... - 13 24 60 3 37 63-26 Conservative... - 11 32 50 7 43 57-14 Moderate... - 10 21 67 3 31 69-38 Liberal... - 18 22 60-40 60-20 Russia...1 15 33 51-48 51-3 Conservative...4 29 25 43-54 43 11 Moderate... - - 38 62-38 62-23 Liberal... - 22 33 44-56 44 11 United Kingdom... - 1-17 82 1 99-98 Conservative... - 4-4 93 4 96-93 Moderate... - - - 13 87-100 -100 Liberal... - - - 36 64-100 -100 Saudi Arabia... - 23 25 48 4 48 52-4 Conservative... - 29 21 50-50 50 - Moderate... - 15 28 49 8 44 56-13 Liberal... - 27 24 47 2 51 49 2 Indonesia... - 6 28 64 3 33 67-34 Conservative... - - 25 71 4 25 75-50 Moderate... - 5 28 62 5 33 67-33 Liberal... - 11 29 60-40 60-20 Israel... - 5 10 41 45 15 85-71 Conservative... - 4 14 32 50 18 82-64 Moderate... - 5 10 49 36 15 85-69 Liberal... - 7 4 38 51 11 89-78 Syria...30 40 19 11-59 11 47 Conservative...36 32 21 11-54 11 43 Moderate...31 36 18 15-54 15 38 Liberal...24 51 18 7-69 7 62 Central and Eastern European countries... - 1 11 59 30 12 88-77 Conservative... - - 14 46 39 14 86-71 Moderate... - - 10 67 23 10 90-79 Liberal... - 2 9 60 29 11 89-78
16 No Very Smwt Smwt Very Ineff Coop Ineff Ineff Eff Eff Total Total - At All Coop Coop Coop Coop Ineff Eff Eff Egypt... - 6 27 57 10 33 67-34 Conservative... - 4 29 61 7 32 68-36 Moderate... - 8 26 51 15 33 67-33 Liberal... - 7 27 60 7 33 67-33 Turkey... - 3 25 62 10 28 72-43 Conservative... - 7 32 57 4 39 61-21 Moderate... - 3 28 56 13 31 69-38 Liberal... - - 16 73 11 16 84-69 Western European countries... - 3 11 58 28 14 86-72 Conservative... - 7 21 43 29 29 71-43 Moderate... - - 8 67 26 8 92-85 Liberal... - 2 7 62 29 9 91-82 China...7 9 33 49 2 42 52-10 Conservative...14 4 32 46 4 36 50-14 Moderate...5 10 33 51-44 51-8 Liberal...2 11 33 49 4 44 53-9 Iran...53 30 10 8-39 8 31 Conservative...50 39 7 4-46 4 43 Moderate...56 23 10 10-33 10 23 Liberal...51 29 11 9-40 9 31 Q.18 Which SINGLE country would you say has produced the largest number of global terrorists? (OPEN-ENDED RESPONSE) Saudi Arabia...62 71 62 56 Egypt...13 14 18 7 Pakistan...11 4 10 18 Palestine...1 - - 2 Yemen...1 - - 4 Iraq...1-3 - Lebanon...1 4 - - Afghanistan...1 - - 2 Iran...1-3 - United States and Israel...1 4 - - (Don't know)...4 4 3 7 (Not really relevant/ambiguous)...2-3 4
17 Q.19 What is the likelihood of a terrorist attack on the scale of the 9/11 attacks occurring again in the United States in the following time frames? Is it No chance, Very unlikely, Somewhat unlikely, Somewhat likely, Very likely, or Certain? Very Smwt No Likely/ No Un Un Smwt Very Cer Chnce/ Cer Chnce likly likly Likly Likly tain Unlkly tain By the end of 2006...3 29 33 27 8-65 35 Conservative... - 29 36 21 14-64 36 Moderate...5 23 28 36 8-56 44 Liberal...2 38 36 22 2-76 24 By end of 2011... - 5 16 41 29 9 21 79 Conservative... - 4 14 54 18 11 18 82 Moderate... - 5 18 28 36 13 23 77 Liberal... - 7 16 47 29 2 22 78 By end of 2016... - 4 11 25 34 26 16 84 Conservative... - - 14 29 29 29 14 86 Moderate... - 5 8 21 31 36 13 87 Liberal... - 7 13 27 42 11 20 80 Q.20 Now consider the attacks that took place in London in July 2005 and Madrid in March 2004. What is the likelihood of a terrorist attack on this scale occurring in the United States in the following time frames? Is it No chance, Very unlikely, Somewhat unlikely, Somewhat likely, Very likely, or Certain? Very Smwt No Likely/ No Un Un Smwt Very Cer Chnce/ Cer Chnce likly likly Likly Likly tain Unlkly tain By the end of 2006...2 12 29 44 13-43 57 Conservative... - 7 43 36 14-50 50 Moderate...3 18 21 45 13-42 58 Liberal...2 9 27 51 11-38 62 By end of 2011... - 3 12 25 44 15 16 84 Conservative... - 4 14 32 39 11 18 82 Moderate... - 3 16 13 50 18 18 82 Liberal... - 4 7 33 42 13 11 89 By end of 2016... - 3 6 25 37 29 9 91 Conservative... - 4 11 29 29 29 14 86 Moderate... - 3 3 24 34 37 5 95 Liberal... - 4 4 22 49 20 9 91
18 Q.21 Regardless of what you think about the timing of an attack, please indicate the two methods that are most likely to be used in the United States by global terrorists. Suicide bombing attack...67 54 69 76 Attack on major infrastructure like bridges, landmarks, and ports...66 79 56 67 Attack using radiological weapon ("dirty bomb")...20 21 23 13 Cyber attack on major government or financial institution networks...12 18 8 13 Attack on chemical manufacturing or nuclear power plants...11 7 13 11 Attack using chemical weapon...10 4 15 9 Attack using biological weapon...9 4 10 11 Attack using nuclear weapon...6 14 5 - Q.22 Please choose the best option for U.S. policy on detainees and the prison at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. Shut down Guantanamo and establish with allies a Special Tribunal to try international terrorist suspects...30 18 31 40 Shut down Guantanamo and transfer detainees to military detention facilities on U.S. soil and try them under the Uniform Code of Military Justice...24 21 23 29 Keep Guantanamo open, but improve conditions and trial procedures to bring it in line with U.S. and international legal standards...21 29 26 9 Shut down Guantanamo and transfer current detainees to home countries for resolution of cases...10 11 10 9 Exempt Guantanamo from the McCain antitorture amendment and use whatever interrogation techniques are deemed necessary to obtain information...3 4 5 - Maintain status quo in Guantanamo...3 7 3 - (Shut down/have trials under rules other than UMCJ)...2-3 4 (POW status for some/all captives)...2 4-2 (Combination of several options)...2 4-4 (Enact new legislation on detaining and trying suspects)...1 - - 2
19 Q.23 Which of the following statements most accurately reflects your view? President Bush misstates the threats faced by the United States from global terrorist networks....60 39 67 69 President Bush overstates the threats faced by the United States from global terrorist networks....18 18 15 22 President Bush accurately defines the threats faced by the United States from global terrorist networks....18 32 15 9 President Bush understates the threats faced by the United States from global terrorist networks....4 11 3 - Q.24 Please explain your answer from Question 23. Overstates / Exaggerates / Misunderstands...13 18 10 11 Does not understand why people hate US...8 7 5 11 Conflates 9/11 with war in Iraq...8 14 3 9 Overstates / Exaggerates for political gain...7 7-16 Over-emphasis of state sponsorship...3-5 2 Accurately defines the threats...3 4 3 2 Effective communication lacking...2 7 - - Not defined enemy...2-3 2 Not able to change...2 4-2 Doesn't understand the threat...2-5 - Misstates Iraq...1 - - 4 Too much focus on kill/capture...1 - - 2 Threat is true, but no policies...1 - - 2 Doesn't link to Radical Islam...1 4 - - Iran is the real threat...1 4 - - Terrorism less dangerous than driving to work... - - - -
20 Q.25 Which of the following options best reflects your personal view on what the United States should do in Iraq? Withdrawal of all U.S. forces by end of 2007...26 11 28 36 Maintenance of U.S. force level until Iraqi security forces are capable...21 32 26 4 Withdrawal of all U.S. forces by end of 2006...13 25 8 9 (Strategic redeployment)...11 4 15 11 Maintenance of U.S. force level until Iraqi government is capable of governing...9 7 10 9 Increase in current U.S. force level...6 7 5 7 (Phased withdrawal)...6 4 3 11 (Draw-down, reduction without complete withdrawal)...3 4 3 4 (Tied to other Iraqi milestones)...2 4-2 (End of 2008)...1 - - 2 Other...3 4 3 4 Q.26 How old are you? Under 35...3 4 3 2 35-45...21 11 28 20 46-55...42 46 41 38 56-65...23 18 23 27 66-75...9 11 5 13 Over 75...3 11 - - Under 56...65 61 72 60 Over 55...35 39 28 40
21 Q.27 Below is a list of professional fields. Please indicate the field that describes your current, primary profession. Think tank and public policy research (not associated with a university)...44 50 49 33 University research and/or faculty...28 25 26 33 Non-governmental organization...7 4-20 Journalism...5 7 5 2 (Consultant)...4 4 5 4 (Retired)...4 7 5 - International or multilateral institution...2-3 2 (Banking/Finance)...2-5 - (Government)...2 4 3 - Law...1 - - 4 Active military... - - - - Other... - - - - Q.28 Please indicate how many years, if any, you have served in the U.S. government. No government service...21 21 15 27 Less than 1 year...1 - - 4 Between 1 to 5 years...20 18 15 27 Between 6 and 10 years...18 14 18 20 More than 10 years...41 46 51 22 1 to 5 years...21 18 15 31 More than 5...58 61 69 42 Which part of U.S. government, if any, did you serve in? Check all that apply. Executive...55 50 56 58 Military...33 39 44 16 Intelligence...17 21 18 13 Legislative...14 18 10 16 Judicial...2-3 4 None of the above...23 29 18 24
22 Q.30 Choosing from the following list, please select the phrase that best describes your ideological perspective. Very conservative... - - - - Conservative...7 23 - - Somewhat conservative...24 77 - - Moderate...39-100 - Somewhat liberal...14 - - 47 Liberal...14 - - 44 Very liberal...3 - - 9 Total Conservative...30 100 - - Moderate...39-100 - Total Liberal...30 - - 100 Q.31 Are you willing to speak to a representative of Foreign Policy or the Center for American Progress to expand on any of your answers? Responding yes does not mean that you will be quoted in any article. Yes...81 86 77 82 No...19 14 23 18