Coalition Explorer Results of the 28 Survey on coalition building in the European Union an initiative of Results for ECFR May 2017 Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Findings Coalition Potential Ranks 1 to 14 Ranks 15 to 28 Country Findings AT BE BG HR CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE EL HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Preferences ranks overall #16 at Preferences #16 #17 #14 Partners #16 #8 #17 #16 Q1 Most Contacted Q2 Shared Interests Q3 Most Responsive ranks overall #12 at Partners Q10 Foreign and Development Policy Q11 Security and Defense Policy Q12 Economic and Social Policy Q13 Fiscal Policy 3 for EE 1. 2. 3. Finland 1. 2. 3. Finland 1. Finland 2. 3. 3 for EE 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. HR PL 1. 2. 3. Finland 1. 2. 3. ranks #9 at More Europe #9 Q14 Deeper Integration 3 for EE 1. 2. 3. BG HR CZ FI Q16 Expert View Level of Decision-Making Q17 Public View 53 22 22 3 EE Networks Voting for 8 for EE Finland 52 19 15 8 Czech Rep. All member states Legally bound core Coalition of states Only national level EE 50 14 14 22 55 19 11 15 EE Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Most contacted Votes for Q1 In your view or experience, which other governments would your own government generally contact first and/or most on matters? (select up to five) Of 1352 394 respondents, received 22 (1.6) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 2 Affluent 7 1 Big 6 1 Visegrád 4 Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain 24 17 12 Finland 3 3 1 Czech Rep. 1 Denmark 1 Italy Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Shared Interests Votes for Q2 In your view or experience, which other member states generally share many of your own s interests and preferences on policies? (select up to five) Of 1594 406 respondents, received 42 (2.6) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 4 Visegrád 4 3 Affluent 7 2 Big 6 Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain 21 20 12 Finland 11 10 3 2 1 Denmark 1 Germany 1 Italy Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Most Responsive Votes for Q3 In your view or experience, which other governments or member states have shown to be most responsive or are easiest to work with? (select up to five) Of 1201 342 respondents, received 40 (3.3) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 6 Affluent 7 5 Visegrád 4 2 Big 6 1 Founding 6 Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain 22 Finland 18 15 12 8 5 3 Netherlands 2 2 Czech Rep. 2 Denmark 2 Hungary 1 Germany 1 Spain Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Most Disappointing Votes for Q4 In your view or experience, which other governments or member states have disappointed your own government? (select up to five) Of 1123 326 respondents, received 8 (0.7) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 2 Southern 7 1 Affluent 7 1 Big 6 1 Founding 6 Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain 4 2 Finland 2 France 2 Portugal 2 Spain 1 Italy Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Big Six Overall Policy Ranking by Q5 Based on your view or experience, please rank the six large member states according to their overall influence on policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Southern Seven Visegrád Four Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain First Rank Second Rank Third Rank Germany France Fourth Rank Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Italy Spain Italy Spain Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Number of respondents: 2. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Big Six Fiscal Policy Ranking by Q6 Please rank the six large member states according to their influence on fiscal policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four First Rank Second Rank Third Rank Germany France Italy France Italy Spain Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Italy Fourth Rank Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Spain Italy Italy Spain Spain Italy Spain Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Italy Germany Number of respondents: 2. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Ranking by Q7 Please rank the six large member states according to their influence on foreign, security and defence policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Southern Seven Visegrád Four Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain First Rank Second Rank Third Rank France Germany France Fourth Rank Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Italy Germany Spain Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Number of respondents: 2. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Ranking by First Rank Netherlands Q8 Based on your view or experience, please rank the list of affluent seven member states according to their overall influence on policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Southern Seven Visegrád Four Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Second Rank Third Rank Fourth Rank Finland Denmark Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Seventh Rank Denmark Finland Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Number of respondents: 2. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Foreign and Development Policy Votes for Q10 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Foreign and Development Policy? Of 1756 285 respondents, received 36 (2.1) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 3 Visegrád 4 2 Affluent 7 2 Big 6 1 Founding 6 1 Southern 7 Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain 12 10 6 5 4 2 2 2 Czech Rep. 2 Denmark 2 Finland 2 Hungary 1 Germany 1 Italy 1 Netherlands 1 Spain Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Security and Defense Policy Votes for Q11 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Security and Defense Policy? Of 1662 285 respondents, received 56 (3.4) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 4 Visegrád 4 3 Affluent 7 3 Big 6 2 Founding 6 2 Southern 7 Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain 12 10 6 6 5 Denmark 5 4 4 Finland 4 Germany 4 4 3 Hungary 3 Italy 3 Netherlands 2 Czech Rep. 2 Portugal 2 Spain 1 France Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Economic and Social Policy Votes for Q12 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Economic and Social Policy? Of 1567 279 respondents, received 37 (2.4) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 3 Visegrád 4 2 Affluent 7 2 Big 6 2 Southern 7 1 Founding 6 Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain 13 8 6 Finland 5 5 4 4 3 3 Spain 2 Czech Rep. 2 Hungary 2 Italy 1 Denmark 1 Germany 1 Netherlands Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Fiscal Policy Votes for Q13 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Fiscal Policy? Of 1203 279 respondents, received 24 (2) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 2 Big 6 2 Founding 6 2 Southern 7 1 Affluent 7 1 Visegrád 4 Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain 17 11 4 3 Germany 3 Hungary 3 Italy 2 Spain 1 Denmark 1 Netherlands Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Commitment to Deeper Integration Votes for Q14 In your opinion, which member states are committed to deeper integration or more Europe? Of 2046 348 respondents, received 71 (3.5) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Southern Seven Visegrád Four Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Overview Commitment to Deeper Integration Importance of Coalitions Preferred Actor Level Preferred Actor Level (Public View) 4 Visegrád 4 3 Affluent 7 3 Big 6 2 Founding 6 2 Southern 7 9 8 7 7 7 Czech Rep. 7 Finland 6 5 5 5 4 Germany 4 3 Denmark 3 Hungary 3 Italy 3 3 Netherlands 3 3 2 2 France 2 Portugal 2 1 Spain Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Preferred Actor Level Votes by Q16 What actor level would your prefer for the following list of policy projects? All member states: 53 of votes Legally bound core of member states: 22 of votes Coalition of member states: 22 of votes Only national level: 3 of votes Countries Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four Integrated foreign and security policy Common defense structures Common border police and coast guard Common policy in justice & home affairs Common immigration and asylum policy Common development assistance p. Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Common Russia policy Better governance for the eurozone Common Ukraine policy Fully completed single market Common Syria policy Common social policy Common MENA policy Common energy policy Common China policy Single climate policy Overview Commitment to Deeper Integration Importance of Coalitions Preferred Actor Level Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Number of respondents: 2. Share of Don t know votes shown by open circles Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Votes by Q17 What actor level would your prefer for the following list of policy projects? All member states: 55 of votes Legally bound core of member states: 19 of votes Coalition of member states: 11 of votes Only national level: 15 of votes Countries Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four Integrated foreign and security policy Common defense structures Common border police and coast guard Common policy in justice & home affairs Common immigration and asylum policy Common development assistance p. Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Common Russia policy Better governance for the eurozone Common Ukraine policy Fully completed single market Common Syria policy Common social policy Common MENA policy Common energy policy Common China policy Single climate policy Overview Commitment to Deeper Integration Importance of Coalitions Preferred Actor Level Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Number of respondents: 29 Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners