City of Dreams? Belfast, planning and the myth of development

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City of Dreams? Belfast, planning and the myth of development Ellis, G., Murtagh, B., & Grounds, A. (2015). City of Dreams? Belfast, planning and the myth of development. Paper presented at 47th Conference of Irish Geographers, Belfast, United Kingdom. Document Version: Peer reviewed version Queen's University Belfast - Research Portal: Link to publication record in Queen's University Belfast Research Portal Publisher rights Copyright 2015 The Authors General rights Copyright for the publications made accessible via the Queen's University Belfast Research Portal is retained by the author(s) and / or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing these publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. Take down policy The Research Portal is Queen's institutional repository that provides access to Queen's research output. Every effort has been made to ensure that content in the Research Portal does not infringe any person's rights, or applicable UK laws. If you discover content in the Research Portal that you believe breaches copyright or violates any law, please contact openaccess@qub.ac.uk. Download date:08. Feb. 2018

Institute of Irish Geographers Conference 21-24th May 2015, Queen s University, Belfast.

The meaning of Belfast Futures Development and its myths Two visions of Belfast Futures: 1945 Planning Proposal for the Belfast Area 2015 Belfast Metropolitan Area Plan The language of plans, the control of the future

Where do we find the future of Belfast? City Plans and their purpose Changing concepts of: Future Belfast Planning all share a belief in development

Development: the establishment of conditions and institutions that foster the realisation of the potential of the capacities and faculties of the human mind in people, communities and, in turn, in places (Sen 1999) Planning is ultimately about securing development It is an unexamined term and language in planning is often unquestioned It begs the questions of: What sort of development do we want? How will this happen? Who is the development for? Where does develop occur and at what scale? What are the alternatives?

PLANNING & HOUSING ACT 1931 PLANNING PROPOSALS FOR BELFAST AREA (1945) PLANNING (NI) ORDER 1972 NEW TOWNS ACT (NI) 1965 BELFAST METROPOLITA N AREA PLAN 2015 (2015) INTERIM DEVELOPMENT ACT (NI) 1944 PLANNING PROPOSALS FOR BELFAST AREA (1952 BELFAST REGIONAL SURVEY AND PLAN (1964) PLANNING RESPONSIBILITIES TRANSFERRED TO CENTRAL GOVERNMENT (1972) BELFAST URBAN AREA PLAN 2001 (1989) PLANNING RESPONSIBILITIE S TRANSFERRED TO BELFAST CITY COUNCIL (2015)

Total Population Belfast and Northern Ireland 1937-2013 No census during the war 1937 and 1951 Census 2013 based on mid year estimates Demographic change In 1951, Belfast accounted for 32% of the total population In 2013, this has dropped to 15% From 1951 2013 the Northern Ireland population has increased by over 33% Over the same period, Belfast s population has decreased by 37% 2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 The shrinking of urban Belfast De-industrialisation Urban disinvestment Ethnosectarian conflict Rising suburbanisation 400,000 200,000 0 1937 1951 2013 Northern Ireland 1,279,745 1,370,921 1,829,725 Belfast 438,086 443,761 281,735

Total Households Household change From 1951-2011 the number of households across Northern Ireland has increased by almost 99% In 1951, 31% of Northern Ireland s households were in Belfast In 2011 this dropped to 17% 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 From 1951 to 2011 the number of households in Belfast increased by 9% Much of this increase occurred between 2001-2011 Here number of households in Belfast increased from 113,934 to 120,595 (nearly 6%) Major apartment development and overspeculation throughout the urban core dominated this period High vacancy levels in the urban core Economic crises and recession 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 1937 1951 2011 Northern Ireland 323,183 352,815 703,275 Belfast 106,535 110,619 120,595

1945: 2015: Produced by expert commission in three years. No public consultation 15 pages, 8090 words Democratically produced, subject to public consultation and public inquiry 15 years Currently subject to Judicial review by DETI 7 Vols, 869 pages c. 532, 700 words

A plan for reconstruction; Focussed on agriculture, industry and the health and convenience of the people Key issues were suburban growth; transport; industry; healthy and convenient residential areas ; and Open Space. Proposals made in the best interests of various sectors Proposals resisted by local opposition

A plan to comply with planning legislation; An long process of consultation and enquiry A comprehensive plan for planning control; Detailed proposals for specific land use parcels; Facilitates sustainable growth Proposals resisted by local and political opposition

2015 Scale of planning response Regional, local, communities, metropolitan, villages, centre, urban, rural, settlement, site Economic development Growth, development, retail, tourism, office, regeneration 1945: Social consumption Residential, estates, housing, people, health, living Connectivity/economic production Traffic, railway, roads, travel, roads, transport, industries Planning vision Future, new, maps, people, possible, improvement, advantage, action

1945: planning should be carried out in the best interests of Agriculture and Industry as well as of the health and convenience of the people bombing of Belfast has provided many opportunities Sound planning will bring rich benefits in health and convenience in the future real improvement are to be made in the living conditions of the people 2015: The purpose of the Plan is to inform of the policy framework and land use proposals that will be used to guide development decisions One of the main functions is to facilitate development and create a land use framework that will allow investment to take place. The public consultation process has been a fundamental element of the formulation of the Plan

1945 Ethos: in the best interests.. of agriculture, industry and the health of the people. Logos: Rationality, order, efficiency, reconstruction Synecdoche: convenience Metaphor: unspoiled countryside 2015 Ethos: most extensive consultation exercise ever undertaken. Logos: Facilitating development Synecdoche: sustainable growth Metaphor: living and working countryside

A loss of directness, and honesty in the language of plans, and of the intentions for the future. Growth for who, for what purpose? Homogenisation of entities: the Metropolitan Area Euphemisation of value laden terms: balanced growth Anonymisation of actors: The zoning of land provides a basis for rational andconsistent decisions on planning applications

Creating mythic entities: compete successfully at the European and International level The denial of conflict: provision of housing and employment in order to enhance the quality of life Co-opting/narrowing the meaning of words: sustainable growth Misplaced concreteness: integrate the need for both conservation and development through a mix of co-ordinated economic, social and environmental policies and proposals

A shift in the subject of plans: From people to property, from development to growth. A shift in the meaning of words A shift in the meaning of the future Language of the future is not about the repression of alternatives, but the suppression of their germination (Marcuse 2015). A democratised planning system, but a dominant discourse that has no space for debate.