FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE July 1, 2014 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASEE E-MAIL information@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESSS RELEASEE Snyder, Schauer in Tight Battle for Governor Raleigh, N.C. PPP s newest Michigan poll finds a tied race forr governor this fall between incumbent Republican Rick Snyder and Democrat Mark Schauer, along with a close race for the open Senatee seat between Republican Terri Lynn Land and Democrat Gary Peters. In the Governor s race, Snyder and Schauer are tied at 40% apiece despite Snyder s highly negative job performance rating. 37% of Michigan voters approve of Snyder s performance while 54% disapprove. However, whilee voters have a negative opinion of the incumbent, they tend to have no opinion at all on Schauer. Among those that do, Schauer has a slightly positive rating with 27% favorable and 24% unfavorable. 49% of voters have no opinion either way. Schauer actually leads Snyderr within every age group except older than, where Snyder leads with 49% to Schauer s 38%. Rick Snyder s approval ratings are on the decline inn the midst of an advertising blitz against him, said Dean Debnam, President of Publicc Policy Polling. This is looking like a very competitive race with a lot of voters remainingg undecided and Mark Schauer still largely undefinedd to Michiganders. The Democratic candidate for Senate Gary Peters is also a relative unknown, as 46% of voters do not have an opinionn on him. Despite this, Peters leads Terri Lynn Land by 5 points at 41% to 36%. More voters have an opinion on Land, butt it turns out to be a negative one, as 42% of people view her unfavorablyy compared to 32% who view her favorably. Helping Peters could be the popularity of retiring Democratic Senator Carl Levin, who has an approval rating of 47% with 34% disapproval. In state politics, Michigan voters have a much more positive view of Democrats in the legislature than Republicans. While voters are split on their view of Democrats (39% favorable/39% unfavorable), they have a highly negative view off the Republicans by more than a two-to-onof voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate for state legislature and 34% say they would vote for the Republican. margin (24% favorable/56% unfavorable). In a generic ballot, 48% PPP surveyed 578 registered voters from June 26 th to th. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 4. 1%. 80% of interviews for the poll weree conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don t have landline telephones. Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Michigan Survey Results Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama s job performance?...43% Disapprove...52%... 5% Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Snyder s job performance?...37% Disapprove...54%... 9% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Schauer?...27%...24%...49% If the candidates for Governor this fall were Republican Rick Snyder and Democrat Mark Schauer, who would you vote for? Rick Snyder...40% Mark Schauer...40%...20% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Terri Lynn Land?...32%...42%...26% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gary Peters?...26%...28%...46% Q7 Q8 Q9 If the candidates for Senate this fall were Republican Terri Lynn Land and Democrat Gary Peters, who would you vote for? Terri Lynn Land...36% Gary Peters...41%...24% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill Schuette?...21%...28%...50% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Totten?... 11%...13%...75% Q10 If the candidates for Attorney General this fall were Republican Bill Schuette and Democrat Mark Totten, who would you vote for? Bill Schuette...34% Mark Totten...32%...35% Q11 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Carl Levin s job performance?...47% Disapprove...34%...19% Q12 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Debbie Stabenow s job performance?...44% Disapprove...42%...14% Survey of 578 Michigan voters
Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democrats in the Michigan legislature?...39%...39%...22% Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republicans in the Michigan legislature?...24%...56%...20% Q15 Generally speaking, if there was an election for the state legislature today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district? Democrat...48% Republican...34%...18% Q16 Would you support or oppose a ballot measure to repeal the right-to-work law? Support...42% Oppose...35%...23% Q17 In the last presidential election, did you vote for Obama or Romney? Obama...50% Romney...40%...10% Q18 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat, or very? liberal...14% Somewhat liberal...18% rate...30% Somewhat...23%...14% Q19 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman...53% Man...47% Q20 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3. Democrat...35% Republican...27%...38% Q21 If you are white, press 1. If American, press 2. If other, press 3....80% American...13% Other... 7% Q22 If you are years old, press 1. If, press 2. If, press 3. If you are older than, press 4....12%...22%...42% than...24% Q23 Phone...80% Internet...20% Survey of 578 Michigan voters
Obama Approval Snyder Approval 43% 79% 3% 24% 37% 19% 64% 28% Disapprove 52% 14% 96% 68% Disapprove 54% 76% 25% 56% 5% 7% 1% 8% 9% 6% 11% 17% Schauer Favorability Gov 27% 49% 4% 8% Rick Snyder 40% 15% 77% 16% 24% 12% 39% 24% Mark Schauer 40% 69% 7% 23% 49% 39% 57% 68% 20% 16% 16% 61% Land Favorability Peters Favorability 32% 17% 54% 26% 26% % 7% 7% 42% 61% 20% 28% 28% 17% 46% 18% 26% 22% 26% 47% 46% 39% 47% 75% Sen. Terri Lynn Land Gary Peters 36% 13% 67% 27% 41% 71% 7% 22% 24% 16% 26% 51% Schuette Favorability 21% 14% 32% 15% 28% 38% 16% 27% 50% 48% 52% 57%
Totten Favorability AG 11% 18% 4% 9% Bill Schuette 34% 12% 63% 27% 13% 12% 17% 7% Mark Totten 32% 54% 5% 27% 75% 71% 79% 85% 35% 35% 32% 46% Levin Approval Stabenow Approval 47% 73% 18% 32% 44% 69% 16% 30% Disapprove 34% 12% 61% 42% Disapprove 42% 21% 68% % 19% 15% 21% 25% 14% 11% 16% 25% Leg Dems Favorability 39% 68% 8% 17% 39% 13% 69% % 22% 18% 23% 38% Leg GOP Favorability 24% 7% 49% 14% 56% 80% 27% 48% 20% 13% 24% 38% Generic Leg. Ballot Dem ocrat Republican 48% 83% 9% 31% 34% 5% 73% 18% 18% 11% 18% 51%
Support/Oppose Repealing Right-to- Work Law Support Oppose 42% 58% 21% 43% 35% 19% 59% 16% 23% 23% 20% 41% Obama Approval 43% 80% 69% 47% 18% 8% 52% 13% 25% % 81% 92% 5% 7% 6% 9% 2% - Snyder Approval 37% 20% 14% 28% 64% 62% 54% 74% 81% 61% 27% % 9% 6% 6% 12% 10% 9% Schauer Favorability 27% 53% 36% 30% 14% 6% 24% 10% 16% 22% 31% 40% 49% 37% 48% 48% 54% 54% Gov Rick Snyder 40% 11% 12% 31% 66% 79% Mark Schauer 40% 78% 63% 43% 17% 4% 20% 11% 25% 26% 17% 17% Land Favorability 32% 16% 15% 25% 44% 67% 42% 70% 55% 49% 20% 16% 26% 14% 30% 26% 36% 17% Peters Favorability 26% 51% 34% 31% 13% 1% 28% 15% 21% 24% 35% 49% 46% 34% % % 52% 50% Sen. Terri Lynn Land 36% 18% 8% 21% 59% 81% Gary Peters 41% 71% 59% 50% 20% 3% 24% 11% 33% 30% 22% 16%
Schuette Favorability 21% 20% 8% 16% 40% 21% 28% 34% 32% 40% 16% 12% 50% % 60% 44% 44% 67% Totten Favorability 11% 17% 9% 15% 9% 4% 13% 20% 16% 10% 13% 10% 75% 63% 75% 75% 78% 86% AG Bill Schuette 34% 10% 8% 22% 60% 71% Mark Totten 32% 58% 47% 41% 9% 3% 35% 31% 44% 37% 31% 27% Levin Approval 47% 78% 61% 54% 32% 9% 34% 10% 21% 25% 46% 77% 19% 12% 18% 21% 22% 14% Stabenow Approval 44% 68% 59% 54% 30% 3% 42% 18% 30% % 56% 85% 14% 14% 11% 17% 15% 12% Leg Dems Favorability 39% 68% 67% 44% 13% 6% 39% 15% 17% 32% 51% 83% 22% 17% 16% 23% 36% 11% Leg GOP Favorability 24% 16% 5% 15% 38% 52% 56% 70% 82% % % 34% 20% 14% 13% 20% 33% 14% Generic Leg. Ballot Dem ocrat 48% 83% 77% 56% 18% 11% Republican 34% 6% 7% 21% 63% 73% 18% 10% 16% 23% 19% 16%
Support/Oppose Repealing Right-to- Work Law Support Oppose 42% 62% 55% 50% 23% 19% 35% 12% 21% 26% 53% 64% 23% 26% 24% 24% 24% 17% Obama Approval Disapprove Wom an Man 43% 48% 38% 52% % 59% 5% 7% 3% Wom an Man Wom an Man Snyder Approval Schauer Favorability 37% 35% 41% 27% 32% 22% Disapprove 54% 55% 52% 24% 20% % 9% 10% 7% 49% 49% 49% Wom an Man Wom an Man Gov Land Favorability Rick Snyder 40% 38% 42% 32% 31% 34% Mark Schauer 40% 42% 37% 42% 42% 41% 20% 20% 21% 26% 27% 25% Peters Favorability Wom an Man 26% 28% 24% 28% 22% 35% 46% 50% 41% Wom an Man Sen. Terri Lynn Land 36% 32% 39% Gary Peters 41% 44% 38% 24% 24% 23%
Wom an Man Wom an Man Schuette Favorability Totten Favorability 21% 20% 23% 11% 11% 12% 28% 23% 33% 13% 10% 16% 50% 56% 44% 75% 79% 72% Wom an Man Wom an Man AG Levin Approval Bill Schuette 34% 31% 37% 47% 52% 42% Mark Totten 32% 33% 30% Disapprove 34% % 40% 35% 36% 33% 19% 19% 18% Wom an Man Wom an Man Stabenow Approval Disapprove 44% 50% 38% 42% 33% 52% 14% 17% 11% Leg Dems Favorability 39% 41% 37% 39% 33% 44% 22% 26% 18% Leg GOP Favorability Wom an Man 24% 20% 28% 56% 55% 57% 20% 24% 15% Wom an Man Generic Leg. Ballot Democrat 48% 53% 43% Republican 34% 31% 37% 18% 16% 20%
Support/Oppose Repealing Right-to- Work Law Support Oppose Wom an Man 42% 40% 44% 35% 31% 40% Obama Approval 43% 76% 8% 38% 52% 15% 92% 57% 5% 9% 0% 5% 23% 30% 16% Snyder Approval Schauer Favorability 37% 16% 66% 38% 27% 50% 8% 20% 54% 78% 22% 53% 24% 10% 35% 28% 9% 6% 12% 9% 49% 39% 57% 52% Gov Land Favorability Rick Snyder 40% 9% 78% 41% 32% 16% 56% 31% Mark Schauer 40% 75% 8% 31% 42% 62% 16% 40% 20% 16% 13% % 26% 21% 28% %
Peters Favorability Sen. 26% % 7% 22% Terri Lynn Land 36% 12% 71% 32% 28% 17% 47% 26% Gary Peters 41% 73% 5% 36% 46% 39% % 52% 24% 15% 24% 31% Schuette Favorability 21% 17% 32% 18% 28% 31% 16% 33% 50% 51% 52% 49% Totten Favorability 11% 17% 7% 10% 13% 11% 16% 14% 75% 72% 77% 77% AG Levin Approval Bill Schuette 34% 9% 69% 31% 47% 72% 20% 43% Mark Totten 32% 58% 6% 26% 34% 9% 61% 39% 35% 32% 26% 43% 19% 19% 19% 18% Stabenow Approval 44% 70% 15% 41% 42% 16% 66% 48% 14% 14% 19% 11% Leg Dems Favorability 39% 76% 6% 28% 39% 6% 75% 42% 22% 17% 18% 30%
Leg GOP Favorability Generic Leg. Ballot 24% 8% 55% 17% Democrat 48% 92% 10% 35% 56% 80% 23% 57% Republican 34% 3% 79% % 20% 12% 22% 26% 18% 4% 11% 35% Support/Oppose Repealing Right-to- Work Law Support Oppose 42% 58% 18% 44% 35% 16% 60% 34% 23% 26% 22% 22% Obama Approval 43% 38% 73% 48% 52% 57% 27% 41% 5% 5% - 11% Snyder Approval 37% 40% 25% 35% 54% 50% 75% 54% 9% 10% - 11% Schauer Favorability 27% 23% 52% 25% 24% 26% 16% 20% 49% 51% 33% 55%
Gov Land Favorability Rick Snyder 40% % 7% 35% 32% 32% 35% 31% Mark Schauer 40% 36% 69% 37% 42% 41% 42% 48% 20% 19% 24% 28% 26% 27% 22% 21% Peters Favorability Sen. 26% 23% 41% 34% Terri Lynn Land 36% 39% 11% 36% 28% 28% % 28% Gary Peters 41% 36% 67% 46% 46% 49% 30% 38% 24% 25% 21% 18% Schuette Favorability 21% 23% 16% 19% 28% 26% 39% 31% 50% 51% % 50% Totten Favorability 11% 10% 24% 4% 13% 12% 17% 17% 75% 78% 58% 79%
AG Levin Approval Bill Schuette 34% 37% 13% 32% 47% 44% 67% % Mark Totten 32% 30% 44% % 34% 37% 23% 32% 35% 33% 43% 39% 19% 19% 10% 23% Stabenow Approval 44% 41% 57% 52% 42% 43% 40% 28% 14% 15% 3% 20% Leg Dems Favorability 39% 35% 58% 49% 39% 41% 26% 34% 22% 24% 16% 17% Leg GOP Favorability 24% 27% 6% 23% 56% 52% 81% 54% 20% 21% 13% 23% Generic Leg. Ballot Democrat Republican 48% 42% 86% 53% 34% 40% 2% 26% 18% 19% 12% 21%
than Support/Oppose Repealing Right-to- Work Law Support Oppose 42% 39% 59% % 35% 37% 24% 25% Obama Approval 43% 40% 46% 41% 47% 52% 50% 49% 54% 51% 5% 10% 5% 5% 3% 23% 24% 16% 30% than than Snyder Approval Schauer Favorability 37% 47% 27% 36% % 27% 25% 37% 24% 25% 54% 42% 67% 54% 46% 24% 23% 25% 20% 31% 9% 11% 6% 10% 8% 49% 52% 38% 56% 44% than than Gov Land Favorability Rick Snyder 40% 30% 38% 38% 49% 32% 28% 34% 33% 32% Mark Schauer 40% 36% 40% 43% 38% 42% 32% 44% 43% 41% 20% 34% 22% 20% 13% 26% 40% 22% 24% 27%
than than Peters Favorability Sen. 26% 27% 25% 25% 26% Terri Lynn Land 36% 35% 32% 36% 38% 28% 24% 31% 26% 32% Gary Peters 41% 26% 40% 43% 44% 46% 48% 43% 49% 42% 24% 39% 28% 20% 18% than than Schuette Favorability Totten Favorability 21% % 11% 23% 25% 11% 37% 11% 7% 6% 28% 24% 42% 24% 25% 13% 14% 17% 12% 11% 50% 47% 47% 53% 51% 75% 48% 72% 81% 83% than than AG Levin Approval Bill Schuette 34% 24% 33% 33% 41% 47% 40% 40% 50% 51% Mark Totten 32% 39% 26% 32% 33% 34% 28% 37% 34% 36% 35% 37% 42% 35% 26% 19% 32% 23% 16% 13%
than than Stabenow Approval 44% 22% 42% 48% 50% 42% 56% 46% 39% 37% 14% 21% 12% 13% 14% Leg Dems Favorability 39% % 43% 36% 38% 39% 30% 43% 39% 38% 22% 25% 14% 25% 24% than than Leg GOP Favorability Generic Leg. Ballot 24% 25% 24% 21% % Democrat 48% 47% 54% 47% 46% 56% 47% 67% 56% 51% Republican 34% 27% 26% 37% 38% 20% 27% 10% 23% 20% 18% 26% 20% 16% 15% Support/Oppose Repealing Right-to- Work Law than Obama Approval 43% 46% 32% 52% 51% 55% Support 42% 32% 43% 46% 38% 5% 3% 13% Oppose 35% 27% 41% 31% 40% 23% 41% 16% 23% 22%
Snyder Approval Schauer Favorability 37% 40% 26% 27% % 20% 54% 52% 61% 24% 24% 22% 9% 8% 13% 49% 47% 57% Gov Land Favorability Rick Snyder 40% 42% % 32% 34% 27% Mark Schauer 40% 41% 36% 42% 42% 39% 20% 17% 35% 26% 24% 35% Peters Favorability Sen. 26% 27% 23% Terri Lynn Land 36% 38% 26% 28% % 28% Gary Peters 41% 41% 39% 46% % 49% 24% 21% 34% Schuette Favorability 21% 23% 16% 28% % 25% 50% 48% 59% Totten Favorability 11% 10% 18% 13% 14% 12% 75% 76% 71%
AG Levin Approval Bill Schuette 34% 37% 19% 47% 47% 46% Mark Totten 32% 32% 30% 34% 37% 23% 35% 31% 50% 19% 16% 30% Stabenow Approval 44% 44% 44% 42% 44% 35% 14% 12% 21% Leg Dems Favorability 39% 37% 46% 39% 41% 30% 22% 22% 24% Leg GOP Favorability 24% 25% 21% 56% 56% 57% 20% 19% 22% Generic Leg. Ballot Democrat 48% 48% 47% Republican 34% 35% 28% 18% 17% 24%
Support/Oppose Repealing Right-to- Work Law Support Oppose 42% 44% 32% 35% 38% 23% 23% 18% %