Vienna Institute of Demography, Vienna 19 th 21 st June 2014

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Higher Education and Occupational Mobility in Nigeria: Implications for National Development. By Adeyemi E. Oluwagbemiga Dept of Demography and Social Statistics Federal University. Oye-Ekiti Ekiti State Nigeria Being a paper presented at Higher Education, Mobility and Migration in and out of Africa Vienna Institute of Demography, Vienna 19 th 21 st June 2014

Introduction State of Research Theoretical Assumption Results Conclusion.

Education is a powerful tool for social progress and unavoidable instrument for national socioeconomic development (Assie-Lumumba, 2006) Higher education remains the backbone of human capital development(dabalen and Oni 2000, Barnett,1992) Significance attached to the higher education especially in Nigeria.

Increased enrolment in higher education. Enrolment into Nigerian universities has increased from 135,785 in 1985/86 academic session to 1,014,337 in 2008/2009 academic Majority of the graduates of tertiary institutions did not have the required skills and knowledge to drive the local economy

what are the regional imbalances of skilled labour in Nigeria? How does the occupational mobility of the professionals influence regional development? What are the factors influencing occupational mobility of the highly educated labour in Nigeria?

In the last two decades labour markets in Nigeria and Africa have witnessed crises due to the high labour migration to the developed countries (Adepoju 2010, Fadayomi 2010, Muffels & Luijk 2005) While several studies have established different factors that influence labour mobility there is gap in knowledge on higher education and occupational mobility in Nigeria with the impact on the national development.

The paper was anchored on two theories: Human Capital Theory Theory of Reason Action Human Capital -. Human capital theory views schooling and training as investment in skills and competences (Schultz, 1960 and 1961)

Investment in human capital will lead to greater economic outputs however the validity of the theory is sometimes hard to prove and contradictory. The theory was unable to give vivid reasons why people move from one occupation to the other

The theory of Reasoned Action specifies that there are two determinants of Behavioral Intention: - the person's attitude toward behaviour - ---subjective norm related to the behavior (Fazio and Zanna, 1981).

This study was based on both quantitative and qualitative review of data and documents NDHS Data from 1999-2008 Other secondary data from Central Bank of Nigeria, National Bureau of Statistics, ILO, World Bank, IOM Data were analysed using simple percentages and Bivariate analyis

Higher Education & Occupational Status In Nigeria Labour force increased from 52.7 million in 2003 to 61.1 million 2008 (IOM, 2010) while the unemployment rate has increased from 13.1 percent in 2000 to 23.9 percent in 2011 The University in Nigeria grew from 41 in 1999 to123 in 2012 while the yearly admission into Nigerian universities increase from 26,808 in 1980 to 107,320

1990 1999 2003 2008 No education 66.9 55.9 58.1 55.9 Incomplete primary 10.0 8.9 9.6 7.6 Complete primary 13.5 16.4 14.2 16.0 Incomplete 4.3 11.5 10.1 7.9 secondary Complete 4.0 3.1 4.3 8.4 secondary Higher 1.3 4.1 3.8 4.2 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0

Regional imbalances in the demand and production of higher education graduates within the country The relationship between higher education and occupational status reveals that women have the highest unemployement rate from all the regions despite their level of education

Table 2. Doctors Population Density In Relation To Population And Some Health Indices In The Geo-Political Zones (2003-2006) Zones Doctors 1 NN/M R 2 PNN/MN R 3 IMR 4 CMR 5 U5MR 6 N/Central 101.1 53 49 103 70 165 N/East 35.5 61 65 125 154 260 N/West 24.0 55 59 114 176 269 S/East 142.7 34 32 66 40 103 S/South 89.2 53 68 120 63 176 S/West 211.7 39 30 69 47 113 National 280 7 53 56 109 121 217

On the professional and technical occupation, the north -west had the lowest from 1999 to 2008 while north central had the highest in 2008. North- Central had the highest occupational mobility of the professionals, skilled manual, services and highest number of males who are not working in all the regions

Significant relationship between occupation mobility of the highly educated labour and marital status, age at marriage, religion, place of residence and wealth index (NHDS,2008). The decentralisation of wage bargaining and wage differentials. Economic factor terrorism and ethnic/communual clashes

. The localisation of industries in few states. Study shows that out of the total number of manufacturing establishments in Nigeria in 1994, (32.6%) were located in Lagos State alone (South-west region). Kano State had 9.2% (North-west)

The highly educated have comparative advantage in understanding and using new or existing knowledge into production process. The poor investment in human capital was found to be correlated with a higher level of illeteracy and low rate of economic growth among different regions in Nigeria (Bakare, 2006)

Increase in number of urban centres and high Gross Domestic Product.

Occupational mobility of the highly educated is a necessary force needed for regional balance and socio-economic development in Nigeria. It is therefore necessary to realign the higher education in Nigeria with the local economy this will improve productivity and bring good social returns on the investment.

It is very important that there is need for wage regulations especially among professionals across the regions in the country