The impact of different voting systems on the type of government, party representation and voter choice

Similar documents
Compare the vote Level 3

Compare the vote Level 1

4 However, devolution would have better served the people of Wales if a better voting system had been used. At present:

Electoral Reform: Making Every Vote Count Equally

F2PTP A VOTING SYSTEM FOR EQUALITY OF REPRESENTATION IN A MULTI-PARTY STATE FIRST TWO PAST THE POST. 1 Tuesday, 05 May 2015 David Allen

Reading the local runes:

Local Government Elections 2017

Electoral systems for the Scottish Parliament and National Assembly for Wales

The Alternative Vote Referendum: why I will vote YES. Mohammed Amin

Send My Friend to School 2017: General Election resource

Easy Read Creating a Parliament for Wales

Scottish Parliamentary election


! # % & ( ) ) ) ) ) +,. / 0 1 # ) 2 3 % ( &4& 58 9 : ) & ;; &4& ;;8;

Proportion? Trade unions and electoral reform

Electoral Reform Brief

Elections and Electoral Systems

Of the 73 MEPs elected on 22 May in Great Britain and Northern Ireland 30 (41 percent) are women.

Party Lists and Preference Voting

Devolution in Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland since 1997

GCE AS 2 Student Guidance Government & Politics. Course Companion Unit AS 2: The British Political System. For first teaching from September 2008

DEMOCRATIC AUDIT. How Should We Vote? David Beetham, Associate Director, Democratic Audit

Local elections. Referendum on the voting system used to elect MPs to the House of Commons

Electoral Reform National Dialogue INFORMATION BOOKLET

BCGEU surveyed its own members on electoral reform. They reported widespread disaffection with the current provincial electoral system.

SPERI British Political Economy Brief No. 13. Conservative support in Northern England at the 2015 general election.

GCSE CITIZENSHIP STUDIES

Electoral Reform Proposal

Commission on Parliamentary Reform

Executive Summary The AV Referendum in context The Voter Power Index 6. Conclusion 11. Appendix 1. Summary of electoral systems 12

THE LIMITATIONS OF THE FIRST-PAST-THE-POST ELECTORAL SYSTEM IN PARLIAMENTARY DEMOCRACIES Nayomi Goonesekere 151 INTRODUCTION

Review of Ofcom list of major political parties for elections taking place on 22 May 2014 Statement

How Should Members of Parliament (and Presidents) Be Elected? E. Maskin Institute for Advanced Study

Modernizing Canada s Electoral System: Instant Runoff Voting as the Best Alternative. By Maxime Dubé, as an individual

Political Statistics, Devolution and Electoral Systems

Teachers Guide. Teacher Aims :

Getting it in. Proportion? Trade unions and electoral reform

Towards a hung Parliament? The battleground of the 2017 UK general election

As you may have heard, there has been some discussion about possibly changing Canada's electoral system. We want to ask people their views on this.

National Quali cations 2018

BREXIT: WHAT HAPPENED? WHY? WHAT NEXT?

Standing for office in 2017

THRESHOLDS. Underlying principles. What submitters on the party vote threshold said

What is the Best Election Method?

Part Three (continued): Electoral Systems & Linkage Institutions

NEWS RELEASE. Attorney General unveils report and recommendations on electoral reform referendum

ELECTORAL REGULATION RESEARCH NETWORK/DEMOCRATIC AUDIT OF AUSTRALIA JOINT WORKING PAPER SERIES

The Case for Electoral Reform: A Mixed Member Proportional System for Canada. Brief by Stephen Phillips, Ph.D.

Government and Politics

Political strategy CONSULTATION REPORT. Public and Commercial Services Union pcs.org.uk

White Rose Research Online URL for this paper: Version: Accepted Version

SPICe Briefing European Parliament Election 2014

REFORMING THE ELECTORAL SYSTEM IN ALBERTA: THE CASE FOR DUAL- MEMBER MIXED PROPORTIONAL Sean Graham

freshwater Local election May 2017 results

Department of Politics Commencement Lecture

Paper C: Influencing and Changing Decisions in Society and Government

House Copy OLS Copy Public Copy For Official House Use BILL NO. Date of Intro. Ref.

National Quali cations

Examiners Report June GCE Government & Politics 6GP01 01

The sure bet by Theresa May ends up in a hung Parliament

Guide to Ireland s PR-STV Electoral System

Electoral Reform: Key Federal Policy Recommendations. Researched and written by CFUW National Office & CFUW Leaside East York and Etobicoke JULY 2016

Final Results 2016 GLA ELECTIONS ELECTION OF THE LONDON ASSEMBLY MEMBERS

Analysis of local election results data for Wales 2004 (including turnout and extent of postal voting)

REFORMING THE ELECTORAL FORMULA IN PEI: THE CASE FOR DUAL-MEMBER MIXED PROPORTIONAL Sean Graham

COULD THE LIB DEM MARGINAL MELTDOWN MEAN THE TORIES GAIN FROM A.V.? By Lord Ashcroft, KCMG 20 July 2010

GOVERNMENT & POLITICS UNIT 1 GLOSSARY

Attitudes of Electoral Agents on the Administration of the 2017 General Election

SUMMARY REPORT KEY POINTS

Application to vote by emergency proxy based on occupation, service or employment

Borda s Paradox. Theodoros Levantakis

Appendix: Some voting scenarios to think about

YouGovR. YouGov / Sunday Times Survey Results. Sample Size: 1118 Fieldwork: 15th - 17th August 2007 For full results click here

Voting at the Northern Ireland Assembly Election, 2003.

Elections and referendums

kicking the tyres Choosing a voting system for New Zealand

ON A SINGLE-BALLOT MIXED MEMBER PROPORTIONAL (SBMMP) ELECTORAL SYSTEM

Year 11 Citizenship Mock Theme Effective active citizenship

PRESENTATION SUMMARY

Arguments for and against electoral system change in Ireland

UK Election Results and Economic Prospects. By Tony Brown 21 July 2017

Easy Read Guide to Voting in the General Election

Elections in Nepal 2018 National Assembly Elections

Reshaping the Senedd How to elect a more effective Assembly

REPRESENTATIVE DEMOCRACY - HOW TO ACHIEVE IT

- The Fast PR System is a proportional representation (PR) system. Every vote counts. But it offers significant differences from other PR systems.

SCOTTISH LOCAL GOVERNMENT ELECTIONS INQUIRY Review of Options for Improving Voter Representation. James Gilmour Electoral Reform Society Scotland

Electoral System Design Database Codebook

The Local Elections. Media Briefing Pack. 18 th April, 2012

After the Scotland Act (1998) new institutions were set up to enable devolution in Scotland.

Chapter 6 Democratic Regimes. Copyright 2015 W.W. Norton, Inc.

Decision of the Election Committee on a due impartiality complaint brought by the Respect Party in relation to The London Debate

spoiled ballot why less than three per cent have a fair share of power in Britain The power of well-being 5

European Commission United Nations Development Programme International IDEA

Modern Studies. Nat 5

By Nick Tyrone & Chris Terry Report & Analysis

2010 Municipal Elections in Lebanon

Which electoral procedures seem appropriate for a multi-level polity?

Ignorance, indifference and electoral apathy

The option not on the table. Attitudes to more devolution

Transcription:

The impact of different voting systems on the type of government, party representation and voter choice Q1 True or False? The FPTP electoral system tends to result in a two-party system in the UK STV (Single Transferable Vote) electoral system is likely to lead to coalition governments. losed Party List system allows for a close link between the MP and the constituents. MS (dditional Member System) electoral system allows more representation for smaller parties. SV (Supplementary Vote) electoral system gives each voter two choices Q2 Match the correct term to the description orrect Term Voters number candidates in order of preference and all those passing a defined threshold - calculated by dividing the number of valid votes by the number of seats plus one - are elected. Their surplus votes are distributed to other candidates on the basis of other preferences with low-scoring candidates being progressively eliminated. The system sees more than one candidate elected from a single constituency. Some representatives are elected via the traditional first-past-the post method but voters get to cast a second vote for "top-up" seats, allocated in proportion to the number of votes. These representatives are selected on a regional basis from lists of candidates drawn up by each party. The UK is divided into large constituencies, known as regions, and different parties put together lists of candidates for election, with their preferred choices at the top. Seats are allocated, on a top-down basis, in proportion to parties' share of the vote. Voters choose their first and second preferences and a candidate can only be elected in the first round if they get 50% of the vote. If no-one achieves this, all but the top two candidates are eliminated and their second preferences redistributed to the candidates still in the race. The candidate with the most votes is then elected. Voters rank candidates in order of preference and anyone getting more than 50% in the first round is elected. If that doesn't happen, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their second choices allocated to the remaining candidates. This process continues until a winner emerges. Select from: PL SV STV MS V

Q3 Fill in the missing word major criticism of FPTP electoral system is that it does not accurately reflect the votes cast. Many argue it would be fairer to have a more system. This could increase voter choice and remove large number of seats and the large areas of electoral that exist under FPTP. Furthermore, parties would gain more representation and it may become more customary for governments to be formed as in the future. Rather than elect one person to represent in an relatively small area, with the Single Transferable Vote, bigger areas elect a small of MPs that reflect the of opinions of the voters. Parties will often stand more than one candidate in each area. Transferring the votes means candidates aren't punished for having popular running mates. The dditional Member System has become popular due to its position as a solution in terms of electoral system design. ut, as a compromise, it retains the safe seat constituencies of first past the post, and also uses. Hence it is argued that the dditional Member System gives control to over who is elected, rather than people. While it does include single-member constituencies their size has to to cover a larger area. lthough, the list MPs provide a layer of representation allowing for alternatives should the voter feel their MP does not represent them for any reason. Some also argue that the dditional Member System creates classes of MPs, and that this can create tension. For instance, MPs receive local casework, whilst the party list MPs do not. V is not a form of proportional representation and in certain conditions, such as the 2015 General lection, it can produce a more result than First Past the Post. In 2011 the ritish public voted against replacing First Past the Post with the lternative Vote. The lternative Vote can use the same constituencies we have today. For voters, there is less need for voting, as voters can cast a vote for their favourite candidate without worrying that their will be wasted. lso, unlike hosting a vote to decide the winner the lternative Vote uses a single and avoids the need for tactical voting to stop a disliked candidate getting into the final round. andidates are also incentivised to run less campaigns, as candidates will want to become their opponent s voters second favourite candidate Select from: diversity disproportional parties second run-off smaller team safe compromise surplus divisive everyone coalitions constituency ballot proportionate deserts closed-list increase two tactical vote

Q4 One sentence or example is incorrect in each of the explanations. Identify the wrong one The STV electoral system was deliberate chosen to elect the Northern Ireland ssembly has it creates strong, stable one-party government. The LP list electoral system as used to elect MPs allows the electorate to see the names of the candidates on the ballot papers. In Scotland and Wales using the MS electoral system there are equal number of constituency MPs and those elected from the party list. s used to elect the Mayor of London, voters have as many preference votes as they wish on the ballot paper. The V system for electing MPs to Westminster was rejected by the public in a referendum that was held in 2014. Q5 For each of the factors listed below, decide for which electoral system they provide a critique. Some factors may be used more than once. MS V STV PL SV Smaller parties are disregarded ould lead to a rise in the number of extremist parties who have members elected May lead to coalition government of many parties onstituencies become larger so MPs may have to spend more time on constituency issues and less on wider issues reates two tiers of MPs

reaks the link between a constituency and its representatives an lead to donkey voting as voters do not know enough about all candidates Unlikely to result in proportional representation Voters can only select parties but not individual members of that party oesn t remove the possibility of tactical voting Half of MPs are not accountable directly to voters The method of counting votes can be difficult for voters to understand

ase study: lectoral Outcomes in the 2015 General lection The lectoral Reform society released a report on the May 7th 2015 General lection, Voting System in risis. nd it makes for worrying reading for fans of democracy. The report hit the headlines quickly, with RS hief xecutive Katie Ghose appearing on reakfast, the Today programme, aily Politics, Radio 5 Live, Sky, ITN and hannel 5 to discuss it already. The RS found: 50% of votes in the election (15m) went to losing candidates, while 74% of votes (22m) were wasted i.e. they didn t contribute to electing the MP 2.8m voters were likely to have voted tactically over 9% of voters Under a more proportional voting system the Single Transferable Vote the onservatives would have won 276 seats to Labour s 236, while the SNP would have secured 34, UKIP 54 and the Lib ems 26. The Greens would have won two more seats in ristol and London The RS was able to call the winner correctly in 363 of 368 seats a month before polling day due to the prevalence of safe seats under First Past the Post This election saw an MP win on the lowest vote share in electoral history 24.5% in South elfast 331 of 650 MPs were elected on under 50% of the vote, and 191 with less than 30% of the electorate. The problem goes deeper than these shocking statistics though. First Past the Post is artificially exaggerating divides in the UK giving the SNP nearly all Scottish seats on half the vote, while excluding Labour from the South of ngland and over-representing them in Wales and under-representing the onservatives in the North of ngland and Scotland. t the same time, cross-community parties in Northern Ireland got a tenth of the vote and no seats, yet the UP received nearly half the seats on just a quarter of the vote. This situation is unsustainable if the Prime Minister truly wants a one nation ritain. ut it s not all terrible news. There are better ways of doing elections after all, we re the last country in urope to use the outdated and broken system of First Past the Post. We commissioned YouGov to find out voters party preferences so that we could work out what the results might have looked like under different voting systems: Source-based question: With reference to the source, outline the likely impact on Westminster if the electoral system was changed from FPTP.

Worksheet suggested solutions Q1 True or False? The FPTP electoral system tends to result in a two-party system in the UK True STV electoral system is likely to lead to coalition governments. True losed Party List system allows for a close link between the MP and the constituents. False MS electoral system allows more representation for smaller parties. True SV electoral system gives each voter two choices True Q2 Match the correct term to the description orrect Term Voters number candidates in order of preference and all those passing a defined threshold - calculated by dividing the number of valid votes by the number of seats plus one - are elected. Their surplus votes are distributed to other candidates on the basis of other preferences with low-scoring candidates being progressively eliminated. The system sees more than one candidate elected from a single constituency. Some representatives are elected via the traditional first-past-the post method but voters get to cast a second vote for "top-up" seats, allocated in proportion to the number of votes. These representatives are selected on a regional basis from lists of candidates drawn up by each party. The UK is divided into large constituencies, known as regions, and different parties put together lists of candidates for election, with their preferred choices at the top. Seats are allocated, on a top-down basis, in proportion to parties' share of the vote. Voters choose their first and second preferences and a candidate can only be elected in the first round if they get 50% of the vote. If no-one achieves this, all but the top two candidates are eliminated and their second preferences redistributed to the candidates still in the race. The candidate with the most votes is then elected. Voters rank candidates in order of preference and anyone getting more than 50% in the first round is elected. If that doesn't happen, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their second choices allocated to the remaining candidates. This process continues until a winner emerges. STV MS PL SV V

Q3 Fill in the missing word major criticism of FPTP electoral system is that it does not accurately reflect the votes cast. Many argue it would be fairer to have a more proportionate system. This could increase voter choice and remove large number of safe seats and the large areas of electoral deserts that exist under FPTP. Furthermore, smaller parties would gain more representation and it may become more customary for governments to be formed as coalitions in the future. Rather than elect one person to represent everyone in a relatively small area, with the Single Transferable Vote, bigger areas elect a small team of MPs that reflect the diversity of opinions of the voters. Parties will often stand more than one candidate in each area. Transferring the surplus votes means candidates aren't punished for having popular running mates. The dditional Member System has become popular due to its position as a compromise solution in terms of electoral system design. ut, as a compromise, it retains the safe seat constituencies of first past the post, and also uses closedlists. Hence it is argued that the dditional Member System gives control to parties over who is elected, rather than people. While it does include single-member constituencies their size has to increase to cover a larger area. lthough, the list MPs provide a second layer of representation allowing for alternatives should the voter feel their MP does not represent them for any reason. Some also argue that the dditional Member System creates two classes of MPs, and that this can create tension. For instance, constituency MPs receive local casework, whilst the party list MPs do not. V is not a form of proportional representation and in certain conditions, such as the 2015 General lection, it can produce a more disproportional result than First Past the Post. In 2011 the ritish public voted against replacing First Past the Post with the lternative Vote. The lternative Vote can use the same constituencies we have today. For voters, there is less need for tactical voting, as voters can cast a vote for their favourite candidate without worrying that their vote will be wasted. lso, unlike hosting a run-off vote to decide the winner the lternative Vote uses a single ballot and avoids the need for tactical voting to stop a disliked candidate getting into the final round. andidates are also incentivised to run less divisive campaigns, as candidates will want to become their opponent s voters second favourite candidate

Q4 One sentence or example is incorrect in each of the explanations. Identify the wrong one The STV electoral system was deliberate chosen to elect the Northern Ireland ssembly has it creates strong, stable one-party government. The LP list electoral system as used to elect MPs allows the electorate to see the names of the candidates on the ballot papers. In Scotland and Wales using the MS electoral system there are equal number of constituency MPs and those elected from the party list. s used to elect the Mayor of London, voters have as many preference votes as they wish on the ballot paper. The V system for electing MPs to Westminster was rejected by the public in a referendum that was held in 2014. Q5 MS V STV PL For each of the factors listed below, decide for which electoral system they provide a critique. Some factors may be used more than once. ould lead to a rise in the number of extremist parties who have members elected May lead to coalition government of many parties Half of MPs are not accountable directly to voters reates two tiers of MPs Smaller parties are disregarded Unlikely to result in proportional representation an lead to donkey voting as voters do not know enough about all candidates ould lead to a rise in the number of extremist parties who have members elected May lead to coalition government of many parties reaks the link between a constituency and its representatives onstituencies become larger so MPs may have to spend more time on constituency issues and less on wider issues The method of counting votes can be difficult for voters to understand ould lead to a rise in the number of extremist parties who have members elected May lead to coalition government of many parties Voters can only select parties but not individual members of that party reaks the link between a constituency and its representatives SV oesn t remove the possibility of tactical voting

ase study suggested answers: Source-based question: With reference to the source, outline the likely impact on Westminster if PR was introduced as the electoral system. Under List PR: reduction of seats/mps for the two main parties: onservative 331 to 242 and Labour parties 232 to 208 Smaller parties e.g. UKIP, Greens, Lib ems would gain significant numbers of seats, apart from the SNP which was significantly over-represented in Westminster following the 2015 election and demise of Labour in Scotland This would necessarily result in coalition government because the onservative party would have considerably less than 326 seats assuming they wouldn t operate with a minority government more consensual politics? Possibly less tactical voting and fewer safe seats, so MPs more active and potentially do a better job? Removes the winner s bonus Under V Hardly any change at all compared with FPTP in terms of number of seats, so would have had little effect on Westminster provides good evidence of the result from the V referendum being the right one Under STV lear evidence of it being a compromise between FPTP and PR; the main two parties would still be dominant although there would still be a need for coalition government, as with PR, although compromise would possibly be more straightforward to reach because the onservatives would have been 50 seats short of a majority under STV compared with 84 seats short under PR