Advancing the Scientific Study of Conflict and Cooperation: Alternative Perspectives from the UK and Japan Conveners: Kristian Skrede Gleditsch and Atsushi Tago (Kobe University) Part 1: Research workshop, 20-21 March 2012 *** Tuesday 20 March 2012 *** 10.00-10.30 Welcome 10.30-12.30 Session 1: Domestic politics and international politics Chair: Kristian Skrede Gleditsch The Domestic Political Consequences of International Over-Cooperation: Why Doves find it harder to get re-elected than Hawks: An Experimental Approach, Graeme Davies (University of Leeds) and Robert Johns Securing Nations Manipulating Masses: The Greek-Turkish Neighbourhood, Neophytos G. Loizides (University of Kent) Find Your Weakness: Domestic Turmoil and Deterrence Failure, Koji Kagotani* (Trinity College Dublin) and Takeshi Iida (Kobe University) Discussant: Tom Scotto 12.30-14.00 Lunch 14.00-16.00 Session 2: The state and domestic conflict Chair: Atsushi Tago (Kobe University) The Viability of de facto States: Post-War Developments and Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia, Kristin M. Bakke (University College London), John O Loughlin* (University of Colorado), and Michael D. Ward* (Duke University) Rebellion and Taxation: Evidence from 19th Century Japan, Christopher Paik* (Princeton University), Abbey Steele* (Princeton University), Seiki Tanaka (University of Tokyo) Political Order in Modernizing Autocracies: Elections, Patronage, and Armed Conflict around the World, 1960-2006, Masaaki Higashijima* (Michigan State University) & Shin Toyoda (Waseda University) Discussant: Han Dorussen 16.00-16.30 Coffee Break
16.30-18.00 Session 3: Human rights and international regimes Chair: Ismene Gizelis Why Some Conflicts Remain More Lethal Than Others: How the International Human Rights Regime Mitigates the Impact of Civil and Interstate War on Infant Mortality Rates, 1817-2005, M. Rodwan Abouharb (University College London) Military Force Structure and the Onset of Genocidal Violence, Tobias Böhmelt (ETH Zurich), Atsushi Tago (Kobe University), and Ulrich Pilster (SHAPE, NATO & University of Essex) Discussant: Neil Mitchell (University College London) 19.00 Dinner: Indian Ocean, 26 North Hill Colchester CO1 1EG, 01206 561310 (5 mins walk from The George Hotel) **** Wednesday 21 March *** 9.00-10.30 Military collaboration Chair: Shin Toyoda (Waseda University) Trade Still Follows the Flag: U.S. Security Strategy and the Value of Bilateral Trade, Vincenzo Bove and Leandro Elia* (University of Calabria) Commitment and the Institutionalization of Alliances, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, Atsushi Tago (Kobe University), and Seiki Tanaka (University of Tokyo) Discussant: Alex Braithwaite (University College London) 10.30-11.00 Coffee break 11.00-13.00 Economics of conflict Chair: Han Dorussen Economics of Defence in the UK and France, Ron Smith (Birkbeck, University of London) What can a loss-of-power gradient look like? Parties competing in space and time, Gordon Burt (Conflict Research Society) Alternatives to the Global Peace Index, Ali Tasiran (Middlesex University) Discussant: Syed Mansoob Murshed (University of Birmingham)
13.00-14.00 Lunch 14.00-15.30 Endowment, resources, and civil war Chair: Graeme Davis (University of Leeds) Household Decision-making under the Shadow of Violence in the Chittagong Hill Tracts of Bangladesh, Mohammad Badiuzzaman (Institute of Social Studies)* & Syed Mansoob Murshed (University of Birmingham) Natural Resources and the Dynamics of Civil War Duration and Outcome, Hirotaka Ohmura (University of Shiga) The Reliability of Military Assistance to Rebel Groups, Alejandro Quiroz Flores Discussant: Ron Smith (Birkbeck, University of London) 15.30-16.00 Coffee break 16.00-17.30 Regimes, strategies, and insurgency Chair: Kaoru Kurusu (Kobe University) The Logic of Paramilitarism: Separating the Insurgency From the Population In Iraq, Govinda Clayton (University of Kent) and Andrew Thomson (University of Kent) Authoritarian Regimes and Civil Conflict Contagion, Jessica Maves (Penn State University) and Alex Braithwaite (University College London) Discussant: Kristian Skrede Gleditsch 19.00-21.00 Poster session, buffet and reception (on University of Essex campus) How Do Norms Emerge? IDPs as A Global Issue, Sho Akahoshi, (Kobe University) Discussant: Ismene Gizelis Looking Beyond Borders: Discrimination, Information and Ethnic Conflict Contagion, Janina Beiser (University College London) Discussant: Hirotaka Ohmura (University of Shiga) Do International Organizations create long term peace?, Zorzeta Bakaki (University of Essex) Discussant: Atsushi Tago (Kobe University) Whom To Trust? Assessing Different Stories of Violence in Kosovo, Jule Krüger and Christian Davenport* (Notre Dame University) Discussant: Kaoru Kurusu (Kobe University)
Genocide: Assessing its Determinants in Civil Wars, María Belén González Discussant: Neophytos G. Loizides (University of Kent) Choosing to Terrorise: Determinants of Terrorist Attacks in Civil Wars, Kaisa Hinkkainen Discussant: Alex Braithwaite (University College London) Terror from within: the political determinants of domestic terrorism, Sara Polo Discussant: Seiki Tanaka (University of Tokyo/Syracuse University) Authoritarian Institutions and State Repression, Mauricio Rivera Celestino Discussant: Takeshi Iida (Kobe University) Politics over Military and Diplomatic Coalitions, Kyohei Yabu (Kobe University) and Atsushi Tago (Kobe University) Discussant: Graeme Davis (University of Leeds) List of attending participants (* in program indicates non-attending co-authors) M. Rodwan Abouharb, University College London, m.abouharb@ucl.ac.uk Sho Akahoshi, Kobe University, redstar190886@yahoo.co.jp Zorzeta Bakaki, University of Essex, zbakak@essex.ac.uk Kristin M. Bakke, University College London, kmbakke@ucl.ac.uk Janina Beiser, University College London, janina.beiser.10@ucl.ac.uk Tobias Böhmelt, ETH Zurich & University of Essex, tobias.boehmelt@ir.gess.ethz.ch Vincenzo Bove, University of Essex, vbove@essex.ac.uk Alex Braithwaite, University College London, alex.braithwaite@ucl.ac.uk Gordon Burt, Open University, gordonjburt@gmail.com Govinda Clayton, University of Kent, G.Clayton@kent.ac.uk Graeme Davies, University of Leeds, G.A.M.Davies@leeds.ac.uk Han Dorussen, University of Essex, hdorus@essex.ac.uk Ismene Gizelis, University of Essex, tig@essex.ac.uk Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, University of Essex, ksg@essex.ac.uk María Belén González, University of Essex, mbgonz@essex.ac.uk Kaisa Hinkkainen, University of Essex, khhink@essex.ac.uk Takeshi Iida, Kobe University, tksiid@dragon.kobe-u.ac.jp Robert Johns, University of Essex, rajohn@essex.ac.uk Jule Krüger, University of Essex, jule.krueger@fastmail.co.uk Kaoru Kurusu, Kobe University, kurusu@dragon.kobe-u.ac.jp Neophytos G. Loizides, University of Kent, n.loizides@kent.ac.uk Jessica Maves, Penn State University, jam899@psu.edu Neil Mitchell, University College London (20 March only), n.mitchell@ucl.ac.uk Syed Mansoob Murshed, University of Birmingham, s.m.murshed@bham.ac.uk Hirotaka Ohmura, Shiga University, h-ohmura@biwako.shiga-u.ac.jp Alejandro Quiroz Flores, University of Essex, aquiro@essex.ac.uk Steve Pickering, University of Essex, sdpick@essex.ac.uk
Ulrich Pilster, SHAPE NATO & University of Essex, ulrich.pilster@gmail.com Sara Polo, University of Essex, smtpol@essex.ac.uk Mauricio Rivera Celestino, University of Essex Tom Scotto, University of Essex, tscott@essex.ac.uk Ron Smith, Birkbeck, University of London, r.smith@econ.bbk.ac.uk Atsushi Tago, Kobe Unversity, tago@dragon.kobe-u.ac.jp Seiki Tanaka, University of Tokyo/Princeton University, seikitanaka@gmail.com Ali Tasiran, Middlesex University, A.Tasiran@mdx.ac.uk Shin Toyoda, Waseda University, shin-toyoda2508@toki.waseda.jp Kyohei Yabu, Kobe University, yaboob753@hotmail.co.jp