HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 1 Interviews: 800 Adults in Trump Counties, including 360 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: November 1-4, 2017 16 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. Study #17433 49 Male 51 Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 800 interviews among Adults in Trump Counties is ±3.46% The margin of error for 658 interviews among Registered Voters in Trump Counties is ±3.82% Trump Counties are within states of: Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin. Flip Counties Counties that flipped from voting for Obama in 2012 to voting for Trump in 2016 The margin of error for 454 interviews among Adults is ±4.60% The margin of error for 359 interviews among Registered Voters is ±5.17% Surge Counties Counties where Trump performed a net 20 points higher in 2016 than Romney did in 2012 The margin of error for 346 interviews among Adults is ±5.27% The margin of error for 299 interviews among Registered Voters is ±5.67% The overall results are the data among all Trump Counties, combining Flip Counties and Surge Counties to their proper proportion across the two groups (57% and 43% respectively). Unless otherwise noted by a + or ++, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 2 Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24... 9 11 7 25-29... 10 8 13 30-34... 9 8 9 35-39... 6 7 5 40-44... 9 9 9 45-49... 8 9 7 50-54... 8 8 9 55-59... 11 11 11 60-64... 8 7 9 65-69... 7 8 6 70-74... 6 5 8 75 and over... 9 9 7 Not sure/refused... - - - 2017 18-24... 9 25-29... 9 30-34... 13 35-39... 7 40-44... 9 45-49... 8 50-54... 8 55-59... 10 60-64... 10 65-69... 5 70-74... 5 75 and over... 7 Not sure/refused... -
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 3 Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic... 5 6 4 No, not Hispanic... 94 93 96 Not sure/refused... 1 1-2017 Yes, Hispanic... 11 No, not Hispanic... 88 Not sure/refused... 1 Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White... 86 80 93 Black... 6 10 1 Asian... - - - Other... 4 5 3 Hispanic (VOL)... 2 3 1 Not sure/refused... 2 2 2 White, Non-Hispanic... 83 78 91 2017 White... 74 Black... 12 Asian... 2 Other... 4 Hispanic (VOL)... 6 Not sure/refused... 2 White, Non-Hispanic... 70 Q3 Registered Voter. Yes... 82 82 83 No... 18 18 17 Not sure... - - - Moving on Q4 All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? Headed in the right direction... 34 34 35 Off on the wrong track... 59 60 57 Mixed (VOL)... 4 4 3 Not sure... 3 2 5
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 4 Q5 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 11/17 7/17 Total approve... 48 47 49 50 44 56 Strongly approve... 29 26 32 29 28 32 Somewhat approve... 19 21 17 21 16 24 Total disapprove... 50 50 50 46 51 40 Somewhat disapprove... 10 9 12 11 13 9 Strongly disapprove... 40 41 38 35 38 31 Not sure... 2 3 1 4 5 4 10/17 9/17 8/17 6/17 5/17 4/17 2/17 Approve... 38 43 40 40 39 40 44 Disapprove... 58 52 55 55 54 54 48 Not sure... 4 5 5 5 7 6 8 Q6 Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing in handling the economy? 11/17 7/17 Approve... 52 50 53 51 48 56 Disapprove... 42 43 40 40 43 36 Not sure... 6 7 7 9 9 8 10/17 9/17 6/17 4/17 Approve... 42 41 44 44 Disapprove... 37 36 48 46 No opinion... 20 22 NA NA Not sure... 1 1 8 10
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 5 Moving on Q7 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK DONALD TRUMP FIRST, RANDOMIZE REST) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Donald Trump November 2017 Overall... 27 17 10 8 37 1 Flip... 24 18 9 8 39 2 Surge... 31 16 11 7 35 - July 2017 Overall... 29 14 14 8 35 - Flip... 27 11 14 9 38 1 Surge... 31 18 14 6 31 - October 2017... 23 13 10 8 46 - September 2017... 23 16 12 10 39 - August 2017... 22 14 12 12 40 - June 2017... 25 13 11 9 41 1 May 2017... 21 17 9 10 42 1 April 2017... 23 16 11 10 40 - February 2017... 27 16 10 12 35 - January 2017... 20 18 13 10 38 1 December 2016... 20 20 13 11 35 1 October 10-13, 2016+... 15 14 8 10 52 1 October 8-10, 2016+... 17 13 7 12 51 - September 2016+... 15 13 11 12 49 - August 2016+... 13 15 11 11 50 - July 2016+... 10 17 13 11 49 - June 2016+... 12 17 11 12 48 - May 2016+... 13 16 12 14 44 1 April 2016+... 11 13 10 12 53 1 March 2016+... 12 13 11 10 54 - February 2016+... 11 17 12 10 49 1 January 2016+... 14 15 12 11 47 1 Hillary Clinton November 2017 Overall... 12 11 16 13 47 1 Flip... 13 14 13 14 45 1 Surge... 11 8 19 11 50 1 July 2017 Overall... 11 16 18 13 41 1 Flip... 13 17 19 11 39 1 Surge... 9 14 17 15 44 1 August 2017... 13 17 17 15 38 - December 2016... 15 17 13 14 40 1 October 10-13, 2016+... 20 20 9 10 40 1 October 8-10, 2016+... 21 17 10 11 40 1 September 2016+... 18 19 11 13 39 - August 2016+... 17 20 10 11 42 - July 2016+... 18 16 10 13 43 - June 2016+... 15 18 12 12 43 - May 2016+... 16 18 12 13 41 - April 2016+... 13 19 12 14 42 - March 2016+... 18 20 11 12 39 - February 2016+... 17 20 13 11 39 1 January 2016+... 16 24 11 12 37 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 6 Q7 (cont'd) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral Bernie Sanders November 2017 Overall... 19 23 22 13 18 5 Flip... 20 25 21 13 17 4 Surge... 17 20 23 14 19 7 July 2017 Overall... 19 23 22 13 19 4 Flip... 21 23 21 13 16 6 Surge... 16 24 22 12 24 2 August 2017... 21 23 22 12 18 4 August 2016+... 26 25 17 12 17 3 July 2016+... 22 23 20 14 18 3 June 2016+... 19 24 20 14 20 3 May 2016+... 20 23 18 15 21 3 April 2016+... 21 24 16 14 22 3 March 2016+... 20 23 18 13 23 3 February 2016+... 20 22 17 12 23 6 January 2016+... 18 20 20 12 19 11 Barack Obama November 2017 Overall... 29 19 15 13 24 - Flip... 30 22 14 12 22 - Surge... 28 15 17 13 27 - July 2017 Overall... 29 21 12 11 26 1 Flip... 32 21 13 11 23 - Surge... 24 22 11 11 31 1 August 2017... 35 16 14 13 22 - April 2017... 36 16 14 12 21 1 January 2017... 40 17 10 11 22 - December 2016... 36 16 12 12 24 - October 10-13, 2016+... 36 15 9 10 29 1 September 2016+... 36 15 9 11 28 1 August 2016+... 36 14 10 12 28 - July 2016+... 33 17 9 14 27 - June 2016+... 30 18 11 11 30 - May 2016+... 32 17 10 10 31 - April 2016+... 28 18 13 14 27 - March 2016+... 28 19 10 12 31 - February 2016+... 30 18 11 11 30 - January 2016+... 27 20 11 12 30 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 7 Q7 (cont'd) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral The Republican Party Overall... 7 24 26 19 21 3 Flip... 7 25 27 17 22 2 Surge... 8 22 25 23 20 2 October 2017... 6 21 25 25 21 2 August 2017... 7 22 25 21 24 1 April 2017... 10 21 21 21 26 1 February 2017... 10 25 21 20 23 1 January 2017... 13 22 22 21 22 - December 2016... 12 23 26 18 20 1 October 10-13, 2016+... 8 18 24 24 25 1 September 2016+... 9 20 23 21 27 - August 2016+... 8 19 22 25 26 - July 2016+... 6 21 21 24 27 1 June 2016+... 7 21 23 25 23 1 May 2016+... 5 19 25 24 24 2 April 2016+... 7 20 21 23 28 1 February 2016+... 10 23 21 23 23 1 The Democratic Party Overall... 10 17 30 18 22 3 Flip... 11 19 29 18 22 1 Surge... 10 13 32 18 23 4 October 2017... 12 20 26 19 23 - August 2017... 11 23 25 19 21 1 April 2017... 11 23 26 16 23 1 February 2017... 8 22 24 23 23 - January 2017... 12 23 19 16 28 2 December 2016... 10 24 23 20 22 1 October 10-13, 2016+... 15 24 18 16 26 1 September 2016+... 15 22 20 16 27 - August 2016+... 14 26 16 18 25 1 July 2016+... 15 24 19 19 22 1 June 2016+... 12 25 19 18 25 1 May 2016+... 11 27 20 19 22 1 April 2016+... 10 28 20 19 22 1 February 2016+... 16 24 21 17 21 1 Nancy Pelosi Overall... 5 11 23 14 30 17 Flip... 6 11 23 15 28 17 Surge... 4 10 24 13 33 16 September 2017... 8 17 19 15 28 13 February 2017... 7 12 25 14 30 12 Mitch McConnell Overall... 3 8 25 16 19 29 Flip... 2 10 23 16 21 28 Surge... 3 7 26 16 17 31 October 2017... 1 11 24 17 20 27 September 2017... - 11 21 16 25 27 February 2017... 2 12 24 14 20 28 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 8 OVERALL SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE D/S Barack Obama... 48 37 11 Bernie Sanders... 42 31 11 Donald Trump... 44 45-1 The Republican Party... 31 40-9 The Democratic Party... 27 40-13 Mitch McConnell... 11 35-24 Nancy Pelosi... 16 44-28 Hillary Clinton... 23 60-37 FLIP SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE D/S Barack Obama... 52 34 18 Bernie Sanders... 45 30 15 Donald Trump... 42 47-5 The Republican Party... 32 39-7 The Democratic Party... 30 40-10 Mitch McConnell... 12 37-25 Nancy Pelosi... 17 43-26 Hillary Clinton... 27 59-32 SURGE SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE D/S Donald Trump... 47 42 5 Bernie Sanders... 37 33 4 Barack Obama... 43 40 3 The Republican Party... 30 43-13 The Democratic Party... 23 41-18 Mitch McConnell... 10 33-23 Nancy Pelosi... 14 46-32 Hillary Clinton... 19 61-42
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 9 Q8 Now, knowing it is a long way off, what is your preference for the outcome of next year s congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? 11/17+ 7/17+ Republican-controlled Congress... 48 49 47 47 40 55 Democrat-controlled Congress... 39 41 37 37 44 27 Not sure... 13 10 16 16 16 18 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 10/17+ 9/17+ 6/17+ 4/17+ 10/10-13/16+ 10/8-10/16+ Republican-controlled Congress... 41 42 42 43 44 42 Democrat-controlled Congress... 48 48 50 47 46 48 Not sure... 11 10 8 10 10 10 9/16+ 8/16+ 6/16+ 5/16+ 4/16+ 45 43 46 44 45 48 47 46 48 47 7 10 8 8 8 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q9 Compared to when Donald Trump became President do you think that the country is (ROTATE) better off, worse off or in about the same place? Better off... 32 33 32 Worse off... 41 43 38 Same place... 26 23 30 Not sure... 1 1 - (ASKED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY (11/1-2) ONLY) (IF BETTER/WORSE OFF, THEN ASK) Q9b And, tell me, what are the top one or two reasons you think that the country is (READ RESPONSE TO Q9) compared to when Donald Trump became President? RECORD RESPONSE VERBATIM
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 10 Q10 Now I m going to mention Donald Trump s handling of a number of different areas and I d like to get your response. When it comes to (READ ITEM) are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, fairly dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with Donald Trump? TABLE RANKED BY % TOTAL SATISFIED AMONG OVERALL Total Satisfied Total Dissatisfied Very Satisfied Fairly Satisfied Fairly Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied Improving the economy Overall... 56 41 29 27 16 25 3 Flip... 54 42 28 26 16 26 4 Surge... 58 40 31 27 18 22 2 Keeping America safe* Overall... 55 43 31 24 13 30 2 Flip... 51 47 27 24 13 34 2 Surge... 61 38 36 25 13 25 1 Dealing with immigration and border security Overall... 49 49 29 20 16 33 2 Flip... 47 50 27 20 14 36 3 Surge... 51 48 30 21 18 30 1 Changing business as usual in Washington Overall... 47 47 22 25 16 31 6 Flip... 46 48 22 24 16 32 6 Surge... 49 47 23 26 18 29 4 Being commander-in-chief Overall... 47 51 26 21 13 38 2 Flip... 46 52 25 21 12 40 2 Surge... 49 49 28 21 14 35 2 Standing up to big business and special interests Overall... 47 48 22 25 15 33 5 Flip... 42 51 21 21 16 35 7 Surge... 53 44 23 30 15 29 3 Handling taxes* Overall... 45 45 21 24 18 27 10 Flip... 43 49 22 21 18 31 8 Surge... 49 39 19 30 17 22 12 Being honest and truthful Overall... 43 55 21 22 13 42 2 Flip... 41 57 20 21 12 45 2 Surge... 46 53 22 24 14 39 1 Working with Congress to accomplish his agenda Overall... 43 54 15 28 20 34 3 Flip... 40 56 13 27 18 38 4 Surge... 46 52 18 28 22 30 2 Dealing with the environment** Overall... 42 53 13 29 17 36 5 Flip... 39 54 12 27 18 36 7 Surge... 45 50 15 30 15 35 5 Improving America s image around the world** Overall... 41 57 20 21 12 45 2 Flip... 38 60 19 19 12 48 2 Surge... 44 54 22 22 12 42 2 * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). Not Sure
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 11 Q10 (cont'd) TABLE RANKED BY % TOTAL SATISFIED AMONG OVERALL Total Total Very Fairly Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Satisfied Fairly Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied Helping unite the country Overall... 38 60 16 22 15 45 2 Flip... 36 63 14 22 15 48 1 Surge... 40 57 19 21 16 41 3 Improving race relations Overall... 37 59 13 24 17 42 4 Flip... 34 62 12 22 17 45 4 Surge... 41 55 15 26 17 38 4 Improving the health care system Overall... 37 59 13 24 16 43 4 Flip... 35 61 12 23 17 44 4 Surge... 39 57 15 24 15 42 4 * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). Not Sure
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 12 Q11 Please tell me how well each of the following statements describes how you feel about the direction of the country. Does the statement describe how you feel... (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) very well, somewhat well, not too well, not well at all? (RANDOMIZE) TABLE RANKED BY % TOTAL WELL AMONG OVERALL Total Well Total Not Well Very Well Somewhat Well Not Too Well Not Well at All I am worried that America is being divided by hate and intolerance. Overall... 74 25 53 21 12 13 1 Flip... 75 24 54 21 11 13 1 Surge... 73 26 52 21 13 13 1 I feel angry because our political system seems to only be working for the insiders with money and influence, like those on Wall Street or in Washington. Overall... 68 31 44 24 16 15 1 Flip... 67 32 43 24 16 16 1 Surge... 70 29 44 26 15 14 1 I am encouraged by how the economy has improved with lower unemployment and the stock market reaching record highs. Overall... 68 30 36 32 14 16 2 Flip... 65 32 37 28 14 18 3 Surge... 70 28 35 35 13 15 2 I feel anxious because the economy still feels uncertain and health care is unpredictable so it is hard to plan for the future. Overall... 62 36 33 29 16 20 2 Flip... 62 35 36 26 15 20 3 Surge... 61 37 30 31 18 19 2 I am upset that elites in this country look down on my values and beliefs. Overall... 59 38 31 28 18 20 3 Flip... 58 38 28 30 16 22 4 Surge... 61 37 35 26 20 17 2 I feel optimistic about where things are headed because Donald Trump is shaking up the establishment and putting America first again. Overall... 51 48 32 19 11 37 1 Flip... 50 49 33 17 9 40 1 Surge... 53 46 30 23 13 33 1 I feel pessimistic about where things are headed because Donald Trump is dividing us as a nation. Overall... 47 51 34 13 14 37 2 Flip... 50 48 36 14 12 36 2 Surge... 44 55 32 12 17 38 1 Not Sure
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 13 Moving on Q12 Now, who do you want to see take the lead role in setting policy for the country (ROTATE) President Trump, Republicans in Congress, or Democrats in Congress? 11/17 7/17 President Trump... 29 28 31 27 26 29 Republicans in Congress... 22 23 21 23 20 28 Democrats in Congress... 38 40 36 38 43 32 None of these (VOL)... 5 5 5 7 7 6 Not sure... 6 4 7 5 4 5 10/17 6/17 4/17 2/17 1/17^ President Trump... 22 21 26 33 28 Republicans in Congress... 21 25 21 19 19 Democrats in Congress... 45 45 45 37 41 None of these (VOL)... 7 6 5 6 7 Not sure... 5 3 3 5 5 ^ Response was President-Elect Trump in January 2017 Q13 Would you say President Trump does or does not have a clear agenda on what he is proposing to do on major issues facing the country? Does have a clear agenda... 44 42 47 Does not have a clear agenda... 53 55 50 Mixed (VOL)... 1 2 - Not sure... 2 1 3 (ASKED IF TRUMP DOES HAVE A CLEAR AGENDA) Q14 And, is this an agenda that you strongly support, have mixed feelings about, or strongly oppose? Among Has a Clear Agenda Among Among Among Has a Has a All Clear Among Clear Adults Agenda Adults Agenda Strongly support... 60 27 58 25 62 29 Mixed feelings... 6 2 7 2 5 2 Strongly oppose... 34 15 35 15 33 16 Not sure... - - - - - - Not clear agenda/mixed/not sure on Q13... NA 56 NA 58 NA 53 Among All Adults
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 14 Q15 How likely do you think it is that Donald Trump will bring real change in the direction of the country, very likely, fairly likely, just somewhat likely, or not that likely? 11/17 7/17 Very Likely... 27 26 28 29 28 30 Fairly Likely... 17 17 18 19 17 21 Just Somewhat Likely... 20 19 22 23 24 23 Not That Likely... 35 37 32 29 31 26 Not sure... 1 1 - - - - 6/17 2/17 Very Likely... 31 40 Fairly Likely... 15 17 Just Somewhat Likely... 22 20 Not That Likely... 30 21 Not sure... 2 2 (ASKED AMONG RESPONDENTS WHO SAY TRUMP WILL BRING CHANGE) Q16 And, do you think Donald Trump s presidency will bring the right kind of change or the wrong kind of change to the direction of the country? Among Likely to Bring Change Among Among Likely to Likely to Among Bring Among Bring Adults Change Adults Change November 2017 Right kind of change... 72 46 71 44 74 50 Wrong kind of change... 24 15 26 16 20 14 Some of both (VOL)... - - - - - - Not sure... 4 3 3 2 6 4 Not that likely/not sure on Q15... NA 36 NA 38 NA 32 July 2017 Right kind of change... 66 47 60 41 73 54 Wrong kind of change... 28 20 33 23 21 15 Some of both (VOL)... 2 1 2 1 2 2 Not sure... 4 3 5 4 4 3 Not that likely/not sure... NA 29 NA 31 NA 26 June 2017 February 2017 Among Among Likely to Bring Change Among All Adults Likely to Bring Change Among Adults Among All Adults Right kind of change... 60 41 63 48 Wrong kind of change... 33 23 30 23 Some of both (VOL)... 2 2 2 2 Not sure... 5 2 5 4 Not that likely/not sure... NA 32 NA 23
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 15 And, thinking about the economy for a moment Q17 How would you rate the condition of the economy in the area where you live these days--excellent, good, only fair, or poor? 11/17 7/17 Excellent... 8 8 7 4 4 5 Good... 40 43 36 40 43 36 Only fair... 36 35 38 39 39 40 Poor... 16 13 19 16 14 19 Not sure... - 1-1 - - AUGUST 2017 NATIONAL DATA FOR COMPARISON Excellent... 10 Good... 47 Only fair... 30 Poor... 13 Not sure... - Q18 Which of these best describes your view of the economy during Donald Trump s presidency? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) 11/17 7/17 The economy has improved, and I give Donald Trump some credit for it... 44 43 47 40 40 41 The economy has improved, but I do not give Donald Trump much credit for it... 25 24 27 23 25 20 The economy has not really improved... 28 30 25 36 34 38 The economy has gotten worse (VOL)... 1 1 1 - - 1 Not sure... 2 2-1 1 - JUNE 2017 The economy has improved, and I give Donald Trump some credit for it... 38 The economy has improved, but I do not give Donald Trump much credit for it... 22 The economy has not really improved... 37 The economy has gotten worse (VOL)... - Not sure... 3
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 16 Changing topics (ROTATE Q19-Q20 WITH Q21-Q22) Q19 Do you think that President Trump s tax plan is a good idea or bad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. (If Good idea/bad idea, ask:) And, do you feel that way strongly, or not so strongly? TOTAL GOOD IDEA... 27 28 27 Strongly... 23 23 23 Not so strongly... 4 5 4 TOTAL BAD IDEA... 26 28 23 Not so strongly... 2 3 2 Strongly... 24 25 21 Do not have an opinion... 46 44 48 Not sure... 1-2 OCTOBER 2017 NATIONAL DATA FOR COMPARISON TOTAL GOOD IDEA... 25 Strongly... 20 Not so strongly... 5 TOTAL BAD IDEA... 35 Not so strongly... 4 Strongly... 31 Do not have an opinion... 39 Not sure... 1 Q20 If President Trump s tax plan became law do you believe that [INSERT ITEM] would pay more in taxes, pay less in taxes, about the same, or don t you know enough to say one way or another? TABLE RANKED BY % WHO SAY PAY MORE AMONG OVERALL Pay About the Same Don t Know Enough Pay More Pay Less Middle class Americans Overall... 29 20 17 34 Flip... 31 23 15 31 Surge... 27 18 21 34 You and your family Overall... 25 17 25 33 Flip... 27 20 22 31 Surge... 22 14 28 36 Wealthy Americans Overall... 12 42 12 34 Flip... 11 45 12 32 Surge... 12 37 13 38
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 17 Q21 And, would you say yes or no, should Congress and the President continue their efforts to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, or do you not know enough to have an opinion? (IF NO, ASK:) Which one best describes the reason you said no about repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act, is it because you (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) only want it repealed, but not replaced, you want it fixed so it works better, but not repealed, or you want it left alone as it is working fine now? Yes... 39 36 43 Total No... 39 41 36 Only want it repealed, but not replaced... 3 2 4 Want it fixed so it works better, but not repealed... 27 28 24 Want it left alone as it is working fine now... 8 9 6 Not sure... 1 2 2 No Opinion... 21 21 20 Not sure... 1 2 1 6/17 4/17 Yes... 38 40 Total No... 39 37 Only want it repealed, but not replaced... 2 - Want it fixed so it works better, but not repealed... 28 33 Want it left alone as it is working fine now... 9 4 Not sure... - - No Opinion... 20 21 Not sure... 3 2 Q22 If health care costs increase and more people lose their health care coverage, when it comes to policymakers in Washington, who do you believe is most responsible? (ROTATE, READ LIST) (IF MORE THAN ONE, ASK:) Well if you had to pick who you think is most responsible, who would it be? The Obama administration and Democrats in Congress... 44 41 47 The Trump administration and Republicans in Congress... 46 48 44 All (VOL)... 4 4 4 Not sure... 6 7 5 OCTOBER 2017 The Obama administration and Democrats in Congress... 37 The Trump administration and Republicans in Congress... 50 All (VOL)... 3 Not sure... 10
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 18 And moving on Q23 Based on what you have seen, read, or heard so far, do you believe the Donald Trump campaign did or did not collude with Russia during the 2016 campaign? If you don t know enough to say either way please just say so. * Yes, did collude... 37 42 32 No, did not collude... 36 36 36 Don t know enough to say... 25 21 32 Not sure... 2 1 - * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). Q24 This week, members of Donald Trump s campaign, including his former campaign chairman, were indicted by a grand jury that is investigating the Trump campaign s alleged ties to Russia. Do you believe that these indictments are really just about potential wrongdoing of these individuals or does this suggest that there is potential wrongdoing by Donald Trump himself? If you don t know enough to say either way please just say so. ** Just these individuals... 32 32 32 By Donald Trump... 31 29 33 Don t know enough to say... 35 37 33 Not sure... 2 2 2 ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). Changing topics Q25 When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch regularly? (ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) TABLE RANKED BY % WHO WATCH NEWS SOURCE AMONG OVERALL Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS... 47 44 50 The cable channel Fox News... 34 34 35 The cable channel CNN... 27 26 28 The cable channel MSNBC... 18 18 17 Or, do you not watch any of these... 20 21 19 Watch different TV news (VOL)... 2 2 2 Get news from some other source (VOL)... 3 4 2 Not sure... - - -
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 19 Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. (ASKED IF REGISTERED VOTER SAMPLE) QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF SOMEONE ELSE, ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies... 27 24 32 Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies... 20 18 22 Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies... 15 17 12 Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies... 17 21 12 Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL)... 3 4 1 Voted for Jill Stein (VOL)... - 1 - Voted for someone else (VOL)... 4 3 5 Voted, not sure... 1 1 1 No, Did Not Vote... 10 9 11 Not sure... 3 2 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RE-CALCULATED BALLOT AMONG SELF-DESCRIBED 2016 VOTERS Donald Trump... 54 48 63 Hillary Clinton... 37 43 28 (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN TRUMP VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? Supporter of Donald Trump... 57 57 57 Supporter of the Republican Party... 40 40 40 Both (VOL)... 2 2 3 Neither (VOL)... 1 1 - Not sure... - - - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 10/17+ 9/17+ Supporter of Donald Trump... 54 58 Supporter of the Republican Party... 42 38 Both (VOL)... 2 2 Neither (VOL)... - 1 Not sure... 2 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 20 (ASKED OF DEMOCRATS AND LEAN DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1b Regardless of how you feel today, during the 2016 Democratic nominating contest would you have described yourself as a supporter of Hillary Clinton, a supporter of Bernie Sanders, or a supporter of another Democratic candidate, or did you have no strong preference? + Overall Supporter of Bernie Sanders... 40 Supporter of Hillary Clinton... 36 Supporter of another Democratic candidate... 3 No strong preference... 18 Both (VOL)... 1 Neither (VOL)... 2 Not sure... - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 10/17+ Supporter of Bernie Sanders... 35 Supporter of Hillary Clinton... 38 Supporter of another Democratic candidate... 3 No strong preference... 21 Both (VOL)... - Neither (VOL)... - Not sure... 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1c Did you vote for Barack Obama in 2008, in 2012, in both years, or have you never voted for him? + Voted for him in 2008... 8 8 7 Voted for him in 2012... 3 4 3 Voted for him both times... 37 41 33 Never voted for him... 44 39 51 Did not vote at all/too young to vote (VOL)... 4 5 3 Not sure... 4 3 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 21 (ASK ALL) QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager... 22 25 18 White-collar worker... 17 17 17 Blue-collar worker... 22 22 22 Farmer, rancher... 1 1 2 Not Currently Employed Student... 1 1 2 Stay at home mom/dad... 4 3 6 Retired... 28 26 30 Unemployed, looking for work... 2 3 2 Other... - - - Not sure... 1 2 1 2017 Currently Employed Professional, manager... 27 White-collar worker... 18 Blue-collar worker... 20 Farmer, rancher... 1 Not Currently Employed Student... 2 Stay at home mom/dad... 5 Retired... 23 Unemployed, looking for work... 3 Other... - Not sure... 1
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 22 QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school... 1 1 - Some high school... 3 3 4 High school graduate... 43 39 48 Some college, no degree... 14 15 13 Vocational training/school... 2 2 1 2-year college degree... 11 13 10 4-year college/bachelor's degree... 16 16 16 Some postgraduate work, no degree... 2 2 1 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree... 7 7 6 Doctoral/law degree... 1 2 1 Not sure/refused... - - - 2017 Grade school... - Some high school... 4 High school graduate... 27 Some college, no degree... 17 Vocational training/school... 2 2-year college degree... 13 4-year college/bachelor's degree... 21 Some postgraduate work, no degree... 2 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree... 11 Doctoral/law degree... 3 Not sure/refused... - QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat... 18 20 17 Not very strong Democrat... 7 7 7 Independent/lean Democrat... 9 10 8 Strictly Independent... 19 18 20 Independent/lean Republican... 10 12 9 Not very strong Republican... 8 8 7 Strong Republican... 18 17 18 Other (VOL)... 6 5 7 Not sure... 5 5 7 2017 Strong Democrat... 22 Not very strong Democrat... 9 Independent/lean Democrat... 10 Strictly Independent... 16 Independent/lean Republican... 10 Not very strong Republican... 8 Strong Republican... 17 Other (VOL)... 5 Not sure... 3
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 23 QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal... 7 9 5 Somewhat liberal... 16 15 16 Moderate... 34 34 34 Somewhat conservative... 22 22 21 Very conservative... 18 17 19 Not sure... 3 3 4 2017 Very liberal... 11 Somewhat liberal... 15 Moderate... 35 Somewhat conservative... 20 Very conservative... 15 Not sure... 4 QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member... 20 19 22 Union household... 10 9 11 Non-union household... 69 71 67 Not sure... 1 1-2017 Labor union member... 14 Union household... 8 Non-union household... 77 Not sure... 1
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #17433 -- page 24 QF7 Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and living with a partner? Married... 56 51 62 Widowed... 8 8 9 Separated... 1 1 2 Divorced... 10 11 8 Single/never been married... 19 23 13 Unmarried and living with a partner... 6 6 5 Refused... - - 1 2017 Married... 53 Widowed... 6 Separated... 2 Divorced... 9 Single/never been married... 23 Unmarried and living with a partner... 7 Refused... - QF8 How would you describe your economic circumstances (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor... 9 9 9 Working class... 31 30 32 Middle class... 48 47 49 Upper middle class... 10 11 8 Well-to-do... 2 2 2 Not sure/refused... - 1-2017 Poor... 9 Working class... 28 Middle class... 45 Upper middle class... 15 Well-to-do... 2 Not sure/refused... 1