WTO DISCIPLINES ON SUBSIDIES AND COUNTERVAILING MEASURES

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WTO DISCIPLINES ON SUBSIDIES AND COUNTERVAILING MEASURES Does the World Trade Organization leave appropriate policy space for its members to pursue legitimate objectives, such as the economic development of developing countries, the conversion to a greener economy, or recovery in times of a global economic downturn? This legal and normative analysis of the WTO rules on subsidies and countervailing measures sheds light on why governments resort to subsidization, and, by tracing the historical origins of the Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (SCM Agreement) and the Agreement on Agriculture, on why they have been willing gradually to confine their policy space. This sets the stage for a systematic and comprehensive legal analysis of both agreements, which integrates the vast amount of case law and proposals tabled in the Doha Round. A separate case study explores the complex rules on export credit support, and the book closes with an in-depth normative assessment of the WTO rules on subsidies and countervailing measures. dominic coppens is an associate at Sidley Austin LLP sgenevaoffice, where he is a member of the firm s International Trade and Arbitration group. He advises governments and private stakeholders on international trade matters, with a focus on dispute settlement under the auspices of the World Trade Organization. He is also an Associate Fellow of the Leuven Centre for Global Governance Studies at the University of Leuven, Belgium.

cambridge international trade and economic law As the processes of regionalization and globalization have intensified, there have been accompanying increases in the regulations of internationaltradeandeconomiclawatthelevels of international, regional, and national laws. The subject matter of this series is international economic law. Its core is the regulation of international trade, investment and cognateareas such as intellectual property and competition policy. The series publishes books on related regulatory areas, in particular human rights, labour, environment, and culture, as well as sustainable development. These areas are vertically linked at the international, regional, and national level, and the series extends to the implementation of these rules at these different levels. The series also includes works on governance, dealing with the structure and operation of related international organizations in the field of international economic law, and the way they interact with other subjects of international and national law. Series editors Dr Lorand Bartels, University of Cambridge Professor Thomas Cottier, University of Berne Professor William Davey, University of Illinois Books in the series Trade Policy Flexibility and Enforcement in the WTO: A Law and Economics Analysis Simon A. B. Schropp The Multilateralization of International Investment Law Stephan W. Schill The Law, Economics and Politics of Retaliation in WTO Dispute Settlement Edited by Chad P. Bown and Joost Pauwelyn Non-discrimination in International Trade in Services: Likeness in WTO/GATS Nicolas Diebold Processes and Production Methods (PPMs) in WTO Law: Interfacing Trade and Social Goals Christiane R. Conrad African Regional Trade Agreements as Legal Regimes James Thuo Gathii The Law and Politics of WTO Waivers: Stability and Flexibility in Public International Law Isabel Feichtner

Public Services and International Trade Liberalization: Human Rights and Gender Implications Barnali Choudhury International Organizations in WTO Dispute Settlement: How Much Institutional Sensitivity? Marina Foltea Domestic Judicial Review of Trade Remedies: Experiences of the Most Active WTO Members Müslüm Yilmaz WTO Disciplines on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures:

WTO DISCIPLINES ON SUBSIDIES AND COUNTERVAILING MEASURES DOMINIC COPPENS

University Printing House, Cambridge CB2 8BS, United Kingdom Cambridge University Press is part of the University of Cambridge. It furthers the University s mission by disseminating knowledge in the pursuit of education, learning, and research at the highest international levels of excellence. Information on this title: /9781107014770 2014 This publication is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provisions of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. First published 2014 PrintedandboundintheUnitedKingdombytheMPGBooksGroup A catalogue record for this publication is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloguing in Publication data Coppens, Dominic, 1980 WTO disciplines on subsidies and countervailing measures : balancing policy space and legal constraints /. pages cm. ISBN 978-1-107-01477-0 1. Subsidies Law and legislation. 2. World Trade Organization Rules and practice. 3. Foreign trade regulation. 4. International trade. I. Title. II. Title: World Trade Organization disciplines on subsidies and countervailing measures. K3825.C67 2013 382 0.63 dc23 2013016877 ISBN 978-1-107-01477-0 Hardback Cambridge University Press has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of URLs for external or third-party internet websites referred to in this publication, and does not guarantee that any content on such websites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate.

To Lucia, Sybille, and Isaac

There is a crack, a crack in everything That s how the light gets in leonard cohen

CONTENTS List of figures page xx List of tables xxi Acknowledgements xxii Foreword by Petros C. Mavroidis xxv Table of WTO and GATT dispute settlement reports List of abbreviations xlvi General introduction 1 1 Rationales for offering subsidies 5 xxvii 1.1 The absence of a rationale for subsidization 6 1.2 The market failure rationale for subsidization 8 1.3 The profit-shifting rationale for subsidization 10 1.4 The redistribution rationale for subsidization 12 1.5 The political-economy rationale for subsidization 13 1.6 Conclusion 16 part i Legal disciplines on subsidization and the imposition of countervailing measures 19 2 Historical overview 21 2.1 GATT 1947 21 2.2 The 1954 1955 Review Session and the 1960 Declaration 24 2.3 The Tokyo Round: the Subsidies Code 27 2.4 The Uruguay Round: the SCM Agreement and the Agreement on Agriculture 30 2.5 The Doha Round negotiations 35 ix

x contents 3 The scope of the SCM Agreement 39 3.1 Financial contribution by a government or income or price support 39 3.1.1 Financial contribution 39 3.1.1.1 The (potential) direct transfer of funds and liabilities 40 3.1.1.2 The provision of goods or services or purchase of goods other than general infrastructure 42 3.1.1.3 The government forgoes revenue which is otherwise due 45 3.1.2 By a government 50 3.1.2.1 Direct financial contribution: by a government in the narrow sense or a public body 50 3.1.2.2 Indirect financial contribution: entrustment or direction of a private body 53 3.1.3 Income or price support 57 3.2 Benefit 59 3.2.1 Determination of the relevant benchmark when private prices are distorted and when the government creates a market 63 3.2.1.1 Determination of the relevant benchmark when private prices are distorted 65 3.2.1.1.1 Alternative benchmarks in the case where the government provides goods or services 65 3.2.1.1.1.1 When could alternative benchmarks be used? 68 3.2.1.1.1.2 How should alternative benchmarks be constructed? 70 3.2.1.1.2 Alternative benchmarks in the case where the government transfers (potential) direct funds 72 3.2.1.1.3 Doha Round negotiations 74 3.2.1.2 Determination of the benchmark when the government creates a market 75 3.2.1.2.1 Introduction to the Canada Renewable Energy / Feed-in Tariff Program case 76 3.2.1.2.2 When could an alternative benchmark be used? 79 3.2.1.2.3 What is the alternative benchmark in a market created by the government? 82 3.2.1.2.4 Through which types of financial contribution could a market be created? 85 3.2.1.2.5 Conclusion 87 3.2.2 Determination of the recipient 88 3.2.2.1 Pass-through of benefit 90 3.2.2.1.1 Countervailing duty cases 90 3.2.2.1.2 Actionable subsidy cases 96 3.2.2.2 Privatization of a subsidized enterprise 97

contents xi 3.3 Specificity 100 3.3.1 Subsidies deemed to be specific 100 3.3.2 Specificity de jure and de facto 101 3.3.2.1 De jure specificity 103 3.3.2.2 Non-specificity resulting from objective eligibility criteria 106 3.3.2.3 De facto specificity 107 3.3.3 Regional subsidies 111 4 Disciplines on subsidies 115 4.1 Prohibited subsidies 116 4.1.1 Export subsidies 116 4.1.1.1 Export subsidies in the meaning of Article 1 in conjunction with Article 3 of the SCM Agreement: subsidies contingent on exportation 119 4.1.1.2 Export subsidies in the meaning of one of the items of the Illustrative List 124 4.1.1.2.1 The provision of goods or services favourable to exporters 125 4.1.1.2.2 Border tax adjustments and duty drawback systems 127 4.1.1.2.2.1 Border tax adjustments 127 4.1.1.2.2.1.1 Introduction 127 4.1.1.2.2.1.2 Direct taxes 129 4.1.1.2.2.1.3 Indirect taxes 130 4.1.1.2.2.2 Duty drawback systems 132 4.1.1.2.3 The (potential) direct transfer of funds: export credit support 135 4.1.1.3 Export subsidies not prohibited under the Illustrative List 136 4.1.2 Local content subsidies 140 4.2 Actionable subsidies 143 4.2.1 Injury to the domestic industry 144 4.2.2 Nullification or impairment of benefits 146 4.2.3 Serious prejudice 147 4.2.3.1 The need to demonstrate present adverse effects 149 4.2.3.2 The origin and likeness of products under a serious prejudice claim 151 4.2.3.3 The delineation of the relevant product market under a serious prejudice claim 153 4.2.3.4 Types of market phenomena 154 4.2.3.4.1 Volume effects 154 4.2.3.4.1.1 Displacement or impedance of exports to the market of the subsidizing member or a third country 154

xii contents 4.2.3.4.1.1.1 Contextual support to show displacement or impedance to third-country markets 156 4.2.3.4.1.1.2 Circumstances in which no displacement or impedance of trade would arise 160 4.2.3.4.1.2 Significant lost sales in the same market 161 4.2.3.4.1.3 Increase in the world market share of primary product or commodity 161 4.2.3.4.2 Price effects 163 4.2.3.4.2.1 Significant price undercutting 163 4.2.3.4.2.2 Significant price suppression or depression 164 4.2.3.5 Causation 165 4.2.3.5.1 Causation standard 165 4.2.3.5.2 Methodology: unitary or bifurcated analysis 166 4.2.3.5.3 The nature of the causation analysis: quantitative and/or qualitative? 169 4.2.3.5.4 Collective assessment of subsidies and their effect 172 4.2.4 Analysis of relevant case law 174 4.2.4.1 Indonesia Autos 174 4.2.4.2 US Upland Cotton 176 4.2.4.3 EC Large Civil Aircraft 178 4.2.4.3.1 Displacement and significant lost sales 179 4.2.4.3.2 Causation 180 4.2.4.4 US Large Civil Aircraft 182 4.2.4.4.1 Serious prejudice resulting from product effects caused by R&D subsidies 183 4.2.4.4.2 Serious prejudice resulting from price effects caused by tied tax subsidies 184 4.2.4.4.3 Collective assessment of subsidies and their effects 186 4.3 Non-actionable subsidies 187 4.4 The applicability of the GATT with regard to subsidies 189 4.4.1 The national treatment obligation stipulated in Article III of the GATT 189 4.4.2 The general exceptions stipulated in Article XX of the GATT 192 5 Remedies 196 5.1 Multilateral remedies: the WTO dispute settlement system 197 5.1.1 Time frame 198 5.1.2 Information gathering 199

contents xiii 5.1.3 Implementation standards and remedies in case of nonimplementation 200 5.1.3.1 Prohibited subsidies 200 5.1.3.1.1 Implementation 200 5.1.3.1.2 Remedy in case of non-implementation 203 5.1.3.2 Actionable subsidies 211 5.1.3.2.1 Implementation 211 5.1.3.2.2 Remedy in case of non-implementation 211 5.1.3.3 Non-actionable subsidies 219 5.2 Unilateral remedies: countervailing measures 220 5.2.1 Procedural requirements 220 5.2.1.1 Initiation and duration 221 5.2.1.2 Consultation of alleged subsidizing member 222 5.2.1.3 Gathering of evidence 223 5.2.1.3.1 Due process rights in the gathering of evidence 223 5.2.1.3.2 The evidentiary standard 225 5.2.2 Substantive requirements 227 5.2.2.1 Specific subsidy 227 5.2.2.2 Injury or threat of injury 228 5.2.2.2.1 Positive evidence and objective examination 229 5.2.2.2.2 Volume and/or price effect 232 5.2.2.2.3 The impact of volume and/or price effect on the state of the domestic industry 233 5.2.2.2.4 Definition of domestic industry 234 5.2.2.2.5 Threat of injury 236 5.2.2.3 Causation 237 5.2.3 The prohibition ondoubleremedies 242 5.2.4 Imposition of countervailing measures 245 5.2.5 Duration of countervailing measures 247 5.2.5.1 Administrative review 248 5.2.5.2 Sunset review 249 5.2.6 The standard of review 250 6 Differential treatment 253 6.1 Ratione personae: special and differential treatment for developing countries 253 6.1.1 Special and differential treatment for prohibited subsidies 254 6.1.1.1 Export subsidies 254 6.1.1.1.1 Annex VII developing countries: least-developed countries and low-income countries listed in Annex VII(B) 254 6.1.1.1.2 Small trading developing countries 256

xiv contents 6.1.1.1.3 Export competitiveness 260 6.1.1.2 Local content subsidies 266 6.1.2 Special and differential treatment for actionable subsidies 267 6.1.3 Special and differential treatment for countervailing duties 273 6.1.4 Conclusion 277 6.2 Ratione materiae: the Agreement on Agriculture 279 6.2.1 Export competition 280 6.2.1.1 Order of analysis 280 6.2.1.2 Disciplines on agricultural export subsidies 281 6.2.1.2.1 Listed types of export subsidy 282 6.2.1.2.1.1 Scope 282 6.2.1.2.1.1.1 Direct subsidies to agricultural producers contingent on export performance 283 6.2.1.2.1.1.2 Payments on the export of an agricultural product financed by virtue of government action 285 6.2.1.2.1.1.3 Subsidies to reduce the costs of marketing exports of agricultural products 289 6.2.1.2.1.2 Disciplines 290 6.2.1.2.1.3 Conclusion and Doha Round negotiations 296 6.2.1.2.2 Non-listed types of export subsidy 297 6.2.1.2.2.1 Scope 297 6.2.1.2.2.2 Disciplines 299 6.2.1.2.2.2.1 Actual circumvention 299 6.2.1.2.2.2.2 Threat of circumvention 301 6.2.1.2.2.2.3 Conclusion 302 6.2.1.2.3 Non-commercial transactions: international food aid 304 6.2.1.2.3.1 Disciplines on international food aid 304 6.2.1.2.3.2 The need to preserve genuine international food aid 309 6.2.1.3 The burden of proof 311 6.2.2 Domestic support 314 6.2.2.1 Green box domestic support 314 6.2.2.2 Blue box domestic support 316 6.2.2.3 Special and differential box domestic support 317 6.2.2.4 Amber box domestic support 318 6.2.2.5 Conclusion and Doha Round negotiations 321 6.2.3 The relationship between the SCM Agreement and the Agreement on Agriculture 323 6.2.3.1 Are agricultural export subsidies and local content subsidies prohibited under the SCM Agreement? 324

contents xv 6.2.3.2 Are agricultural subsidies actionable under the SCM Agreement? 329 6.2.3.2.1 Agricultural domestic subsidies 329 6.2.3.2.2 Agricultural export subsidies 331 6.2.3.3 Are agricultural subsidies countervailable? 332 6.2.3.4 Conclusion 333 part ii Case study: WTO disciplines on export credit support 335 7 Export credit support 337 7.1 Definition 337 7.2 Rationales for and provision of export credit support to non-agricultural products 339 7.3 Rationales for and provision of export credit support to agricultural products 345 8 Rationale for disciplining export credit support: historical context 349 8.1 Export credit support for non-agricultural products 349 8.2 Export credit support for agricultural products 356 9 Main elements of the OECD arrangement 358 10 Disciplines on export credit support for non-agricultural products 361 10.1 Is export credit support a specific subsidy under the SCM Agreement? 361 10.1.1 Financial contribution by the government 361 10.1.2 The benefit element 363 10.2 Is subsidized export credit support a prohibited export subsidy under the SCM Agreement? 367 10.2.1 Article 3.1(a) of the SCM Agreement 367 10.2.2 Export credit support as an export subsidy pursuant to items (j) and (k) of the Illustrative List of Export Subsidies 368 10.2.2.1 Item (j) of the Illustrative List 368 10.2.2.2 Item (k), paragraph 1 of the Illustrative List 369 10.2.3 The relationship between Article 3.1(a) of the SCM Agreement and the Illustrative List of Export Subsidies 372

xvi contents 10.2.3.1 Could item (j) and paragraph 1 of item (k) be used a contrario? 373 10.2.3.2 The relevance of item (j) and paragraph 1 of item (k) as export subsidies per se 375 10.2.4 Export credit practices which are not prohibited: the OECD Arrangement safe haven 378 10.2.4.1 The potential and actual scope of the safe haven 379 10.2.4.2 Conformity with the safe haven 381 10.3 How safe is the safe haven? Is non-prohibited subsidized export credit support countervailable and/or actionable? 386 10.4 An exception to the export subsidy prohibition for some developing countries 391 10.5 Export credit support as local content subsidy 392 11 Disciplines on export credit support for agricultural products 398 11.1 Export credit support for agricultural products under the Agreement on Agriculture 398 11.1.1 Scope: export subsidies not listed in paragraph 1 of Article 9 of the Agreement on Agriculture 399 11.1.1.1 Is subsidized export credit support covered by Article 10.1 of the Agreement on Agriculture? 399 11.1.1.2 When is export credit support considered an export subsidy within the meaning of Article 10.1 of the Agreement on Agriculture? 404 11.1.1.2.1 Export subsidies as defined by item (j) of the Illustrative List 405 11.1.1.2.2 Export subsidies as defined by Article 1 in conjunction with Article 3 of the SCM Agreement 408 11.1.2 Disciplines: circumvention or threat of circumvention 410 11.2 Export credit support for agricultural products under the SCM Agreement 413 12 Export credit support in the light of the GATS 417 13 Negotiations on export credit support disciplines in the Doha Round 423 13.1 Negotiations on export credit support for non-agricultural products in the Doha Round 423

contents xvii 13.1.1 Redrafting the export subsidy standard under items (j) and (k) 423 13.1.2 Redrafting the safe haven in paragraph 2 of item (k) 425 13.2 Negotiations on export credit support for agricultural products in the Doha Round 427 13.2.1 Overview of the negotiation process 427 13.2.2 The latest draft on disciplines for agricultural export credit support 432 13.2.2.1 The scope of new disciplines on export credit support 433 13.2.2.2 The substance of new disciplines on export credit support 433 13.2.2.3 Evaluation of new disciplines on export credit support 435 14 Conclusion: normative analysis of disciplines on export credit support 438 14.1 Overview and normative analysis of disciplines on export credit support for non-agricultural products 438 14.2 Overview and normative analysis of disciplines on export credit support for agricultural products 441 part iii Normative analysis of disciplines on subsidization and the imposition of countervailing measures 445 15 The scope of the SCM Agreement: specific subsidies 447 15.1 Financial contribution element 448 15.1.1 Closed list of government interventions 448 15.1.2 Subsidization by forgoing revenue otherwise due 451 15.2 The benefit element 454 15.2.1 The market benchmark 454 15.2.1.1 The Canada Renewable Energy / Feed-in Tariff Program case: feeding legitimate policy objectives into the benefit analysis? 454 15.2.1.1.1 The Appellate Body s new approach to the benefit analysis 455 15.2.1.1.2 The relevance of the pursued policy objective under the Appellate Body s newbenefit analysis 458 15.2.1.1.3 Limiting the implications of the Appellate Body s newapproachtothebenefit analysis 463

xviii contents 15.2.1.1.4 Was the Appellate Body s new approach to the benefit analysis warranted? 465 15.2.1.2 The disregard of the broader regulatory framework for the benefit analysis 468 15.2.2 The impact of privatization and the distortive effect on competition 469 15.2.2.1 The impact of privatization 471 15.2.2.2 The distortive effect on competition 478 15.3 The specificity element 480 15.3.1 The rationale for the specificity test 480 15.3.2 The application of the specificity test 483 16 Disciplines on subsidization by developed countries 485 16.1 Disciplines on domestic subsidies 485 16.1.1 Substantive considerations: subsidies as a legitimate policy tool 486 16.1.1.1 Research and development subsidies 488 16.1.1.2 Environmental subsidies 492 16.1.1.2.1 Technical requirements 493 16.1.1.2.2 Support for climate-friendly goods 495 16.1.1.2.2.1 Incentives for the development of the renewable energy sector 495 16.1.1.2.2.1.1 Incentives for renewable energy production 496 16.1.1.2.2.1.2 Incentives for biofuel production 500 16.1.1.2.2.2 Normative analysis of policy space for the development of climate-friendly goods 502 16.1.1.2.2.2.1 Local content subsidies 504 16.1.1.2.2.2.2 Producer subsidies 505 16.1.1.2.2.2.3 Consumer subsidies 512 16.1.1.2.2.2.4 Conclusion 514 16.1.1.2.3 Government interventions internalizing the cost of greenhouse gas emissions 515 16.1.1.2.3.1 Border tax adjustment on carbon tax 516 16.1.1.2.3.2 Emission trading schemes 518 16.1.1.3 Assistance to disadvantaged regions 526 16.1.1.4 Multifunctionality in agriculture 527 16.1.2 Systemic considerations: the chilling effect on tariff negotiations 529 16.2 Disciplines on export subsidies 537

contents xix 17 Disciplines on subsidization by developing countries 553 17.1 The rationale for policy space on subsidization 553 17.2 Disciplines on domestic subsidies 557 17.2.1 The prohibition on local content subsidies 557 17.2.2 Disciplines on all other domestic subsidies 558 17.3 Disciplines on export subsidies 563 17.3.1 The rationale for policy space to subsidize exports 563 17.3.2 Policy space given to some developing countries to offer export subsidies 566 17.3.3 The prohibition on export subsidies imposed on other developing countries 571 17.3.4 Exchange rate policies under the SCM Agreement 578 17.3.4.1 Financial contribution analysis 580 17.3.4.2 Benefit analysis 583 17.3.4.3 Specificity analysis 584 17.3.4.4 Conclusion 585 18 Disciplines on countervailing measures 588 18.1 The rationale for imposing and restricting CVD action 588 18.2 The rationale for allowing CVD action under a multilateral trading system 591 18.2.1 The deterrence justification 593 18.2.2 The systemic justification 595 18.2.3 The absence of any justification 599 19 Disciplines on subsidies in the light of policy responses to the economic crisis 601 Overall conclusion 608 Bibliography 614 Index 634

FIGURES 2.1 Coalitions in agriculture negotiations 38 3.1 US Softwood Lumber IV, the production process 92 5.1 US Upland Cotton, adverse effects on producers in the rest of the world 213 5.2 US Upland Cotton, the effect of the removal of the US domestic cotton subsidy 215 16.1 Incentives for developing renewable energy 496 16.2 Incentives for developing climate-friendly products 503 xx

TABLES 6.1 Annex VII(b) members, GNI per capita at constant 1990 dollars, 2009 11 256 6.2 India s share in world trade in textiles and textile articles, including and excluding EU(27) trade 263 6.3 Top ten exporting countries subject to CVD measures and CVD initiations and measures over the period 1 January 1995 30 June 2011 275 6.4 Importing countries that have imposed CVD measures over the period 1 January 1995 30 June 2011 277 6.5 Special and differential treatment for developing countries under the SCM Agreement 278 10.1 A hypothetical example of a US supply contract 393 xxi

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The seeds for this book are to be found at the Institute for International Law of the University of Leuven in Belgium, in my capacity as promovendus under the auspices of Professor Jan Wouters. I am very grateful to Professor Wouters for giving true meaning to my time as promovendus: you gave freedom to and advanced my thinking and, where needed, stimulated me to put doubts aside and pen to paper. I am indebted to the members of my doctoral jury. Professor Geert Van Calster supported my journey from its beginning and shared the passion for the law of the WTO. Professor Jacques Bourgois challenged my thinking from an experienced practitioner s and éminence grise perspective, and Professor Hylke Vandenbussche did the same from an economist s perspective. Professor Petros Mavroidis was much more than a critical jury member. Petros, dissenter par excellence, my sincere gratitude for the inspiring discussions on WTO law, and for (de)constructing my writings. Special thanks to my companions de route Bruno Demeyere (on- and off-road), Tom Ruys, and Maarten Vidal, as well as to my other fine colleagues and support staff at the Institute for International Law. Speaking of companions de route, Bart De Meester shared the bench at law school, at the Institute, and at Sidley. Thanks for being a great sounding board on WTO law and beyond. I am grateful to Bruce Wilson and Maria Pereyra for the opportunity to serve as an intern and junior legal officer at the WTO Legal Affairs Division. The close co-operation with Aegyoung Jung, Lauro Locks, and Marisa Goldstein vastly improved my legal skills and offered unique insights into the functioning of the WTO dispute settlement system. Discussions with Jesse Kreier of the WTO Rules Division sharpened my understanding of WTO subsidy disciplines and Jean Le Cocguic (OECD Export Credits Division) disclosed the complexities of disciplines on export credit support. Insights into the subsidy rules from a WTO member s point of view were offered by Jun Kazeki (Japan). xxii

acknowledgements xxiii I am indebted to the Sidley triumvirate in Geneva Scott Andersen, Todd Friedbacher, and Nicolas Lockhart. 1 Theirbrainpowerisoverwhelming, but their team spirit is even more surprising in this environment. Many thanks, also to my colleagues at the Brussels office, for offering breathing space time-wise and intellectually for finalizing this manuscript. Special thanks to Nicolas Lockhart, Simon Schropp, and Jan Yves Remy for turning (many) billable hours into (very) enjoyable and enriching hours; and to Todd Friedbacher, Christian Lau, and Simon Schropp for interesting discussions on this manuscript. I am likewise indebted to Cambridge University Press, and in particular to Sarah Payne, Richard Woodham, Philippa Youngman, and Alisha Nguyen for their excellent editing work (and their patience). But this book would never have seen the light of day without the invaluable support of friends from Mol-Metropol (Pieter is furrowing his brow), the Begijnhof, Romero, Mexico City, Geneva, Uppsala, and the holy green soccer field. Thanks for all your true friendship. To my parents, thanks for raising me with all your love and dedication and giving me the opportunity to explore and discover. To my parentsin-law, my sisters and sisters-in-law, my brother and brothers-in-law, and the three little Mowglies (with my fantastic godchild Christian in the lead!) and our lovely little niece, thanks for your support and friendship beyond the law. Lucia what s inaname soulmate and biggest believer in my thinking since we started talkin bout a revolution in high school. You stimulated me to walk my walk (even if that placed oceans or mountains between us or gave an academic touch to our holidays), walked next to me with joyfulness and dedication to inspire my thinking (and wade through 2,807 footnotes), and walked in front of me at times when shelter was welcome. Lucia, this one is for you and talkin bout a revolution for our two little ones you carried with all your love and who, by the time of finally closing this manuscript, are already crawling under (and on) my desk. Sybille and Isaac, if you ever start talkin bout a revolution, you can always cite this book against me. I deeply love you. Somewhere between Geneva and Brussels 1 Obviously, the views expressed in this book do not represent the views of Sidley Austin LLP or its clients.

FOREWORD can be credited with a unique accomplishment: he has produced the first very comprehensive discussion of the Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (SCM) Agreement from a law and economics perspective. This is an awesome task that for various reasons should not be underestimated. First, the agreement is far from being an economist sdream.indeed,a number of papers have questioned the use of various terms ( price suppression, price depression, price undercutting ) to describe more or less the same phenomenon (the price effects of subsidization). Second, lumping all subsidies under the same heading is also problematic, since subsidies, on occasion, might even be the firstbestresponseto a market distortion. Some economists have gone so far as to ask whether it makes sense to outlaw some subsidies (an instrument that expands trade) when instruments that contract trade (tariffs) are tolerated and negotiated. In this vein, the question whether outlawing subsidies might provide trading partners with less of an incentive to commit on the tariff front has also been discussed in literature. Ontheotherhand,caselawhasprovidedanalystswithmanyheadaches. Key areas such as the causality requirement, the issue of de facto specificity, and many others have not been resolved. And then there are wider policy issues that are back in the discussion, even though more so among academics for the time being. Chief among them are the issue of currency manipulations and the question whether there would be an inquiry into the intent to subsidize, whether, for example, we should reinstate the expired Article 8 of the SCM Agreement, and exonerate green subsidies from liability. Similar discussions slowly find their way to the negotiating table as acrimony (especially regarding currency manipulations) is growing at a steady pace. All this is masterfully exposed in this remarkable book that Dominic Coppens has put together. Confronted with this formidable task he xxv

xxvi foreword managed to produce a volume of rare clarity and precision. I have found it very useful myself and have included it in the list of compulsory readings for my students. I am convinced that many other academics will soon do the same. This is of course the first major work by the author. In that it is both a blessing and a curse: a blessing because he starts from a very high standard, and a curse because all his subsequent work will be measured against the standard he set for himself. There are few people who can live up to high expectations but I have every reason to believe that Dominic Coppens belongs to this exclusive club. Petros C. Mavroidis European University Institute (Florence) and University of Neuchâtel

u Table of WTO and GATT dispute settlement reports Short title Argentina Footwear (EC) Australia Automotive Leather II (Article 21.5 US) WTO dispute settlement reports Full case title and citation Appellate Body Report, Argentina Safeguard Measures on Imports of Footwear, WT/DS121/AB/R, adopted 12 January 2000. Panel Report, Australia Subsidies Provided to Producers and Exporters of Automotive Leather Recourse to Article 21.5 of the DSU by the United States, WT/ DS126/RW, adopted 11 February 2000. Australia Salmon Appellate Body Report, Australia Measures Affecting Importation of Salmon, WT/ DS18/AB/R, adopted 6 November 1998. Brazil Aircraft Appellate Body Report, Brazil Export Financing Programme for Aircraft, WT/ DS46/AB/R, adopted 20 August 1999. Brazil Aircraft xxvii Panel Report, Brazil Export Financing Programme for Aircraft, WT/DS46/R, adopted 20 August 1999.

xxviii Brazil Aircraft (Article 21.5 Canada) Brazil Aircraft (Article 21.5 Canada) Brazil Aircraft (Article 21.5 Canada II) Brazil Aircraft (Article 22.6 Brazil) Brazil Desiccated Coconut Canada Aircraft Canada Aircraft table of wto and gatt reports Appellate Body Report, Brazil Export Financing Programme for Aircraft Recourse by Canada to Article 21.5 of the DSU, WT/DS46/AB/RW, adopted 4 August 2000. Panel Report, Brazil Export Financing Programme for Aircraft Recourse by Canada to Article 21.5 of the DSU, WT/DS46/RW, adopted 4 August 2000. Panel Report, Brazil Export Financing Programme for Aircraft Second Recourse by Canada to Article 21.5 of the DSU, WT/DS46/RW/2, adopted 23 August 2001. Decision by the Arbitrators, Brazil Export Financing Programme for Aircraft Recourse to Arbitration by Brazil under Article 22.6 of the DSU and Article 4.11 of the SCM Agreement, WT/DS46/ARB, 28 August 2000. Appellate Body Report, Brazil Measures Affecting Desiccated Coconut, WT/DS22/AB/R, adopted 20 March 1997. Appellate Body Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Export of Civilian Aircraft, WT/DS70/AB/R, adopted 20 August 1999. Panel Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Export of Civilian Aircraft, WT/DS70/R, adopted 20 August 1999.

Canada Aircraft (Article 21.5 Brazil) Canada Aircraft (Article 21.5 Brazil) Canada Aircraft Credits and Guarantees Canada Aircraft Credits and Guarantees (Article 22.6 Canada) Canada Autos Canada Dairy Canada Dairy table of wto and gatt reports xxix Appellate Body Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Export of Civilian Aircraft Recourse by Brazil to Article 21.5 of the DSU, WT/DS70/AB/RW, adopted 4 August 2000. Panel Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Export of Civilian Aircraft Recourse by Brazil to Article 21.5 of the DSU, WT/DS70/ RW, adopted 4 August 2000. Panel Report, Canada Export Credits and Loan Guarantees for Regional Aircraft, WT/ DS222/R, adopted 19 February 2002. Decision by the Arbitrator, Canada Export Credits and Loan Guarantees for Regional Aircraft Recourse to Arbitration by Canada under Article 22.6 of the DSU and Article 4.11 of the SCM Agreement, circulated 17 February 2003. Appellate Body Report, Canada Certain Measures Affecting the Automotive Industry, WT/DS139,142/AB/R, 19 June 2002. Appellate Body Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Importation of Milk and the Exportation of Dairy Products, WT/DS103,113/AB/R, adopted 27 October 1999. Panel Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Importation of Milk and the Exportation of Dairy Products, WT/DS103,113/ R, adopted 27 October 1999.

xxx Canada Dairy (Article 21.5 New Zealand and US) Canada Dairy (Article 21.5 New Zealand and US) Canada Dairy (Article 21.5 New Zealand and US II) Canada Dairy (Article 21.5 New Zealand and US II) table of wto and gatt reports Appellate Body Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Importation of Milk and the Exportation of Dairy Products Recourse to Article 21.5 of the DSU by New Zealand and the United States, WT/DS103,113/AB/RW, adopted 18 December 2001. Panel Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Importation of Milk and the Exportation of Dairy Products Recourse to Article 21.5 of the DSU by New Zealand and the United States, WT/DS103,113/RW, adopted 18 December 2001. Appellate Body Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Importation of Milk and the Exportation of Dairy Products Second Recourse to Article 21.5 of the DSU by New Zealand and the United States, WT/DS103,113/ AB/RW2, adopted 17 January 2003. Panel Report, Canada Measures Affecting the Importation of Milk and the Exportation of Dairy Products Second Recourse to Article 21.5 of the DSU by New Zealand and the United States, WT/DS103,113/ RW2, adopted 17 January 2003. Canada Periodicals Appellate Body Report, Canada Certain Measures Concerning Periodicals, WT/DS31/AB/R, adopted 30 July 1997.