Greek Referendum 2015 Wave: 30/6-2/7/2015
SURVEY PROFILE COMPANY: PUBLISHED BY: TYPE & METHOD: POPULATION: AREA: SAMPLE: PERIOD: SAMPLING METHOD: STANDARD ERROR: INTERVIEWERS: NOTE: PUBLIC ISSUE Member of: WAPOR, ESOMAR, SEDEA, PΕSS Newspaper AVGI Quantitative survey conducted by telephone interviews based on a structured questionnaire General population aged 18 and over Nationwide The sample size is 1.053 people 30/6-2/7/2015 Multi-stage, stratified +/-3.2% at a confidence interval of 95% 28 interviewers and 2 supervisors Duetorounding,somedistributionsmaynotaddupto100% F.2
VOTING INTENTION IN THE REFERENDUM What will you vote in the Referendum which will be held on Sunday, the 5th of July? Will you vote for Yes or No? [If Undecided, what is more likely to vote?] YES NO 42,5 45,5 43 45 Undecided Abstainers Blank / Invalid 3,5 3,5 4 1 1,5 9 DK / NA 1 0,5 Voting intention Voting intention and likely vote F.3
VOTING INTENTION IN THE REFERENDUM Current voters SYRIZA 5 90 ND 93 1 GD* 27 65 ΤHE RIVER* 90 2 ΚΚΕ* 15 54 ANEL* 73 PASOK* 80 8 YES Undecided/ Abstainers /Blank / Invalid/DK / NA NO * Indicative data due to small numerical base F.4
VOTING INTENTION IN THE REFERENDUM -1 GENDER Male Female AGE 18-24* 25-34* 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ EDUCATION Primary Secondary Tertiary 44 41 20 26 34 36 47 56 43 38 48 71 44 42 59 53 48 44 26 34 50 38 YES Undecided/ Abstainers /Blank / Invalid/DK / NA NO * Indicative data due to small numerical base F.5
VOTING INTENTION IN THE REFERENDUM -2 OCCUPATION Employers/Self-employed Public sector employees Private sector employees Unemployed Pensioners Housewives Students* GEOGRAPHICAL AREA Urban Semi-Urban Rural GEOGRAPHICAL AREA Athens Metropolitan Area Thessaloniki Metropolitan Area* Rest of Greece 13 50 31 31 26 55 42 43 40 44 45 39 42 83 39 58 54 51 31 42 43 47 40 40 44 45 YES Undecided/ Abstainers /Blank / Invalid/DK / NA NO * Indicative data due to small numerical base F.6
OPINION ON THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE REFERENDUM What is your opinion on the announcement of the referendum, do you agree or disagree with it? Strongly agree 36 Rather agree 6 Neither agree / nor disagree 2 Rather disagree 5 Strongly disagree 49 No opinion 1 F.7
OPINION ON THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE REFERENDUM What is your opinion on the announcement of the referendum, do you agree or disagree with it? No opinion 1% Disagree 54% 55% Agree 42% Neither agree / nor disagree 2% F.8
OPINION ON THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE REFERENDUM What is your opinion on the announcement of the referendum, do you agree or disagree with it? Vote in 1/2015 Parliamentary election SYRIZA 71 26 ND 13 86 GD* 64 33 ΤHE RIVER* 20 80 ΚΚΕ* 56 40 ANEL* 57 41 PASOK* 16 84 Agree Neither agree / nor disagree/no opinion Disagree * Indicative data due to small numerical base F.9
OPINION ON THE QUESTION OF THE REFERENDUM Some people claim that "NO in the referendum means return to the Drachma and YES in the referendum means stay in the Euro". What do you think? Is this statement true or false? Definitely true 36 Rather true 12 Neither true / nor false 1 Rather false 10 Definitely false 37 No opinion 4 F.10
OPINION ON THE QUESTION OF THE REFERENDUM Some people claim that "NO in the referendum means return to the Drachma and YES in the referendum means stay in the Euro". What do you think? Is this statement true or false? Vote in 1/2015 Parliamentary election SYRIZA 24 73 ND 77 19 GD* 39 55 ΤHE RIVER* 75 23 ΚΚΕ* 16 76 ANEL* 30 70 PASOK* 80 11 TRUE Neither true / nor false/ No opinion FALSE * Indicative data due to small numerical base F.11
EXPECTED REFERENDUM RESULT Regardless of your vote preference, what do you think will be the result of the referendum? Will the result be YES or NO? YES, by a wide margin 19 NO, by a wide margin 14 YES, by a narrow margin 31 NO, by a narrow margin 25 No opinion 11 F.12
EXPECTED REFERENDUM RESULT Regardless of your vote preference, what do you think will be the result of the referendum? Will the result be YES or NO? No opinion 11% NO 39% YES 50% F.13
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE FAILURE OF THE NEGOTIATIONS In your opinion, who has the greater responsibility for the fact that the government and the partners / lenders did not reach an agreement? Rather the partners / lenders or rather the Greek government? Vote in 1/2015 Parliamentary election The partners / lenders 41 SYRIZA 73 16 6 5 ND 11 73 14 2 The Greek government 39 GD* 42 33 15 10 ΤHE RIVER* 13 60 22 5 Both sides, to the same extent 15 ΚΚΕ* 58 13 20 9 ANEL* 59 19 14 8 No opinion 5 PASOK* 9 73 11 7 The partners / lenders Both sides, to the same extent The Greek government No opinion * Indicative data due to small numerical base F.14
OPINIONS ON THE REFERENDUM Do you rather agree or rather disagree with the following statements on the Referendum? As things are now, voting for "YES" in the agreement with the partners / lenders is the best solution we can have for the country 49 47 3 If "NO" wins the Referendum, the country will be able to negotiate better with partners / lenders 44 52 4 "YES" to the measures proposed by partners / lenders means that the country is not going to come out of the crisis 59 34 7 A "No" in the agreement with the partners / lenders will have very negative consequences for Greece 60 35 5 Rather agree Rather disagree No opinion F.15
INDEX OF ATTITUDES TOWARDS THE REFERENDUM Based on the answers given in the 4 statements about the Referendum 5-point index 3-point index 27,5 42 47,5 22 20 20,5 10 10,5 -- NO - o + ++ YES -/-- ο +/++ NO YES F.16