Texas Political Parties (Chapter 05) Texas State Government GOVT Dr. Michael Sullivan

Similar documents
Texas Voting & Elections (Chapter 04) Dr. Michael Sullivan. Texas State Government GOVT 2306 Houston Community College

Partisan Preference of Puerto Rico Voters Post-Statehood

Winning Florida The Importance of Central Florida and the Puerto Rican Vote

Political Attitudes &Participation: Campaigns & Elections. State & Local Government POS 2112 Ch 5

Political Parties in the United States (HAA)

Rural America Competitive Bush Problems and Economic Stress Put Rural America in play in 2008

What Is A Political Party?

Executive Summary of Economic Attitudes, Most Important Problems, Ratings of Top Political Figures, and an Early Look at the 2018 Texas Elections

Unit #2: Political Beliefs/Political Behaviors AP US Government & Politics Mr. Coia

2016 GOP Nominating Contest

American Dental Association

Perry s future looks bleak

TUESDAY, MARCH 22, 2016 ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES: 11

Political party major parties Republican Democratic

Unit #2: Political Beliefs/Political Behaviors AP US Government & Politics Mr. Coia

Unit #2: Political Beliefs/Political Behaviors AP US Government & Politics Mr. Coia

Chapter 9: Political Parties

2018 MIDTERMS PRE- ELECTION OVER VIEW OCTOBER 2018

Young Voters in the 2010 Elections

8. The Bill of Rights was originally intended to limit the power of.

The Morning Call / Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion. Pennsylvania 2012: An Election Preview

FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, DECEMBER 19 AT 4 PM

The Battleground: Democratic Perspective September 7 th, 2016

Chapter 8: Parties, Interest Groups, and Public Policy

Clinton could win Texas in 2016

Competitiveness of Legislative Elections in the United States: Impact of Redistricting Reform and Nonpartisan Elections

2014 Texas Lyceum Poll. Executive Summary of Economic Evaluations, Job Approval, and Trial Ballots

A Majority of Likely Voters Approve of President Trump s Decisions.

UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS LOWELL MASSACHUSETTS U.S. SENATE POLL Sept , ,005 Registered Voters (RVs)

Chapter 13: The Presidency Section 4

connect the people to the government. These institutions include: elections, political parties, interest groups, and the media.

An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

Who is registered to vote in Illinois?

It s Democrats +8 in Likely Voter Preference, With Trump and Health Care on Center Stage

THE PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION CONTESTS May 18-23, 2007

NATIONAL: 2018 HOUSE RACE STABILITY

Chapter 09: Campaigns and Elections Multiple Choice

2016 State Elections

Texas Elections Part I

Campaigns & Elections. US Government POS 2041

VIRGINIA: TIGHT RACE IN CD07

THE WORKMEN S CIRCLE SURVEY OF AMERICAN JEWS. Jews, Economic Justice & the Vote in Steven M. Cohen and Samuel Abrams

How Women Changed the Outcome of the Election

Public Opinion on Health Care Issues October 2012

CALIFORNIA: INDICTED INCUMBENT LEADS IN CD50

American Poli-cal Par-es

Minnesota Public Radio News and Humphrey Institute Poll

2008 Legislative Elections

POLITICAL LEADERSHIP AND THE LATINO VOTE By NALEO Educational Fund

Congressional Elections, 2018 and Beyond

CRUZ & KASICH RUN STRONGER AGAINST CLINTON THAN TRUMP TRUMP GOP CANDIDACY COULD FLIP MISSISSIPPI FROM RED TO BLUE

THE FIELD POLL. UCB Contact

PENNSYLVANIA: CD01 INCUMBENT POPULAR, BUT RACE IS CLOSE

University of Texas / Texas Tribune Texas Statewide Survey

RECOMMENDED CITATION: Pew Research Center, July, 2016, 2016 Campaign: Strong Interest, Widespread Dissatisfaction

Texas and Federalism Dr. Michael Sullivan. Texas State Government GOVT 2306

STUDY GUIDE: 1 ST SEMESTER EXAM ADV GOV

Moral Values Take Back Seat to Partisanship and the Economy In 2004 Presidential Election

Political Parties CHAPTER. Roles of Political Parties

How Inland Empire's new Republican leaders hope to retake the region

Iowa Voting Series, Paper 4: An Examination of Iowa Turnout Statistics Since 2000 by Party and Age Group

AP Govt. Day 53. Objectives: The Learner will examine and understand the institutions of national government: Congress

INDIANA: PREZ CONTEST TIGHTENS; BAYH MAINTAINS SENATE EDGE

BLISS INSTITUTE 2006 GENERAL ELECTION SURVEY

Latino Voters in the 2008 Presidential Election:

PENNSYLVANIA: SMALL GOP LEAD IN CD01

Politicians who needs them? 1 of 5 10/23/2014 8:30 AM. October , 5.34am EDT. Glenn Altschuler

TOP TWO CANDIDATES OPEN PRIMARY ACT

Conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center

FOR RELEASE: THURSDAY, MARCH 25 AT 7 PM

2008 AMERICAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS: AN OVERVIEW

Political Parties. Chapter 9

Total respondents may not always add up to due to skip patterns imbedded in some questions.

Chapter 4: Objectives.... Party Structure... Political Ideology... An Overview of Texas Political History... Electoral Trends...

Democrats set to win Massachusetts, Connecticut Senate races

Role of Political and Legal Systems. Unit 5

AP US GOVERNMENT: CHAPER 7: POLITICAL PARTIES: ESSENTIAL TO DEMOCRACY

GOP Electability Test (Romney/Perry/Cain)

INTRODUCING. Wednesday, March 9th 1871

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

4. Which of the following statements is true of a special election? a. It is used to fill vacancies that occur by reason of death.

I. The Role of Political Parties

Louisiana Poll Results Romney 55%, Obama 34%, Third Party 4% (8% Undecided) Obama re-elect: 32-60% Healthcare reform support hurts 58-33%

The Role of the Rising American Electorate in the 2012 Election

Winning with a middle class reform politics and government message Report on a new national survey

VIRGINIA: GOP TRAILING IN CD10

An Election Year Like No Other:

Applying Ranked Choice Voting to Congressional Elections. The Case for RCV with the Top Four Primary and Multi-Member Districts. Rob Richie, FairVote

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

The Cook Political Report s Road Map to the 2018 Midterms

NEW JERSEY: DEM TILT IN CD07

Defining the Arab American Vote

CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS AND IMMIGRATION POLITICS IN ARIZONA. March 4, 2014

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

To: From: Re: December 5, 2011

Nevada Poll Results Tarkanian 39%, Heller 31% (31% undecided) 31% would renominate Heller (51% want someone else, 18% undecided)

A Post-Debate Bump in the Old North State? Likely Voters in North Carolina September th, Table of Contents

NEW JERSEY VOTERS TAKE ON 2008

Executive Summary of Texans Attitudes toward Immigrants, Immigration, Border Security, Trump s Policy Proposals, and the Political Environment

Transcription:

Texas Political Parties (Chapter 05) Texas State Government GOVT 2306 192 Dr. Michael Sullivan

AGENDA 1. Current Events 2. Review Elections 3. Political Parties 1. Development 2. Organization 3. Functions

Students Semester Vs. Students Semester

Paper #3 due Wed Aug 1 Paper #4 due Wed Aug 7 Unit 3: Political Participation Changes Due Paper #3 Unit 3 Exam moved to Mon Aug 6 Makeup Exam moved to Aug 7 Unit 3 Exam Review Session Unit 3 Exam Make up Exams In class Group Assignment 10 Due Paper #4

Canvas Dates are Correct

TEXAS GOVERNMENT MEMES DO THEY HELP OR HURT POLITICAL PARTICIPATION

Current Event Discussion: In the mid 2000s, at the end of a trailblazing career as one of the Air Force s first female pilots, Olson was accused by the Pentagon of steering government contracts to a private security firm that military investigators said she helped operate while she was stationed in Iraq. Olson denied the charges and eventually pled guilty to two lesser offenses, including creating the appearance of a conflict of interest. She was allowed to retire with an honorable discharge and no reduction in rank, but she received a formal reprimand and a $3,500 fine. Republican governor asked the Legislature to consider such a law, which would allow courts to order the seizure or surrender of guns from people who are deemed an imminent threat by a judge. But even then, Abbott's request for lawmakers to study the proposal drew the ire of some Second Amendment hardliners in the governor's party, and Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick declared Tuesday that he has never supported a "red flag" law and suggested it would be dead on arrival in the Senate.

Review 2018 Primary Elections $102.6 million Reported spending by Republicans 5x s More $21 million Reported spending Democrats

Review Elections $770,000 spent by Abbott for travel-related expenses, much of it for chartered aircraft. $329,000 paid to Norway Hill & Associates, the firm led by longtime Abbott [and previously Rick Perry] consultant Dave Carney $150,000 spent by Abbott on campaign services from Deep Root Analytics, a conservative firm $612,000 paid for polling services to longtime GOP pollster Mike Baselice s firm, used by Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick $680,000 paid to WPAi, led by Chris Wilson, which did polling for Abbott, Rep. Sarah Davis and others $390,000 paid to Ragnar Research Partners, led by pollster Chris Perkins and used by Bush, the land commissioner $9 million invested by Whitmire, a Democrat, into the stock market, buying $1.4 million worth of Amazon shares, $850,000 in carmaker Tesla, $619,000 in airline company United and $300,000 in Energy Transfer Equity

What s the so what?

Review Elections https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yoocxd9qgha

Characteristics of American Political Parties Two Party System Competition usually between Democrats and Republicans Single member districts The functions of political parties The Party in the Electorate The Party as Organization The Party in Government Explain why there are two major parties in the U.S. and Texas. Copyright 2016 Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 14

Development of the Texas Party System The One Party Tradition in Texas Ideological Factions in America and Texas Conservatives Liberals Pragmatism Valence issues Position issues Growing polarization? Decentralization Copyright 2016 Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 15

The Decentralized Nature of American Political Parties and the Importance of the National Party s Service Function Copyright 2016 Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 16

Figure 5-3 p127

Role of Political Parties in Texas Politics Help voters make choices R or D next to candidate name on ballot helps people decide who to vote for Texans vote for unusually high number of offices Party label offers a very helpful cue on a long ballot where less is known about the candidates

Role of Political Parties in Texas Politics Party Work Assist in fund raising for party or specific candidates Recruit quality candidates to run Voter mobilization Get Out The Vote drives (GOTV) Online activities to connect and engage voters https://www.texasgop.org/gotv/ https://www.txdemocrats.org/act

The Contemporary Republican Party in Texas Republican Party and Presidential Vote Since 1980, GOP candidate has won Texas Last presidential candidate to win in Texas was President Carter in 1976 (well over three decades) Texans George H.W. and George W. Bush account for some, but not all, of this trend. Party support grew between 2008 and 2012 Mitt Romney won Texas by 16 point margin John McCain won Texas by 12 point margin Party support dipped in 2016 with Trump winning by 9 pts

The Contemporary Democratic Party in Texas Several counties and electoral districts are strongly Democratic, with little viable Republican opposition. While Republicans are strong in statewide contests, there are cities and regions in the state where they are not competitive at all. The 2012 Texas congressional delegation sharply illustrates the reliably red and blue parts of the state.

Third Parties Extremely hard to run as anything other than a Democrat or Republican A few notable attempts, but all ultimately failed Rules for running for office are made by Democrats and Republicans Partisans have a vested interest in making it difficult for others to challenge them.

Class Activity Part One What is the most important problem facing the State of Texas today? (Rank top 3, with 1 being the most important) Border Security Crime and drugs Education Fair Elections Gun control/gun violence Health care Police brutality Social welfare programs Taxes Unemployment/jobs Transportation/roads/traffic Rank 1 3 1 2 3 Issue

Class Activity Part Two Compare the view of the Texas Democratic Party and Texas Republican Party toward one of your top issues. Rank Issue Democratic Party www.txdemocrats.org 1 Republican Party www.texasgop.org 2 3 What surprised you the most? https://static.texastribune.org/media/documents/ut tt 2018 02 summary full.pdf?_ga=2.157184242.855661535.1523472190 1454239780.1523472190

Table 5-3 p129

https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/cmvsdlw

The Contemporary Republican Party in Texas Republicans hold comfortable majorities in both chambers of the Texas Legislature 2016 Texas House: 95 of 150 seats 2016 Texas Senate: 19 of 31 seats This is more competitive than recent years, when as many as 101 of 150 House seats were Republican. Texas Speaker of the House and most legislative committee leadership roles go to Republicans

Party Identification in Texas, 1952 2008

The Contemporary Republican Party in Texas Texans have elected Republicans to all statewide offices since 1994, most notably: Both U.S. Senate Seats Governor Though this has included only two people: George W. Bush and Rick Perry All offices of the plural executive e.g. Lt. Governor, Attorney General, etc. https://www.texastribune.org/directory/

The Contemporary Republican Party in Texas Republicans hold all 18 seats in the state s top judicial institutions since 1994 The Supreme Court of Texas Court of last resort for civil cases The Texas Court of Criminal Appeals Court of last resort for criminal cases, including death penalty cases In 2014, Democrats did not run a candidate for several statewide offices

Changes in the Number of Republican and Democratic Officeholders in Texas What explains the Republicans dominance of the Texas political scene today? To what extent will demographic changes affect the future success of the party? Copyright 2016 Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 38

Percentage of voters indicating a major party identification Copyright 2016 Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 39

Figure 5-4 p132

Texas s History as a One Party State After Reconstruction (1873), Texas entered one party rule era, lasts over a century The real election was the Democratic primary. Republicans frequently did not run any candidate at all for many offices. Many counties had no Republican Party at all. This was common in the South at this time. GOP was the party of the North and entirely unpopular in southern states for that reason.

PARTY REALIGNMENT IN TEXAS [How Texas Became a Red State] Party Composition of the Texas Delegation to the United States House of Representatives 1845 2011

Texas s History as a BLUE One Party State Houston in the 1940 s State & National Democratic Party 1940s realignment National Democratic Party became more liberal on economic and social issues Support for New Deal, voting rights, desegregation Presidential Republicanism emerges Split ticket voting, southern states (like Texas) voted for conservative Democrats at the state level and Republicans for president

One Party State Turns Purple Partisan realignment solidifies During the 1980s and 90s the conservative voters and elected officials left the Democratic Party. Republicans became home to the ideological conservatives that once made the core of the Democratic voter base. Redistricting after the 2000 Census effectively ended the few moderate Democrats who been successful among ideological moderates, including white voters. LBJ 1964: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qukil2x7fza Jordan 1976: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bg7glix k Neo Cons 1970s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ibfg99hmmsw

Texas Political Parties (Chapter 05) Texas State Government GOVT 2306 192 Dr. Michael Sullivan

AGENDA 1. Current Events 2. Review Elections 3. Political Parties 1. Development 2. Organization 3. Functions

Canvas Dates are Correct

Current Events https://www.texastribune.org/2018/07/31/third partycandidates texas Libertarians Independents 2018/ In Texas, researchers found that the average annual income of families in the top one percent was $1,343,897, roughly 24 times greater than the rest of families in the state who earned an average income of $55,614.

Thoughts on our practice election voting?

https://cheddar.com/videos/how this texas house candidate is using memes to move the state leftward

Apply what you know Break into groups of 3 4 people You will be assigned to be a political consultant for either the Democratic or Republican Party Based on the data I will show, you need to develop a campaign artifact (slogan, commercial, etc) for your client one of the two political parties

Straw Poll Data conducted by ACME Consulting in GOVT 2306 Class on July 30 2018

PARTY REALIGNMENT IN TEXAS [How Texas Became a Red State] Party Composition of the Texas Delegation to the United States House of Representatives 1845 2011

1994 Governor s Election https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pvrvrt23is 2:15

1994 Governor s Election https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pvrvrt23is https://youtu.be/dyiuxzprgmw 2:15

1994 Governor s Election https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pvrvrt23is https://youtu.be/dyiuxzprgmw https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rt9t7e15pzs 2:15

1994 Governor s Election https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pvrvrt23is https://youtu.be/dyiuxzprgmw https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1j ODZPOqVE https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rt9t7e15pzs 2:15

Texas s One Party State Turns Red Republicans grew to dominate state politics as Democrats had decades before. Since 1994 GOP won every statewide election Nearly two decades since a Democrat has won a state level race in Texas.

The Contemporary Republican Party in Texas Republicans hold comfortable majorities in both chambers of the Texas Legislature 2016 Texas House: 95 of 150 seats 2016 Texas Senate: 19 of 31 seats This is more competitive than recent years, when as many as 101 of 150 House seats were Republican. Texas Speaker of the House and most legislative committee leadership roles go to Republicans

Currently two major factions: Social conservatives Abortion, prayer in schools, same sex marriage, public school curriculum, punitive approach to immigration Economic conservatives Focus on reduced government spending, lower taxes, place greater emphasis on free enterprise, economic focus on immigration policy Factions present among politicians and voters Republicans dominate, but Democrats should not be wholly dismissed. 2.9 million Texans voted in 2008 Democratic primary (Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton) Mayor Julian Castro of San Antonio delivered keynote speech at the 2012 Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, NC.

WHAT COLOR WILL TEXAS BE IN 2030? 2050? 2070? 2100? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=td1kagryuga

Party Organization Texas parties conduct primaries to select the party s candidates for office. Texas voters do not register by party. There is no such thing as a registered Republican or Democrat in Texas. Voters can vote in either party primary, but in only one primary per election cycle. For example, one could vote in the Democratic primary in 2008, and the GOP primary in 2010.

Party Organization Conventions are held at the precinct, county, and state levels. Precinct chairs are the most local on the ground party officials. Lead their precinct convention Serve on the county executive committee.

County executive committees responsible for running county primary election and planning county convention. Can be arduous task in very large counties like Bexar, Harris, Dallas, and Travis. In addition, county level party politics can be very contentious among activists Party Organization

Party Organization A county chair is elected at the party s primary election and heads the county executive committee. The precinct and county chairs decide who will attend the state party convention. These choices can shape the party platforms.

The state executive committee and state chair and vice chair coordinate the party s statewide activities. State conventions, statewide primary tasks, and general election tasks fall to this group. They have an established relationship with the national party organization. They coordinate to determine delegates to national party conventions. Party Organization