Appendix 1: FAT Model Topics Diagnostics

Similar documents
ANALYSIS AND COMPARISON OF GREEK PARLIAMENTARY ELECTORAL SYSTEMS OF THE PERIOD

Hungary. Basic facts The development of the quality of democracy in Hungary. The overall quality of democracy

ADDRESS BY THE CHAIRMAN OF THE HELLENIC FEDERATION OF ENTERPRISES (SEV) Theodoros Fessas. at the SEV Annual General Assembly. Tuesday, 29 May 2018

Elections and Voting Behaviour. The Political System of the United Kingdom

Elections and referendums

Reforming the Electoral System in Iraq. Reforming the Electoral System in Iraq

Ballot design and intraparty fragmentation. Electronic Voting in Brazil

Partisan Advantage and Competitiveness in Illinois Redistricting

Measuring Presidential Power in Post-Communist Countries: Rectification of Mistakes 1

CAN FAIR VOTING SYSTEMS REALLY MAKE A DIFFERENCE?

REMITTANCE TRANSFERS TO ARMENIA: PRELIMINARY SURVEY DATA ANALYSIS

Elections and Electoral Systems

PES Roadmap toward 2019

REVIEWING PAY FOR CHAIRS OF COMMITTEES A CONSULTATION

Jun Hae-Won, and Simon Hix Electoral systems, political career paths and legislative behavior: evidence from South Korea's mixed-member system

Mixed system: Proportional representation. Single majority system for 5 single-member constituencies (two cantons, three half-cantons).

Supplementary Materials for Strategic Abstention in Proportional Representation Systems (Evidence from Multiple Countries)

Appendix for: The Electoral Implications. of Coalition Policy-Making

Commission on Parliamentary Reform

International Perspective on Representation Japan s August 2009 Parliamentary Elections By Pauline Lejeune with Rob Richie

OSCE Round Table, How do Politics and Economic Growth Benefit from More Involvement of Women?, Chisinau,

Non-Voted Ballots and Discrimination in Florida

Analysis of local election results data for Wales 2004 (including turnout and extent of postal voting)

An Update on the Greek and the European Crises

PARTY VOTE LEAKAGE IN WARDS WITH THREE CANDIDATES OF THE SAME PARTY IN THE SCOTTISH LOCAL GOVERNMENT ELECTIONS IN 2012

The Political Economy of Public Policy

Electoral Reform National Dialogue INFORMATION BOOKLET

Online Appendix. December 6, Full-text Stimulus Articles

Luck of the Draw? Members Bills, the Electoral Connection & Party List Placement

Being a Good Samaritan or just a politician? Empirical evidence of disaster assistance. Jeroen Klomp

Legislatures and Growth

Chapter 6 Online Appendix. general these issues do not cause significant problems for our analysis in this chapter. One

DNC SCORES IN VOTEBUILDER. VA 5th District Democratic Committee

Scottish Parliamentary election

Approaches to Analysing Politics Variables & graphs

Pavel Yakovlev Duquesne University. Abstract

IRELAND. Date of Elections: June 16, 1977

Introduction. Midterm elections are elections in which the American electorate votes for all seats of the

Chapter 6 Democratic Regimes. Copyright 2015 W.W. Norton, Inc.

Congruence in Political Parties

Analysis of Categorical Data from the California Department of Corrections

the role of economy and European Union in Greek politics Iannis Konstantinidis Assistant Professor, University of Macedonia, Greece

Arguments for and against electoral system change in Ireland

Honors Thesis: The Veil of Communism: An Analysis of Lifespan, GDP per Capita, Human Capital, and Agricultural Productivity in Eastern Europe

1. The Relationship Between Party Control, Latino CVAP and the Passage of Bills Benefitting Immigrants

DU PhD in Home Science

This journal is published by the American Political Science Association. All rights reserved.

Congressional Agenda Control and the Decline of Bipartisan Cooperation

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/Democracy Corps

Congressional Incentives & The Textbook Congress : Representation & Getting Re-Elected

Racial Disparities in Police Traffic Stops in North Carolina,

American Congregations and Social Service Programs: Results of a Survey

EUROPEAN ELECTIONS European Parliament Eurobarometer (EB Standard 70) - autumn 2008 Analysis

Luxembourg Income Study Working Paper Series

Parliamentary vs. Presidential Systems

Power Dispersion and Its Consequences: Three Models of Post- Communist Parliamentarism i

This diagram shows the relationship between the NSW Electoral Commission, the Electoral Commissioner and the Parliament of NSW.

Electoral Reform: Key Federal Policy Recommendations. Researched and written by CFUW National Office & CFUW Leaside East York and Etobicoke JULY 2016

Torsten Persson is Professor of Economics and Director of the Institute for International Economic

ELECTORAL ENGINEERING ~ CHAPTER 3 ~ NORRIS 3/10/2003 6:32 PM

PARLIAMENTARY STUDIES PAPER 11

brazilianpoliticalsciencereview ARTICLE Career Choice and Legislative Reelection Evidence from Brazil and Colombia 1

CAPPELEN DAMM ACCESS UPDATE: THE PERFECT SLOSH

The 2017 Norwegian election

Department for Legal Affairs

NATIONAL ELECTIONS SEPTEMBER 2015

IS THE MEASURED BLACK-WHITE WAGE GAP AMONG WOMEN TOO SMALL? Derek Neal University of Wisconsin Presented Nov 6, 2000 PRELIMINARY

Modern Slavery Country Snapshots

Sri Lanka. Country coverage and the methodology of the Statistical Annex of the 2015 HDR

Chapter 20. Optimum Currency Areas and the European Experience. Slides prepared by Thomas Bishop

GCE. Government and Politics. Student Course Companion. Revised GCE. AS 1: The Government and Politics of Northern Ireland

Achieving Gender Parity in Political Participation in Tanzania

California Ballot Reform Panel Survey Page 1

At the rare moments in history when a nation debates constitutional reform,

liberals triumph in federal election

2010 Municipal Elections in Lebanon

MPs Expenditure and General Election Campaigns: do Incumbents Benefit from Contacting their Constituents?

Concluding comments of the Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women: Belarus. Third periodic report

Table A.2 reports the complete set of estimates of equation (1). We distinguish between personal

Africa Integrity Indicators Country Findings

Following the Leader: The Impact of Presidential Campaign Visits on Legislative Support for the President's Policy Preferences

Partisan Nation: The Rise of Affective Partisan Polarization in the American Electorate

Voting for Parties or for Candidates: Do Electoral Institutions Make a Difference?

Ohio State University

Wisconsin Economic Scorecard

E-PÚBLICA REVISTA ELECTRÓNICA DE DIREITO PÚBLICO

Candidate Selection in Venezuela (and Its Impact on Legislator Behavior)

CITIZENS EFFECTING CHANGE

Indices of Social Development

Referendum 2014 how rural Scotland voted. Steven Thomson / October 2014 Research Report

Prisons in Europe Slovenia

Unit 1 Introduction to Comparative Politics Test Multiple Choice 2 pts each

Preferential votes and minority representation in open list proportional representation systems

DRAFT FOR CONSULTATION

Political Sophistication and Third-Party Voting in Recent Presidential Elections

Legislator activities in parliament and electoral performance in a mixed-member electoral system. The case of Hungary,

Political Sophistication and Third-Party Voting in Recent Presidential Elections

Speech by President Juncker at the Honorary Doctorate award ceremony by the National University of Ireland

MODERN STUDIES Access 3 Level

Congressional Agenda Control and the Decline of Bipartisan Cooperation

Transcription:

Appendix 1: FAT Model Topics Diagnostics Tables 1-3 present the distributions of factor scores and loadings, as well as some descriptive statistics. For 18 of the 21 topics, the distribution of both words and documents has a positive skew. This means that the model identified a low number of words and documents that characterize the corresponding topics, while most words do not capture important topical variation. These factors therefore capture cohesive, informative topics. The distributions of two additional topics are the only ones with negative skewness values. In the case of Topic 1 ( length ), we can explain this by observing that topic actually captures PQ length(r =.65). Thus, since most of the PQs are of moderate length, a low number of very short PQs give the distribution its left skew. In addition, note that Topic 1 is the only one whose scores have a bimodal probability density function. The distributions of words and PQs in Topic 14 ( two-sided ), have both positive and negative long tails. This means that the model did not identify a cohesive topic, and we can thus consider this topic to be a residual category. 1

Table 1: 21 FAT model results descriptive statistics (factors 1-7) length agriculture skew= 0.01 skew= 0.54 skew= 3.01 skew= 3.19 500 600 300 2 1 0 1 2 3 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2 0 2 4 6 8 health education skew= 1.74 skew= 3.07 skew= 2.78 skew= 3.78 500 600 500 600 2 0 2 4 0.2 2 0 2 4 6 0.2 police energy skew= 5.52 skew= 3.59 skew= 5.14 skew= 4.02 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 0 500 1000 1500 300 0 5 10 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0 5 10 infrastructure skew= 1.14 skew= 1.82 0 50 100 150 4 2 0 2 4 6 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 2

Table 2: 21 FAT model results descriptive statistics (factors 8-14) welfare maritime skew= 1.8 skew= 2.72 skew= 5.6 skew= 4.04 500 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 300 2 0 2 4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0 5 10 15 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 conservation markets skew= 3.98 skew= 2.95 skew= 2.42 skew= 2.34 0 200 400 600 800 1000 0 200 400 600 800 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 5 10 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 5 0 5 10 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 livestock universities skew= 5.9 skew= 5.7 skew= 4.67 skew= 3.58 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 0 200 400 600 800 1000 300 0 5 10 0 5 10 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 residual skew= 1.29 skew= 0.52 300 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 3

Table 3: 21 FAT model results descriptive statistics (factors 15-21) letters local skew= 1.45 skew= 2.76 skew= 2.04 skew= 2.17 4 2 0 2 4 6 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 prisons international skew= 9.1 skew= 5.72 skew= 2.08 skew= 2.41 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 0 100 200 300 0 200 400 600 800 0 5 10 15 5 0 5 10 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 defense culture/sports skew= 8.06 skew= 5.02 skew= 11.4 skew= 6.36 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 300 350 0 500 1000 1500 0 5 10 15 0 5 10 15 Syriza skew= 4.44 skew= 6.27 500 600 700 2 0 2 4 6 8 4

Appendix 2: Characteristic Blame Avoidance Parliamentary Questions This section provides excerpts from some of the PQs that were classified under either the welfare or the market topics by the FAT model, and were aggregated to capture blame avoidance. Welfare 1. New Democracy, 2012.3.9 Sir, two-three months ago, I tabled a question about financial aid for heads of families in disadvantaged areas of the country. The answer I received then was that in the 2012 budget there will be no change to income limits. But the manner and procedure of calculating base income was changed. Do you realize what a huge injustice this is, which creates enormous problems and damages to the economic and social cohesion of the country?... I listened with great interest to your reply. It would have been more honest to say You know what? We changed the law, and not use a trick that changes the method of calculating the income. 2. PASOK, 2012.7.26 The program Help at home assists weak and disadvantaged populations, those who are unable to look after themselves. Especially in the period we live, where people from more weak economic strata and people with physical difficulties are vulnerable, we should reinforce this program and strengthen the overall structures of social solidarity and support... I would also specifically caution that workers have not been paid in many cases for nine-ten months... [I]n any case, however, we need immediate action to eliminate any gaps in providing services, support the weak, and people who need it. 3. PASOK, 2012.9.14 The announcements last week [of limitations on unemployment benefits to seasonal employees] have caused inconvenience to these workers, mainly in tourism, but also to all businesses associated with tourism because these workers will have two disadvantages compared to other workers... The first drawback is the de facto time-limited work. The second drawback is that due to the limitations established by the Ministry and the Employment Agency, the workers will be unable to acquire the required number of stamps in order to receive the unemployment benefits... What I am asking is whether you intend to revisit these recent decisions in order to prevent injustice and weaknesses that create social problems. 5

Market 1. New Democracy, 2012.2.6 Sir, I would like to turn your attention to a very serious budgetary issue the debt deficit. We risk the collapse of thousands of businesses across the country. I am speaking about the regulation of businesses credit debts. These loan agreements guaranteed by the government amount to about 8.7 billion euros... Under these conditions there really is a risk of businesses not being able to fulfill their contractual obligations. What will happen?... It is a financial bomb waiting to explode if the hands of some Minister of Finance... I think this time you do everything you can to give them [the businesses] some oxygen because this oxygen is essential. 2. PASOK, 2012.10.11 Ladies and gentlemen, the society, the society, and particularly the weakest strata in society, is experiencing the most dramatic effects of the crisis. Businesses, mainly small and mediumsized businesses, are closing daily. The Government is making a great effort to get out of the crisis. To a large degree, the success of this effort will depend on the degree of mobilization of productive, intellectual forces in the country... However, this mobilization, activation of the productive forces, requires national understanding, first and foremost among the political forces in this room... The National Council of Competitiveness and Growth can be a step in promoting social dialogue in order to update and implement a national plan for the development... Minister, do you intend to activate the National Competitiveness and Development Council as a forum for dialogue and consultation? And... come up with a national plan for restructuring the country s production? 3. PASOK, 2012.10.22 Mr. President, we all know of the drama in the life of thousands of families, since with the given economic conditions, on the one hand, family incomes are reduced and on the other hand the cost of living has increased. We should give priority to this issue. The aim should be to reduce the cost of Greek family life, the containment and reduction of prices in basic consumer goods and of course, with the intervention in areas where competition is not functioning. So, I call the Ministry of Development to tell us what actions will address the issue of increased prices. Appendix 3 Alternative Explanations Various factors may affect the behavior of vote seeking legislators (Mayhew, 1974). Thus, we might think that if the government s policies are unpopular, individual vote seeking 6

motivations might lead specific MPs to ask parliamentary questions. First, the electoral system might affect the likelihood of question asking. The Greek electoral system is an open-list PR. Since voters can cast a personal vote, it is possible that legislators behavior will be affected by their motivation to cultivate these votes (Carey and Shugart, 1995), as they compete with co-partisans over seats. Carey and Shugart posit that in open-list PR systems that allow for intra-party competition, incentives to cultivate a personal vote increase with district magnitude. 1 If legislators who are members of junior coalition parties behave according to this rationale, we should observe a positive relationship between their propensity to ask questions and the magnitude of their district. Relationship Table 4: Electoral Competition PASOK 0.1 0.02 1. District magnitude and question asking [-.21, 1] [-0.16, 1] 2. District magnitude and blame avoidance question asking t=-0.267 t=0.6 Note: The first row presents Pearson s correlation estimates (with 90% confidence intervals in square brackets). The second row presents the result of Welch t tests. ND 1 More precisely, Carey and Shugart argue that the ratio between the number of co-partisan competitors and the district magnitude motivates personal vote cultivation. Here I use the district magnitude as a proxy, since data on the number of candidates on the ballot are unavailable. 7

The first row of Table 4 presents correlations between the (logged) district magnitude and the number of questions legislators, who were members of a junior coalition member party and were elected from the district, had asked. Since this relationship is insignificant both for ND and PASOK, we cannot conclude that inter-party competition motivates PQ behavior. Specifically, we have no evidence indicating that cultivation of personal votes is what underlies variation in usage of PQs. Next, the second row of the table focuses on the difference between the mean district magnitude for districts of MPs who had asked blame avoidance questions, and compares it to the mean magnitude of districts of MPs who had asked questions about other topics. Here, again, we do not find a significant difference between the two groups. Thus, we can conclude that district magnitude and vote-seeking motivations do not affect engagement in blame avoidance activity. In addition, party seniority may have an impact on legislators behavior. For example, it is possible that senior party members are more likely to criticize the government due to their relatively secure position in the party. This aspect is captured in the frontbencher variable, which was constructed by studying the biography of MPs. I coded an MP as a member of a party s frontbench if he had been a cabinet member prior to asking a parliamentary question. I then looked at the frequency of question asking for the two groups. The histograms presented in Figure 1 show that although most of the questions originate from backbenchers, they are quite frequent among frontbenchers as well. Note also that this comparison does not take into account the overall ratio between backbenchers and frontbenchers within the parties (and most likely there are more MPs whose career does not include cabinet membership), but rather only the distribution among question askers. Overall, then, it seems safe to assume that seniority is not a factor underlying question asking behavior. 8

ND Questions by Party Seniority ND Blame Avoidance Questions by Party Seniority 0 20 40 60 80 100 backbenchers frontbenchers 0 20 40 60 80 100 backbenchers frontbenchers PASOK Parliamentary Questions by Party Seniority PASOK Blame Avoidance Parliamentary Questions asking by Party Seniority 0 20 40 60 80 100 backbenchers frontbenchers 0 20 40 60 80 100 backbenchers frontbenchers Note: Distribution of parliamentary questions by party seniority. Figure 1: Distribution of parliamentary questions by party seniority 9

Next, I examined the relationship between question asking and the number of years an MP has spent in parliament (see Figure 2). Here, we see that in all four cases (i.e. for both parties, and for all PQs as well as for blame avoidance PQs alone), the modal number of year spent in the party prior to asking a question is above five. This means that a significant amount of question askers have spent at least two terms in the parliament. There is also significant variation across the number of years question askers have spent as legislators. Overall, this indicates that in all likelihood, PQs do not originate only from newcomers. ND Questions by Time in Party ND Blame Avoidance Questions by Time in Party 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0 5 10 15 20 years 0 5 10 15 20 years PASOK Questions by Time in Party PASOK Blame Avoidance Questions by Time in Party 0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 years 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 years Note: Distribution of parliamentary questions by time in party. Figure 2: Distribution of parliamentary questions by time in party 10

References Carey, John and Matthew Shugart. 1995. Incentives to Cultivate a Personal Vote: A rank Ordering of Electoral Formulas. Elecotral Studies 4(14):417 439. Mayhew, David. 1974. Congress: The Electoral. Connection. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press. 11