Registered Likely NH Voters October 16, 2014 Poll Results The results presented below were obtained through automated telephone interviews conducted by the on October 16, 2014. A total of 921 responses were obtained, 461 from registered likely NH voters in Congressional District 1 and 460 from registered likely NH voters in Congressional District 2. The margin of error for questions 1, 2, 4, 5, and 6 is +/- 3.23%. The margin of error for question 3-CD1 is +/- 4.56% and for question 3-CD2 is +/- 4.57%. Q1. Governor - If the election were held today how would you vote for Governor of New Hampshire? Governor Response Percent Maggie Hassan 467 50.7% Walt Havenstein 391 42.5% Another Candidate 24 2.6% Not Sure 39 4.2% Q2. Senate - If the election were held today how would you vote for United States Senator from New Hampshire? Senate Response Percent Scott Brown 439 47.7% Jeanne Shaheen 436 47.3% Another Candidate 25 2.7% Not Sure 21 2.3% Q3. CD1 - If the election were held today how would you vote for Representative from the First Congressional District? Rep - CD1 Response Percent Frank Guinta 218 47.4% Carol Shea-Porter 211 45.7% Another Candidate 16 3.5% Not Sure 16 3.4% 461 100% Q3. CD2 - If the election were held today how would you vote for Representative from the Second Congressional District? Rep - CD2 Response Percent Annie Kuster 224 48.7% Marilinda Garcia 198 43.2% Another Candidate 17 3.6% Not Sure 21 4.5% 460 100% Q4. Job Performance - How do you rate the job performance of President Barack Obama? Presidential Approval Response Percent Highly Approve 179 19.4% Somewhat Approve 231 25.1% 45 4.8% Somewhat Disapprove 56 6.1% Highly Disapprove 410 44.6% Q5. How would you describe how endorsements impact your decision to support a candidate? Endorsements Response Percent Strongly Impact 56 6.1% Somewhat Impact 219 23.8% No Impact 600 65.1% Unsure 46 5.0% Q6. We'd like to know if political surrogates impact your decision to support a candidate. Political Surrogates Response Percent Strongly Impact 29 3.2% Somewhat Impact 158 17.2% No Impact 683 74.2% Unsure 51 5.4% October 16, 2014 1 of 5
Q1. If the election were held today how would you vote for Governor of New Hampshire? For Maggie Hassan, the democrat, Press One; For Walt Havenstein, the republican, Press Two; For another candidate, Press Three; If you are Not Sure, Press Four. Governor Female Female Male Male Maggie Hassan 257 52.4% 210 48.7% 467 Walt Havenstein 198 40.3% 194 45.0% 391 Another Candidate 12 2.4% 12 2.8% 24 Not Sure 24 4.9% 15 3.4% 39 Governor Republican Republican Democrat Democrat Another Another Maggie Hassan 57 17.6% 239 91.6% 128 47.4% 2 67.4% 40 64.2% 467 Walt Havenstein 246 76.1% 14 5.2% 111 40.9% 1 32.6% 20 32.0% 391 Another Candidate 9 2.9% 4 1.7% 11 3.9% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 24 Not Sure 11 3.4% 4 1.6% 21 7.8% 0 0.0% 2 3.8% 39 324 100% 261 100% 271 100% 3 100% 63 100% 921 Governor Lean Republican Lean Republican Lean Democrat Lean Democrat Maggie Hassan 13 12.0% 91 94.4% 5 19.9% 20 43.3% 128 Walt Havenstein 83 78.8% 3 3.2% 11 48.3% 14 29.7% 111 Another Candidate 1 1.1% 1 1.2% 6 28.1% 2 3.7% 11 Not Sure 8 8.1% 1 1.3% 1 3.7% 11 23.3% 21 105 100% 97 100% 23 100% 46 100% 271 Q2. If the election were held today how would you vote for United States Senator from New Hampshire? For Scott Brown, the republican, Press One; For Jeanne Shaheen, the democrat, Press Two; For another candidate, Press Three; If you are Not Sure, Press Four. Senate Female Female Male Male Scott Brown 223 45.4% 216 50.2% 439 Jeanne Shaheen 239 48.7% 197 45.7% 436 Another Candidate 12 2.5% 12 2.8% 25 Not Sure 16 3.3% 5 1.2% 21 Senate Republican Republican Democrat Democrat Indep endent Another Another Scott Brown 259 80.0% 27 10.4% 132 48.7% 1 32.6% 20 32.1% 439 Jeanne Shaheen 46 14.2% 230 88.1% 119 44.0% 2 67.4% 39 62.2% 436 Another Candidate 11 3.4% 2 0.8% 12 4.3% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 25 Not Sure 8 2.4% 2 0.8% 8 3.0% 0 0.0% 4 5.7% 21 324 100% 261 100% 271 100% 3 100% 63 100% 921 Senate Lean Republican Lean Republican Lean Democrat Lean Democrat Scott Brown 95 89.8% 4 4.1% 10 45.7% 23 49.9% 132 Jeanne Shaheen 5 5.0% 90 93.4% 6 26.2% 18 38.7% 119 Another Candidate 2 2.0% 1 1.3% 6 28.1% 2 4.1% 12 Not Sure 3 3.2% 1 1.3% 0 0.0% 3 7.4% 8 105 100% 97 100% 23 100% 46 100% 271 October 16, 2014 2 of 5
Q3. CD1 If the election were held today how would you vote for Representative from the First Congressional District? For Frank Guinta, the republican, Press One; For Carol Shea-Porter, the democrat, Press Two; For another candidate, Press Three; If you are Not Sure, Press Four Rep - CD1 Female Female Male Male Frank Guinta 112 45.3% 107 49.8% 218 Carol Shea-Porter 114 46.4% 96 45.0% 211 Another Candidate 10 4.0% 6 2.8% 16 Not Sure 10 4.2% 5 2.5% 16 246 100% 215 100% 461 Rep - CD1 Republican Republican Democrat Democrat Indepe ndent Another Another Frank Guinta 140 82.5% 8 5.9% 60 48.6% 0 0.0% 11 32.5% 218 Carol Shea-Porter 18 10.9% 118 89.6% 51 41.5% 2 100.0% 21 61.5% 211 Another Candidate 6 3.7% 1 0.8% 8 6.2% 0 0.0% 1 2.5% 16 Not Sure 5 2.9% 5 3.7% 4 3.6% 0 0.0% 1 3.5% 16 169 100% 132 100% 123 100% 2 100% 34 100% 461 Rep - CD1 Lean Republican Lean Republican Lean Democrat Lean Democrat Frank Guinta 40 83.9% 1 2.9% 6 48.6% 12 58.6% 60 Carol Shea-Porter 3 6.8% 38 90.2% 4 32.8% 6 28.8% 51 Another Candidate 4 7.5% 0 0.0% 2 18.6% 2 8.4% 8 Not Sure 1 1.8% 3 7.0% 0 0.0% 1 4.2% 4 48 100% 42 100% 13 100% 20 100% 123 Q3. CD2 If the election were held today how would you vote for Representative from the Second Congressional District? For Marilinda Garcia, the republican, Press One; For Annie Kuster, the democrat, Press Two; For another candidate, Press Three; If you are Not Sure, Press Four Rep - CD2 Female Female Male Male Annie Kuster 128 52.3% 96 44.7% 224 Marilinda Garcia 91 37.1% 108 49.9% 198 Another Candidate 10 4.1% 7 3.0% 17 Not Sure 16 6.4% 5 2.4% 21 244 100% 216 100% 460 Rep - CD2 Republican Republican Democrat Democrat Another Another Annie Kuster 24 15.6% 116 89.7% 70 47.6% 0 0.0% 14 50.3% 224 Marilinda Garcia 117 76.1% 12 9.2% 63 42.6% 1 100.0% 5 18.7% 198 Another Candidate 7 4.2% 1 1.1% 4 2.9% 0 0.0% 4 15.2% 17 Not Sure 6 4.0% 0 0.0% 10 6.9% 0 0.0% 4 15.8% 21 154 100% 129 100% 147 100% 1 100% 28 100% 460 Rep - CD2 Lean Republican Lean Republican Lean Democrat Lean Democrat Annie Kuster 6 11.3% 50 92.1% 3 34.9% 10 38.1% 70 Marilinda Garcia 45 78.6% 1 1.8% 5 55.0% 11 44.8% 63 Another Candidate 1 2.0% 1 2.1% 1 10.1% 1 4.0% 4 Not Sure 5 8.1% 2 3.9% 0 0.0% 3 13.1% 10 57 100% 55 100% 10 100% 25 100% 147 October 16, 2014 3 of 5
Q4. How do you rate the job performance of President Barack Obama? If you Highly Approve, Press One; If you Somewhat Approve, Press Two; If you are Unsure or have No, Press Three; If you Somewhat Disapprove, Press Four; If you Highly Disapprove, Press Five. Presidential Approval Female Female Male Male Highly Approve 105 21.3% 74 17.2% 179 Somewhat Approve 131 26.6% 100 23.3% 231 27 5.5% 17 4.1% 45 Somewhat Disapprove 26 5.2% 31 7.2% 56 Highly Disapprove 203 41.4% 208 48.2% 410 Presidential Approval Republican Republican Democrat Democrat Another Another Highly Approve 19 5.9% 114 43.7% 33 12.3% 2 67.4% 10 16.6% 179 Somewhat Approve 20 6.1% 105 40.2% 78 28.8% 0 0.0% 28 45.1% 231 17 5.3% 14 5.2% 10 3.5% 0 0.0% 4 6.4% 45 Somewhat Disapprove 22 6.7% 6 2.4% 25 9.4% 0 0.0% 3 4.9% 56 Highly Disapprove 246 76.0% 22 8.5% 125 46.0% 1 32.6% 17 27.1% 410 324 100% 261 100% 271 100% 3 100% 63 100% 921 Presidential Approval Lean Republican Lean Republican Lean Democrat Lean Democrat Unsure/ No Unsure/ No Highly Approve 3 3.1% 22 22.7% 3 11.2% 5 11.8% 33 Somewhat Approve 2 2.1% 58 59.8% 4 18.8% 14 29.7% 78 1 1.1% 6 6.4% 0 0.0% 2 4.9% 10 Somewhat Disapprove 12 11.3% 6 6.7% 3 12.7% 4 9.1% 25 Highly Disapprove 87 82.3% 4 4.4% 13 57.3% 20 44.5% 125 105 100% 97 100% 23 100% 46 100% 271 Q5. How would you describe how endorsements impact your decision to support a candidate? If endorsements strongly impact your vote, Press One; If endorsements somewhat impact your vote, Press Two; If endorsements have no impact on your vote, Press Three; If you are unsure if endorsements impact your vote, Press Four. Endorsements Female Female Male Male Strongly Impact 38 7.8% 18 4.1% 56 Somewhat Impact 129 26.4% 89 20.8% 219 No Impact 299 61.0% 300 69.8% 600 Unsure 24 4.8% 23 5.3% 46 Endorsements Republican Republican Democrat Democrat Another Another Strongly Impact 23 7.1% 17 6.4% 11 4.1% 1 39.5% 4 6.5% 56 Somewhat Impact 87 27.0% 67 25.8% 50 18.6% 0 0.0% 14 22.2% 219 No Impact 193 59.6% 166 63.8% 197 72.7% 1 27.8% 43 67.8% 600 Unsure 20 6.3% 10 3.9% 12 4.6% 1 32.6% 2 3.5% 46 324 100% 261 100% 270 100% 3 100% 63 100% 921 Endorsements Lean Republican Lean Republican Lean Democrat Lean Democrat Strongly Impact 5 4.3% 4 4.5% 0 0.0% 2 4.7% 11 Somewhat Impact 23 21.6% 21 21.7% 3 13.8% 3 7.4% 50 No Impact 74 70.1% 66 68.2% 20 86.2% 37 81.3% 197 Unsure 4 3.9% 5 5.6% 0 0.0% 3 6.6% 12 105 100% 97 100% 23 100% 46 100% 270 October 16, 2014 4 of 5
Q6. We'd like to know if political surrogates impact your decision to support a candidate If political surrogates strongly impact your vote, Press One; If political surrogates somewhat impact your vote, Press Two; If political surrogates have no impact on your vote, Press Three; If you are unsure if political surrogates impact your vote, Press Four. Surrogates Female Female Male Male Strongly Impact 18 3.8% 11 2.5% 29 Somewhat Impact 96 19.7% 62 14.4% 158 No Impact 345 70.3% 338 78.6% 683 Unsure 31 6.3% 19 4.5% 51 490 100% 430 100% 921 Surrogates Republican Republican Democrat Democrat Another Another Strongly Impact 10 3.0% 11 4.2% 5 2.0% 0 0.0% 3 5.3% 29 Somewhat Impact 59 18.2% 54 20.6% 36 13.4% 1 39.5% 8 13.2% 158 No Impact 237 73.1% 186 71.2% 211 77.8% 2 60.5% 48 76.9% 683 Unsure 19 5.8% 10 4.0% 19 6.9% 0 0.0% 3 4.7% 51 324 100% 261 100% 271 100% 3 100% 62 100% 921 Surrogates Lean Republican Lean Republican Lean Democrat Lean Democrat Strongly Impact 1 1.1% 4 4.2% 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 5 Somewhat Impact 18 17.0% 13 13.5% 1 3.9% 4 8.9% 36 No Impact 79 74.7% 74 76.6% 22 96.1% 36 79.3% 211 Unsure 8 7.1% 6 5.7% 0 0.0% 5 11.8% 19 105 100% 97 100% 23 100% 46 100% 271 October 16, 2014 5 of 5