Steffen Schmidt Lucken Endowed Professor of Political Science Iowa State University Americans are unhappy with the political system. Voters have lost faith in the government and political parties. Only 10 percent of voters believe Congress is doing a good job. economic discontent, foreign conflicts, public policy issues unattended, citizens are engaging in organizations and movements designed to break the existing framework. D. I. S. R. U. P. T. I. O. N. 1
Can be creative and innovative shaking up things in a good way. Founding Fathers disruptive, imagining a nation ruled by laws and not kings. Their great American experiment half the world is democracies. The Internet Amazon, Google, Twitter. More information, less credibility Every two days, we create as much information as we did from the dawn of civilization up to 2003. Today Google processes roughly 62,000 search queries a second. more than 5.3 billion a day. BUT disruption can be bad. 2
Anyone can post news online. FAKE NEWS. Massive criminal activity. Huge threat to banking. Equifax breach. Meltdown and Spectre security flaws in ALL computers. There are 32,000 fake aps that steal your identity. Facebook gets 1 million reports a day of objectionable content. You tube has the equivalent of 65 years of video uploaded every day. Many disturbing. With artificial intelligence it s possible to create armies of automated social media bots who spread dangerous information. 3
Inter party dating & marriage down. Bipartisanship dead? Smell & politics? 4
LIBERAL Conservative Shrinking center Political Polarization 2017 Where s the Center? 5
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Barak Obama Donald Trump Bernie Sanders Trump got 83% of voters who wanted CHANGE. Hillary Clinton NOT change. 7
Disrupting the GOP. Unconventional approach to policy. 8
Bernie Sanders Harvard University survey 51 %of Millennials do not support capitalism. 49% like socialism. (But probably NOT communism1) 9
Iowa and Wisconsin for Trump She/He would have won 471 electoral votes Colorado, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Hampshire and Wash DC DC for Clinton. Tough Issues 10
Healthcare Tax Reform & Deregulation Immigration; Building a Wall, DACA Terrorism; Middle East N. Korea Cyber Threats US Race Relations Sexual Harassment Russia TPP Paris Climate Treaty Belt & Road Initiative. Trillion dollars. Most ambitious infrastructure project ever. & 40 billion a year in aid to developing countries. 11
We are not alone. nationalist populist movement? 12
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The biggest disruptor You can t trigger change unless you disrupt. Fact or Fiction? 15
So GOP should hold on to House & Senate 16
The gap between the news media falsehoods and the dramatically better reality of the GOP tax cuts will have huge effects on the 2018 campaign. 17
Donald Trump s approval rating is at an all time low. Republican s unpopular tax law Deportation of Dreamers. Threat to ObamaCare. Amy Walter believes 2018 could see a repeat of what happened in 2006. when Democrats seized control of both the House and Senate during the second term of George W Bush. Amean equal to pct, the percentage of voters within the population favorable to Candidate X& standard deviation. 18
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The Democrats in disarray. Candidates for President? Mark Zuckerberg, Facebook Elizabeth Warren Bernie Sanders Oprah Winfrey Uncle Joe Biden Dwayne The Rock Johnson Republicans Donald Trump Ben Sasse, Nebraska Senator Sen. Tom Cotton Vice President Mike Pence Ohio Gov. John Kasich Az. Sen. Jeff Flake 20
The American Economy GDP to grow 2.5% in 2018 Unemployment rate 4.1% Inflation (2018) 2.38% Federal Reserve Stock market record high 21
I m Optimistic 7 of top 10 universities in the world. # 1 in Trademarks and Patents. * THE place people want to live. Information Technology innovation. The third most competitive economy in the world. * The World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) I m VERY optimistic about community banks, the fuel that drives the engine of US prosperity. We need to tell politicians, Fix the broken political system. Free up community banks to serve their customers. 22
Please stand up and give your fellow bankers a big hand. SteffenSchmidt2005@gmail.com 23