(Full methodological details appended at the end.) *= less than 0.5 percent

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Transcription:

This Washington Post-Schar School poll was conducted by telephone March 26-29, 2019 among a random national sample of 640 adults with 62 percent reached on cell phones and 38 percent on landlines. Overall results have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, including design effects due to weighting. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by SSRS of Glen Mills, PA. (Full methodological details appended at the end.) *= less than 0.5 percent 1. As you may know, special counsel Robert Mueller has completed his investigation of Russia s role in the 2016 election and its possible ties with Donald Trump s presidential campaign. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mueller handled this investigation? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? -------- Approve -------- ------ Disapprove ------- No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 3/29/19 53 27 27 30 15 16 16 2/10/19* 51 31 20 34 12 22 15 *...special counsel Robert Mueller is investigating... A special counsel at the U.S. Justice Department, Robert Mueller, has been investigating possible ties between Trump s presidential campaign and the Russian government. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mueller is handling this investigation? Approve Disapprove No opinion 1/18/18 50 31 19 11/1/17 58 28 14 2. Given what you ve heard or read, do you think the Russian government tried to influence the outcome of the 2016 U.S. presidential election, or not? Tried to Did not try No influence to influence opinion 3/29/19 59 31 10 7/13/17* 60 31 9 4/20/17 56 35 9 *7/13/17 and previous: Washington Post-ABC News polls 3. Thinking about Russian interference in the 2016 election and the federal investigation that followed, do you think Trump committed serious wrongdoing, or not? (ASK IF YES) Do you think Trump committed a crime, or not? --- Yes, committed serious wrongdoing ---- Committed Did not No NET a crime commit a crime opinion No No opinion 3/29/19 47 37 6 4 46 7 4. Do you think Mueller s final report on the investigation should be made public in its entirety, or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? ---------- Made public ---------- -------- Not made public -------- No NET Strongly Somewhat No op. NET Somewhat Strongly No op. op.

3/29/19 83 66 17 -- 13 5 8 -- 5 2/10/19 81 64 16 1 15 8 6 * 4 5. This Sunday, Attorney General William Barr released a letter summarizing Mueller s conclusions. Barr said that because of legal limits on what he can release he is reviewing the report to determine what parts can be made public. So far, do you think Barr has released enough details about Mueller s report, or not? Yes, released No, has not No enough released enough opinion 3/29/19 28 57 15 6. The Mueller investigation concluded that Trump s presidential campaign did NOT criminally conspire with Russia in its attempts to interfere with the 2016 election. Do you accept Mueller s conclusion, or not? Yes, accept No, do not accept No conclusion conclusion opinion 3/29/19 52 41 7 7. Aside from Mueller s conclusion on criminal conspiracy, how concerned, if at all, are you about the amount of contact between Trump s associates and Russians during the 2016 presidential campaign - Very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all? ----- Concerned ----- ---- Less concerned ----- No NET Very Somewhat NET Not so Not at all opinion 3/29/19 57 30 27 41 13 29 1 8. Mueller s investigation did NOT conclude whether Trump interfered with the investigation in a way that amounts to obstruction of justice, but Attorney General Barr concluded Trump did NOT obstruct justice. What about you - do you think Trump obstructed justice, or not? Yes, Trump No, Trump did not No obstructed justice obstruct justice opinion 3/29/19 49 44 7 As far as you re aware, do you think Trump has tried to interfere with Mueller s investigation in a way that amounts to obstruction of justice, or not? Tried to Did not try No interfere to interfere opinion 8/29/18* 53 35 12 *Washington Post-ABC News poll 9. Which comes closer to your view about Barr s decision on whether Trump obstructed justice: (Barr s decision was appropriate because of his authority as attorney general) or (Barr s decision was inappropriate because he had criticized Mueller s obstruction inquiry before he was attorney general). Appropriate Inappropriate (Vol.) Neither No opinion 3/29/19 39 41 11 10 10. Mueller s report states that while this report does not conclude that the President committed a crime, it also does not exonerate him of obstructing justice. 2

Trump said the report was a complete exoneration. Who do you believe more - (Trump) or (Mueller)? Trump Mueller No opinion 3/29/19 32 61 7 11. Considering everything, do you think the Mueller investigation was worthwhile to understanding Russia s role in the 2016 election, or was it not worthwhile? Yes, was No, was not No worthwhile worthwhile opinion 3/29/19 49 45 6 12. Do you think Democrats in the House of Representatives should continue to investigate whether Trump interfered with the Russia investigation in a way that amounts to obstructing justice, or should they stop investigating this issue? Should continue Should stop No to investigate investigating opinion 3/29/19 49 48 2 Do you support or oppose the Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives using their congressional authority to investigate [ITEM]? 1/24/19 - Summary table Support Oppose No opinion a. whether or not Trump's 2016 campaign colluded with Russia 57 38 5 b. suspected financial ties between Trump and foreign governments 61 34 4 c. Trump's relationship and communications with Russian President Vladimir Putin 59 37 4 13. Do you think Democrats in Congress went too far in accusing Trump and his associates of conspiring with Russians, or not? Went Did not go (Vol.) Didn t go No too far too far far enough opinion 3/29/19 39 55 4 3 14. Are you (ITEM) by the conclusions of the Mueller investigation, or not? 3/29/19 Summary table Yes No No opinion a. satisfied 51 41 8 b. disappointed 32 60 8 15. Do the findings of Mueller s investigation make you (more likely) to vote for Trump in next year s presidential election, (less likely) to vote for Trump, or do they make no difference in your vote? More likely to Less likely to Makes no No vote for Trump vote for Trump difference opinion 3/29/19 17 30 51 2 3

16. Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not begin impeachment proceedings that could lead to Trump being removed from office? ------ Should begin ----- --- Should not begin ---- No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 3/29/19 41 NA NA 54 NA NA 5 1/24/19* 40 33 7 55 13 42 6 8/29/18 49 40 9 46 13 33 5 *1/24/19 and previous: Washington Post-ABC News polls Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not impeach Clinton and remove him from office? --- Should be impeached --- -- Should not be impeached -- No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opin. 12/6/98 33 NA NA 64 NA NA 3 11/22/98 30 NA NA 66 NA NA 4 11/1/98 27 NA NA 71 NA NA 2 10/25/98 29 NA NA 66 NA NA 5 10/18/98 29 NA NA 68 NA NA 3 10/10/98 31 25 6 64 11 53 4 9/28/98 31 24 7 66 14 52 3 9/21/98 41 NA NA 57 NA NA 2 9/14/98 38 59 3 9/13/98* 30 64 6 8/23/98** 24 70 6 8/19/98** 30 65 5 8/17/98** 25 69 6 *Washington Post: "As you may know, the independent counsel Kenneth Starr has delivered a report to Congress summarizing his investigation of the Lewinsky matter. Based on what you know or have heard..." ** "If he does not resign, do you think..." Party ID. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a... Democrat Republican Independent Other (vol.) No opinion 3/29/19 32 27 39 1 1 2/10/19 32 26 39 1 2 1/24/19 32 24 37 4 3 1/11/18 31 26 39 1 3 11/1/18 32 25 35 4 4 10/11/18 33 26 35 4 2 8/29/18 33 25 37 3 3 4/11/18 32 25 35 5 3 *** END *** METHODOLOGICAL DETAILS This poll was sponsored and funded by The Washington Post and George Mason University s Schar School of Policy and Government and is a random sample adults of the United States, including interviews in English and Spanish. This questionnaire was administered with the exact questions in the exact order as appears in this document unless otherwise noted. These questions were part of an omnibus survey in which other questions were asked before or after these questions. A dual frame landline and cellular phone telephone sample was generated by Marketing Systems Group (MSG) using Random Digit Dialing procedures. Interviewers called landlines and cellular phone numbers. For landline phones, interviewers first request 4

to speak with the youngest adult male or female at home. Cellular phones are treated as individual devices and the interview is conducted with the adult answering the phone. The final sample included 240 interviews completed on landlines and 400 interviews completed via cellular phones, including 276 interviews with adults in cell phone-only households. This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for differential chances of being selected due to landline and cellular phone access and household size. Weighting also corrects for deviations in the survey sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted using a raking procedure to match the demographic makeup of the population by sex, region, age, education, race/ethnicity, marital status, and population density according to Census Bureau estimates. The sample is also weighted to match phone estimates of the share of the population who are cell phone-only, landline-only and mixed user populations according to the National Health Interview Survey. All error margins have been adjusted to account for the survey s design effect, which is 1.4 for this survey. The design effect is a factor representing the survey s deviation from a simple random sample and takes into account decreases in precision due to sample design and weighting procedures. Surveys that do not incorporate a design effect overstate their precision. Contact polls@washpost.com for further information about how The Washington Post conducts polls. The Washington Post is a charter member of AAPOR s Transparency Initiative, which recognizes organizations that disclose key methodological details on the research they produce. 5