National Tracking Poll Project: 171104 N Size: 1993 Registered Voters Margin of Error: ± 2% Topline Report November 09-11, 2017 P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 754 38% Wrong Track 239 62% Q172 Q172NET P3 POL1_1 POL1_4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve 4 5 2 % Somewhat Approve 426 2 % Somewhat Disapprove 268 3% Strongly Disapprove 778 39% Don t Know / No Opinion 06 5% Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve 84 42% Total Disapprove 046 52% Don t Know / No Opinion 06 5% Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues 566 28% Security Issues 376 9% Health Care Issues 402 20% Senior s Issues 28 4% Women s Issues 94 5% Education Issues 26 6% Energy Issues 75 4% Other 73 4% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Democrats in Congress 760 38% Republicans in Congress 807 4 % Don t Know / No Opinion 425 2 % Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Democrats in Congress 758 38% Republicans in Congress 803 40% Don t Know / No Opinion 432 22% Page 1
POL1_5 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Democrats in Congress 905 45% Republicans in Congress 673 34% Don t Know / No Opinion 4 5 2 % POL1_6 POL1_7 POL1_8 POL1_9 POL1_10 POL2 POL3_1 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration Democrats in Congress 770 39% Republicans in Congress 794 40% Don t Know / No Opinion 429 22% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The environment Democrats in Congress 97 49% Republicans in Congress 522 26% Don t Know / No Opinion 500 25% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Energy Democrats in Congress 852 43% Republicans in Congress 644 32% Don t Know / No Opinion 497 25% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Education Democrats in Congress 90 45% Republicans in Congress 637 32% Don t Know / No Opinion 455 23% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? National security Democrats in Congress 690 35% Republicans in Congress 866 43% Don t Know / No Opinion 437 22% If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democratic candidate 873 44% Republican candidate 7 6 36% Don t Know / No Opinion 404 20% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a healthcare reform bill A top priority 078 54% An important, but lower priority 386 9% Not too important a priority 60 8% Should not be done 200 0% Dont know/no opinion 69 8% Page 2
POL3_4 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Investigating some of President Trumps campaign officials for alleged connections or contacts with the Russian government during the 2016 elections A top priority 722 36% An important, but lower priority 360 8% Not too important a priority 349 8% Should not be done 363 8% Dont know/no opinion 99 0% POL3_5 POL3_6 POL3_7 POL3_8 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reforming entitlement programs like Medicare and Social Security A top priority 840 42% An important, but lower priority 520 26% Not too important a priority 87 9% Should not be done 265 3% Dont know/no opinion 8 9% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a tax reform bill A top priority 847 42% An important, but lower priority 589 30% Not too important a priority 2 6 % Should not be done 30 7% Dont know/no opinion 2 % How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an infrastructure spending bill A top priority 722 36% An important, but lower priority 698 35% Not too important a priority 248 2% Should not be done 55 3% Dont know/no opinion 268 3% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to reform regulations on banks and nancial services companies A top priority 554 28% An important, but lower priority 732 37% Not too important a priority 349 8% Should not be done 94 5% Dont know/no opinion 264 3% Page 3
POL3_9 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an immigration reform bill A top priority 745 37% An important, but lower priority 585 29% Not too important a priority 294 5% Should not be done 58 8% Dont know/no opinion 2 % POL3_10 POL3_11 POL4_1 POL4_4 POL4_5 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Constructing a wall along the U.S. / Mexico border A top priority 439 22% An important, but lower priority 368 8% Not too important a priority 300 5% Should not be done 739 37% Dont know/no opinion 47 7% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill that grants young people who were brought to the United States illegally when they were children, often with their parents, protection from deportation A top priority 606 30% An important, but lower priority 595 30% Not too important a priority 277 4% Should not be done 320 6% Dont know/no opinion 94 0% How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? The corruption and bribery trial of New Jersey Senator Robert Menendez A lot 236 2% Some 529 27% Not much 585 29% Nothing at all 643 32% How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Accusations against the Democratic National Committee by Donna Brazile A lot 405 20% Some 59 30% Not much 436 22% Nothing at all 56 28% How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Democratic election victories in Virginia and New Jersey A lot 524 26% Some 620 3 % Not much 38 9% Nothing at all 467 23% Page 4
POL4_6 How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? A proposal for changes to the tax system released by President Trump and Republicans in Congress A lot 654 33% Some 737 37% Not much 323 6% Nothing at all 280 4% POL4_7 POL5 POL6_1 POL6_4 POL6_5 How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Accusations against Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore involving a sexual relationship with a minor A lot 457 23% Some 609 3 % Not much 400 20% Nothing at all 528 26% Based on what youve seen, read or heard about a proposal for changes to the tax system released by President Trump and Republicans in Congress, do you support or oppose this proposal? (N=1,713) Strongly support 307 8% Somewhat support 50 29% Somewhat oppose 2 4 2% Strongly oppose 468 27% Dont Know/No Opinion 223 3% As you may know, President Trump and Republicans in Congress recently released a proposal for changes to the tax system. Based on what you know, do you believe each of the following will bene t from this proposal, or not? President Trump himself Yes, will bene t 24 56% No, will not bene t 323 6% Dont Know/No Opinion 546 27% As you may know, President Trump and Republicans in Congress recently released a proposal for changes to the tax system. Based on what you know, do you believe each of the following will bene t from this proposal, or not? The Trump Organization Yes, will bene t 4 57% No, will not bene t 282 4% Dont Know/No Opinion 570 29% As you may know, President Trump and Republicans in Congress recently released a proposal for changes to the tax system. Based on what you know, do you believe each of the following will bene t from this proposal, or not? You and your family Yes, will bene t 585 29% No, will not bene t 9 9 46% Dont Know/No Opinion 489 25% Page 5
POL7_1 As you may know, President Trump and Republicans in Congress recently released a proposal for changes to the tax system. If each of the following bene ts from the proposal, how concerned, if at all, would this make you? President Trump himself Very concerned 884 44% Somewhat concerned 3 3 6% Not too concerned 296 5% Not concerned at all 248 2% Dont Know/No Opinion 252 3% POL7_4 POL8_1 POL8_4 POL9 As you may know, President Trump and Republicans in Congress recently released a proposal for changes to the tax system. If each of the following bene ts from the proposal, how concerned, if at all, would this make you? The Trump Organization Very concerned 827 42% Somewhat concerned 379 9% Not too concerned 278 4% Not concerned at all 222 % Dont Know/No Opinion 287 4% And, if each of the following bene ts from the proposal, would this make you more likely to support the proposal, more likely to oppose the proposal, or would it not change your mind either way? President Trump himself Much more likely to support 83 9% Somewhat more likely to support 202 0% Somewhat less likely to support 82 9% Much less likely to support 63 32% Would not change my mind either way 460 23% Dont Know/No Opinion 334 7% And, if each of the following bene ts from the proposal, would this make you more likely to support the proposal, more likely to oppose the proposal, or would it not change your mind either way? The Trump Organization Much more likely to support 64 8% Somewhat more likely to support 98 0% Somewhat less likely to support 20 0% Much less likely to support 626 3 % Would not change my mind either way 457 23% Dont Know/No Opinion 347 7% Which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? President Trump should release his tax returns before 075 54% any tax reform proposal moves forward President Trump should not have to release his tax 503 25% returns before any tax reform proposal moves forward Dont Know/No Opinion 4 5 2 % Page 6
POL10 As you may know, under the current tax code, families can claim a tax credit of up to $13,570 to cover expenses associated with completing an adoption. Knowing this, do you support or oppose the adoption tax credit? Strongly support 580 29% Somewhat support 6 5 3 % Somewhat oppose 202 0% Strongly oppose 28 6% Dont Know/No Opinion 467 23% POL11 POL12 POL13 POL14 POL15_1 As you may know, eliminating the adoption tax credit would save the government $3.8 billion over the next decade. Knowing this, do you believe Congress should... Eliminate the adoption tax credit 506 25% Maintain the adoption tax credit 844 42% Dont Know/No Opinion 642 32% Do you support or oppose stricter gun control laws in the United States? Strongly support 778 39% Somewhat support 426 2 % Somewhat oppose 247 2% Strongly oppose 390 20% Dont Know/No Opinion 52 8% Generally, if Congress passes legislations placing additional regulations on gun ownership, which of the following is more likely to happen? Gun violence will decrease by making it more difficult 83 42% for criminals and mentally disturbed individuals to access guns Gun violence will increase by making it more difficult 777 39% for people to defend themselves against criminals and mentally disturbed individuals Dont Know/No Opinion 385 9% Which of the following do you think is more important? Protecting the right of Americans to own guns 96 48% Limiting gun ownership 809 4 % Dont Know/ No Opinion 223 % In thinking about the United States over the next few years, do you believe there will be more, fewer, or about the same amount of... Mass shootings More 64 58% Fewer 77 9% About the same amount 430 22% Dont Know/No Opinion 223 % Page 7
POL15_4 In thinking about the United States over the next few years, do you believe there will be more, fewer, or about the same amount of... Incidents of gun violence More 37 57% Fewer 63 8% About the same amount 496 25% Dont Know/No Opinion 97 0% POL15_5 POL15_6 POL16_1 POL16_4 POL16_5 In thinking about the United States over the next few years, do you believe there will be more, fewer, or about the same amount of... Acts of terrorism More 200 60% Fewer 95 0% About the same amount 4 0 2 % Dont Know/No Opinion 88 9% In thinking about the United States over the next few years, do you believe there will be more, fewer, or about the same amount of... Incidents of suicide More 878 44% Fewer 70 9% About the same amount 65 33% Dont Know/No Opinion 295 5% How serious of a problem is each of the following in the United States today? Acts of terrorism committed by an extremist group, such as ISIS Very serious problem 286 65% Somewhat of a serious problem 4 6 2 % Not too serious a problem 4 7% Not a serious problem at all 43 2% Dont Know/No Opinion 06 5% How serious of a problem is each of the following in the United States today? Acts of terrorism committed by an individual, sometimes referred to as a lone-wolf attack Very serious problem 330 67% Somewhat of a serious problem 446 22% Not too serious a problem 93 5% Not a serious problem at all 9 % Dont Know/No Opinion 06 5% How serious of a problem is each of the following in the United States today? Mass shootings Very serious problem 454 73% Somewhat of a serious problem 325 6% Not too serious a problem 80 4% Not a serious problem at all 26 % Dont Know/No Opinion 09 5% Page 8
POL16_6 How serious of a problem is each of the following in the United States today? Assaults in which a gun is used Very serious problem 254 63% Somewhat of a serious problem 464 23% Not too serious a problem 3 6% Not a serious problem at all 4 2% Dont Know/No Opinion 2 6% POL17 POL18 POL19 POL20 POL21 As you may know, the U.S. Department of Justice has appointed a special prosecutor to investigate any alleged coordination between the Russian government and Donald Trumps 2016 presidential campaign. Based on what you know, do you believe the special prosecutors investigation has been fair or not? Yes, it has been fair 802 40% No, it has not been fair 505 25% Dont Know/No Opinion 685 34% Do you believe President Trump should re the special prosecutor in charge of the investigation, or not? Yes, should re 340 7% No, should not re 965 48% Dont Know/No Opinion 687 34% If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for the Democratic candidate? President Trump 670 34% Democratic candidate 966 48% Dont Know/No Opinion 356 8% If the 2020 presidential election was held today, would you vote to re-elect President Trump, or vote for Joe Biden? President Trump 690 35% Joe Biden 9 46% Dont Know/No Opinion 393 20% As you may know, The Washington Post has reported that Alabama Republican Senate candidate Roy Moore initiated an inappropriate sexual relationship with a 14-year old minor, as well as pursued other girls who were between the ages of 16 and 18. The Washington Post based its account on interviews with more than 30 people who said they knew Moore during the time of the alleged incidents. Knowing this, how credible do you nd this reporting? Very credible 550 28% Somewhat credible 630 32% Not too credible 227 % Not credible at all 9 6% Dont Know/No Opinion 468 23% Page 9
POL22 In light of these allegations, do you believe Roy Moore should continue his run for Senate, or not? Should continue his run for Senate 3 6 6% Should not continue his run for Senate 97 60% Dont Know/No Opinion 480 24% indpresapp_4 indpresapp_5 indpresapp_6 indpresapp_7 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mitch McConnell Total Favorable 388 9% Total Unfavorable 876 44% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 729 37% If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Paul Ryan Total Favorable 630 32% Total Unfavorable 870 44% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 493 25% If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Nancy Pelosi Total Favorable 558 28% Total Unfavorable 896 45% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 539 27% If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Charles Schumer Total Favorable 507 25% Total Unfavorable 6 4 3 % Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 872 44% Page 10
indpresapp_8 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mike Pence Total Favorable 870 44% Total Unfavorable 742 37% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 38 9% indpresapp_9 indpresapp_10 indpresapp_11 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Donald Trump Total Favorable 809 4 % Total Unfavorable 034 52% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 50 8% If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Republicans in Congress Total Favorable 59 30% Total Unfavorable 088 55% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 3 3 6% If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Democrats in Congress Total Favorable 778 39% Total Unfavorable 888 45% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 327 6% Page 11
indpresapp_12 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Melania Trump Total Favorable 9 5 46% Total Unfavorable 688 34% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 39 20% indpresapp_13 indpresapp_14 indpresapp_15 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Ivanka Trump Total Favorable 8 9 4 % Total Unfavorable 789 40% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 385 9% If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Jared Kushner Total Favorable 4 4 2 % Total Unfavorable 767 38% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 8 2 4 % If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Steve Bannon Total Favorable 366 8% Total Unfavorable 784 39% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 843 42% Page 12
indpresapp_16 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Hope Hicks Total Favorable 232 2% Total Unfavorable 332 7% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 429 72% indpresapp_17 indpresapp_18 indpresapp_19 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Gary Cohn Total Favorable 265 3% Total Unfavorable 395 20% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 332 67% If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Kellyanne Conway Total Favorable 472 24% Total Unfavorable 749 38% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 772 39% If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Jeff Sessions Total Favorable 440 22% Total Unfavorable 782 39% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 77 39% Page 13
indpresapp_20 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Robert Mueller Total Favorable 566 28% Total Unfavorable 529 27% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 898 45% indpresapp_21 indpresapp_22 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Bob Corker Total Favorable 32 6% Total Unfavorable 504 25% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 68 59% If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Donna Brazile Total Favorable 378 9% Total Unfavorable 528 27% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 087 55% indpresapp_23 If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Roy Moore Total Favorable 272 4% Total Unfavorable 530 27% Heard Of, No Opinion / Never Heard Of 9 60% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated for registered voters with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 14
National Tracking Poll #171104, November, 2017 Respondent Demographics Summary Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemall Registered Voters 993 00% xdemgender Gender: Male 929 47% Gender: Female 064 53% age5 Age: 18-29 330 7% Age: 30-44 485 24% Age: 45-54 38 9% Age: 55-64 372 9% Age: 65+ 426 2 % xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 73 37% PID: Ind (no lean) 626 3 % PID: Rep (no lean) 636 32% xpidgender PID/Gender: Dem Men 297 5% PID/Gender: Dem Women 433 22% PID/Gender: Ind Men 3 6% PID/Gender: Ind Women 3 5 6% PID/Gender: Rep Men 32 6% PID/Gender: Rep Women 3 5 6% xdemtea Tea Party: Supporter 499 25% Tea Party: Not Supporter 48 74% N 980 xdemideo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 66 33% Ideo: Moderate (4) 472 24% Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 642 32% N 775 xeduc3 Educ: < College 3 0 66% Educ: Bachelors degree 443 22% Educ: Post-grad 240 2% xdeminc3 Income: Under 50k 094 55% Income: 50k-100k 62 3 % Income: 100k+ 278 4% Continued on next page Page 15
Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemwhite Ethnicity: White 623 8 % xdemhispbin Ethnicity: Hispanic 78 9% demblackbin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 256 3% demraceother Ethnicity: Other 4 6% xrelnet Relig: Protestant 5 0 26% Relig: Roman Catholic 445 22% Relig: Ath./Agn./None 5 5 26% Relig: Something Else 290 5% N 760 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 46 2% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical 598 30% Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 590 30% N 88 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 88 60% Relig: All Non-Christian 805 40% xdemusr Community: Urban 507 25% Community: Suburban 934 47% Community: Rural 552 28% xdememploy Employ: Private Sector 643 32% Employ: Government 56 8% Employ: Self-Employed 63 8% Employ: Homemaker 85 9% Employ: Student 68 3% Employ: Retired 457 23% Employ: Unemployed 60 8% Employ: Other 6 8% xdemmilhh1 Military HH: Yes 384 9% Military HH: No 609 8 % xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 754 38% RD/WT: Wrong Track 239 62% Continued on next page Page 16
National Tracking Poll #171104, November, 2017 Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage Q172 Strongly Approve 4 5 2 % Somewhat Approve 426 2 % Somewhat Disapprove 268 3% Strongly Disapprove 778 39% Don t Know / No Opinion 06 5% xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 566 28% #1 Issue: Security 376 9% #1 Issue: Health Care 402 20% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 28 4% #1 Issue: Women s Issues 94 5% #1 Issue: Education 26 6% #1 Issue: Energy 75 4% #1 Issue: Other 73 4% xsubvote16o 2016 Vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton 726 36% 2016 Vote: Republican Donald Trump 755 38% 2016 Vote: Someone else 8 9% N 662 xsubvote12o 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 888 45% 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 542 27% 2012 Vote: Other 03 5% 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote 457 23% N 989 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 364 8% 4-Region: Midwest 470 24% 4-Region: South 740 37% 4-Region: West 4 9 2 % Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 17
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