Election FOCUS. Bush, Kerry Court Religious Voters. Religion and the 2004 Presidential Elections: An Interview with Professor Clyde Wilcox

Similar documents
U.S. Catholics split between intent to vote for Kerry and Bush.

THE 2004 NATIONAL SURVEY OF LATINOS: POLITICS AND CIVIC PARTICIPATION

Changes in Party Identification among U.S. Adult Catholics in CARA Polls, % 48% 39% 41% 38% 30% 37% 31%

Bellwork. Where do you think your political beliefs come from? What factors influence your beliefs?

THE VANISHING CENTER OF AMERICAN DEMOCRACY APPENDIX

Political Parties in the United States (HAA)

The 2014 Jewish Vote National Post-Election Jewish Survey. November 5, 2014

AP AMERICAN GOVERNMENT STUDY GUIDE POLITICAL BELIEFS AND BEHAVIORS PUBLIC OPINION PUBLIC OPINION, THE SPECTRUM, & ISSUE TYPES DESCRIPTION

Political Attitudes &Participation: Campaigns & Elections. State & Local Government POS 2112 Ch 5

American Values Survey Initial Report

Old Dominion University / Virginian Pilot Poll #3 June 2012

1. One of the various ways in which parties contribute to democratic governance is by.

Swing Voters Criticize Bush on Economy, Support Him on Iraq THREE-IN-TEN VOTERS OPEN TO PERSUASION

WHITE EVANGELICALS, THE ISSUES AND THE 2008 ELECTION October 12-16, 2007

Political Culture in the United States (HAA)

Religion and Politics: The Ambivalent Majority

These are the highlights of the latest Field Poll completed among a random sample of 997 California registered voters.

Public Affairs Profile Data available for TESS experiments

Summer 2008 N=800 Adults July 18-30, Q1. Are you registered to vote in the state of Texas? 84% Yes, registered. 14% No, not registered.

Exit Polls 2000 Election

Moral Values Take Back Seat to Partisanship and the Economy In 2004 Presidential Election

R.I. Survey: Obama Leads McCain by 20 Percent

United States General Exit Poll PRES04 - Horizontal Percentages Time of Weighting: 11/2/2004 7:33:46 PM Time Created: 11/2/2004 7:33:46 PM

Survey of US Voters Issues and Attitudes June 2014

Public Opinion and Government Responsiveness Part II

Attendance gap*

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS CAMPAIGN CONSULTANTS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE November 1997 March 1998 N=200

THE AP-GfK POLL. Conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS MID-OCTOBER 2008 POLITICAL SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE October 16-19, 2008 N=3,016

***POLITICAL PARTIES*** DEFINITION: A group of politicians, activists, and voters who seek to win elections and control government.

Political Culture in America

American Values Survey Initial Report

GOP leads on economy, Democrats on health care, immigration

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

THE WORKMEN S CIRCLE SURVEY OF AMERICAN JEWS. Jews, Economic Justice & the Vote in Steven M. Cohen and Samuel Abrams

[INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE]

4. The Hispanic Catholic Vote

The Polling Institute Saint Leo University

CHAPTER 9: Political Parties

BLISS INSTITUTE 2006 GENERAL ELECTION SURVEY

AMERICAN MUSLIM VOTERS AND THE 2012 ELECTION A Demographic Profile and Survey of Attitudes

Economic Issues in Ohio Work to Kerry s Advantage

Political Parties. Chapter 9

Public Opinion and Political Socialization. Chapter 7

APGAP Reading Quiz 2A AMERICAN POLITICAL PARTIES

Rural America Competitive Bush Problems and Economic Stress Put Rural America in play in 2008

Senator Jeanne Shaheen

Arab American Voters in 2010: Their Identity and Political Concerns

GenForward March 2019 Toplines

McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES NATIONAL SURVEY OF REPUBLICANS TABLE OF CONTENTS FEBRUARY 28,

Will Tim Kaine Help Hillary Clinton Get Elected?

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS JUNE 2000 VOTER ATTITUDES SURVEY 21ST CENTURY VOTER FINAL TOPLINE June 14-28, 2000 N=2,174

POLL Republican National Delegate Survey. July 23 August 26, 2008 N= 854

HarperOne Reading and Discussion Guide for God s Politics. Reading and Discussion Guide for. God s Politics

Chapter 8: Parties, Interest Groups, and Public Policy

MOBILIZE MISSOURI Genevieve Steidtmann State House of Representatives Candidate Survey 2018

Chapter 7: Citizen Participation in Democracy 4. Political Culture in the United States political culture Americans' Shared Political Values

RECOMMENDED CITATION: Pew Research Center, December, 2016, Low Approval of Trump s Transition but Outlook for His Presidency Improves

Partisan Preference of Puerto Rico Voters Post-Statehood

The margin of error for 1,008 interviews is ± 3.1%

POLITICAL ACTIVITY GUIDELINES FOR DIOCESAN ENTITIES IN SOUTH CAROLINA Edition THE CHURCH IS A COMMUNITY OF CHRISTIANS WHO ADORE THE FATHER,

University of Texas / Texas Tribune Texas Statewide Survey

******DRAFT***** Muhlenberg College/Morning Call 2016 Pennsylvania Republican Presidential Primary Survey. Mid April Version

ARAB BAROMETER SURVEY PROJECT JORDAN REPORT

Though Most Oppose Public Funding ABORTION PLAYS SMALL ROLE IN HEALTH REFORM OPPOSITION

Supreme Court Survey Agenda of Key Findings

Chapter 19: Civil Liberties: First Amendment Freedoms Section 2

ELECTIONS AND VOTING BEHAVIOR CHAPTER 10, Government in America

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

Behind Kerry s New Hampshire Win: Broad Base, Moderate Image, Electability

State Chapter Voter Information Guide Training

HART/McINTURFF Study # page 1. Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 300 cell phone only respondents Date: October 17-20, 2012

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

November 9, By Jonathan Trichter Director, Pace Poll & Chris Paige Assistant Director, Pace Poll

Presidential Race Nip and Tuck in Michigan

Copyrighted Material CHAPTER 1. Introduction

8. The Bill of Rights was originally intended to limit the power of.

HART/McINTURFF Study # page 1. Interviews: 1,000 Registered voters, including 200 reached by cell phone Date: October 14-18, 2010

THE ASSOCIATED PRESS IMMIGRATION STUDY CONDUCTED BY IPSOS PUBLIC AFFAIRS RELEASE DATE: MARCH 31, 2006 PROJECT # IMMIGRATION STUDY

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE UNTIL MONDAY, OCTOBER 27, am EDT. A survey of Virginians conducted by the Center for Public Policy

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS 2016: PROFILE OF SENATOR BERNIE SANDERS

Religion In Campaign 08 CLINTON AND GIULIANI SEEN AS NOT HIGHLY RELIGIOUS; ROMNEY S RELIGION RAISES CONCERNS


Bush Wins Over Gore in Contested 2000 Election

Unit 2: Political Beliefs and Behaviors Session 2: Political Participation

This Rising American Electorate & Working Class Strike Back

AP US GOVERNMENT & POLITICS UNIT 2 REVIEW

MCCAIN, BUSH, THE NOMINATION PROCESS AND THE REPUBLICAN DELEGATES July 23- August 26, 2008

The margin of error for 1,004 interviews is ±3.1%

STEM CELL RESEARCH AND THE NEW CONGRESS: What Americans Think

Civics and Economics Point Review

Chapter 9: The Political Process

Political Parties. The drama and pageantry of national political conventions are important elements of presidential election

4) Once every decade, the Constitution requires that the population be counted. This is called the 4)

- Bill Bishop, The Big Sort: Why the Clustering of Like-Minded America is Tearing Us Apart, 2008.

EXAM: Parties & Elections

Voter / Consumer Research FL Puerto Rican Community VCR14073 September, 2014 Sample: 400 Margin of Error ± 4.91%

Political Parties CHAPTER. Roles of Political Parties

Growth Leads to Transformation

Political Polls John Zogby (2007)

Transcription:

Election FOCUS June 16, 2004 U.S. Department of State ISSUE 1 NO 13 Inside This Issue: Bush, Kerry Court Religious Voters............... page1 Religion and the 2004 Presidential Elections: An Interview with Professor Clyde Wilcox.......... page 1 Campaign Highlight: Backgrounder: Separation of Church and State in the U.S............. page 5 Local Candidates: First Saudi-American Candidate for Elected Office in the U.S............. page 5 FAST FACTS: 64 percent of registered voters say that their personal religious beliefs and faith will be important in deciding their votes for president this election year. -- Gallup Poll, March 2, 2004 To receive this newsletter via email go to: http://www.usembassy.de/mail Bush, Kerry Court Religious Voters According to a June 4, 2004 ABC News poll, nearly two-thirds of American citizens say religious leaders in general should not try to influence politicians positions on issues. Contrast that with recent news stories about both the Republican and Democratic parties new campaigns to rally religious voters around the country, and it is clear that the dynamic of religion and politics in the United States continues to be a constant in the U.S. political climate. The role of religion in politics and specifically in presidential elections is a long one. One instance involved the question of democratic presidential nominee Senator John F. Kennedy s Catholicism. In 1960, Kennedy gave a speech to Protestant ministers in Houston that assured the clergymen and voters that his Catholic faith, would have no affect on his political decision making. I believe in an America where the separation between church and state is absolute, he said. At that time, the divide between Catholic voters and Protestant voters was clear: 75 percent of Catholics voted for Kennedy and 75 percent of Protestants voted for Richard Nixon, the Republican nominee. Today, however, Voters don t seem to care too much about which of the Religion and the 2004 Presidential Elections: An Interview with Professor Clyde Wilcox Clyde Wilcox, Professor of Government at Georgetown University in Washington D.C., and author of several books on the relationship between religion and politics including Public Attitudes toward Church and State and Religion and Politics in Comparative Perspective, spoke to Washington File Staff Writer Alexandra (continued on page 2) Abboud on June 4 about religion and the 2004 presidential election. Q: The United State is a country that fosters the separation of church and state. What is the relationship between religion and politics in the U.S. today? (continued on page 3) The opinions expressed in this article are those of the interviewee and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the U.S. Government.

ELECTION FOCUS 2004 Christian groups their leaders might belong to, said Dr. Clyde Wilcox, professor of government at Georgetown University. What they really want to see is a president who has some sincere religious faith. The contemporary role of religion in politics has evolved from being an issue of the candidate s religious affiliation to a matter of voters religious preferences and what that indicates about their views on specific political issues. A March 2004 Gallup poll found that 64 percent of registered voters say that their personal religious beliefs and faith will be important in deciding their votes for president this year. With this in mind, both the Republican and Democratic parties have made religious outreach a key component of their campaigns. The Republican National Committee website, for example, features outreach coordinators from groups including Catholics, Protestants (Evangelical and others), Jews and Muslims. According to a USA Today poll, the demographic of those who attend religious services a group that the Bush campaign is actively courting are likely to vote republican on election day. In a phenomenon the poll refers to as the religion gap, the divide isn t between Catholics and Protestants, Jews and Gentiles but instead on the one side are those religious voters that attend religious services regularly and are likely to vote Republican and other side, those who attend religious services only occasionally or never. In April, Senator John Kerry, the presumed Democratic nominee, named Mara Vanderslice, an Evangelical Christian, as the religious outreach coordinator to his campaign. Concerning her new task, Vanderslice is quoted in USA Today as saying the most important thing to start with are opportunities for John Kerry to share more openly with the American electorate about his faith experience, how it s inspired his commitment in public service and how it s influenced his life. Although both parties are reaching out to religious voters in general, two specific groups Catholics and Evangelical Protestants have gotten the most attention from the parties and candidates alike. Catholics and Evangelical Protestants, however, represent two very different voting groups with varying concerns and voting patterns. It is likely that both parties will use different campaign strategies to reach out to these voters. Kerry will be the first Catholic candidate to secure the Democratic nomination since the late President John F. Kennedy. Although Catholic voters in the past were viewed as a voting bloc, today, many analysts agree that there are simply too many Catholic voters a little over 20 percent of voters are Catholic to be considered a unified voting entity. According to a poll conducted by the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life, only 32 percent of Catholics say that their religious beliefs occasionally or frequently guide their voting decision. When all is said and done, Catholics go to the polls as something else: veterans, union members, residents of the Northeast, young, old, said pollster John Zogby. Being Catholic is not the major identifier. In contrast, the Pew study s results on Evangelical Protestants found that more than two-thirds of those who define themselves as Evangelical Protestants say that their religious beliefs affect their voting decision. Evangelicals strongly support several Republican positions - for example, against gay marriage, stem cell research and abortion - and, according to the Pew study, 70 percent are in favor of Bush s re-election. The Bush campaign is also reaching out to the up to four million conservative, religious voters who failed to vote in the 2000 presidential election. It has mounted an aggressive voter registration drive aimed at this demographic. The Kerry campaign may not be able to successfully court Evangelicals because of ideological differences on many key issues. However, Democrats are reaching out to more politically liberal religious voters. On June 9, more than 350 liberals of varying religious faiths gathered at a conference in Washington, D.C., sponsored by the Center for American Progress, a Democratic think tank. Attendees discussed increasing the BUREAU OF INTERNATIONAL INFORMATION PROGRAMS THE DEPARTMENT OF STATE The U.S. Department of State is pleased to present its election coverage newsletter, Election Focus 2004. The newsletter will provide non-partisan coverage of the U.S. election process, featuring articles, interviews, public opinion polls, and other information on the presidential primaries, debates, conventions and campaign activities of the major presidential candidates. Election Focus 2004 is produced by the Democracy and Human Rights team in the Bureau of International Information Programs. If you are interested in receiving this newsletter via email, please go to: http://www.usembassy.de/mail 2 ELECTION FOCUS 2004

ELECTION FOCUS 2004 role of mainstream religious voters and organizations known as the religious left in U.S. politics and elections. (continued from page 1) Religion and the 2004 Presidential Elections: An Interview with Professor Clyde Wilcox Professor Clyde Wilcox: Politicians and the courts continue to debate the meaning of the separation of church and state in the 1st Amendment to the US constitution. The phrase itself is Congress shall make no law regarding the establishment of a religion, nor prohibiting the free exercise thereof. So, what does it mean to establish a religion? It doesn t actually say. The phrase separation of church and state is Thomas Jefferson s language later on. It means that the government shall not establish a religion in the way that there are established churches in Germany and Norway, for example. But what it has never meant is that religious people can t use their religion to help them make political decisions, including policy decisions, including who to vote for. It has never meant that churches cannot comment on policy issues of the day. In my view, it simply means that the government can t establish a religion or take sides between religions. Q: In this election year, are presidential candidates looking at religious voters and religious organizations as an important voting bloc? If so, what are they doing to reach out to these voters? Wlicox: One of the remarkable things about the United States is that it is a very religious nation, compared to Europe for example. Probably close to half of Americans tell survey researchers that they attend church every week. And although some of them are probably exaggerating, this is a very high number and therefore no presidential candidate could ever win the presidency without appealing to highly-religious voters. The difficulty is that we are also a nation of many religions. Christians constitute about 80 percent of the public, but there are many Muslims, and Sikhs, and Hindus, and so forth. And moreover, within that 80 percent who are Christians, there are hundreds and hundreds of denominations. So there is no single group that comes anywhere close to being a majority in the U.S. So candidates cannot make a narrow sectarian appeal but rather a broader appeal. What the surveys show is that Americans want their president and their leaders in general to be somewhat religious. Voters don t seem to care too much about which of the Christian groups their leaders might belong to. But what voters do want to see is a president who has some sincere religious faith some kind of grounding in a religion. At the same time, there s a little bit of a nervousness on the part of voters about voting for someone who might think that he s having a very close conversation with God, and God is calling him to make a particular policy. What the surveys show is that Americans want their president and their leaders in general to be somewhat religious. Professor Clyde Wilox, Georgetown University The opinions expressed in this article are those of the interviewee and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the U.S. Government. WWW.USEMBASSY.DE/USA 3

ELECTION FOCUS 2004 Q: What is the role of religious organizations such as churches in an election? Wlicox: Churches are actually active in campaigns, but there s a limit on what they can do and still remain a tax-exempt charity. They can t endorse a candidate, for example. But they can have voter registration drives, they can encourage their voters to think about the issues, and which issues are important to them. Quite a few churches are very active in politics. But they re not at least in theory partisan in their approach. Q: What safeguards are there to make sure that these tax-exempt organizations such as churches aren t involved in political activities that taxexempt organizations are prohibited from engaging in? Wlicox: The Internal Revenue Service has developed a set of guidelines to help churches understand what they're allowed to do, and what they're not allowed to do, and those guidelines are widely distributed. If the IRS finds that the church had been engaged substantially in partisan politics, it might withdraw its tax-exempt status. In general, we lean over backwards to give freedom of religion, and to give churches the right to criticize policies and to talk about what issues are important in the campaign. But there is a policy that if they become heavily partisan, then they're no longer considered a charity. That s very important in the U.S. because anyone can form a church here. I could form my own church and call it the Church of Clyde, and if I'm a tax-exempt operation, then, by law, I can t really be doing electoral politics from it. Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, reads the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. This clause has been interpreted to mean that the government of the United States unlike Great Britain and other European countries may not declare one religion as the national religion of the United States nor support one religion over another. However, this clause is still much debated today, and the Supreme Court of the United States is often asked to clarify the meaning of what is known as the Establishment Clause and the issue of separation of church and state. It was not until 1802 that the phrase separation of Church and Campaign Highlight Backgrounder: Separation of Church and State in the U.S. State became synonymous with the Establishment Clause. Thomas Jefferson coined the phrase in a letter written to the Danbury Baptist Association in which Jefferson defended his decision to not proclaim national days of fasting and thanksgiving, as the two presidents before him Washington and Adams had done. The Constitution states that Congress should make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof ; thus building a wall of eternal separation between Church & State, he wrote. The U.S. Supreme Court and other U.S. courts have been continually asked to interpret the clause. The benchmark case for all later decisions regarding religious liberty is Lemon v. Kurtzman (1971). The Supreme Court, in a unanimous decision, ruled that direct government assistance to religious schools was unconstitutional. The majority opinion outlined a test known as the Lemon Test for deciding when a law violates the Establishment Clause. According to the decision, a law involving religion is constitutional if it has secular (nonreligious) purpose, is neutral towards religion (neither for or against it) and does not result in excessive entanglements between government and religion. A government cannot be premised on the belief that all persons are created equal when it asserts that God prefers some, said former Justice Harry A. Blackmun in his decision in The opinions expressed in this article are those of the interviewee and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the U.S. Government. 4 ELECTION FOCUS 2004

California Teacher: First Saudi-American Candidate for U.S. Office A middle-aged schoolteacher living in southern California, Ferial Al Masry, is waging an uphill election campaign to become the first Saudiborn American to hold elective office in the United States. Al Masry is running as a write-in candidate of the Democratic Party targeting the seat of the 37th district in the California state legislature, representing the city of Newbury, near Los Angeles. Electoral victory would also make her the first Arab-American woman to serve in the California state assembly and one of the few Arab-American elective office holders in the United States. Asked why she decided to enter the race, the 55-year-old teacher said, I feel we are disenfranchised here. Those currently representing the district don t represent the Democratic constituency in the area. One of her main goals is to protect public education system, which she said would be neglected in the event of a victory by her opponent, who favors school vouchers. Vouchers are a crime against public schools. I want to start protecting the public school system and I want to change the curriculum because what we have now in the public schools is one size fits all. Education is becoming a political tool in the hands of politicians, and I don t agree with that, she said. Al Masry asserted that the middle class in America is getting weaker and poorer, because the houses and the house insurance are getting too expensive. As a middle class person, she said her socio-economic group is paying for the poor because they can t pay, and for the rich because they managed not to pay taxes. She also expressed concern about the population growth in the area and its negative impact on the environment and the lack of health insurance for many Americans. Health insurance is going crazy, people can t afford it now. We have about 45 million without insurance in this country. She said. I want to help my district. In a teleconference with Saudi journalists in Jeddah and Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, the public school teacher expressed her enthusiasm for her campaign despite the tough opposition she faces as a Democrat in a heavily Republican district. The registered voters in California s 37th district are about 46 percent Republican and 34 percent Democrat, according to the Los Angles Times. During the teleconference, she criticized the Arab League, describing it as a social club that has failed to identify the bitter realities of Arab countries and to settle disputes among Arab leaders. She also criticized the Arab-American community in the United States, citing a need for more unity and cohesion. With regards to the Israeli- Palestinian conflict, Al Masry said, the Jewish state is a reality on the ground, but it must work with its Arab neighbors so that all can live in peace with each other. The world community cannot let the conflict continue forever, she said. The Palestinian people should have their own state, a real state, not a group of scattered settlements, she said.

Asked about her ability to raise the money needed for her campaign, Al Masry said that her campaign depends mainly on volunteers from different ethnic backgrounds. She said Latinos, Jews, Muslims, and others have contributed to her fundraising efforts and are helping her campaign in other ways. Former Massachusetts governor and the 1988 Democratic presidential candidate Michael Dukakis, who is in southern California as a visiting professor at the University of California, Los Angles, appeared in a fund-raiser earlier this year and spoke on Al Masry s behalf. Dukakis, a son of Greek immigrants, said that Al Masry s Arab roots could only help her and the party. Many local party members are optimistic about Al Masry s campaign, according to Ventura County Star. Born Ferial Amin Bayt Al Mal, she was raised in Mecca, Saudi Arabia and was educated in Egypt, France and England before coming to the United States in 1979 with her husband, Waleed Al Masry, a civilian electrical engineer at a naval base in California. She earned a journalism degree from Cairo University and a master s in school administration from California Lutheran University, then her teaching credentials from California State University, Northridge. Al Masry represents a constituency that includes a blend of cultures and traditions that might seem contradictory on the surface but, on closer examination, she said she finds that they complement each other. She said her ultimate goal is to be a bridge of peace, serving a dialogue between the cultures she represents. She said that her personal strength is gained from her mother and other female relatives who helped raise her in the absence of her father, who was a frequent business traveler. As soon as she settled in Ventura County, California, in 1983, she ran an Islamic school that taught culture and the Arabic language. She is currently a teacher of government and history at Cleveland High School in Los Angles. Ferial and Waleed Al Masry have three children. Ferial speaks with pride about her oldest child, Mohammed Omar Masry, 24, who traveled to Iraq as a Civil Affairs Reserve officer to help build schools and hospitals. Although Al Masry believes the war in Iraq was a mistake, she fully supports her son and the U.S. Army. She believes that what Mohammed is doing in Iraq represents the other side of our power and our ability and is supporting the beautiful side of the United States. Asked about her reaction after being criticized by some members of the American Muslim community for not wearing a hijab, the head cover worn by Muslim women, Al Masry replied that a Muslim woman should not be judged on the basis of whether or not she wears a hijab. She also expressed her sorrow that the Muslim community s activities in America focus on religious activities. This shows that they don t do any other cultural activities which can help them to integrate in American society. Despite being busy with her campaign, Al Masry has not given up numerous other civic activities. Her latest is forming a new club for the youth called the First Amendment Club. The goal is to teach the youngster the rights granted to every American by U.S. Constitution, especially freedom of speech. Al Masry qualified as a Democratic candidate after securing a rare write-in victory, receiving 3,700 votes, well in excess of the 1,200 needed to get on the general election ballot in November. It was a miracle, Al Masry said to the New York Times. Al Masry said she is confident that she will win, but what if she does not? No matter the outcome, she says, I m not going to this race to just win a seat in the Assembly. In everything I do, I feel I m a winner already.