Washington Update: A Briefing on the Transition to a New Administration and a New Congress. FIA Member Webinar November 22, 2016

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Transcription:

Washington Update: A Briefing on the Transition to a New Administration and a New Congress FIA Member Webinar November 22, 2016

.. Trump Nominates Secretary of Treasury (Cabinet Level Chairman of FSOC) Trump Nominates Chairman of CFTC (Independent ency) Trump Nominates SEC Commissioner to be Appointed Chairman* (Independent ency) Nomination will be referred to the Senate Finance Committee Expected Committee Chairman: Orrin Hatch Nomination will be referred to the Senate riculture Committee Expected Committee Chairman Pat Roberts Nomination will be referred to the Senate Banking Committee Expected Committee Chairman Mike Crapo Full Senate must confirm nominee after Finance Committee consideration and action Full Senate must confirm nominee after riculture Committee consideration and action Full Senate must confirm nominee after Banking Committee consideration and action First order of business Select, nominate and confirm Trump s team * UNLIKE the CFTC Chairman, the SEC Chairman is nominated and Senate-confirmed only to fill a Commission seat and then may be designated Chairman at the discretion of the President. Alternatively, the CFTC Chairman must be confirmed by the Senate for BOTH a Commission term and as Chairman, though the term as Chairman is unspecified and limited by Presidential discretion. 11/22/2016 2

Federal Regulators Terms of Office Federal Reserve Board of Governors Yellen Chair. Feb. 2018 Bd. Term Feb. 2024 Fischer Vice Chair. June 2018 Bd. Term Feb. 2020 Tarullo Feb. 2022 Brainard Feb. 2026 Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Board (including OCC and CFPB Chair.) Gruenberg Chair. Nov. 2017 Bd. Term Dec. 2018 Hoenig April 2018 Vacant Commodity Futures Trading Commission Massad April 2017 Bowen April 2018 Giancarlo April 2019 Securities and Exchange Commission White June 2019 (resigning) Stein June 2017 Piwowar June 2018 Most banking and market regulatory agencies function as boards or commissions in order to maintain some level of independence from the President s Administration. These bodies are bi-partisan in that not more than 3 individuals are allowed to be from the same political party*. Powell Feb. 2028 Nominated: Landon Curry OCC Term 2017 Nominated: Quintenz April 2020 Nominated: Fairfax June 2020 *The Federal Reserve Board is expected to be apolitical. Nominated: Dominquez Cordray CFPB Term 2018 Nominated: Brummer June 2021 Nominated: Peirce June 2021 11/22/2016 3

Congress Republicans held onto significant majorities Democrats regroup with tough outlook for 2018 elections U.S. Senate and House Political Breakdown Post Election Senate - 115th* (beginning Trump's first term) Senate - 114th* Senate - 111th* (beginning Obama's first term) House - 115th (beginning Trump's first term) House - 114th House - 111th (beginning Obama's first term) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% One-Third of Senate Up for Re-election Every Two Years 2018 Challenging for Senate Democrats 2016 R 24 D 10 2018 R 8 D 25* Republican Democrat 2014** R 15 D 21 * Two Independents in the Senate caucus with Democrats ** In 2014 there were 33 regular term Senate seats up for re-election and 3 special elections due to early retirements or deaths 11/22/2016 4

Who s who - 115 th Congress House & Senate Leadership Key Republican Committee Leaders Key Democrat Committee Leaders W&M (tax) Finance (tax) Energy Energy Banking Fin. Services Banking Fin. Services W&M (tax) Finance (tax) 11/22/2016 5

Now what? Tax Reform Dodd-Frank Alternatives Federal Reserve Reform Interest Rate Increase CFTC Position Limits SEC derivatives use by funds SEC SBS capital, margin, seg. Basel Capital Implementation CFPB Arbitration Regulation DOL Fiduciary Rule Implementation CFTC Source Code w/o Subpoena 11/22/2016 6