Latin Party ID: Inherited r Learned? By Dylan Davisn Dr. Patrick Dnnay Plitical Science Class f 2013
Why? Latin Ppulatin as f 2010 Latin Ppulatin as f 1980
Imprtance
Literature Thery 1. Knke, Greenblatt, A. (2008). Changing U.S. electrate: are demgraphic trends reshaping U.S. plitics? CQ Researcher Online Starts t detail the changes in ur racial make-up as a natin Latins becming a bigger vting blck
Thery Cnt. 1. D., & Hut, M. (1974). Scial and demgraphic factrs in american plitical party affiliatins, 1952-72. American Scilgical Review Talks abut what factrs g int party ID Race, Regin, Religin, plitical scializatin Age als affects party ID 2. Krh, M., & Selb, P. (2009). Inheritance and the dynamics f party identificatin. Plitical Behavir Establishment f inheritance versus learned party ID Traditinalists (Inherited) vs. Revisinists (Learned)
Thery Cnt. 1. Dutwin, D., Brdie, M., Herrmann, M., & Levin, R. (2005). Latins and plitical party affiliatin. Hispanic Jurnal Of Behaviral Sciences Fund that Latins are mre likely t identify themselves as Republican because f traditinal family values Implicatins f this are far ranging 2. Evans, D., Franc, A., Plinard, J., Wenzel, J., Wrinkle, R., Ethnic cncerns and Latin party identificatin, The Scial Science Jurnal Influence f ethnic cncerns n party ID f Latin vters Fund t affect party ID Latins are mre likely t supprt candidates and parties that shw cncern fr their interests.
Dataset: Methds Pew Hispanic Center 2008 Pst-Electin Survey 1,540 Respndents age 18+
Results. T able 1.2 Latin Party identificatin by Ethnicity Crsstabulatin Mexican Puert Rican Cuban Dminican Salvadran Central American Suth American T tal Republican Party Percent 189 15 19 4 5 21 14 267 22.80% 12.00% 39.60% 6.90% 10.00% 22.60% 16.30% 20.70% Demcratic Party Percent 562 101 25 43 40 63 67 901 67.90% 80.80% 52.1% 74.10% 80.00% 67.70% 77.90% 70.00% Independent Percent 77 9 4 11 5 9 5 120 9.30% 7.20% 8.30% 19.00% 10.00% 9.70% 5.80% 9.30% Ttal Percent 828 125 48 58 50 93 86 1288 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Results Republican Party Demcratic Party Latin Party Identificatin by years spent in the United States <= 0 years 1-10 years 11-20 years 21-30 years 31-40 years 41+ years Ttal Cunt 5 46 31 18 21 20 141 50% 20.9% 14.6% 13.6% 28.8% 26.3% 19.5% Cunt 5 144 157 104 46 51 507 50% 65.5% 73.7% 78.8% 63% 67.1% 70% Independent Cunt 0 30 25 10 6 5 76 0% 13.6% 11.7% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 10.5% T tal Cunt 10 220 213 132 73 76 724 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Results/Tables Table 1.1 Latin Party Identificatin by Annual Husehld Incme Plitcal Party Identificatin Annual Husehld Incme Ttal <$20,000 $20,000-74,000 $75,000+ Republican Party Cunt 93 105 49 247 21.0% 18.7% 32.0% 21.4% Demcratic Party Cunt 313 403 90 806 70.8% 71.8% 58.8% 69.7% Independent Cunt 36 53 14 103 8.1% 9.4% 9.2% 8.9% Ttal Cunt 442 561 153 1156 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Results Table 1.4 Latin party identificatin by Citizenship crsstabulatin 7. Are yu a citizen f the United States? Yes N Ttal Republican party Cunt 53 78 131 21.4% 18.4% 19.5% Demcratic party Cunt 176 294 470 71.0% 69.2% 69.8% Independent Cunt 19 53 72 7.7% 12.5% 10.7% Ttal Cunt 248 425 673 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Cnclusin Results indicate that Party ID is learned ver time but als inherited in regards t ethnicity. Initially, Latin vters are split 50/50 in regards t being Republican r Demcrat Becme mre partisan and less independent ver time. Incme relatinship is incnclusive Citizenship relatinship is incnclusive Implicatins: Demgraphics The Latin ppulatin is grwing and is expected t surpass 40% f the ppulatin by 2050. The party that can take advantage f this and secure Latin lyalty will win electins dwn the rad as the white vte, percentage-wise, cntinues t shrink.
Bibligraphy Alvarez, R. M., & Bedlla, L. G. (2003). The fundatins f Latin vter partisanship: evidence frm the 2000 electin. The Jurnal f Plitics, 65(1), Benit, W. L. (2004). Plitical Party Affiliatin and Presidential Campaign Discurse. Cmmunicatin Quarterly, 52(2), 81-97. Bishin, B. G., Kaufmann, K. M., & Stevens, D. (2011). Turf wars: lcal cntext and latin plitical develpment. Urban Affairs Review, 48(1), 111-137. Dutwin, D., Brdie, M., Herrmann, M., & Levin, R. (2005). Latins and Plitical Party Affiliatin. Hispanic Jurnal Of Behaviral Sciences, 27(2), 135-160. di:10.1177/0739986304273708 Evans, D., Franc, A., Plinard, J., Wenzel, J., Wrinkle, R. (2012). Ethnic cncerns and Latin party identificatin, The Scial Science Jurnal Evans, G., & Pickup, M. (2010). Reversing the Causal Arrw: The Plitical Cnditining f Ecnmic Perceptins in the 2000-2004 U.S. Presidential Electin Cycle. Jurnal Of Plitics, 72(4), 1236-1251. di:10.1017/s0022381610000654 Greenblatt, A. (2008). Changing U.S. electrate: Are demgraphic trends reshaping U.S. plitics?. CQ Researcher Online, Retrieved frm http://library.cqpress.cm/cqresearcher/dcument.php?id=cqresrre2008053000 Hatemi, P. K., Alfrd, J. R., Hibbing, J. R., Martin, N. G., & Eaves, L. J. (2009). Is there a "party" in yur genes?. Plitical Research Quarterly, 62(3), 584-600. Katel, P. (2008, July 18). Race and plitics. CQ Researcher, 18, 577-600. Retrieved frm http://library.cqpress.cm/cqresearcher/ Knke, D., & Hut, M. (1974). SOCIAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS IN AMERICAN POLITICAL PARTY AFFILIATIONS, 1952-72. American Scilgical Review, 39(5), 700-713. Krh, M., & Selb, P. (2009). Inheritance and the Dynamics f Party Identificatin. Plitical Behavir, 31(4), 559-574. di:10.1007/s11109-009-9084-2 Wng, J. S. (2000). The Effects f Age and Plitical Expsure n the Develpment f Party Identificatin Amng Asian American and Latin Zeller, Shawn. "A Party Fractured, GOP Cnservatives Regrup." CQ Weekly (February 9, 2009): 290-92. http://library.cqpress.cm/cqweekly/weeklyreprt111-000003027300.