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Trilateral Dialogue Regional Architecture in East Asia and Middle Power Diplomacy Summary November 26, 2011 Session I Moderator Fu-Kuo Liu Presenters Chaesung Chun Yoshihide Soeya Ming Lee Session II: Part 1 Moderator Chaesung Chun Presenters Yul Sohn Fu-Kuo Liu Isao Miyaoka Session II: Part 2 Moderator Yoshihide Soeya Presenters Seungjoo Lee Francis Kan Hiroshi Nakanishi This product presents a policy-oriented summary of the Trilateral Dialogue on Regional Architecture and Middle Power Diplomacy. The East Asia Institute 909 Sampoong B/D 310-68 Euljiro 4-ga Jung-gu Seoul 100-786 Republic of Korea EAI 2011 www.eai.or.kr Date: November 26, 2011 Venue: Millennium Seoul Hilton, Seoul In recent years there has been much interest in so-called middle power diplomacy among emerging countries in East Asia. These countries are beginning to match their international role with their economic power, yet in the region they remained constrained by larger powers such as the United States and China. Seeking a role, middle power diplomacy has been keenly embraced as a way to define their position in the region and the world. In spite of this interest, the concept of a middle power and middle power diplomacy has not been clearly determined. For example, Japan may exhibit the characteristics of middle power diplomacy yet would not be recognized as a middle power by some of its neighbors due its large economic power. Furthermore, the roles that middle powers play is increasingly complex, not just mediating between the major powers in the region, but also globally between developing and advanced economies. In general, the issues that these middle powers have embraced range from humanitarian aid to regional security threats. The challenge though remains that these middle powers have yet to establish strong cooperation among them on these issues, particularly on the global stage. The EAI organized this Trilateral Dialogue on Regional Architecture and Middle Power Diplomacy to not only identify the issues confronting middle powers of the region, but also to seek ways in which they can further cooperation. The following is a summary of the main points and policy recommendations from the discussions in each of the sessions. Session 1: How to Design Middle Power Architecture in East Asia 1) South Korea s Perspective The promotion of norms in the region is an important task for middle powers like South Korea. As great powers tend to be competitive, middle powers in East Asia can play an important role in framing the regional architecture. South Korea, as a strong proponent of middle power diplomacy, can strengthen coordination among other middle powers by promoting a consensus among them based on international norms. Such international norms can be enhanced in the region by emphasizing value-orientated activities, such as education, the arts, and religion. These areas tend to induce greater cooperation that the more difficult areas related to security issues. South Korea should facilitate middle power cooperation with ASEAN countries. When considering regional middle power cooperation in East Asia, little thought is given to countries of Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) despite many common interests. Both Northeast Asian countries and ASEAN are concerned about how to effectively 1

engage the major powers like China and the United States. The fear for middle powers in the region is that they may be pushed aside by great power diplomacy as in the past. However, by linking together with ASEAN countries, the middle powers of Northeast Asia can strengthen the influence of middle power diplomacy. 2) Japan s Perspective Taiwan s engagement with China can help other countries. Over the last few years, Taiwan has been engaging China which has produced positive results such as the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA). Taiwan certainly has a very unique experience in dealing with China and can share such knowledge with other countries in the region as they cope with China s rise. Middle power diplomacy still needs to be carefully defined. Despite the discussions on middle power diplomacy, there is still a lack of a clear definition on what its characteristics are. While the definition of a middle power will always be difficult, it might be more prudent to focus on middle power as a style of diplomacy. That is middle power diplomacy follows certain characteristics that countries pursue for whatever reason, rather than the actions of countries defined as middle powers. Middle power diplomacy can help Japan to be more active in the region. Japan faces both domestic and international constraints in playing a more active role in the region. In particular, it is difficult for Japan to advance any new initiatives in the region as this usually brings about opposition from China. In pursuing middle power diplomacy, Tokyo could overcome these limitations and play a more active role. 3) Taiwan s Perspective Session 2: Specific Issue Areas for Cooperation among Middle Powers 1) Economic Cooperation Middle powers should seek to harmonize conflicting and overlapping institutions such as FTA networks and the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Economic ties tend to be a form of optimistic cooperation that helps to alleviate tensions in the region. However, the emergence of overlapping economic institutions has raised competition between the United States and China over regional leadership. In recent years, the United States has been advocating its Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) while China has been emphasizing FTA networks centered on its growing economy and huge domestic market. Middle powers should work to assure the great powers that these overlapping institutions can be harmonized. As the TPP and the FTA networks have different requirements and aims, they do not have to be in competition with one another. Despite its limitations, Taiwan should pursue middle power diplomacy. Taiwan views itself as marginalized in the framing of regional architecture despite its strong economic role. Middle power diplomacy would naturally be attractive for Taiwan and is worth pursuing as a way to enhance its international role that it is now trying to build. Although China opposes any international role for Taiwan, over the years it has not blocked efforts to internationalize Taiwan s economy. By utilizing economic ties as common ground with other countries, Taiwan can help to elevate its international role. As newly emerging economies, middle powers can play a broker role between advanced and developing countries. Taking on the role of a broker is an important part of being a middle power. As many middle powers in East Asia have emerged from a background as developing economies they are well suited for this role. In fact, a few countries such as South Korea have been actively trying to pursue a broker role in international organizations. It is important though to recognize that this role is not for one single country alone, but rather for many countries to collaborate and work together on.

2) Regional Security/Strategic Cooperation Middle powers can shape the environment to facilitate China s rise as a status quo power. Considering China s long-term goals that look at reaching developmental targets, such as increased income levels, by 2021 and 2049, it is expected that China will more likely be a status quo power. However, China will still display some degree of assertiveness in the region. Middle powers should shape the regional and global environment that China will emerge in to ensure it will become a status quo power. Competition in the region will derive from who takes the lead. While China may not challenge the United States as a global power, there may develop competition between the two countries over regional leadership. The pursuit of different regional economic architecture is indicative of such competition between Beijing and Washington over the region. The security architecture of the region is also an area for competition where the United States is strengthening its alliances while China advocates a more multilateral security framework. This will be one of the main challenges for middle powers to contend with and mediate between the great powers. 3) Official Development Aid It is important to link national interests with international norms Although there has been much interest in Official Development Aid (ODA) among emerging countries such as South Korea, the interest has generally been limited only to extending national interests. The challenge will be then to merge national interests with international norms so that these countries can take on a stronger role in international development. Different actors and models add to the complexity of ODA. With emerging donors now becoming major players in providing ODA, they also bring different developmental models and different interests. Along with these countries, non-state actors and individuals are also taking on a major role in providing aid. The impact of this is a more complex picture of ODA that will require mediation among the different donors, something that middle powers can provide. 4) Changing Cross-Strait Relations and Peace and Security in East Asia Common norms across the Taiwan Strait can strengthen relations. China and Taiwan have managed to overcome zero-sum perceptions on relations and strengthen economic ties. While there is a consensus on developing economic ties and agreements can be reached on this, such ties will be greatly enhanced by the sharing of common norms. This can be the basis for restoring trust between the two sides over more difficult areas such as security issues. Taiwan must also be involved in the regional process. With the signing of the ECFA, Taiwan now has an opportunity to become more involved in the regional architecture. In this respect, Taiwan will need the support of other countries to support its participation in regionalism. Such support can come through increased bilateral economic ties with countries in the region. 5) Disaster Relief Disaster Relief will become a major task for military forces in the region. While national security is the main concern for middle powers in East Asia, humanitarian operations such as disaster relief are becoming increasingly important. As these middle powers expand their roles internationally, they have to meet the challenges faced by disasters occurring in other countries. This will be a task for the military forces of these middle powers as they undergone modernization requiring new levels of training and preparation.

In the wake of a disaster, sharing information is crucial to manage properly the situation. The recent Fukushima accident revealed the importance of governments sharing information on the nature of and scale of the accident. Such information should also include warnings to neighboring states about the fallout effects, such as when Japan dumped contaminated water from the Fukushima nuclear plant into the sea. This should not be restricted to the state-level, but should also include the public which is important to avoid further mitigating damage and creating general panic.

Biographies of Participants Kang CHOI Kang Choi (Ph.D., the Ohio State University) is a professor and Director-General for American Studies at the Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade. From 1992 to 1998, and from 2002 to 2005, Professor Choi worked in the Korea Institute for Defense Analyses (KIDA). When at KIDA, Professor Choi assumed various positions such as Chief Executive Officer, Task Force for Current Defense Issues, Director of International Arms Control Studies, and one of the editors of Korean Journal of Defense Analysis (KJDA). He has done researches on arms control, crisis/consequence management, North Korean military affairs, multilateral security cooperation, and the ROK-US security alliance. From 1998 to 2002, he served in National Security Council Secretariat as Senior Director for Policy Planning and Coordination. He was one of South Korean delegates to the Four-Party Talks. Professor Choi has published many articles including An Approach toward a Common Form of Defense White Paper, International Arms Control and Inter- Korean Arms Control, Inter-Korean Arms Control and Implications for the USFK, Future ROK-US Security Alliance, North Korea s Intensions and Strategies on Nuclear Games., and A Prospect for US-North Korean Relations: beyond the BDA issue. Professor Choi holds several advisory board membership including Committee on Foreign Affairs, Trade, and Unification of National Assembly, Ministry of National Defense, Ministry of Unification, and the National Unification Advisory Council. Yih-Chyi CHUANG Yih-Chyi Chuang is a Distinguished Professor of the Department of Economics and the Dean of College of Social Sciences at National Chengchi University, Taipei, Taiwan. He received his B.A. in Economics from National Taiwan University, M.S. in Industrial Engineering from National Tsing-hua University, Diploma in Economics from London School of Economics, and Ph.D. in Economics from University of Chicago. He was assistant research fellow at the Insti- tute of Economics, Academia Sinica, from 1993 to 1994 and since August 1994 has taught at National Chengchi University, where he served as an associate professor at the Department of Economics from 1994 to 1998. Dr. Chuang has done research on many issues related to human capital and economic growth, including trade, the role of human capital, R&D and direct foreign investment. In the past few years, he has contributed on evaluation of returns to education, Regional Architecture in East Asia and Middle Power Diplomacy compulsory education policy, and intergenerational social mobility in Taiwan. He has published many articles in international journals including the International Economic Review, Journal of International and Comparative Economics, Journal of Development Studies, Applied Economics, Small Business Economics, Review of World Economics, Asian Economic Journal, Review of International Economics, Economic Modeling, and Economics of Education Review. He also actively participates and presents papers in several international conferences including AEA Annual Meeting, WEA International Annual Conference, International Atlantic Economic Conference, etc. Chaesung CHUN Dr. Chaesung Chun is a professor of the department of Political Science and International Relations at Seoul National University. He is also a director of Asian Security Initiative Research Center of East Asian Institute. He is a member of Advisory Committee for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, and the Ministry of Reunification. He received his MA degree from the Seoul National University, and Ph.D degree from Northwestern University in the field of International Relations Theory. Major fields include international relations theory, security studies, South Korean Foreign policy, East Asian security relations. Major articles include A Study on the Formation of European Modern States System, Critique of constructivism from the perspective of postmodernism and realism, The Rise of New Powers and the Responding Strategies of Other Countries.

Francis Yi-hua KAN Francis Yi-hua Kan is currently associate research fellow at the Institute of International Relations, adjunct associate professor at the Department of Diplomacy, and director of the European Union Research Centre, National Chengchi University in Taiwan. He is also the deputy directorgeneral of the European Union Centre in Taiwan, established by the European Commission in January 2009. Dr. Kan received his Ph.D. in International Studies from the University of Cambridge, the United Kingdom. He was a visiting fellow at the Yale Center for International and Area Studies, Yale University in the United States. He has broad academic interests covering European integration, regionalism, European security, EU s CFSP, NATO, security studies (both conventional and human security), East Asian security studies, regional conflicts and resolution, Europe- Asia interregionalism, British politics, Cross-Taiwan Strait relations, and globalisation. He can be reached at fykan@nccu.edu.tw. Young Ho KIM Young Ho Kim is Professor and Department Chair at the Department of International Relations in Korea National Defense University (KNDU), Seoul, Korea. His areas of teaching and research interest include Foreign Policy and Security Affairs in Northeast Asia, Korea-U.S. Relations, International Organizations and International Environmental Politics. Prof. Kim received his Ph.D. and M.A. degrees in Political Science from the Ohio State University, USA. Prior to joining the KNDU, he was a Post-doctoral Researcher at the Mershon Center for Education in National Security, Columbus, Ohio, USA, and Research Professor at the Research Institute of Unification Studies in Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea. As the Director, he also led two Divisions of Research Institute of National Security Affairs (RINSA) in KNDU - International Affairs and North Korean Affairs Divisions, and served as the Managing Editor of Korean Journal of Security Affairs [formerly titled as KNDU Review] for 2004-2006. Prof. Kim also served as a Policy Advisor to the Chief Secretary for Foreign Policy and Security to the President, Republic of Korea from 2008 till 2010. Prof. Kim co- authored several books and published many articles on such topics as foreign and security policy of South Korea, strategic relations among the Northeast Asian countries, Korea-U.S. relations. Some of his works include A World Without Nuclear Weapons: A South Korean View, The U.S. Missile Defense: Its Current Status and Implications for South Korea, WMD and Peace: How to Counter WMD Proliferation, Non-traditional Security Threats and the Role of Armed Forces, The Impact of Wartime Operational Control Transfer and the Future Direction of South Korean Security Policy, The Feasibility of Multilateral Security Cooperation in East Asia, The Sixty Years of United Nations: Search for Peace, and Climate Change and Human Security. Ming LEE Ming Lee is currently a professor of Department of Diplomacy and Director of the Center for Korean Studies, National Chengchi University (NCCU), Taipei, Taiwan. He earned his first M.A. from the Graduate Institute of East Asian Studies of the NCCU, and another M.A. from the Paul Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) of the Johns Hopkins University, Washington, D.C., in 1984, majoring in international relations and international economics. Professor Lee received his doctorate degree from the University of Virginia, Charlottesville in 1988, majoring in foreign affairs. Professor Lee worked as associate research fellow at the Institute of International Relations (IIR), affiliated with the NCCU, for four years. In addition to research, Dr. Lee was in charge of international exchange and cooperation of the IIR. He was later recruited into the Department of Diplomacy of the NCCU in 1992 as associate professor, and was promoted as full professor in 1998. Professor Lee s interests cover Northeast Asian international relations, American foreign policy, Mainland Chinese affairs, international relations, and crisis management.

Sang Hyun LEE Sang Hyun Lee, Director-General for Policy Planning at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade of Korea, received his Ph.D. from the Department of Political Science at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and served as a Director of the Security Studies Program at the Sejong Institute. He was a research fellow at the Korean Institute for International Studies and the Korea Institute for Defense Analysis. His primary research interests are international politics, Korea-U.S. relations, and North Korean issues, and his recent works include: National Security Strategy of the Lee Myung-bak Government: The Vision of Global Korea and its Challenges (2009); The Obama Administration s Perspective on Foreign Security and North Korea Policy (in Korean, 2009); Diplomatic Environment and the Korean Peninsula (in Korean, co-written, 2009); ROK-U.S. Alliance in Transition: 2003~2008 (in Korean, co-written, 2009), East Asian Community: Myth and Reality (in Korean, co-written, 2008); Information Order and East Asia: Transformation of World Politics in the Information Age (in Korean, co-written, 2008); North Korean Issue and Peace System of the Korean Peninsula (in Korean, co-written, 2008); and Transformation of ROK-U.S. Alliance (in Korean, co-written, 2008). Seungjoo LEE Seungjoo Lee is an associate professor of political science at Chung-Ang University (Seoul, Korea). Professor Lee received his Ph.D. in political science from the University of California at Berkeley, specializing in international and East Asian political economy. Professor Lee has previously taught at the National University of Singapore and Yonsei University. Professor Lee has also been a visiting research scholar at the Institute of Social Science at the University of Tokyo and worked with the Berkeley APEC Study Center (BASC) as a postdoctoral fellow. Professor Lee is the coeditor of Northeast Asia: Ripe for Integration? (2008) and Trade Policy in the Asia-Pacific: The Role of Ideas, Interests, and Domestic Institutions (2010). His recent publications appeared in various journals such as Comparative Political Studies, The Pacific Review, Asian Survey, Asian Perspective, and Korean Political Science Review. His current research investigates the changing nature of East Asian regionalism, the evolution of global and East Asian FTA networks, and the transformation of the East Asian countries developmental strategies in the age of globalization. Fu-Kuo LIU Fu-Kuo Liu is currently Research Fellow at the Research Division of American and European Studies, the Institute of International Relations (IIR), National Chengchi University. He is Adjunct Professor in regional security at the International Doctorate Program in Asia Pacific Studies (IDAS), College of Social Science, National Chengchi University. Additionally, he serves as the Executive Director of the National Committee of the Council for Security Cooperation in the Asia Pacific (CSCAP) in Taiwan. He is also the Executive Director of the Center for Security Studies at the Institute of International Relations. Except for the work on regional security dialogues, he leads the publication of a policy-oriented monthly and currently serves as a chief editor of Strategic & Security Analyses Monthly (published in Chinese) at IIR. Dr. Liu was Chairman of the Research and Planning Committee at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, ROC (2002-2004), consultative adviser of the Mainland Affairs Council, ROC (2004-2006), and a consultative member of National Defense Report 2004 and 2011. He was visiting fellow at the Department of International Business, Economics, and Politics, Aoyama Gakuin University, Tokyo (2000); research associate, Asian Studies Program, School of Foreign Service, Georgetown University (2000-2001); and visiting fellow, Center for Northeast Asian Policy Studies (CNAPS), the Brookings Institution (2006-2007). Dr. Liu devotes his research on Asia Pacific security, Asian regionalism, terrorism in Southeast Asia, national security and the South China Sea, peace process across the Taiwan Strait, US strategy in Asia, and Taiwan foreign and security policy. In 2009, he received a three-year research grant from the MacArthur Foundation by which the Center for Security Studies was established. His current research focus is on Taiwan security and the South China Sea policy, US-Taiwan relations and the cross-strait cooperati-

on. He received a Ph.D. in Politics from the University of Hull in the United Kingdom. Isao MIYAOKA Isao Miyaoka is an associate professor at Keio University. His field of specialization is international relations, in particular, theory of international politics, security studies, foreign policy analysis, Japan-U.S. relations. He was originally interested in environmental diplomacy, but it has shifted to national security. So, he is currently engaged in research projects about the post-cold War development of the Japan-U.S. alliance and the diffusion of U.S. defense transformation to its allies. He received his B.A. from Keio University and his M.A. from University of Canterbury in a field of political science. He completed his doctoral degree from University of Oxford. Hiroshi NAKANISHI Hiroshi Nakanishi is currently a professor of Graduate School of Law at Kyoto University and also a director at Research Institute for Peace and Security (RIPS). He also worked at Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI) as faculty fellow leading a research project, Changes in the Order among Big Powers and Japanese Diplomatic Agenda. He specializes in International relations, changes in international political structures since the early 20th century, development of Japanese foreign and security policy and history of academic industrial relations studies. He received his both B.A. and M.A. from Kyoto University. in Japanese Security Policy in the 1990s and After, in Yoshihide Soeya, et.al., eds, Japan as a Normal Country?: A Country in Search of its Place in the World (Toronto: University of Toronto Press, 2011). Yul SOHN Yul Sohn is Professor of Yonsei University s Graduate School of International Studies. He received his Ph.D. in Politics from the University of Chicago, and served as professor at Chung-ang University, foreign scholar at the University of Tokyo's Institute of Social Science, and visiting professor at Waseda University. His research interests are Japanese politics and foreign policy, international political economy, and East Asian regionalism, and his recent academic publications include: "Japan's New Regionalism: China Shock, Universal Values and East Asian Community" (Asian Survey 2010), "The Post-Crisis East Asia and the Future of Regionalism," (East Asian Review 2011), "Securing Trade: The Case of Korea-US FTA" (coauthored with Mingyo Koo) (International Relations of the Asia-Pacific 2011). Yoshihide SOEYA Yoshihide Soeya is Professor of political science and international relations at the Faculty of Law of Keio University. He also serves as the Director of the Institute of East Asian Studies of the same university. His areas of interest are politics and security in East Asia, and Japanese diplomacy and its external relations in the region and the world. He received Ph.D. from the University of Michigan in 1987, majoring in world politics. His most recent English publication is A Normal Middle Power: Interpreting Changes Prepared by the Asia Security Initiative Research Center at the East Asia Institute. As an Asia Security Initiative core institution, the East Asia Institute acknowledges the grant support from the MacArthur Foundation that made this event possible. The East Asia Institute takes no institutional position on policy issues and has no affiliation with the Korean government. This report is produced by Stephen A. Ranger. 8