A SURVEY OF FLORIDA VOTERS ONE YEAR BEFORE THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY. March 2019

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Transcription:

A SURVEY OF FLORIDA VOTERS ONE YEAR BEFORE THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY March 2019

Methodology Sample size 602 interviews with registered Florida voters likely to participate in the 2020 General Election, with an oversample of 300 registered Democrats Dates of interviews March 1-4, 2019 Margin of error Languages of interviews +/- 4.0 percentage points English, Spanish 2 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

In your opinion what is the most important problem or issue currently facing the State of Florida? Global Climate Change/ Environmental Concerns 17% Jobs and the Economy 12% Immigration 10% Healthcare / Medicare 9% Education 8% President Trump 6% Gun Violence 5% Division of the Political Parties 4% Crime 4% Overdevelopment 3% Traffic 3% Taxes 2% Other 11% Don t know / No answer 6% 3 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis? Very / Somewhat Favorable 29% 21% 50% Somewhat / Very Unfavorable 10% 13% 23% Do not recognize 5% No answer 22% 4 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis? BY AGE 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 34% 56% 50% 51% Unfavorable 30% 20% 21% 24% Do not recognize 5% 4% 6% 4% Don t know / No answer 31% 20% 23% 21% 5 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Favorable 29% 76% 40% Unfavorable 37% 7% 25% Do not recognize 7% 3% 4% Don t know / No answer 27% 14% 31% 6 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis? BY ETHNICITY White-Anglo African-American Hispanic Favorable 58% 21% 43% Unfavorable 20% 31% 22% Do not recognize 3% 10% 8% Don t know / No answer 19% 38% 27% 7 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis? BY HISPANIC ORIGIN Cuban Non-Cuban Hispanic Favorable 60% 39% Unfavorable 10% 24% Do not recognize - 8% Don t know / No answer 30% 29% 8 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Favorable 50% 44% Unfavorable 23% 18% Do not recognize 4% 9% Don t know / No answer 23% 29% 9 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump? Very / Somewhat Favorable 31% 12% 43% Somewhat / Very Unfavorable 6% 46% 52% No answer 5% 10 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump? BY AGE 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 26% 45% 43% 53% Unfavorable 66% 52% 53% 40% Don t know / No answer 8% 3% 4% 7% 11 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Favorable 18% 76% 31% Unfavorable 76% 21% 66% Don t know / No answer 6% 3% 3% 12 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump? BY ETHNICITY White-Anglo African-American Hispanic Favorable 50% 15% 40% Unfavorable 46% 73% 55% Don t know / No answer 4% 12% 5% 13 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Favorable 43% 43% Unfavorable 51% 53% Don t know / No answer 6% 4% 14 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you believe that Donald Trump should be re-elected in 2020 as President of the United States? 7% 53% 40% Yes No Don't know/ No answer 15 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you believe that Donald Trump should be re-elected in 2020 as President of the United States? BY AGE 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Yes 24% 40% 41% 48% No 63% 55% 56% 40% Don t know / No answer 13% 5% 3% 12% 16 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you believe that Donald Trump should be re-elected in 2020 as President of the United States? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Yes 14% 72% 29% No 77% 23% 63% Don t know / No answer 9% 5% 8% 17 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you believe that Donald Trump should be re-elected in 2020 as President of the United States? BY REGION OF FLORIDA Southeast I-4 Corridor Panhandle Southwest Yes 32% 39% 48% 48% No 58% 56% 43% 49% Don t know / No answer 10% 5% 9% 3% 18 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you believe that Donald Trump should be re-elected in 2020 as President of the United States? BY ETHNICITY White-Anglo African-American Hispanic Yes 48% 14% 32% No 48% 69% 60% Don t know / No answer 4% 17% 8% 19 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you believe that Donald Trump should be re-elected in 2020 as President of the United States? BY HISPANIC ORIGIN Cuban Non-Cuban Hispanic Yes 62% 20% No 33% 71% Don t know / No answer 5% 9% 20 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you believe that Donald Trump should be re-elected in 2020 as President of the United States? BY EDUCATION Highschool or less Some College College Graduate Yes 48% 46% 34% No 41% 47% 62% Don t know / No answer 11% 7% 4% 21 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Do you believe that Donald Trump should be re-elected in 2020 as President of the United States? BY POLITICAL IDEOLOGY Conservative Moderate Liberal Yes 72% 27% 6% No 20% 66% 90% Don t know / No answer 8% 7% 4% 22 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Florida s Democratic Presidential Primary 23 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

There will be a Democratic Presidential Primary election in Florida on March 17 th, 2020 to determine the Democratic Party nominee for President. For whom would you vote to be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2020 if the election were held today? ASKED OPEN-ENDED 74% 11% 5% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Kamala Harris Cory Booker Beto O'Rourke Elizabeth Warren Hillary Clinton Michelle Obama Howard Schultz Undecided 24 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

There will be a Democratic Presidential Primary election in Florida on March 17 th, 2020 to determine the Democratic Party nominee for President. For whom would you vote to be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2020 if the election were held today? ASKED OPEN-ENDED, BY AGE 18-49 50-64 65+ Joe Biden 8% 15% 9% Bernie Sanders 7% 3% 6% Kamala Harris 2% 8% 3% Elizabeth Warren 1% 4% - Undecided 80% 60% 80% 25 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

There will be a Democratic Presidential Primary election in Florida on March 17 th, 2020 to determine the Democratic Party nominee for President. For whom would you vote to be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2020 if the election were held today? ASKED OPEN-ENDED, BY ETHNICITY White-Anglo African-American Hispanic Joe Biden 8% 15% 14% Bernie Sanders 5% 5% 8% Kamala Harris 5% 1% 2% Elizabeth Warren 1% 1% 2% Undecided 76% 69% 68% 26 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

There will be a Democratic Presidential Primary election in Florida on March 17th 2020 to determine the Democratic Party nominee for President. For whom would you vote if the election were held today and the candidates were:joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Cory Booker, Sherrod Brown, Pete Buttigieg, Julian Castro, John Delaney, Kirsten Gillibrand, Tulsi Gabbard, Kamala Harris, John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O Rourke, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren or Andrew Yang? 46% 26% 11% 9% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Kamala Harris Elizabeth Warren Beto O'Rourke Amy Klobuchar Michael Bloomberg Cory Booker Undecided 27 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

There will be a Democratic Presidential Primary election in Florida on March 17th 2020 to determine the Democratic Party nominee for President. For whom would you vote if the election were held today and the candidates were:joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Cory Booker, Sherrod Brown, Pete Buttigieg, Julian Castro, John Delaney, Kirsten Gillibrand, Tulsi Gabbard, Kamala Harris, John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O Rourke, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren or Andrew Yang? BY AGE 18-49 50-64 65+ Joe Biden 32% 25% 17% Bernie Sanders 13% 11% 10% Kamala Harris 9% 13% 6% Elizabeth Warren 2% 6% 4% Cory Booker 1% 3% - Undecided 44% 41% 55% 28 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

There will be a Democratic Presidential Primary election in Florida on March 17th 2020 to determine the Democratic Party nominee for President. For whom would you vote if the election were held today and the candidates were:joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Cory Booker, Sherrod Brown, Pete Buttigieg, Julian Castro, John Delaney, Kirsten Gillibrand, Tulsi Gabbard, Kamala Harris, John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O Rourke, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren or Andrew Yang? BY ETHNICITY White-Anglo African-American Hispanic Joe Biden 22% 31% 30% Bernie Sanders 12% 8% 12% Kamala Harris 10% 8% 2% Elizabeth Warren 2% 5% 2% Cory Booker 1% 1% 2% Undecided 47% 45% 52% 29 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

There will be a Democratic Presidential Primary election in Florida on March 17th 2020 to determine the Democratic Party nominee for President. For whom would you vote if the election were held today and the candidates were:joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Cory Booker, Sherrod Brown, Pete Buttigieg, Julian Castro, John Delaney, Kirsten Gillibrand, Tulsi Gabbard, Kamala Harris, John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O Rourke, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren or Andrew Yang? BY POLITICAL IDEOLOGY Conservative Moderate Liberal Joe Biden 25% 27% 25% Bernie Sanders 8% 9% 19% Kamala Harris 3% 7% 18% Elizabeth Warren 2% 7% 1% Cory Booker 2% - 2% Undecided 56% 49% 34% 30 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

There will be a Democratic Presidential Primary election in Florida on March 17th 2020 to determine the Democratic Party nominee for President. For whom would you vote if the election were held today and the candidates were:joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Cory Booker, Sherrod Brown, Pete Buttigieg, Julian Castro, John Delaney, Kirsten Gillibrand, Tulsi Gabbard, Kamala Harris, John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O Rourke, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren or Andrew Yang? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Joe Biden 25% 33% Bernie Sanders 11% 9% Kamala Harris 10% - Elizabeth Warren 4% - Cory Booker 1% 3% Undecided 45% 55% 31 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Florida Democratic Presidential Primary Demographics 32 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Political Philosophy 39% 32% 21% 8% Conservative Moderate Progressive / Liberal Don't know / No answer 33 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Political Philosophy BY AGE 18-49 50-64 65+ Conservative 19% 20% 28% Moderate 32% 48% 38% Progressive / Liberal 39% 27% 28% Don t know / No answer 10% 5% 6% 34 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Gender 44% 56% Male Female 35 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Ethnicity 49% 28% 17% 6% White-Anglo African-American / Black Hispanic Other / Mixed 36 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Florida General Election Demographics 37 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Age 32% 33% 21% 14% 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 38 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Political Philosophy 38% 35% 21% 6% Conservative Moderate Progressive / Liberal Don't know / No answer 39 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Political Philosophy BY AGE 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Conservative 30% 35% 36% 49% Moderate 29% 32% 45% 30% Progressive / Liberal 36% 23% 16% 16% Don t know / No answer 5% 10% 3% 5% 40 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Political Philosophy BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Conservative 21% 63% 24% Moderate 39% 28% 41% Progressive / Liberal 32% 6% 25% Don t know / No answer 8% 3% 10% 41 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Political Philosophy BY RACE White-Anglo African-American Hispanic Conservative 42% 20% 36% Moderate 36% 32% 36% Progressive / Liberal 19% 30% 20% Don t know / No answer 3% 18% 8% 42 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Political Party 39% 38% 23% Democrat Republican Independent / Other 43 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

In what country were you born? 79% 4% 4% 2% 2% 7% 2% United States Cuba South America Central America Puerto Rico Other Don't know / No answer 44 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

In what country were most of your parents and grandparents born? 80% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 14% United States Puerto Rico Jamaica Mexico Cuba South America Other 45 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

What would you say is family s annual income before taxes? 27% 18% 16% 15% 15% 9% Less than $25K $25-$50K $50-$75K $75-100K More than $100K Don't know / No answer 46 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

What is the highest level of education that have you have completed? 51% 16% 28% 1% 4% Elementary School High school / GED Some college / Technical school College Graduate Don't know / No answer 47 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Gender 51% 49% Male Female 48 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Region 42% 27% 20% 11% I-4 Corridor / Orlando / Tampa / Central Florida Southeast Florida Jacksonville / North Florida / Panhandle Southwest Florida 49 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Language of Interview 11% 89% English Spanish 50 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

Ethnicity 63% 18% 15% 4% White-Anglo Hispanic African-American / Black Other / Mixed 51 WWW.BENDIXENANDAMANDI.COM

FOR MORE INFORMATION, CONTACT: FERNAND AMANDI PRESIDENT FAMANDI@BENDIXENONLINE.COM 305.529.9916 A SURVEY OF FLORIDA VOTERS ONE YEAR BEFORE THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY