What the Modern World knew Piero Scaruffi Copyright

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Transcription:

What the Modern World knew Piero Scaruffi Copyright 2018 http://www.scaruffi.com/know 1

Global Disorder (2008-?) Bretton Woods institutions (World Bank, IMF), G7 (1975) promote free trade and the globalization of finance Cold War splits the world into US and Soviet controlled spheres of influence Right and Left of the USA agree on bipartisan foreign policy 1990: West and East Germany are allowed to reunify in exchange for Germany's acceptance of a common European currency 2

Global Disorder (2008-?) 1991: The Soviet Union collapses, the world turns democratic and capitalist, the USA remains the only superpower but bipartisan agreement ends in the USA 1999: The euro is introduced by Germany, France, Italy and Great Recession (2008-2011) and euro crisis (the EU splits into creditors and debtors), China becomes the engine of world growth, declining Western influence 2012: ISIS 2014: Russia annexes Crimea 3

Global Disorder (2008-?) 4

Global Disorder - Asia (2008-?) 5

Global Disorder - Democracy 6

Global Disorder Trade Imbalance 7

Nationalism of the 21st Century Vladimir Putin (Russia, 2000) Recep Tayyip Erdogan (Turkey, 2003) Viktor Orban (Hungary, 2010) Jinping Xi (China, 2012) Narendra Modi (India, 2014) Jaroslaw Kaczynski (Poland, 2015) Brexit: Nigel Farage and Boris Johnson (Britain, 2016) Rodrigo Duterte (Philippines, 2016) Donald Trump (USA, 2017) Jair Bolsonaro of Brazil, 2018) Matteo Salvini (Italy, 2018) 8

Plastic 9

The transformation of media PHOTOS 10

MUSIC The transformation of media 11

VIDEOS The transformation of media 12

The transformation of media 13

The transformation of media FAANG (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google) 14

The Demographic Crisis Birth control Higher income Pensions Health care Lower birthrates Higher education More women work Aging population Bankrupt governments Economic boom Wealth Population increase Immigration Low-paid jobs 15

Colonization and Globalization lead to Cultural Uniformity ENGLISH ENGLISH RUSSIAN SPANISH PORTUGUESE FRENCH ARABIC ENGLISH CHINESE ENGLISH ENGLISH SPANISH ENGLISH 16

Colonization and Globalization lead to Cultural Uniformity RUSSIAN ENGLISH ARABIC FRENCH CHINESE SPANISH ENGLISH 17

What the Modern World knew Pacific trade 18

What the Modern World knew US-China 19

What the Modern World knew Decline of the West 20

What the Modern World knew China 21

What the Modern World knew China s One Belt One Road (2013) 22

What the Modern World knew China 23

What the Modern World knew China 24

What the Modern World knew Africa 25

What the Modern World knew Africa 26

What the Modern World knew Air conditioners 27

What the Modern World knew The USA in the 2010s Shrinking middle class Economic insecurity Broken families, single parenthood, gay marriage Low church attendance Towards gender equality Polarizing media Polarized politics Tolerance towards other cultures Less white (64% of the population), more Hispanic (16%) and more Asian (5%) Immigration mostly from Asia and Latin America 28

What the Modern World knew The West in the 2010s 29

What the Modern World knew The USA in the 2010s Shrinking middle class Economic insecurity Broken families, single parenthood, gay marriage Low church attendance Towards gender equality Polarizing media Polarized politics Tolerance towards other cultures Less white (64% of the population), more Hispanic (16%) and more Asian (5%) Immigration mostly from Asia and Latin America 30

What the Modern World knew The USA in 2012 A black man (Barack Obama) and a Catholic (Joe Biden) faced a Mormon (Mitt Romney) and another Catholic (Paul Ryan) in the 2012 elections: for the first time there is no WASP on either ticket Both the old and new speakers of the House of Representatives are Catholics: Nancy Pelosi and John Boehner (since 2014) The majority leader of the Senate is a Mormon (Harry Reid) until 2014 Since 2010 none of the nine judges of the Supreme Court has been a WASP: six Catholics (Antonin Scalia, Anthony Kennedy, Clarence Thomas, John Roberts, Samuel Alito, Sonia Sotomayor) and three Jews (Stephen Breyer, Ruth Ginsburg, Elena Kagan). 31

What the Modern World knew The Kurdish question 32

What the Modern Age knew Egypt (2011) 33

What the Modern Age knew Libya (2011) 34

Emerging Powers Rising:!!! China!!! Singapore!! India!! Germany!! Brazil! Australia! Turkey Declining: Britain France Russia Japan USA 35

Emerging Powers (McKinsey 2011) 36

Emerging Powers (Forbes, International Monetary Fund 2011) 37

Higgs Boson (2012) 38

Mars Curiosity (2012) 39

Oil (2013) 40

Drugs (2013) 41

Ukraine vs Russia (2014) 42

Ukraine vs Russia (2014) 43

Ebola in West Africa (2014) 44

Hong Kong (2014) 45

Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (2014) 46

Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (2014) 47

Islamists (2010s) 48

Failure of the Arab Spring Arab Spring 49

Comet Landing (2014) The Philae robotic lander of the Rosetta robotic space probe lands on Comet 67P/Churyumov- Gerasimenko 50

Comet Landing (2014) Brazil s Odebrecht: the largest corruption scandal in history 51

Al Qaeda attacks France (2015) 52

Same-sex Marriage (2015) USA too Pew Center, 2014 53

Nuclear Proliferation (2015) Economist, 2015 54

Pluto (2015) NASA, 2015 55

Refugee Crisis (2015) 56

Refugee Crisis (2015) 57

Refugee Crisis (2015) 58

Paris again (2015) 59

Brexit (2016) 60

Rise of the IT giants (2016) 61

Donald Trump (2016) 62

Anti-Trump demonstrations (2017) 63

Trump-Putin Collusion (2017) Source: Eric Swalwell 64

Ransomware cyberattack (2017) 65

North Korea s nuclear tests (2017) 66

Yemen War (2017) 67

Kurdish Independence Referendum (2017) 68

Catalonia s Independence Referendum (2017) 69

Me Too Movement (2017) 70

European Nationalists (2017) 71

Latin America (2017) 72

The Two Koreas Meet (2018) 73

Neveragain Movement in the USA (2018) 74

The USA moves its Israeli embassy to Jerusalem (2018) 75

Syrian Civil War (2018) 76

Eastern European Boom (2018) 77

Pakistan (2018) 78

Latin America (2018) 79

Latin America (2018) 80

Khashoggi Murder (2018) 81

Venezuela (2019) 82

A History of Knowledge Piero Scaruffi Copyright 2018 http://www.scaruffi.com/know 83