Latvia s Political Survey 2014 5 th wave (November) Summary Report Ryo NAKAI, Dr. Assistant Professor, Rikkyo University, Japan nakai[at]rikkyo.ac.jp Nov 30. 2014 1
Technical Information Researcher Polltaker General body Sample size Sampling method Stratification criteria Respondent selection principles Research Method Geographical coverage Ryo NAKAI Research centre SKDS (Director: Arnis KAKTIŅŠ) Residents of Latvia aged from 15 to 74 years old. 1042 respondents Stratified random sampling Administrative territories Random route method + first birthday rule. Face-to face interviews (PAPI), at the places of residence of respondents. All Latvia s regions (127 sampling points) Results Q0 Date of Interview 7 November 2014 9 0.86% 16 November 137 13.15% 8 November 78 7.49% 17 November 92 8.83% 9 November 59 5.66% 18 November 25 2.40% 10 November 65 6.24% 19 November 27 2.59% 11 November 77 7.39% 20 November 11 1.06% 12 November 81 7.77% 21 November 0 0.00% 13 November 95 9.12% 22 November 2 0.19% 14 November 93 8.93% 23 November 5 0.48% 15 November 186 17.85% 2
Q1 - Q4 I will read to you several statements. Please tell me about each of them do you totally agree, rather agree, neither agree nor disagree, rather disagree or totally disagree with the following statement Q1 Large differences in people s incomes are acceptable to properly reward differences in talents and efforts Totally agree 93 8.93% Rather agree 293 28.12% Neither agree nor disagree 265 25.43% Rather disagree 211 20.25% Totally disagree 134 12.86% Don t know/ No answer 46 4.41% Q2 Schools must teach children only in Latvian language Totally agree 257 24.66% Rather agree 201 19.29% Neither agree nor disagree 146 14.01% Rather disagree 204 19.58% Totally disagree 219 21.02% Don t know/ No answer 15 1.44% Q3 Social benefit, service, and unemployment insurance make people lazy Totally agree 143 13.72% Rather agree 239 22.94% Neither agree nor disagree 225 21.59% Rather disagree 214 20.54% Totally disagree 181 17.37% Don t know/ No answer 40 3.84% Q4 The Russian state is a threat to the peace and security of Latvia Totally agree 176 16.89% Rather agree 226 21.69% Neither agree nor disagree 168 16.12% Rather disagree 158 15.16% Totally disagree 258 24.76% Don t know/ No answer 56 5.37% 3
Q5 Which of these terms best describes how you usually think of yourself? Own city, locality inhabitants 309 29.65% Own regions inhabitants (ex. Kurzeme, Latgale etc.) 86 8.25% Latvian 427 40.98% Russian 105 10.08% Baltic Russian, or Russian Latvian 62 5.95% Ukrainian 8 0.77% Do not know 26 2.50% No Answer 19 1.82% Q6 How proud are you to be Latvia inhabitant? Very proud 297 28.50% Quite proud 446 42.80% Not very proud 190 18.23% Not at all proud 63 6.05% No Answer 46 4.41% Q7 Q13 are not contained in 5th wave Show card P2A Q14 (P2A in original questionnaire) If LR Saeima election will be held tomorrow, for which political party or alliance will you vote? Harmony Socialdemocratic Party 207 19.87% Party Unity 101 9.39% National Alliance All for Latvia! For Fatherland and 118 11.32% Freedom/LNNK Green and Farmers Union 147 11.41% Russian Union of Latvia 9 0.86% For Latvia from the Heart 54 5.18% Party Union for Latvia 8 0.77% For Latvia s Development 5 0.48% Regional Alliance of Latvia 56 5.37% New Conservative Party 3 0.29% Other 1 0.10% Don t know 88 8.45% Don t participate in elections. 245 23.51% * Political party development, Sovereign, and Free from fear are removed from the list in 5 th wave. Q15 Q23 are not contained in 5th wave 4
Sociodemographic parameters D1 Gender Male 460 44.15% Female 582 55.85% (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / Male 47.7%, Female 52.3%) D2 Age (shortened) 15-24 158 15.16% 25-34 186 17.85% 35-44 171 16.41% 45-54 215 20.63% 55-74 312 29.94% (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / 15-24: 14.8%, 25-34: 19.9%, 35-44: 18.1%, 45-54: 18.5%, 55-74: 28.8%) D2A Marital status Married / Live with partner 575 55.18% Divorced / Separated 143 13.72% Unmarried 225 21.59% Widowed 99 9.50% D3 Number of household members 1 191 18.33% 2 297 28.50% 3 277 26.58% 4 187 17.95% 5 68 6.53% 6 16 1.54% 7 5 0.48% 8 1 0.10% 9 0 0.00% 10 0 0.00% 11 0 0.00% 5
D3A Children aged under 18 Yes 401 38.48% No 639 61.32% DK/NA 2 0.19% D4 Education No education 5 0.48% Primary / Secondary uncompleted 150 14.40% Secondary 230 22.07% Professional or vocational secondary 378 36.28% Tertiary education 279 26.78% D5 Nationality (lv: Tautība) Latvian 642 61.61% Russian 317 30.42% Others 83 7.97% (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / Latvian: 58.7%, Non-Latvian: 41.3%) D5A Language spoken in family Latvian 637 61.13% Russian 398 38.20% Other 7 0.67% D6 Citizenship of the Republic of Latvia (lv:pilsonība) Have 906 86.95% Don t have 136 13.50% 6
D7 Sector of work Public sector (national and regional) 200 19.19% Private sector 451 43.28% Don t work 391 37.52% Other 0 0.00% DK/NA 0 0.00% D8 Occupation Manager, senior or middle level 50 4.80% Specialist or clerk, for non-physical work 282 27.06% Laborer, for physical work 256 24.57% Farmer (with own farm) 23 2.21% Self-employed 40 3.84% Pensioner 194 18.62% Student 86 8.25% House-worker / parental leave 38 3.65% Unemployed 73 7.01% D9 Average monthly income level per one family member (Euro, shortened) Under 150 euro 184 17.66% 151-219 euro 174 16.70% 220-280 euro 184 17.66% 281-379 euro 186 17.85% over 380 euro 181 17.32% DK 133 12.76% D10 Region (electoral district) Riga 322 30.90% Vidzeme 304 29.17% Kurzeme 118 11.32% Zemgale 128 12.28% Latgale 170 16.31% 7
D10A Region (statistical district) Riga 322 30.90% Pieriga 189 18.14% Vidzeme 115 11.04% Kurzeme 118 11.32% Zemgale 128 12.28% Latgale 170 16.31% (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / Riga: 32.1%, Pieriga: 17.8%, Vidzeme: 10.1%, Kurzeme: 13.0%, Zemgale: 12.2%, Latgale: 14.7%) 8