August 8, 2018 POTUS RADIO Clifford Young President, Ipsos Public Affairs 2018 Ipsos 1
POTUS Radio CORE POLITICAL 2018 Ipsos 2
IPSOS POLL CONDUCTED FOR REUTERS Core Political Data These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for date July 27-July 31, 2018 For the survey, a sample of including ages 1,901 Americans 1,571 Registered voters 684 Democrats 616 Republicans 198 Independents 18+ w e r e i n t e r v i e w e d o n l i n e 2018 Ipsos 3
IPSOS POLL CONDUCTED FOR REUTERS Core Political Data The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus the following percentage points 2.6 2.8 4.3 4.5 7.9 All Adults Registered voters Democrats Republicans Independents For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix. 2018 Ipsos 4
Main Problems Election Results In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the US today? Healthcare Economy and jobs 17% 18% Immigration 15% Morality 9% Terrorism 7% Crime 6% Education Environment 5% 5% War/foreign conflicts 4% Energy issues 0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 2018 Ipsos 5
Approval by Demographic Overall, do you approve or disapprove about the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? Approve 90% 80% 83% 83% 4/8-12/2017 7/27-31/2018 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 47% 44% 56% 52% 49% 45% 46% 43% 39% 34% 47% 48% 33% 33% 32% 50% 46% 47% 48% 46% 45% 41% 44% 39% 40% 42% 37% 35% 20% 10% 18% 12% 14% 9% 0% Ipsos poll conducted 4/8-12/2017 among 1,843 US adults and 7/13-17/2018 among 2,581 adults 2018 Ipsos 6
JAN 20-24, 2017 FEB 3-7, 2017 FEB 17-21, 2017 MARCH 3-7, 2017 MARCH 17-21, 2017 MARCH 31-APRIL 4, 2017 APRIL 21-25, 2017 MAY 5-9, 2017 MAY 19-23, 2017 JUNE 2-6, 2017 JUNE 16-20, 2017 JUNE 30-JULY 4, 2017 JULY 14-18, 2017 JULY 28- AUG 1,2017 AUG 11-15, 2017 AUG 25-29, 2017 SEPT 8-12, 2017 SEPT 22-26, 2017 OCT 6-10, 2017 OCT 20-24,2017 NOV 3-7, 2017 NOV 17-21, 2017 DEC 1-5, 2017 DEC 15-19, 2017 DEC 29, 2017 - JAN 2, 2018 JAN 12-16, 2018 JAN 26-30, 2018 FEB 9-13, 2018 MARCH 2-6, 2018 MARCH 16-20, 2018 MARCH 30-APRIL 3, 2018 APRIL 13-17, 2018 APRIL 27 - MAY 1 MAY 11-15, 2018 MAY 25-29, 2018 JUNE 8-12, 2018 JUNE 22-26,2018 JULY 6-10, 2018 JULY 20-24, 2018 ALL ADULT AMERICANS Weekly Approval 70% 60% 55% 50% 40% 30% 40% 20% 10% 0% 2018 Ipsos 7
ALL ADULT AMERICANS Approval Attributes Do you approve or disapprove about the way Donald Trump is handling the following issues? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Lean towards approve Lean towards disapprove Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don t know TOTAL APPROVE TOTAL DISAPPROVE The US economy 23% 12% 12% 8% 8% 27% 9% 47% 44% US foreign policy 18% 11% 10% 8% 8% 35% 10% 40% 51% Healthcare reform 15% 11% 12% 9% 8% 34% 10% 38% 52% Employment and jobs 24% 12% 14% 7% 8% 24% 10% 50% 40% Dealing with Congress 15% 11% 12% 10% 10% 32% 10% 38% 52% Dealing with ISIS / ISIL 22% 11% 12% 9% 7% 27% 12% 45% 42% International trade 18% 11% 9% 8% 7% 35% 11% 38% 51% Taxation 18% 12% 11% 8% 10% 30% 11% 41% 48% Corruption 15% 10% 11% 8% 7% 37% 11% 36% 52% The environment 12% 11% 12% 9% 7% 36% 12% 35% 53% Immigration 23% 10% 8% 6% 6% 39% 7% 42% 51% The way he treats people like me 15% 9% 12% 7% 7% 40% 9% 37% 54% The effort he is making to unify the 17% 11% 10% 8% 7% 38% 9% 38% 53% country Russia 14% 10% 11% 9% 8% 38% 10% 35% 55% 2018 Ipsos 8
2018 Generic Congressional Ballot Question Thinking about the elections in 2018, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live? All Adults Registered Voters Registered Voters: Democrat Registered Voters: Republican Registered Voters: Independent Democratic candidate 37% 42% 85% 4% 20% Republican candidate 30% 36% 3% 81% 19% Candidate from another political party 4% 4% 2% 2% 17% Will not/do not plan to vote 14% 4% 3% 3% 9% Don t know / Refused 15% 14% 7% 10% 35% 2018 Ipsos 9
POTUS Radio MEDIA TRUST 2018 Ipsos 10
A large majority of Americans believe freedom of press is essential for American democracy Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Total Agree Total Republican Democrat Independent 93 85 83 84 Freedom of the press is essential for American democracy. Source: Ipsos Poll, August 3-6, 2018 among 1,003 U.S. adults 2018 Ipsos 11
but less than half believe the news media tries to produce honest reporting Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Total Agree Total Republican Democrat Independent 68 46 46 29 Most news outlets try their best to produce honest reporting. Source: Ipsos Poll, August 3-6, 2018 among 1,003 U.S. adults 2018 Ipsos 12
Only a small minority of Americans believe that the news media is the enemy of the people Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Total Agree Total Republican Democrat Independent 48 29 26 12 The news media is the enemy of the American people. Source: Ipsos Poll, August 3-6, 2018 among 1,003 U.S. adults 2018 Ipsos 13
and overall, not many Americans agree that Trump should close down mainstream news outlets Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Total Agree Total Republican Democrat Independent 23 13 8 10 President Trump should close down mainstream news outlets, like CNN, The Washington Post, and The NY Times. Source: Ipsos Poll, August 3-6, 2018 among 1,003 U.S. adults 2018 Ipsos 14
There is a smaller partisan split amongst Americans when it comes to the trustworthiness of news talk radio Which of the following do you generally consider to be trustworthy or untrustworthy? Total trustworthy Total Republican Democrat Independent 79 70 93 75 88 77 59 55 50 53 55 56 53 34 25 40 26 36 19 24 PBS CNN Fox News News talk Breitbart radio Source: Ipsos Poll, August 3-6, 2018 among 1,003 U.S. adults 2018 Ipsos 15
Clifford Young President, Ipsos US Public Affairs Clifford.Young@ipsos.com +1 312.375.3328 Cliff Young is President of Ipsos Public Affairs in the United States and also leads Ipsos' global election and polling risk practice. He is a polling expert with specialties in social and public opinion trends, crisis management, corporate and institution reputation and elections. Cliff is a contributor to POTUS Radio and has served as an expert commentator on Fox News and NPR, among others. Cliff is also an adjunct professor at Johns Hopkins SAIS and an instructor at both Columbia University SIPA and University of São Paulo where he teaches courses on public opinion and election forecasting. (MORE BIO INFO: http://spotlight.ipsosna.com/index.php/author/clifford-young/) 2018 Ipsos 16