National Tracking Poll Project: 190140 N Size: 1996 Registered Voters Margin of Error: ± 2% Topline Report January 18-22, 2019 P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 680 34% Wrong Track 3 6 66% Q172 P3 POL1_1 POL1_2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve 4 5 2 % Somewhat Approve 376 9% Somewhat Disapprove 239 2% Strongly Disapprove 903 45% Don t Know / No Opinion 63 3% Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues like taxes, wages, jobs, 586 29% unemployment, and spending Security Issues like terrorism, foreign policy, and 436 22% border security Health Care Issues like the 2010 health care law, 304 5% Medicaid, other challenges Seniors Issues like Medicare and Social Security 256 3% Women s Issues like birth control, abortion, and equal 95 5% pay Education Issues like school standards, class sizes, 35 7% school choice, and student loans Energy Issues like carbon emissions, cost of 87 4% electricity/gasoline, or renewables Other: 97 5% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Democrats in Congress 767 38% Republicans in Congress 854 43% Don t Know / No Opinion 376 9% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Democrats in Congress 757 38% Republicans in Congress 877 44% Don t Know / No Opinion 362 8% Page 1
POL1_3 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Democrats in Congress 926 46% Republicans in Congress 69 35% Don t Know / No Opinion 379 9% POL1_4 POL1_5 POL1_6 POL1_7 POL1_8 POL1_9 POL1_10 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration Democrats in Congress 797 40% Republicans in Congress 8 9 4 % Don t Know / No Opinion 380 9% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The environment Democrats in Congress 976 49% Republicans in Congress 543 27% Don t Know / No Opinion 477 24% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Energy Democrats in Congress 855 43% Republicans in Congress 673 34% Don t Know / No Opinion 468 23% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Education Democrats in Congress 9 9 46% Republicans in Congress 640 32% Don t Know / No Opinion 437 22% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? National security Democrats in Congress 696 35% Republicans in Congress 9 0 46% Don t Know / No Opinion 390 20% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Sexual harassment and misconduct in the workplace Democrats in Congress 860 43% Republicans in Congress 543 27% Don t Know / No Opinion 594 30% Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Gun policy Democrats in Congress 735 37% Republicans in Congress 832 42% Don t Know / No Opinion 429 2 % Page 2
POL2_1 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a healthcare reform bill A top priority 843 42% An important, but lower priority 6 8 3 % Not too important a priority 249 2% Should not be done 03 5% Don t know / No opinion 84 9% POL2_2 POL2_3 POL2_4 POL2_5 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to address climate change A top priority 567 28% An important, but lower priority 526 26% Not too important a priority 382 9% Should not be done 26 3% Don t know / No opinion 26 3% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to reduce economic inequality A top priority 530 27% An important, but lower priority 575 29% Not too important a priority 358 8% Should not be done 246 2% Don t know / No opinion 287 4% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an infrastructure spending bill A top priority 542 27% An important, but lower priority 720 36% Not too important a priority 325 6% Should not be done 98 5% Don t know / No opinion 3 2 6% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Beginning impeachment proceedings to remove President Trump from office A top priority 579 29% An important, but lower priority 27 4% Not too important a priority 79 9% Should not be done 622 3 % Don t know / No opinion 345 7% Page 3
POL2_6 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an immigration reform bill A top priority 693 35% An important, but lower priority 682 34% Not too important a priority 282 4% Should not be done 6 6% Don t know / No opinion 223 % POL2_7 POL2_8 POL2_9 POL2_10 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Constructing a wall along the U.S. / Mexico border A top priority 464 23% An important, but lower priority 332 7% Not too important a priority 229 % Should not be done 689 34% Don t know / No opinion 282 4% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill that grants young people who were brought to the United States illegally when they were children, often with their parents, protection from deportation A top priority 524 26% An important, but lower priority 55 28% Not too important a priority 328 6% Should not be done 346 7% Don t know / No opinion 246 2% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reducing the federal budget de cit A top priority 740 37% An important, but lower priority 740 37% Not too important a priority 263 3% Should not be done 6 3% Don t know / No opinion 92 0% How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing legislation placing additional restrictions on gun ownership A top priority 552 28% An important, but lower priority 457 23% Not too important a priority 270 4% Should not be done 46 23% Don t know / No opinion 256 3% Page 4
POL2_11 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Regulation of tech companies A top priority 283 4% An important, but lower priority 603 30% Not too important a priority 572 29% Should not be done 2 9 % Don t know / No opinion 3 9 6% POL3 POL4 From the list of potential candidates below, who would you vote for if the Democratic primary for the 2020 presidential election were held today? John Kerry 38 2% Joe Biden 34 7% Bernie Sanders 243 2% Elizabeth Warren 62 3% Beto O Rourke 74 4% Cory Booker 40 2% Kamala Harris 86 4% Sherrod Brown 6 % Amy Klobuchar 28 % Kirsten Gillibrand 27 % Eric Holder 5 0% John Delaney 4 0% Julian Castro 8 % Jay Inslee 7 0% Eric Garcetti 6 0% Steve Bullock 9 0% Howard Schultz 2 % Michael Bloomberg 46 2% John Hickenlooper % Terry McAuliffe 7 0% Tulsi Gabbard 9 0% Other 3 6% Don t Know / No Opinion 794 40% If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you de nitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else or de nitely vote for someone else? De nitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump 474 24% Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump 228 % Probably vote for someone else 53 8% De nitely vote for someone else 968 49% Would not vote 58 3% Don t know / No opinion 4 6% Page 5
POL5 If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democratic candidate 855 43% Republican Candidate 752 38% Would not vote 55 3% Don t know / No opinion 334 7% POL6_1 POL6_2 POL6_3 POL6_4 How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? The federal government partially shutting down starting on December 22, 2018 A lot 045 52% Some 593 30% Not much 49 7% Nothing at all 57 3% Don t know / No opinion 52 8% How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Published reports that allege President Donald Trump has repeatedly tried to conceal some of his conversations with Russian President Vladimir Putin from his advisers. A lot 55 28% Some 659 33% Not much 358 8% Nothing at all 2 % Don t know / No opinion 2 7 % How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Published reports showing FBI agents opened an investigation in 2017 into President Donald Trump s relationship with the Russian government after ring FBI Director James Comey A lot 547 27% Some 680 34% Not much 377 9% Nothing at all 70 9% Don t know / No opinion 223 % How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) rescinding her invitation for President Donald Trump to deliver the State of the Union address on Jan. 29. A lot 503 25% Some 595 30% Not much 347 7% Nothing at all 283 4% Don t know / No opinion 267 3% Page 6
POL6_5 How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? President Donald Trump denying House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) the use of military aircraft for her scheduled congressional trip to Brussels and Afghanistan. A lot 608 30% Some 57 29% Not much 333 7% Nothing at all 260 3% Don t know / No opinion 225 % POL6_6 POL6_7 POL7 POL8 How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? A published report that federal law enforcement officials have evidence showing President Donald Trump directed his longtime attorney, Michael Cohen, to lie to Congress about the Trump Organization s efforts to build a Trump Tower in Russia in order to conceal Trump s involvement. A lot 479 24% Some 646 32% Not much 399 20% Nothing at all 238 2% Don t know / No opinion 234 2% How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? A meeting scheduled for late February between President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un A lot 305 5% Some 64 32% Not much 5 5 26% Nothing at all 297 5% Don t know / No opinion 238 2% How likely do you think it is that Russia has compromising information on President Trump? Very likely 7 6 36% Somewhat likely 4 9 2 % Not very likely 270 4% Not likely at all 342 7% Don t know / No opinion 250 3% Do you think the Department of Justice s investigation into Russia s in uence on the 2016 presidential election has been handled fairly or unfairly? Very fairly 4 2 2 % Somewhat fairly 324 6% Not too fairly 338 7% Not fairly at all 402 20% Don t know / No opinion 520 26% Page 7
POL9 Do you think President Trump s campaign worked with Russia to in uence the outcome of the 2016 presidential election? Yes, I think President Trump s campaign worked with 853 43% Russia to in uence the outcome of the 2016 presidential election. No, I don t think President Trump s campaign worked 757 38% with Russia to in uence the outcome of the 2016 presidential election. Don t know / No opinion 386 9% POL10 POL11 POL12 POL13 And do you think President Trump has tried to impede or obstruct the investigation into whether his campaign had ties to Russia? Yes, I think President Trump has tried to impede or 975 49% obstruct the investigation into whether his campaign had ties to Russia. No, I don t think President Trump has tried to impede 670 34% or obstruct the investigation into whether his campaign had ties to Russia. Don t know / No opinion 35 8% When it comes to the Department of Justice s investigation into Russia s in uence on the 2016 presidential election, which of the following statements comes closer to your view, even if neither are exactly right? The Department of Justice s investigation on the 2016 900 45% presidential election is mostly a serious matter and should continue. The Department of Justice s investigation on the 2016 726 36% presidential election is mostly an effort to discredit President Trump and should be ended. Don t Know/No Opinion 370 9% Who would you say is mostly to blame for the government shutdown? Republicans in Congress 90 4% Democrats in Congress 696 35% President Trump 984 49% Don t know / No opinion 226 % Which of the following comes closest to your view, even if none are exactly right? The ongoing shutdown of parts of the federal 92 46% government is a crisis The ongoing shutdown of parts of the federal 702 35% government is a problem The ongoing shutdown of parts of the federal 88 9% government is not a crisis or a problem Don t know / No opinion 84 9% Page 8
POL14 To what extent has the recent partial government shutdown impacted you and your family? A lot 58 8% Some 399 20% Not much 522 26% Not at all 765 38% Don t know / No opinion 53 8% POL15 As you may know, the recent partial government shutdown may impact the pay of federal workers across the United States. How concerned are you, if at all, about federal workers not receiving pay for the duration of the shutdown? Very concerned 0 6 5 % Somewhat concerned 5 9 26% Not too concerned 78 9% Not concerned at all 3 7% Don t know / No opinion 52 8% POL16 Do you support or oppose the construction of a border wall along the United States Mexico border? Strongly support 588 29% Somewhat support 279 4% Somewhat oppose 90 0% Strongly oppose 769 39% Don t know / No opinion 7 9% POL17_1 POL17_2 If the only way to end the government shutdown is to do the following, would you support or oppose it? Dedicate funds for border security, but not a border wall along the United States Mexico border (N=866) Strongly support 93 % Somewhat support 200 23% Somewhat oppose 70 20% Strongly oppose 265 3 % Don t know / No opinion 39 6% If the only way to end the government shutdown is to do the following, would you support or oppose it? Pass a bill that that does not include funds for any type of border security, including a border wall along the United States Mexico border (N=866) Strongly support 52 6% Somewhat support 72 8% Somewhat oppose 99 % Strongly oppose 425 49% Don t know / No opinion 2 8 25% Page 9
POL18_1 If the only way to end the government shutdown is to do the following, would you support or oppose it? Dedicate funds for a border wall along the United States Mexico border (N=959) Strongly support 27 3% Somewhat support 42 4% Somewhat oppose 2 3% Strongly oppose 569 59% Don t know / No opinion 200 2 % POL18_2 POLx_1 If the only way to end the government shutdown is to do the following, would you support or oppose it? Pass a bill that includes funds for any type of border security, including a border wall along the United States Mexico border (N=959) Strongly support 50 5% Somewhat support 27 3% Somewhat oppose 200 2 % Strongly oppose 428 45% Don t know / No opinion 54 6% Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mitch McConnell Total Favorable 447 22% Total Unfavorable 780 39% Heard Of, No Opinion 42 2 % Never Heard Of 347 7% POLx_2 Favorability for Nancy Pelosi Total Favorable 655 33% Total Unfavorable 934 47% Heard Of, No Opinion 247 2% Never Heard Of 60 8% POLx_3 Favorability for Charles Schumer Total Favorable 464 23% Total Unfavorable 699 35% Heard Of, No Opinion 453 23% Never Heard Of 380 9% Page 10
POLx_4 Favorability for Mike Pence Total Favorable 779 39% Total Unfavorable 827 4 % Heard Of, No Opinion 257 3% Never Heard Of 33 7% POLx_5 Favorability for Donald Trump Total Favorable 797 40% Total Unfavorable 09 55% Heard Of, No Opinion 73 4% Never Heard Of 34 2% POLx_6 POLx_7 Favorability for Republicans in Congress Favorability for Democrats in Congress Total Favorable 690 35% Total Unfavorable 022 5 % Heard Of, No Opinion 87 9% Never Heard Of 97 5% Total Favorable 794 40% Total Unfavorable 93 47% Heard Of, No Opinion 78 9% Never Heard Of 93 5% POLx_8 Favorability for Robert Mueller Total Favorable 636 32% Total Unfavorable 598 30% Heard Of, No Opinion 448 22% Never Heard Of 3 5 6% POLx_9 Favorability for Kevin McCarthy Total Favorable 263 3% Total Unfavorable 340 7% Heard Of, No Opinion 57 29% Never Heard Of 822 4 % POLx_10 Favorability for Joe Biden Total Favorable 979 49% Total Unfavorable 656 33% Heard Of, No Opinion 264 3% Never Heard Of 97 5% Page 11
POLx_11 Favorability for Bernie Sanders Total Favorable 903 45% Total Unfavorable 753 38% Heard Of, No Opinion 249 2% Never Heard Of 9 5% POLx_12 Favorability for Elizabeth Warren Total Favorable 587 29% Total Unfavorable 644 32% Heard Of, No Opinion 384 9% Never Heard Of 38 9% POLx_13 POLx_14 POLx_15 Favorability for Beto O Rourke Favorability for Kamala Harris Favorability for Sherrod Brown Total Favorable 438 22% Total Unfavorable 397 20% Heard Of, No Opinion 384 9% Never Heard Of 777 39% Total Favorable 477 24% Total Unfavorable 387 9% Heard Of, No Opinion 389 9% Never Heard Of 743 37% Total Favorable 248 2% Total Unfavorable 272 4% Heard Of, No Opinion 4 4 2 % Never Heard Of 062 53% POLx_16 Favorability for Amy Klobuchar Total Favorable 283 4% Total Unfavorable 285 4% Heard Of, No Opinion 382 9% Never Heard Of 047 52% POLx_17 Favorability for Cory Booker Total Favorable 433 22% Total Unfavorable 423 2 % Heard Of, No Opinion 379 9% Never Heard Of 76 38% Page 12
POLx_18 POLx_19 Favorability for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Favorability for Kirsten Gillibrand Total Favorable 484 24% Total Unfavorable 554 28% Heard Of, No Opinion 339 7% Never Heard Of 6 9 3 % Total Favorable 353 8% Total Unfavorable 377 9% Heard Of, No Opinion 466 23% Never Heard Of 800 40% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated for registered voters with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 13
Respondent Demographics Summary Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemall Registered Voters 996 00% xdemgender Gender: Male 934 47% Gender: Female 062 53% age5 Age: 18-29 359 8% Age: 30-44 446 22% Age: 45-54 39 20% Age: 55-64 336 7% Age: 65+ 464 23% demagegeneration Generation Z: 18-21 34 7% Millennial: Age 22-37 469 23% Generation X: Age 38-53 55 28% Boomers: Age 54-72 7 7 36% N 87 xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 694 35% PID: Ind (no lean) 656 33% PID: Rep (no lean) 646 32% xpidgender PID/Gender: Dem Men 276 4% PID/Gender: Dem Women 4 9 2 % PID/Gender: Ind Men 326 6% PID/Gender: Ind Women 330 7% PID/Gender: Rep Men 333 7% PID/Gender: Rep Women 3 3 6% xdemideo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 676 34% Ideo: Moderate (4) 388 9% Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 690 35% N 754 xeduc3 Educ: < College 255 63% Educ: Bachelors degree 472 24% Educ: Post-grad 269 3% Continued on next page Page 14
National Tracking Poll #190140, January, 2019 Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdeminc3 Income: Under 50k 075 54% Income: 50k-100k 625 3 % Income: 100k+ 296 5% xdemwhite Ethnicity: White 6 4 8 % xdemhispbin Ethnicity: Hispanic 93 0% demblackbin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 253 3% demraceother Ethnicity: Other 29 6% xrelnet Relig: Protestant 505 25% Relig: Roman Catholic 328 6% Relig: Something Else 85 9% N 0 8 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 45 2% xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical 680 34% Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 338 7% N 0 8 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 0 8 5 % Relig: All Non-Christian 236 2% N 254 xdemusr Community: Urban 449 23% Community: Suburban 952 48% Community: Rural 595 30% xdememploy Employ: Private Sector 6 5 3 % Employ: Government 29 6% Employ: Self-Employed 99 0% Employ: Homemaker 2 6% Employ: Student 7 4% Employ: Retired 5 5 26% Employ: Unemployed 55 8% Employ: Other 200 0% xdemmilhh1 Military HH: Yes 388 9% Military HH: No 608 8 % Continued on next page Page 15
Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 680 34% RD/WT: Wrong Track 3 6 66% Trump_Approve Trump Job Approve 792 40% Trump Job Disapprove 4 57% N 933 Trump_Approve2 Trump Job Strongly Approve 4 5 2 % Trump Job Somewhat Approve 376 9% Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 239 2% Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 903 45% N 933 Trump_Fav Favorable of Trump 888 95% Unfavorable of Trump 08 5% Trump_Fav_FULL Very Favorable of Trump 797 40% Somewhat Favorable of Trump 09 55% Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 73 4% Very Unfavorable of Trump 34 2% xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 586 29% #1 Issue: Security 436 22% #1 Issue: Health Care 304 5% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 256 3% #1 Issue: Women s Issues 95 5% #1 Issue: Education 35 7% #1 Issue: Energy 87 4% #1 Issue: Other 97 5% xsubvote18o 2018 House Vote: Democrat 779 39% 2018 House Vote: Republican 709 36% 2018 House Vote: Someone else 07 5% 2018 House Vote: Didnt Vote 392 20% N 987 xsubvote16o 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 668 33% 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 704 35% 2016 Vote: Someone else 84 9% 2016 Vote: Didnt Vote 437 22% N 993 Continued on next page Page 16
National Tracking Poll #190140, January, 2019 Respondent Demographics Summary Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xsubvote14o Voted in 2014: Yes 392 70% Voted in 2014: No 604 30% xsubvote12o 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 8 3 4 % 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 533 27% 2012 Vote: Other 88 4% 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote 560 28% N 995 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 356 8% 4-Region: Midwest 458 23% 4-Region: South 745 37% 4-Region: West 436 22% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 17
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