Latvia s Political Survey 2014 4 th wave (October) Summary Report Ryo NAKAI, Dr. Assistant Professor, Rikkyo University, Japan nakai[at]rikkyo.ac.jp Nov 16, 2014 (Dec 7, 2014) 1
Technical Information Researcher Polltaker General body Sample size Sampling method Stratification criteria Respondent selection principles Research Method Geographical coverage Ryo NAKAI Research centre SKDS (Director: Arnis KAKTIŅŠ) Residents of Latvia aged from 15 to 74 years old. 1053 respondents Stratified random sampling Administrative territories Random route method + first birthday rule. Face-to face interviews (PAPI), at the places of residence of respondents. All Latvia s regions (121 sampling points) Results Q0 Date of Interview 17 October 2014 14 1.33% 24 October 110 10.45% 18 October 76 7.22% 25 October 170 16.14% 19 October 113 10.73% 26 October 162 15.38% 20 October 92 8.74% 27 October 18 1.71% 21 October 111 10.54% 28 October 12 1.14% 22 October 83 7.88% 29 October 3 0.28% 23 October 76 7.22% 30 October 13 1.23% 2
Q1 - Q4 I will read to you several statements. Please tell me about each of them do you totally agree, rather agree, neither agree nor disagree, rather disagree or totally disagree with the following statement Q1 Large differences in people s incomes are acceptable to properly reward differences in talents and efforts Totally agree 138 13.11% Rather agree 333 31.62% Neither agree nor disagree 199 18.90% Rather disagree 207 19.66% Totally disagree 136 12.92% Don t know/ No answer 40 3.80% Q2 Schools must teach children only in Latvian language Totally agree 257 24.41% Rather agree 193 18.33% Neither agree nor disagree 143 13.58% Rather disagree 203 19.28% Totally disagree 241 22.89% Don t know/ No answer 16 1.52% Q3 Social benefit, service, and unemployment insurance make people lazy Totally agree 124 11.68% Rather agree 219 20.80% Neither agree nor disagree 246 23.36% Rather disagree 245 23.27% Totally disagree 169 16.05% Don t know/ No answer 50 4.75% Q4 The Russian state is a threat to the peace and security of Latvia Totally agree 155 14.72% Rather agree 194 18.42% Neither agree nor disagree 167 15.86% Rather disagree 175 16.62% Totally disagree 291 27.64% Don t know/ No answer 71 6.74% 3
Q5 Which of these terms best describes how you usually think of yourself? Own city, locality inhabitants 333 31.62% Own regions inhabitants (ex. Kurzeme, Latgale etc.) 79 7.50% Latvian 399 37.89% Russian 102 9.69% Baltic Russian, or Russian Latvian 83 7.88% Ukrainian 6 0.57% Do not know 29 2.75% No Answer 22 2.09% Total 1053 100% Q6 How proud are you to be Latvia inhabitant? Very proud 271 25.74% Quite proud 444 42.17% Not very proud 210 19.94% Not at all proud 63 5.98% No Answer 65 6.17% Q7 On an average weekday, how much time in total, do you spend reading newspapers? No time at all 486 46.15% Less than 1/2 hours 334 31.72% 1/2 hours to 1 hour 157 14.91% More than 1 hour up to 2 hours 42 3.99% More than 2 hours up to 3 hours 6 0.57% More than 3 hours 2 0.19% Don t know/ No answer 26 2.42% Q8 On an average weekday, how much time in total, do you spend reading social networking service? No time at all 336 31.91% Less than 1/2 hours 182 17.28% 1/2 hours to 1 hour 261 24.79% More than 1 hour up to 2 hours 141 13.39% More than 2 hours up to 3 hours 62 5.89% More than 3 hours 40 3.80% Don t know/ No answer 31 2.94% 4
Q9 Which newspaper do you read most frequently? Diena 52 4.94% Latvijas Avīze 48 4.56% Neatkarīga Rīta Avīze 28 2.66% Vesti Segodnya (Вести сегодня) 85 8.07% Dienas Bizness 9 0.85% Bizness&Baltija (Бизнес&Балтия) 3 0.28% Other 325 30.86% I do not read newspapers at all 477 45.30% Don t know/ No answer 26 2.47% Q10 Which SNS do you use most frequently? Facebook 199 18.90% Draugiem 262 25.55% Odnoklassniki (Одноклассники) 91 8.64% VKontakte (ВКонтакте) 15 1.42% Twitter 29 2.75% LinkedIn 3 0.28% Other SNSs 80 7.60% I do not watch the SNS 338 32.10% Don t know/ No answer 29 2.75% Show card Q11/12 Q11. What do you think are the two most important problem facing Latvia today? (MAX. 2 ANSWERS POSSIBLE) Crime and Terrorism 47 2.31% Public transport 21 1.03% Rising prices 303 14.90% Taxation 289 14.21% Unemployment 433 21.29% National Security and Foreign Affairs 111 5.46% Energy 60 2.95% Immigration 151 7.42% Health care 319 15.68% Pensions 136 6.69% Education 76 3.74% Language 40 1.97% Others 35 1.72% Don t know/ No answer 13 0.64% Total 2034 100.00% 5
Q12. What do you think are the two most important issues to you today? (MAX. 2 ANSWERS POSSIBLE) Crime and Terrorism 13 0.58% Public transport 26 1.17% Rising prices 428 19.22% Taxation 493 22.14% Unemployment 248 11.14% National Security and Foreign Affairs 50 2.25% Energy 40 1.80% Immigration 39 1.75% Health care 384 17.24% Pensions 238 10.69% Education 120 5.39% Language 53 2.38% Others 70 3.14% Don t know/ No answer 25 1.12% Total 2247 100.00% Q13 How interested would you say you are in politics? Very interested 56 5.32% Quite interested 309 29.34% Hardly interested 459 43.59% Not at all interested 222 21.08% Don t know / No Answer 7 0.66% Show card P2A Q14 (P2A in original questionnaire) If LR Saeima election will be held tomorrow, for which political party or alliance will you vote? Harmony Socialdemocratic Party 185 17.57% Party Unity 120 11.40% National Alliance All for Latvia! For Fatherland and 83 7.88% Freedom/LNNK Green and Farmers Union 126 11.97% Russian Union of Latvia 10 0.95% For Latvia from the Heart 46 7.09% Party Union for Latvia 6 0.87% For Latvia s Development 6 0.78% Regional Alliance of Latvia 55 2.04% New Conservative Party 6 0.39% Other 1 0.29% Don t know 94 13.79% Don t participate in elections. 315 26.31% * Political party development, Sovereign, and Free from fear are removed from the list in 4 th wave. 6
Q15 Q19 Reserved for 2 nd wave. Q20 Q21 Reserved for 3 rd wave Q22 Saeima s election was held in 4th October. What was the most important information source for you when you update information on politics. (MAX. 2 ANSWERS POSSIBLE) Television or radio programs 567 34.57% Newspaper or journal articles 150 9.15% Internet or SNS articles 263 16.04% Political advertisements on televisions or radios 85 5.18% Political advertisements on newspapers or journals 27 1.65% Political advertisements on internet site or SNS 61 3.72% Conversations with members of family, relatives, or 224 13.66% friends Conversations with colleagues, managers, or clients in 64 3.90% workplace. Conversations with neighbors 42 2.56% Other sources 42 2.56% No Answer 115 7.01% Total 1640 100.00% Q23 If you voted, supported, or sympathized to a specific political party on recent Saeimas election, please tell me the main reasons why you chose exactly this party? (MAX. 2 ANSWERS POSSIBLE) They represent my economic interests (for example, tax, 194 13.23% employment, pension, etc) They represent interests of my ethnic group (for example, 157 10.71% Latvians, Russian, etc.) They represent our regional interests (for example, 63 4.30% Vidzeme, Kurzeme, Zemgale, Latgale, Rīga) They are trustable 195 13.30% They are not dirty * 69 4.71% They are new political force 77 5.25% They have good politicians 147 10.03% They have good Prime Minister candidate 68 4.64% My family, friend, or colleague asked me to do so 25 1.71% Other reason 58 3.96% I did not vote, support, or sympathize any political parties. 362 24.69% No Answer 51 3.48% Total 1466 100.00% * sasmērējušies in Latvian 7
Sociodemographic parameters D1 Gender Male 469 44.54% Female 584 55.46% (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / Male 47.7%, Female 52.3%) D2 Age (shortened) 15-24 177 16.81% 25-34 189 17.95% 35-44 186 17.66% 45-54 163 15.48% 55-74 338 32.10% (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / 15-24: 14.8%, 25-34: 19.9%, 35-44: 18.1%, 45-54: 18.5%, 55-74: 28.8%) D2A Marital status Married / Live with partner 554 52.61% Divorced / Separated 159 15.10% Unmarried 240 22.79% Widowed 100 9.50% D3 Number of household members 1 203 19.28% 2 313 29.72% 3 256 24.31% 4 202 19.18% 5 54 5.13% 6 16 1.52% 7 8 0.76% 8 1 0.09% 9 0 0.00% 10 0 0.00% 11 0 0.00% 8
D3A Children aged under 18 Yes 383 36.37% No 670 63.63% DK/NA 0 0.00% D4 Education No education 6 0.57% Primary / Secondary uncompleted 182 17.28% Secondary 230 21.84% Professional or vocational secondary 350 33.24% Tertiary education 285 27.07% D5 Nationality (lv: Tautība) Latvian 634 60.21% Russian 339 32.19% Others 80 7.60% (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / Latvian: 58.7%, Non-Latvian: 41.3%) D5A Language spoken in family Latvian 640 60.78% Russian 430 38.27% Other 10 0.95% D6 Citizenship of the Republic of Latvia (lv:pilsonība) Have 869 82.53% Don t have 184 17.47% 9
D7 Sector of work Public sector (national and regional) 164 15.57% Private sector 419 39.79% Don t work 470 44.63% Other 0 0.00% DK/NA 0 0.00% D8 Occupation Manager, senior or middle level 40 3.80% Specialist or clerk, for non-physical work 264 25.07% Laborer, for physical work 231 21.94% Farmer (with own farm) 17 1.61% Self-employed 31 2.94% Pensioner 234 22.22% Student 103 9.78% House-worker / parental leave 49 4.65% Unemployed 84 7.98% D9 Average monthly income level per one family member (Euro, shortened) Under 150 euro 197 18.71% 151-220 euro 181 17.19% 221-280 euro 167 15.86% 281-380 euro 163 15.48% over 381 euro 197 18.71% DK 148 16.06% D10 Region (electoral district) Riga 356 33.81% Vidzeme 292 27.73% Kurzeme 125 11.87% Zemgale 122 11.59% Latgale 158 15.00% 10
D10A Region (statistical district) Riga 356 33.81% Pieriga 177 16.81% Vidzeme 115 10.92% Kurzeme 125 11.87% Zemgale 122 11.59% Latgale 158 15.00% (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / Riga: 32.1%, Pieriga: 17.8%, Vidzeme: 10.1%, Kurzeme: 13.0%, Zemgale: 12.2%, Latgale: 14.7%) 11