CURRICULUM VITAE Rory Michael Medcalf Professor and Head of College, National Security College, Australian National University Nonresident Fellow, Lowy Institute Nonresident Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution, Washington DC Summary Three decades experience across think tanks, academia, intelligence analysis, diplomacy, policymaking and journalism, covering national security, geopolitics, foreign and defence policy with a focus on Australia and the Indo-Pacific. A record of drive and achievement in research, analysis, policy influence, institution-building, leadership and management. Proven ability to operate with trust and influence at high levels across policy, academic and assessment communities. Exceptional reputation and networks in Australia, regionally and globally. Biography Rory Medcalf has been Head of the National Security College at the Australian National University since January 2015. He has led the extension of the College into policy engagement, futures analysis and cyber security, while expanding its established work in executive development, graduate studies and research. He has developed the College as a platform to promote a more inclusive approach to Australia s national security. Previously he spent eight years with the Lowy Institute, a leading think tank, where he founded and developed its largest program, the international security program, and built a reputation as one of Australia s most credible strategic analysts and policy entrepreneurs. During this period he also established policy dialogues with India, France and the UK, worked as a consultant on global nuclear arms control initiatives, and served part-time as an adviser for the Australian Government on defence policy. In government, Professor Medcalf worked as a senior strategic analyst with the Office of National Assessments, Canberra s peak intelligence analysis agency. He was also an Australian diplomat, with experience including a posting to New Delhi, a secondment to the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, truce monitoring after the civil conflict in Bougainville and policy development on Asian security institutions. He has contributed to three landmark reports on nuclear arms control: the 1996 Canberra Commission, 1999 Tokyo Forum and 2009 International Commission on Nuclear Non-proliferation and Disarmament. His earlier work in journalism (1987-1995) won multiple awards including a commendation in Australia s leading media awards, the Walkleys. Professor Medcalf is known internationally as a thought leader for his work on the Indo- Pacific concept of the regional strategic environment centred on maritime Asia. He has been prominent in developing Australia s relations with India, France and other Indo-Pacific partners. He is founding convener and co-chair of the Australia-India Policy Forum, the Australia-France National Security Forum, and the innovative 1.5 track Australia-India-France Strategic Dialogue. Professor Medcalf was a member of the expert panel providing independent advice on the Australian Government s 2016 Defence White Paper. His research areas include Australia s 1
security challenges, the development of an Indo-Pacific concept of the Asian strategic environment, China-India relations, and prospects for regional maritime and nuclear stability. From 2018-2020, he is chief investigator in a major research project funded by the Carnegie Corporation, examining the risks to nuclear stability from advances in anti-submarine warfare. Head, National Security College, Australian National University (January 2015-) Sustaining, expanding and refreshing the National Security College as a national institution, expanding its short-course and academic programs and establishing a third pillar of activity as a think tank conducting policy engagement and futures analysis. Leadership of a hybrid institution (an academic-government joint initiative) with 30+ staff, complex governance and diverse stakeholders. Expansion of the College, achieving financial sustainability through renewal of core funding to 2021 supplemented by major growth in market-based and corporate income. Sustained and deepened the College s relationships with the Australian national security community and Australian, regional and global academic communities. Expansion and updating of short-course training programs. Extension of training to State Government officials, private sector executives, and foreign officials. Refreshed the focus of the College to anticipate and respond to emerging issues including cyber security, CT/CVE, foreign interference, critical infrastructure, futures analysis, nuclear and maritime issues, Indo-Pacific great-power relations. Co-founded the ANU Cyber Institute. Diversification of activity and funding support to include the private sector, academic research grants, international partners and State/Territory governments. Deepened and expanded institutional links and partnerships across ANU, with other universities, the Australian national security community, and international partners. Signature activities such as establishment of the ANU Vice-Chancellor s Distinguished Professor program (beginning with James R. Clapper), annual Women in National Security Conference, 1.5 track dialogues with India, France, Sri Lanka and Israel, 360 Cyber Game to test Australian cyber policy readiness, Indo-Pacific maritime security conferences, and training of senior Australian officials in Japan. Maintained a high degree of personal output and profile in terms of analysis, policy and public awareness of national security challenges, including through publications, commentary and briefings. Issue areas of sustained interest have included regional security and the Indo-Pacific concept, foreign influence and interference, cyber security, Australian defence and foreign policy. Formal adviser on 2016 Defence White Paper and provider of informal advice on 2016 Cyber Security Strategy and 2017 Foreign Policy White Paper. Awarded ANU Vice-Chancellor s 2016 Award for Contribution to the Community, for the College s outreach beyond Canberra, and ANU Vice-Chancellor s Award for Excellence in media, outreach and policy impact. Director, International Security Program, Lowy Institute for International Policy, Sydney, Australia (March 2017-January 2015) 2
Developed Australia s most substantial think tank program, built on $2.7 million in externally-generated funding. Generating ideas and influencing policy on the Asian strategic order, Australia-India relations, Australia-China relations, the Australia-US alliance, defence policy, maritime security and nuclear issues. Demonstrated influence on Australian foreign policy in Asia. Consulted by Australian, Indian, Japanese and US government agencies and senior political figures for policy ideas and strategic analysis (including briefings at the invitation of US agencies and the National Intelligence Council). Policy entrepreneurship in helping develop and popularise an Indo-Pacific strategic concept. Significant input into three global reports on nuclear arms control. Invited to join the expert panel for the 2016 Australian Defence White Paper. Research areas: Australian security, defence and foreign policy; foreign interference; Asian strategic order; strategic implications of the rise of China and India; Indo-Pacific strategic concept; Asian maritime security and confidence-building; nuclear weapons, strategy and arms control; India. Widely published and cited in Australia and internationally: 250+ publications including academic book chapters, think-tank reports, opinion polls, refereed journal articles, essays, policy briefs, online articles and newspaper opinion pieces. Founding convenor of 1.5 track strategic dialogues with India, France and the UK. Generating and managing $2.7 million in funding, including from the Nuclear Threat Initiative, MacArthur Foundation, Australian government departments and corporates. Member of expert panel, Australian Defence White Paper 2016 (2014-2016) Independent advice and support to Defence White Paper process, including in strategic assessments, international engagement and public consultations. Nonresident Senior Fellow in Foreign Policy, Brookings Institution, Washington DC (January 2013-) Publications, commentary and speaking engagements in the United States. Senior Research Fellow, Indian Strategic Affairs, and Associate Director, Australia-India Institute, University of New South Wales (2010-2014) Professorial equivalent (Level E), part-time. Research publications, teaching and public lectures. Strategic advice, coordination and senior representation for the university s India engagement. Membership of Boards, Institutions and Associations ASEAN Regional Forum Register of Eminent and Expert Persons (2017-) Advisory Board, ANU Cyber Institute (2017-) 3
Editorial Board, Asia Policy journal (2016-) World Economic Forum Global Agenda Council on Nuclear Security (2014-15) International Institute of Strategic Studies (2014-) Editorial Board, Australian Journal of International Affairs (2010-) Senior Strategic Analyst, Office of National Assessments (December 2003-March 2007) Prepared assessments for Prime Minister, Ministers and senior officials on Australia s security environment, nuclear issues, East Asian and South Asian geopolitics, Afghanistan, maritime security, Asian diplomatic architecture and other matters. Lead author and coordinator of whole-of-government national assessments including in support of regional diplomatic initiatives and defence policy. Crisis monitoring/watch office duties. Drafted, coordinated and contributed to national intelligence collection requirements. Participated in analytical exchanges and liaison with intelligence partner countries. Held high-level security clearances. First Secretary (political) and head of public affairs, Australian High Commission, New Delhi (Oct 2000-Nov 2003); Acting Deputy High Commissioner/Counsellor (2003) Duties covered bilateral political, economic and security relations, public diplomacy, and reporting on Indian foreign and security policy. Substantial role in rebuilding Australia-India relations following 1998 nuclear tests. On-the-ground political analysis including in post-9/11 context, during 2001-02 India- Pakistan crisis, and election monitoring in Kashmir in 2002. Managed a team of locally-engaged public diplomacy staff. Managed and led the Post s political and economic section in 2003, including occasionally as charge d affaires. Established high-level contacts to advance Australia-India relations. Policy officer, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (February 1996-December 2003) Graduate recruit 1996. Short-term missions to Tokyo (1999) and as truce monitor in Bougainville, Papua New Guinea (1998). Career highlights included 1999 secondment to Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs and key role with the Tokyo Forum, a global non-proliferation project sponsored by Japan. Other placements: executive officer handling ASEAN Regional Forum and politicalmilitary dialogues (1999-2000), acting departmental liaison officer in office of Minister for Foreign Affairs (2000), desk officer/head of secretariat Australia Group on nonproliferation export controls (1997-8), Indonesia desk (1996-97), secretariat for the Canberra Commission on the Elimination of Nuclear Weapons (1996). Received Australian Service Medal for 1998 Bougainville deployment. Newspaper journalism: various full- and part-time positions (1987-1996) Various locations in country New South Wales, Queensland and the United Kingdom. 4
Cadetship, Australian provincial newspaper The Northern Star (Lismore, NSW) 1987-1989. Roles with Fairfax newspapers, Queensland Newspapers, News Ltd. London. Experience across political, police, court, investigative and environmental reporting. Reportage and commentary on Northern Ireland peace process 1994-95. Highlights: Recognised in 11 Australian journalism and writing prizes including a highly commended in Australia s national Walkley Awards (1991). Education Bachelor of Arts (Honours first class) in political science, University of Queensland, 1995 University Medal, University of Queensland, 1995; Cleary Memorial Prize, highestranked Honours student in Political Science/Government. Graduate Diploma in Foreign Affairs and Trade, Monash University, 1997. Select recent publications Imagining an Indian National Security Strategy: The Sum of its Parts. Australian Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 71. Issue 5. 2017 Cocos and Christmas Islands: Building Australia s Strategic Role in the Indian Ocean, with David Brewster. Journal of the Indian Ocean Region, Vol. 13. Issue 2. 2017. Shifting Waters: China s New Passive Assertiveness in Asian Maritime Security, with Ashley Townshend, Lowy Institute Analysis, 2016. Redefining the Region: The Indo-Pacific Idea, Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment, International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2015. Nuclear-armed Submarines in Indo-Pacific Asia: Stabiliser or Menace, with Brendan Thomas- Noone, Lowy Institute Analysis, 2015. Universities and Think Tanks, with Amitabh Mattoo, in The Oxford Handbook of Indian Foreign Policy, edited by David Malone and C. Raja Mohan. Oxford, Oxford University Press, 2015. Mapping the Indo-Pacific? China, India and the United States, in Maritime Security in the Indo- Pacific: Chinese, Indian and US Perspectives, edited by Mohan Malik. Washington DC, Rowman and Littlefield, 2014 Canberra s Beijing Balance: Australian Perceptions of and Responses to Chinese Power, in Growth of China s Power and Changing Security Dynamics in Asia, edited by Li Mingjiang and Kalyan Kemburi. Oxford, Routledge, 2014 In Defence of the Indo-Pacific: Australia s New Strategic Map. Australian Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 68. No. 4, June 2014 Responding to Indo-Pacific Rivalry: Australia, India and Middle Power Coalitions, with C. Raja Mohan, Lowy Institute Analysis, August 2014. 5
Powers in the Middle: Japan, India, Russia, Australia, South Korea, in Asia-Pacific Strategic Dossier, edited by Tim Huxley. London, International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2014 The Indo-Pacific: What s in a Name? The American Interest, Vol. 9 No. 2, Nov/Dec 2013 Pivoting the Map: Australia s Indo-Pacific System, The Inaugural Centre of Gravity Lecture, Canberra, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University, November 2012 India and China: Past, Present and Future, in Reluctant Superpower: Understanding India and its Aspirations, edited by Amitabh Mattoo. Melbourne, Melbourne University Press, 2012 Unselfish Giants? Understanding China and India as Security Providers. Australian Journal of International Affairs, Volume 66, Issue 5, 2012 Disarming Doubt: The Future of Extended Nuclear Deterrence in East Asia (ed., with Fiona Cunningham). Sydney, Lowy Institute for International Policy, 2012 Grand Stakes: Australia's Future between China and India, in Strategic Asia 2011-12: Asia Responds to its Rising Powers China and India, edited by Ashley J. Tellis, Travis Tanner and Jessica Keough. Seattle/Washington DC, National Bureau of Asian Research, 2011 Crisis and Confidence: Major Powers and Maritime Security in Indo-Pacific Asia [monograph] (with Raoul Heinrichs and Justin Jones). Sydney, Lowy Institute for International Policy, 2011 Power and Choice: Asian Security Futures, [monograph] with Andrew Shearer, Malcolm Cook and Raoul Heinrichs, Lowy Institute, Sydney, 2010 Australia s Strategic Analysis Capabilities: Reaching Critical Mass, Security Challenges, Vol. 5, No. 1, 2009 Australia: Allied in Transition, in Strategic Asia 2008-09: Challenges and Choices, edited by Ashley Tellis, Mercy Kuo and Andrew Marble. Seattle/Washington DC, National Bureau of Asian Research, 2008 Contributions to international expert panel reports Eliminating Nuclear Threats: A Practical Agenda for Global Policymakers, Gareth Evans and Yoriko Kawaguchi, co-chairs. 2010 (consultant) Facing Nuclear Dangers: The Report of the Tokyo Forum for Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, 1999 (secretariat) Report of the Canberra Commission on the Elimination of Nuclear Weapons, 1996 (secretariat) 6