Florida Polling Executive Summary Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870 Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 773 registered, likely voters in Florida. The poll was conducted on October 22 nd through the 23 rd, with a margin of error of ±3.5%. The totals may not round to 100% because of rounding. The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing. 3) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump s job performance? Q3: TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 4.5% 7.2% 26.0% 27.9% 19.9% 5.3% 4.6% 11.4% 14.2% Somewhat Disapprove 6.9% 7.1% 2.9% 6.5% 10.8% 2.3% 3.6% 1.9% 9.6% Strongly Approve 17.5% 30.8% 60.6% 29.0% 24.0% 43.2% 47.8% 34.9% 38.7% Strongly Disapprove 68.9% 45.9% 8.7% 28.2% 39.5% 46.8% 41.2% 45.2% 35.6% Uncertain 2.3% 9.0% 1.9% 8.3% 5.8% 2.4% 2.8% 6.6% 2.0% 1
4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Rubio s job performance? Q4: RUBIOPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 16.8% 24.4% 39.1% 25.2% 33.5% 19.3% 32.1% 24.6% 29.6% Somewhat Disapprove 15.1% 11.1% 12.2% 17.3% 11.3% 11.0% 14.0% 14.3% 11.1% Strongly Approve 13.3% 17.9% 39.8% 27.4% 16.6% 28.2% 23.9% 20.8% 27.3% Strongly Disapprove 47.9% 31.1% 4.3% 9.9% 29.8% 36.5% 22.7% 27.6% 27.1% Uncertain 6.9% 15.4% 4.7% 20.2% 8.7% 4.9% 7.3% 12.7% 5.0% 5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Nelson s job performance? 2
Q5: NELSONPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 27.1% 22.8% 14.5% 13.2% 27.4% 23.7% 16.2% 20.5% 22.2% Somewhat Disapprove 6.0% 16.0% 10.6% 13.5% 15.7% 8.1% 7.5% 7.9% 14.2% Strongly Approve 47.5% 16.4% 17.4% 26.2% 20.3% 31.3% 28.1% 30.3% 22.9% Strongly Disapprove 10.8% 28.5% 50.4% 25.6% 20.6% 33.7% 40.5% 25.7% 35.3% Uncertain 8.6% 16.3% 7.2% 21.6% 15.9% 3.3% 7.7% 15.5% 5.3% 6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Scott s job performance? Q6: SCOTTPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 15.5% 16.8% 23.6% 14.5% 33.8% 11.0% 14.9% 18.4% 18.9% Somewhat Disapprove 12.9% 10.2% 7.5% 15.0% 10.6% 9.0% 7.7% 12.8% 7.2% Strongly Approve 11.2% 27.2% 57.9% 36.8% 18.3% 37.6% 39.2% 26.7% 39.0% Strongly Disapprove 53.5% 33.0% 8.0% 13.0% 27.4% 40.2% 34.5% 33.1% 28.8% Uncertain 6.9% 12.9% 3.1% 20.6% 10.0% 2.2% 3.6% 9.0% 6.1% 3
7) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Ron DeSantis and Democrat Andrew Gillum, who would you vote for? Q7: DESANTISVSGILLUM Democrat Andrew Gillum 87.5% 51.5% 11.3% 47.1% 53.5% 50.6% 44.0% 52.2% 46.2% Republican Ron DeSantis 8.5% 34.1% 84.4% 40.4% 35.6% 44.6% 51.8% 38.8% 47.7% Uncertain 4.0% 14.5% 4.2% 12.5% 10.9% 4.8% 4.2% 9.0% 6.1% 8) If the election for Governor were held today and you had to make a decision, which candidate are you leaning towards? 4
Q8: DESANTISVSGILLUM2 N/A 96.0% 85.5% 95.8% 87.5% 89.1% 95.2% 95.8% 91.0% 93.9% Democrat Andrew Gillum 2.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 2.7% 2.2% 1.3% 2.7% 0.8% Republican Ron DeSantis 0.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 6.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.6% 4.7% Uncertain 0.7% 8.2% 0.8% 11.3% 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 5.7% 0.6% Q7+Q8 Combined Q7+Q8 Democrat Andrew Gillum 89.9% 53.7% 12.0% 47.1% 56.1% 52.8% 45.3% 54.9% 47.0% Republican Ron DeSantis 9.3% 38.1% 87.2% 41.6% 42.2% 46.0% 52.4% 39.5% 52.4% Uncertain 0.7% 8.2% 0.8% 11.3% 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 5.7% 0.6% 5
9) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Bill Nelson and Republican Rick Scott, who would you vote for? Q9: NELSONVSSCOTT Democrat Bill Nelson 85.6% 47.2% 15.4% 41.9% 54.2% 50.5% 44.1% 51.2% 46.0% Republican Rick Scott 9.6% 39.0% 82.7% 39.7% 39.8% 45.4% 52.4% 39.1% 50.3% Uncertain 4.8% 13.7% 1.9% 18.4% 6.0% 4.1% 3.4% 9.6% 3.7% 10) If the election for Senate were held today and you had to make a decision, which candidate are you leaning towards? Q10: NELSONVSSCOTT2 N/A 95.2% 86.3% 98.1% 81.6% 94.0% 95.9% 96.6% 90.4% 96.3% Democrat Bill Nelson 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1% Republican Rick Scott 0.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% Uncertain 3.6% 11.6% 1.6% 18.4% 5.0% 2.4% 1.9% 8.5% 2.5% 6
Q9+Q10 Combined Q9+Q10 Democrat Bill Nelson 86.8% 47.7% 15.4% 41.9% 55.2% 50.5% 45.3% 52.1% 46.1% Republican Rick Scott 9.6% 40.7% 83.0% 39.7% 39.8% 47.1% 52.9% 39.4% 51.4% Uncertain 3.6% 11.6% 1.6% 18.4% 5.0% 2.4% 1.9% 8.5% 2.5% 11) If the election for Chief Financial Officer were held today and the candidates were Republican Jimmy Patronis and Democrat Jeremy Ring, who would you vote for? Q11: PATRONISVSRING Democrat Jeremy Ring 80.2% 42.5% 11.9% 41.6% 47.9% 44.5% 40.9% 48.4% 39.6% Republican Jimmy Patronis 7.3% 33.6% 80.1% 35.6% 31.3% 45.0% 51.0% 35.8% 46.8% Uncertain 12.5% 23.9% 8.0% 22.8% 20.9% 10.5% 8.0% 15.8% 13.7% 7
12) If the election for Attorney General were held today and the candidates were Republican Ashley Moody and Democrat Sean Shaw, who would you vote for? Q12: MOODYVSSHAW Democrat Sean Shaw 81.7% 39.8% 7.7% 36.7% 45.9% 44.5% 38.6% 48.0% 36.2% Republican Ashley Moody 13.6% 36.2% 87.0% 41.9% 38.8% 49.0% 54.6% 39.7% 53.5% Uncertain 4.7% 24.0% 5.4% 21.3% 15.3% 6.6% 6.8% 12.3% 10.4% 13) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would support Nancy Pelosi to be Speaker of the House? Q13: SUPPORTPELOSI Less Likely 16.9% 43.1% 71.2% 27.1% 40.7% 47.7% 56.0% 40.2% 48.8% More Likely 53.4% 20.5% 19.8% 49.4% 31.9% 27.1% 22.0% 36.7% 24.6% Uncertain 29.7% 36.3% 8.9% 23.5% 27.4% 25.1% 22.0% 23.1% 26.7% 8
14) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would vote to impeach President Donald J. Trump? Q14: IMPEACHTRUMP Less Likely 13.1% 41.1% 68.5% 26.9% 33.9% 47.7% 51.8% 40.1% 43.0% More Likely 76.2% 42.0% 21.3% 66.1% 50.6% 40.0% 34.9% 47.9% 43.9% Uncertain 10.6% 16.9% 10.2% 7.0% 15.5% 12.3% 13.4% 12.0% 13.2% 15) Do you currently approve or disapprove of the Tax Reform Bill that was signed into law recently? Q15: TAXREFORMAPPROVAL Approve 14.9% 40.3% 66.1% 52.2% 32.5% 40.8% 43.3% 36.5% 45.7% Disapprove 62.5% 36.3% 19.0% 29.5% 34.7% 45.7% 40.0% 42.6% 34.7% Uncertain 22.7% 23.4% 14.9% 18.3% 32.8% 13.5% 16.7% 20.9% 19.6% 9
16) Do you support or oppose the legalization of same-sex marriage in the United States? Q16: SAMESEXMARRIAGE Oppose 21.7% 33.3% 48.3% 25.2% 32.9% 36.9% 40.5% 30.5% 39.3% Support 66.0% 45.8% 37.1% 52.2% 55.8% 44.7% 46.5% 52.8% 45.6% Uncertain 12.4% 20.8% 14.6% 22.6% 11.3% 18.4% 13.1% 16.7% 15.1% 17) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion in Florida? Q17: ABORTION Oppose 53.4% 45.9% 42.8% 41.2% 41.2% 53.9% 48.8% 46.6% 47.9% Support 37.4% 32.0% 40.0% 44.6% 44.0% 31.1% 29.6% 36.7% 36.2% Uncertain 9.3% 22.1% 17.2% 14.2% 14.7% 15.0% 21.7% 16.6% 15.9% 10
18) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion after a pregnancy has lasted for 20 weeks in Florida? Q18: 20WEEKABORTION Oppose 48.8% 44.2% 43.6% 48.4% 37.5% 47.1% 50.8% 53.2% 37.1% Support 31.7% 30.2% 46.1% 41.0% 49.8% 28.3% 28.0% 29.6% 43.2% Uncertain 19.5% 25.6% 10.3% 10.6% 12.8% 24.7% 21.2% 17.2% 19.7% 19) Do you support or oppose laws that would stop LGBTQ individuals from being discriminated against in regards to employment, housing, and healthcare in Florida? Q19: LGBTQDISCRIMINATION Oppose 25.4% 24.8% 30.8% 15.6% 26.5% 32.4% 27.8% 29.6% 24.3% Support 64.8% 48.3% 40.4% 61.9% 54.7% 46.1% 45.6% 49.7% 52.3% Uncertain 9.8% 26.9% 28.7% 22.5% 18.8% 21.4% 26.6% 20.7% 23.5% 11
20) Do you support or oppose President Trump s actions regarding removing the United States from the Iranian Nuclear Agreement? Q20: IRANNUCLEAR Oppose 67.9% 35.9% 15.4% 36.0% 36.3% 42.7% 39.5% 37.2% 41.3% Support 19.0% 42.7% 71.7% 40.3% 43.9% 44.1% 51.2% 40.9% 49.4% Uncertain 13.1% 21.4% 12.9% 23.7% 19.8% 13.2% 9.3% 21.8% 9.3% 21) As you may know, there is an investigation into possible dealings with President Trump s associates and Russia being led by Special Counsel Robert Mueller. Do you believe the investigation is justified or do you believe it is politically motivated? Q21: RUSSIA Justified 76.3% 47.7% 25.2% 34.7% 56.2% 53.6% 44.2% 51.9% 46.2% Politically motivated 18.1% 38.5% 66.3% 42.1% 32.6% 41.6% 51.5% 35.7% 47.6% Uncertain 5.7% 13.9% 8.6% 23.2% 11.2% 4.8% 4.3% 12.4% 6.2% 12
22) Would you approve or disapprove of a border wall built between the border of Mexico and the U.S.? Q22: BORDERWALL Approve 14.9% 41.4% 80.3% 40.8% 42.9% 46.9% 53.0% 44.1% 48.5% Disapprove 77.9% 49.9% 14.9% 46.4% 49.8% 47.7% 42.5% 48.3% 45.5% Uncertain 7.2% 8.7% 4.9% 12.8% 7.3% 5.4% 4.5% 7.7% 6.1% 23) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Special Counsel Robert Mueller s job performance? 13
Q23: MUELLERPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 12.8% 16.2% 19.0% 23.1% 22.4% 13.0% 7.9% 14.4% 17.8% Somewhat Disapprove 9.3% 10.5% 14.4% 10.1% 12.2% 11.2% 11.8% 9.3% 13.8% Strongly Approve 57.1% 30.5% 17.3% 15.8% 29.4% 43.5% 40.8% 35.5% 33.6% Strongly Disapprove 10.4% 22.1% 36.8% 25.4% 12.1% 25.7% 32.2% 21.2% 25.7% Uncertain 10.3% 20.6% 12.5% 25.5% 23.9% 6.6% 7.3% 19.6% 9.1% 24) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the Mainstream Media s job performance? Q24: MEDIAPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 30.9% 19.3% 21.8% 29.6% 32.7% 19.1% 16.3% 20.7% 27.3% Somewhat Disapprove 7.0% 13.4% 12.7% 7.6% 13.6% 11.6% 9.9% 13.0% 9.0% Strongly Approve 41.1% 21.0% 10.5% 21.3% 17.7% 27.7% 27.4% 25.9% 21.7% Strongly Disapprove 9.7% 36.3% 49.2% 23.5% 28.0% 34.3% 40.2% 27.8% 36.8% Uncertain 11.3% 10.1% 5.8% 17.9% 8.0% 7.3% 6.2% 12.5% 5.1% 14
25) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh? Q25: KAVANAUGHOPINION Somewhat favorable 9.9% 13.1% 13.4% 9.8% 18.8% 10.9% 7.6% 10.7% 13.8% Somewhat unfavorable 10.1% 19.2% 9.5% 23.2% 12.3% 10.5% 10.0% 13.7% 12.1% Uncertain 3.2% 11.6% 6.2% 17.4% 9.9% 2.7% 2.7% 10.5% 3.4% Very favorable 14.2% 27.9% 63.8% 32.2% 25.7% 37.8% 47.6% 30.4% 41.7% Very unfavorable 62.6% 28.1% 7.1% 17.3% 33.2% 38.0% 32.0% 34.8% 29.1% 26) Would you support or oppose the U.S. House of Representatives investigating the recent allegations that surfaced under Justice Brett Kavanaugh s nomination hearings? 15
Q26: KAVANAUGHINVESTIGATION Oppose 15.1% 31.7% 64.9% 37.7% 29.7% 40.9% 42.8% 30.6% 45.6% Support 71.8% 43.9% 23.1% 35.2% 59.5% 46.4% 35.5% 47.8% 43.5% Uncertain 13.1% 24.4% 12.0% 27.1% 10.8% 12.7% 21.7% 21.6% 10.9% 27) Do you support or oppose President Trump s decision in revoking former CIA-Director John Brennan s security clearance? Q27: BRENNANCLEARANCE Oppose 68.9% 37.7% 17.5% 32.8% 41.7% 44.5% 40.0% 39.4% 42.4% Support 15.5% 32.5% 68.5% 29.9% 33.9% 44.3% 45.2% 34.6% 44.5% Uncertain 15.7% 29.8% 14.0% 37.2% 24.4% 11.1% 14.8% 26.0% 13.1% The following questions are for demographic purposes: 1) Are you registered to vote in Florida? 16
2) How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Florida General Elections? 28) What is your party affiliation? 29) What is your political ideology? 17
30) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background? 31) What race do you identify yourself as? 32) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? 18
33) What is the highest level of education have you completed? 34) How old are you? 35) What is your gender? 19