Coalition Explorer Results of the 28 Survey on coalition building in the European Union an initiative of Results for ECFR May 2017 Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Findings Coalition Potential Ranks 1 to 14 Ranks 15 to 28 Country Findings AT BE BG HR CY CZ DK EE FI FR DE EL HU IE IT LV LT LU MT NL PL PT RO SK SI ES SE Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal Preferences ranks overall #22 at Preferences #21 #23 #20 Partners #22 #12 #19 #19 Q1 Most Contacted Q2 Shared Interests Q3 Most Responsive ranks overall #18 at Partners Q10 Foreign and Development Policy Q11 Security and Defense Policy Q12 Economic and Social Policy Q13 Fiscal Policy 3 for LV 1. 2. 3. RO SE 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. 3 for LV 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. HR PL RO 1. EE LT 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. DE HU ranks #11 at More Europe #11 Q14 Deeper Integration 3 for LV 1. 2. 3. BG CZ EL Q16 Expert View Level of Decision-Making Q17 Public View 48 22 19 2 LV Networks Voting for 8 for LV 52 19 15 8 Hungary All member states Legally bound core Coalition of states Only national level LV 50 14 14 22 35 17 25 22 LV Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Most contacted Votes for Q1 In your view or experience, which other governments would your own government generally contact first and/or most on matters? (select up to five) Of 1352 394 respondents, received 11 (0.8) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 1 Visegrád 4 Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal 25 17 3 3 1 Czech Rep. 1 Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Shared Interests Votes for Q2 In your view or experience, which other member states generally share many of your own s interests and preferences on policies? (select up to five) Of 1594 406 respondents, received 21 (1.3) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 2 Visegrád 4 1 Affluent 7 1 Big 6 Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal 23 20 7 5 4 1 Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Most Responsive Votes for Q3 In your view or experience, which other governments or member states have shown to be most responsive or are easiest to work with? (select up to five) Of 1201 342 respondents, received 19 (1.6) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 2 Affluent 7 2 Visegrád 4 1 Big 6 Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal 17 15 11 9 4 2 Czech Rep. 2 Netherlands 1 Denmark 1 Germany 1 Hungary Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Most Disappointing Votes for Q4 In your view or experience, which other governments or member states have disappointed your own government? (select up to five) Of 1123 326 respondents, received 7 (0.6) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 1 Big 6 1 Founding 6 1 Southern 7 Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal 4 3 3 2 Portugal 1 Preferences Overview Most Contacted Shared Interests Most Responsive Most Disappointing Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Big Six Overall Policy Ranking by Q5 Based on your view or experience, please rank the six large member states according to their overall influence on policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Southern Seven Visegrád Four Netherlands Portugal First Rank Second Rank Third Rank Germany France Fourth Rank Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Number of respondents: 4. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Big Six Fiscal Policy Ranking by Q6 Please rank the six large member states according to their influence on fiscal policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four First Rank Second Rank Third Rank Germany France France Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal Fourth Rank Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Germany Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Germany Number of respondents: 4. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Ranking by Q7 Please rank the six large member states according to their influence on foreign, security and defence policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four First Rank Second Rank Third Rank Germany France Germany Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal Fourth Rank Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Germany Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Number of respondents: 4. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Ranking by First Rank Netherlands Q8 Based on your view or experience, please rank the list of affluent seven member states according to their overall influence on policy over the past five years. (first rank being the most influential) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Southern Seven Visegrád Four Netherlands Portugal Second Rank Third Rank Fourth Rank Netherlands Denmark Fifth Rank Sixth Rank Seventh Rank Denmark Denmark Influence Overview Big Six Overall Policy Big Six Fiscal Policy Big Six Foreign and Security Policy Other Countries Number of respondents: 4. Size of rectangles corresponds with respondents respective rankings. Countries with equal values are sorted from A-Z. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Foreign and Development Policy Votes for Q10 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Foreign and Development Policy? Of 1756 285 respondents, received 28 (1.6) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 3 Visegrád 4 2 Affluent 7 1 Big 6 1 Founding 6 1 Southern 7 Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal 9 6 5 4 2 2 2 Czech Rep. 2 Denmark 2 2 Hungary 1 1 Netherlands 1 Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Security and Defense Policy Votes for Q11 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Security and Defense Policy? Of 1662 285 respondents, received 50 (3) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 4 Visegrád 4 3 Affluent 7 3 Big 6 2 Founding 6 2 Southern 7 Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal 10 7 6 6 6 5 Denmark 5 4 4 Germany 4 Hungary 4 3 Netherlands 2 Czech Rep. 2 Portugal 2 1 Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Economic and Social Policy Votes for Q12 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Economic and Social Policy? Of 1567 279 respondents, received 33 (2.1) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 4 Visegrád 4 2 Big 6 2 Southern 7 1 Affluent 7 1 Founding 6 Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal 10 10 7 5 4 4 3 Hungary 3 2 Czech Rep. 2 1 Germany 1 Netherlands Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Fiscal Policy Votes for Q13 Which other member states would your government see as essential partners in Fiscal Policy? Of 1203 279 respondents, received 20 (1.7) Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four 2 Big 6 2 Visegrád 4 1 Founding 6 1 Southern 7 Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal 17 4 3 Germany 3 Hungary 2 2 2 1 Netherlands Partners Overview Foreign and Development Policy Security and Defense Policy Economic and Social Policy Fiscal Policy Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Commitment to Deeper Integration Votes for Q14 In your opinion, which member states are committed to deeper integration or more Europe? Of 2046 348 respondents, received 46 (2.2) Big Six Founding Six Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Southern Seven Visegrád Four Netherlands Portugal Overview Commitment to Deeper Integration Importance of Coalitions Preferred Actor Level Preferred Actor Level (Public View) 2 Affluent 7 2 Founding 6 2 Visegrád 4 1 Big 6 1 Southern 7 13 6 5 5 Czech Rep. 5 4 3 Denmark 3 Germany 3 Hungary 3 3 Netherlands 2 2 2 Portugal 2 2 2 1 1 France 1 1 1 Rounded results. 0 shares not shown. Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Preferred Actor Level Votes by Q16 What actor level would your prefer for the following list of policy projects? All member states: 48 of votes Legally bound core of member states: 22 of votes Coalition of member states: 19 of votes Only national level: 2 of votes Countries Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four Integrated foreign and security policy Common defense structures Common border police and coast guard Common policy in justice & home affairs Common immigration and asylum policy Common development assistance p. Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal Common Russia policy Better governance for the eurozone Common Ukraine policy Fully completed single market Common Syria policy Common social policy Common MENA policy Common energy policy Common China policy Single climate policy Overview Commitment to Deeper Integration Importance of Coalitions Preferred Actor Level Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Number of respondents: 4. Share of Don t know votes shown by open circles Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners
Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Votes by Q17 What actor level would your prefer for the following list of policy projects? All member states: 35 of votes Legally bound core of member states: 17 of votes Coalition of member states: 25 of votes Only national level: 22 of votes Countries Big Six Founding Six Southern Seven Visegrád Four Integrated foreign and security policy Common defense structures Common border police and coast guard Common policy in justice & home affairs Common immigration and asylum policy Common development assistance p. Czech Rep. Denmark France Germany Hungary Netherlands Portugal Common Russia policy Better governance for the eurozone Common Ukraine policy Fully completed single market Common Syria policy Common social policy Common MENA policy Common energy policy Common China policy Single climate policy Overview Commitment to Deeper Integration Importance of Coalitions Preferred Actor Level Preferred Actor Level (Public View) Number of respondents: 39 Design Findings Chapters Preferences Influence Partners